8/4/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Queen Elizabeth Stakes day

Day Two of The Championships comes around this Saturday at Randwick with a brilliant ten race card, headlined by the Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m). The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit.

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6 Make A Call (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is still a maiden after six runs but I think that changes here. He ran two weeks ago in the Baillieu at Rosehill and was very good in defeat, working home from near last om the turn when a close up fourth to Amur, beaten just under a length. He’s racing like a rise to the mile will be ideal, he gets J Mac and the depth here is similar to last start. Think 1600m, bigger track and upgrade is enough for me to lean his way.

3 Tom Kitten (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is hard to beat I’d suggest. He ran in the VRC Sires a few weeks ago at Flemington where he copped early interference but balanced up and found the line well enough I thought behind impressive winner Veight. He was a month between runs there so you’d like to think there is room for improvement and strikes a winnable race.

5 Kintyre (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has come back in pretty good order for Gary Portelli. Tough on speed win to break the maiden status two back at Newcastle. She proved that was no fluke over 1400m at Warwick Farm last time, closing her race off with purpose when a narrow second to Ravello. Racing like the rise to 1600m suits and stable is very good with their juveniles. Leading contender.

Going to give 7 Razeta (Bet Now:  $SP.00) a look. Kris Lees trained filly that comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since March 11 at Flemington in The Kewney when wide no cover throughout and tired late when down the track behind Revolutionary Miss. Like her back in trip, maps to get a much better run in transit and a bit of juice in the ground is no issue. Happy to speck each way.

2 Perfect Thought (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very interesting runner. John Sargent trained three year old that resumes and was touted as a potential Group l talent after his Carbine Club win last year on Derby Day but injury has halted his prep and kicks off here with Queensland being his target. His trial behind Renaissance Woman was pretty good to the eye and 1400m fresh says he has the fitness under the belt to run well.

12 Stylised (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Kermadeck that resumes for James Cummings. He had a three run prep in the Spring to start his career, winning a maiden in dominant fashion before being far from disgraced in the Gloaming and was spelled soon after. Looks to have trialled up well in readiness for his return and he might give them a start but should be strong at the end.

3 Autumn Ballet (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been kept on ice for GaiBott, having not raced since the Black Opal where she created history by becoming the first winner of the race to win on debut. She looks a very much above average filly and has a good racing style. She has plenty going for her and for mine, is one of the hardest to beat, with a genuine 1200m being right up her alley.

4 Ethereal Star (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is capable with her best. Andrew Forsman trained filly that was very good two back in the Karaka Million when second to Tokyo Tycoon before being down the track behind that star juvenile in the Sistema at Pukekohe, but granted she was given a poor ride. Rare you see Kiwi juveniles come to Australia but have to respect the stable when they bring them over.

2 Bossy Nic (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is in the mix. Team McEvoy trains this filly, who comes to Sydney off the back of a spank job win two weeks back at Flemington down the straight where she let down with a nice turn of foot and gapped her rivals. Stable is having a good run with their juveniles and while she raises a fair bit in grade/depth, she will be strong at the end and is a definite winning threat.

11 Short Shorts (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks ready to rock and roll in the big one here. Brad Widdup trained mare that resumed in a Qualifier at Kembla where the market said she was there to make a statement, crunched late, and she duly saluted, giving her rivals a spanking by over three lengths, and smashed the clock in winning. She’s had a few weeks to get over that run and she has run well at Saturday metro level before so this is no danger for her. Clearly the one to beat IMO.

5 Kayobi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Maurice that has done little wrong in a six start career. He trialled up super prior to resuming in a Qualifier at Gosford and despite not handling the tight track, class came to the fore and he drove hard late for a big win, beating Audette, who has since won at metro level at the midweeks, so the form has been well and truly ticked off, and he looked great in a recent tick over trial. Leading contender.

6 Spangler (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can be hit and miss but he has a decent motor on him and will be stronger than most at the end. He had three cracks to get into the race and the final crack was a Wildcard, run at Newcastle, and I thought he closed off his race strongly from near last when second to stablemate Loch Eagle. He has the engine under the hood to give this a shake and dangerous if he’s within range.

I think the earlier prep confirmed that 1 Aft Cabin (Bet Now:  $SP.00) isn’t a 1400m+ horse at this level. He is a very sharp 1200m horse so fresh legs and this race in mind, I am leaning his way. He last raced in the Randwick Guineas where he was given a 12/10 by J Mac but just didn’t run the mile out when fourth to Communist. Tick over trial was strong, he maps ideally and I reckon a bit of juice in the track is ideal.

2 Zou Tiger (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is in a similar boat to Aft Cabin in that he comes here off a freshen up following the Randwick Guineas. He was brave in defeat but just couldn’t quite see the mile out. He does have a 2-0 record over Aft Cabin from this prep and his tick over trial was pretty good. If this becomes a slog more so than a sit/sprint, he’ll be dangerous.

For wider multiples, entertaining 5 Sacred Satono (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He was far from disgraced in the Challenge behind Passive Aggressive before going to the Darby Munro where he got off the speed and presented but he couldn’t quite let down behind Opal Ridge. Back to Randwick should help his cause and off his Challenge effort, he’s a knockout chance at a big price.

2 Pavitra (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been set for this race all prep and with no Prowess here, Pavitra is clearly the one. She tried her guts out in the Vinery Stud and looked the winner early on in the straight but she had no answers for the brilliance of Prowess, but stayed on well enough to run second and was strong through the line. Love her up to 2400m, she’s the best horse in the race…she’s the likely winner.

4 Polygon (Bet Now:  $SP.00), I think, is back on track. Jury was out after a plain effort in the Kembla Grange Classic but she ran a much improved race in the Vinery Stud, working home well between runners albeit was safely held by Prowess. Showed in NZ that she looks an Oaks filly and has been set for this race, so I think she is clearly likeable getting up to 2400m.

A stayer running a tick over 33 for the last 600m is a good sign so with that in mind, 13 Jolted (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be a bet. Winkers went on last start on the Beaumont track at Newcastle over 2100m and it did the track. She looked a bit one paced prior but they well and truly sharpened her up as she let down with purpose when eventually getting clear. John Sargent polish, strong late and has change up speed. Ideal recipe.

On paper, 11 Cleveland (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a moral. Proven stayer for Joseph O’Brien that was very good late in the piece in the Tancred two weeks ago, working home with purpose. That was at WFA, not suited to him. Now he tumbles in weight, he rises to 3200m, bigger track, upside…he could easily do a number on these and is a deserving favourite. For me, he’s the one to beat, clearly.

14 King Frankel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has well and truly confirmed himself he can measure up at this level. He didn’t look well placed at all last start in the Tancred when taking on WFA company but he ran an absolute belter, only getting nabbed late by Arapaho to run a close up third. He tumbles in weight this this time around, he’ll stay all day, lands near the speed. He only runs well.

13 Amade (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the one at a big price I can have a peanut on. He has been kept on ice since the Adelaide Cup where really, he was the run of the race given he was wide throughout and kept on in a very game effort to run third to Rebel Racer. His 3000m+ form, gee it reads well, and he won’t mind a bit of cushion in the ground. He’s certainly worth an each way bet.

We can only hope the race on paper delivers on race day. This has the potential to be a race for the ages. 1 Anamoe (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has the runs on the board and this is his swan song for Australian racing so you can only assume James Cummings has him wound right up for the farewell. Wide no cover in the George Ryder and was there to be beaten but he found when required and class got him home. People will look at the form in the Ryder not standing up in the Doncaster, but he’s just a winner Anamoe and last time he was at 2000m, he won the Cox Plate. He’s here for redemption from last year and to farewell Australia on the right note.

Any hint of improvement from 2 Dubai Honour (Bet Now:  $SP.00) and it could be a case of good luck beating him. His Ranvet win was outstanding, the change up speed and the way he made an absolute mess of them. The Ranvet form, as a whole, was terrible in the Tancred a week later, so while you can pot the Ryder form, you can easily pot the Ranvet form. But, he has the William Haggas polish and the stable have an unbelievable record in the race.

This track needs to dry right out for 7 Unicorn Lion (Bet Now:  $SP.00). If it does, he is hot on the heels of Anamoe and Dubai Honour as a key chance. He is the Japanese factor in the race and more often than not, the Japanese spank anything, as seen previously in Australia and recently at Dubai. This guy is probably closer to the end than the beginning but Yahagi is a gun trainer and wouldn’t be coming over here for a holiday.

I just don’t see how they can beat 1 Alcohol Free (Bet Now:  $SP.00). The GaiBott trained former overseas mare makes her Australian debut and if you go off her form, she is just better than these IMO. You look at her form before she came across. It’s riddled with Baaeed and Naval Crown, the former regarded once as the best horse in the world and the latter being a world class animal. Big tick there and her trial win was electric, plus the noise out of the stable is saying she’s ready to rock and roll. Reckon she’ll win this and then confirm herself as the Yulong rep for The Everest.

8 Atishu (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Group l winner in waiting and it could easily come here. Her run in the Emancipation first up was absolutely enormous, producing some of the better late splits of the meeting. Solid mile looks perfect for her…my opinion is she could be a moral in the Hollindale/Doomben Cup but off the return, she has to be respected.

Sharp, sharp improver here is 10 Statement (Bet Now:  $SP.00). I thought she was a moral in the Emancipation but she was very one paced when asked for the effort, with the firm ground being the reason dished up. She gets her toe into the ground this time around and she showed back home in Ireland she is so dynamic when being able to get her feet wet.

13 Dalchini (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying for Team Curtis IMO and is a big price. She has had two runs back from a spell, and really, they have been two barrier trials, notably the resumption behind Cannonball, but second up in the Star Kingdom, two weeks ago, she was a real eye catcher late in the piece behind Bacchanalia. Great third up record and if this becomes a testing 1200m, she will be one of the strongest at the end I’m sure.

4 Zapateo (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has the runs on the board to command respect. It was just about a case of a nation roaring for a hero in the Birthday Card and under a peach from J Mac, class came to the fore and she was much too good for her rivals. Bit of juice in the track is ideal for her and being third up from a break, she should just about be at peak fitness.

2 Kiku (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality mare for Chris Waller that resumes. She hasn’t raced since the Magic Millions F&M where she got into a nice spot from the gate and tried her guts out but couldn’t quite get there when second to stablemate Brookspire. She is a mare who can sprint very well on the fresh side and her two trials under the belt have been more than encouraging. Leading chance.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 11 Short Shorts

NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 1 Anamoe

LONG SHOT: Race Ten Number 13 Dalchini

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 3, 11, 13, 14

Leg Two: 1, 2

Leg Three: 1, 3, 5, 8, 10

Leg Four: 2, 4, 9, 13

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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