The biggest day on the Sydney racing calendar is Everest Day and the 1200m contest, which is the richest race on turf in the world, highlights a bumper ten race card at Randwick on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Everest Field 🏆: View the Field for The Everest
Race 1. (12:30) Victory Vein Plate 1000m
I’ll take a punt on 6 Murungal (Bet Now: $8.00 TOP ODDS), debuting for Con Karakatsanis. He didn’t smash the clock when winning a recent Warwick Farm trial, but I did like his change up speed when clicked up and he put them away to win by a space without really being fully extended. As I said, the clock didn’t back up the eye, but sometimes you just have to believe what you see, and he looked sharp.
5 Gravina (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS) is a Sebring colt for James Cummings. He trialled behind Strike at Randwick a couple of weeks and was pushed out, but responded well enough to my eye to run second to the Snowden colt, who was a sharp debut winner at Eagle Farm last Saturday and is a colt who I have high up in early Slipper seedings. Think that form holds up for this.
9 Diamond Kat (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) is a daughter of Sizzling for Anthony Cummings having start one. She trialled here on Monday where she was off speed before presenting wider and under light riding, closed off well to run second to Close To Me. Gets gate one for her debut and I do like a horse that trials then backs up to race within seven days. Keen to see how she goes.
Race 2. (13:05) TASK RETAIL TECHNOLOGY HANDICAP 2000m
Going the way of 3 Angel Of Heaven (Bet Now: $2.80 TOP ODDS). Kris Lees trains this four year old mare, who was good first up at Rosehill against the bias behind Irukandji before being given a little freshen up and racing over the mile at Warwick Farm where she closed off well late in the piece when third to Tricky Gal. Third up at 2000m on the big track looks an ideal recipe, so she’ll do me.
7 Johnny Vinko (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is flying under John O’Shea. Has had three runs for the stable and each time, he’s been excellent. Lovely ride from J Mac saw him two back at Canterbury before racing on the Kenso track last Wednesday where nothing went right for him in the straight behind Maid Of Ore. Big track, 2000m, hard fit, relative weight relief…he’ll take some beating.
Very wary of 10 Fastnet Cyclone (Bet Now: $51.00 TOP ODDS). He should have bolted in two back at Canterbury behind Waking Moment but had no luck at all. Then came back in trip to 1550m last Wednesday on the Kenso track which was a negative but he still found the line alright when third to Rancho Notorious. He’s back up in trip and on a bigger track. Definite winning chance.
Race 3. (13:40) TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP 1100m
Big fan of 14 Plonka (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) and confident he can measure up. Just looked in need of the run first up at Doomben behind an in form Desert Man in what has turned out to be an excellent form reference. He then went to Port Macquarie last Friday where he was absolutely bolting but couldn’t get out until the last 100m when savaging the line to win. He’s got a lethal turn of foot when cuddled, and he has the gate to have that set up.
9 Hit The Target (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) back to 1100m interests me. Stephen Jones was very bullish about this horse early on in the prep, declaring him first up in a Highway over 1200m here when fourth to Lady Demi. Then raced on Newcastle Cup Day and looked to have his chance when third to Asiago, but that horse won again last Saturday to tick that form. Think 1100m, a strongly run 1100m, will suit.
I reckon Kurt Goldman has 4 Equal Balance (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) flying. He hasn’t raced since September 14 when contesting a 1400m Highway at Rosehill where I thought McDougall rode a 12/10 race on the gelding and loomed large to win but 1400m just saw him out when fourth to Haames. Freshened up back to 1100m, he can sit off a good speed and be strong at the end.
Race 4. (14:15) REGINALD ALLEN QUALITY 1400m
5 Betcha Flying (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) is a Chris Waller trained filly that had trialled up well behind Trekking prior to resuming at the midweeks at Canterbury when wide for the trip off a what looked a moderate speed and the clock agreed. Thought she did a good job to get as close as she did to Sangria. Like her on the bigger track and up to 1400m. Just hope she can sit a touch closer in the run.
1 Avon River (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) can measure up here. Her run wasn’t too bad on a Warwick Farm bog two back behind Miss Einstein before racing on the Kenso track last Wednesday where she got firmer footing and surged hard late under Nash, who lifted her over the line to win. Did show blacktype potential as a juvenile and now her confidence is up, she can reach that level here and run well.
There has always been a bit of a wrap on 3 Maddi Rocks (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS) and while she is talented, I don’t think the wraps are warranted. But in saying that, she doesn’t have to be a star to win this. Was disappointing behind Yao Dash two back before racing on the Warwick Farm bog last time and she plodded on in the conditions to run third to Erno. Back on top of the ground and back to her own age/sex are two big ticks.
Race 5. (14:50) THE KOSCIUSZKO 1200m
1 Victorem (Bet Now: $2.60 SPECIAL ODDS) for me. He’s an absolute beauty for Jenny Graham who did fail in this race last year but the track was bottomless and he couldn’t lift his feet up in the conditions. 12 months on, he’s a much better horse and the way he’s trialled leading in has been super. Gets dry ground for the 2019 edition and with that being the case, I think only bad luck beats him.
If this was any hint of give in the track, I’d be well and truly all over 3 Noble Boy (Bet Now: $5.50). Todd Blowes trains this high quality galloper, who is first up and comes into this off the back of two excellent trials and to the eye, he looks to have come right on, with the trip to Brisbane looking to bring him right on. He can handle a dry track, but he would prefer a track with give in it.
Is 5 Bobbing (Bet Now: $18.00) the forgotten horse? Gee I reckon Bernie Kelly has him flying. Provincial Championship winner who is now in Scone and is also first up into this. He trialled last week at Gosford and you could argue he trialled better than Redzel and In Her Time, closing off strongly under no pressure. 1400m-1600m looks his trip, but a fast run 1200m will see him be strong at the end.
Race 6. (15:25) SYDNEY STAKES 1200m
1 Brutal (Bet Now: $1.85) does look the one. Hands up here. I didn’t think he was much good and thought the Doncaster win was a tad flattering thanks to the soft tempo/lightweight, but he was very sharp in winning the Premiere first up. He took on some crack sprinters but was ridden quite aggressively from the outset by Tommy and the race was over 200m out. Provided there’s no second up syndrome, he’s the one.
12 Champagne Cuddles (Bet Now: $7.50) is a bit of a non winner for Bjorn Baker, but she does try very hard and more often than not, she’s thereabouts. She ran in the Golden Pendant three weeks ago where 1400m saw her out, finishing second to all the way winner Mizzy, who was good in defeat last Saturday. Last time she was at the Randwick 1200m, she ran a closing fourth in the TJ Smith behind Santa Ana Lane.
8 Redouble (Bet Now: $27.00) looks to have returned in good order for Bjorn Baker. Trialled well enough at Canterbury prior to resuming in the Theo Marks several weeks ago here and I thought he was good late against the track pattern when fourth to star mare Arcadia Queen. Reckon he wants further but a good run fresh and if the track is playing more fairly this time around, he can win.
Race 7. (16:15) THE EVEREST 1200m
We’ll get a good guide here as to just how good 11 Arcadia Queen (Bet Now: $5.00) is. Some say she’s the best in Australia and this will be the win of the best in the Australia if she is to get the job done. She’s a break between runs and coming back in trip, but the way she won fresh, with such arrogance and ran time, she’s high class, and her trial/work since has been first class.
Two things 1 Santa Ana Lane (Bet Now: $4.40) needs. A dry track and a good tempo. He gets both of those, so he’s one of the hardest to beat. Thought his resumption in the Gilgai was absolutely enormous from the back off a somewhat moderate speed when second to Sunlight. Much better suited here I think and in terms of big sprints the past 12-18 months, he’s the best in Australia.
Can’t leave out 6 Classique Legend (Bet Now: $19.00). He’s too good of a horse to dismiss. He was excellent first up behind Pierata before going to the Premiere where he ran second to Brutal, and to the eye, he was disappointing, but on the clock, his run was good. I think he’s a pure dry track horse, which is what we should get here, and on dry ground, his performances have been outstanding.
Race 8. (16:50) CRAVEN PLATE 2000m
I think each way, can’t go wrong with 5 Tally (Bet Now: $10.00) for James Cummings. I reckon he’s flying this horse. Definite pass mark first up in the Bill Ritchie behind Kolding before stepping up to 2000m in the Hill Stakes where he was building the revs nicely until running out of condition the last 200m. He’ll be hard fit now and should be stronger at the end of the race.
2000m looks perhaps a bridge too far with 1 Happy Clapper (Bet Now: $3.20) but he does have class on his side and that will carry him a long way. He comes through the George Main where I’m not sure the sticky track was to his liking but he kept on and was good in defeat behind Avilius. He’s had the break between runs and gets back on top of the ground. 2000m is the query.
9 Danzdanzdance (Bet Now: $12.00) is a classy mare that is now with Chris Waller. She contested the George Main last time out, her first run in Australia this prep, and failed to fire a shot when running last to Avilius, but that was a hot race and 1600m is too short for her. Her trials since last run have been solid and a drop in depth/rise in trip are two big ticks for her.
Race 9. (17:30) ST LEGER STAKES 2600m
She’s better when she gets her toe in, but 6 Youngstar (Bet Now: $8.50) is ticking over nicely. She ran in the Hill Stakes two weeks ago where the slow tempo set by Samadoubt was against her and she was never in the hunt when beating one home behind Verry Elleegant, but the run was good. She’s crying out for more ground, which she gets here, and can sit closer from gate one.
3 Gallic Chieftain… (Bet Now: $4.40) apologies for bringing the Metropolitan up if you were on him, and yes I was one. Gee Tommy rode the horse an absolute treat and when he dashed, he looked home, but Come Play With Me had the softer run in transit and was too good. Did win the Chairmans at this track/distance during the Championships so that won’t be an issue and on form, has to be rated highly.
14 Carif (Bet Now: $16.00) represents some value. I thought he got a definite pass mark last start in the Hill Stakes given it was WFA and given his rating, that just didn’t suit him at all, but he was good in defeat behind Verry Elleegant. Back on firmer footing looks a big tick for this four year old, as does the step up to 2600m, and from the gate, he does no work in the run.
Race 10. (18:10) THE STAR MILE 1600m
He might need one run under the belt, but the way he’s been trialling, I can’t let 2 My Nordic Hero (Bet Now: $31.00) go around without me. Chris Waller has him flying it seems. His four runs during the Autumn/Winter were a bit disappointing, but for the most part, he was on wet tracks and he just doesn’t go as well on that ground preferred to a firmer deck, which is what he gets here. Been really taken by the way he’s been trialling for a middle distance type and if he runs the way he trials, he’ll run a beauty.
11 Dealmaker (Bet Now: $4.80) has found his level and distance. 1600m and away from blacktype looks his go in life. Thought he was a good thing when racing at this track/distance two weeks ago and under a lovely ride from J Mac, the four year old was able to get the job done. How often do we see these horses that struggle to win and once they do, they win again.
We’ll get a true guide as to how well 4 Le Juge (Bet Now: $41.00) is going. Chris Waller trains and on paper, he’s been terrible this time in, but he’s just been poorly placed. Has contested the Tramway, Cameron and Epsom in three runs back from a spell and hasn’t figured in the finish at all in the three runs. Finds a really winnable race here on his Brisbane Carnival form. Can he produce it?
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Five Number 1 Victorem
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 1 Brutal
LONG SHOT: Race Ten Number 2 My Nordic Hero
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 1, 6, 9, 11
Leg Two: 1, 2, 5, 9
Leg Three: 3, 6, 11, 13, 14
Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 5, 11
$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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