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The Melbourne Cup is the race that stops a nation but is fast becoming the race that stops the world with a host of runners from overseas set to take their place in the two mile feature on the first Tuesday in November.

Here at Justhorseracing, we’ve put together a preview of the confirmed runners set to take their place in the Melbourne Cup 2018.

Cup Market πŸ†πŸ’°: View the current Melbourne Cup odds

 

Best Solution

Breeding: Kodiac x Al Andalyya
Trainer: Saeed Bin Suroor
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 20: 7-2-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1200m/2400m
Career Best Win: Arqana Racing Club Stakes, July 12 2018, Newmarket, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 18: 6-1-2
Wet Track Stats: 2: 1-1-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: 2400m specialist and stable knows what it takes to win the race.

Group l Grosser Preis von Berlin, (2400m), August 12 2018, Hoppegarten, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This win likely locks away a spot for him in the Cup field. Loved the way he knuckled down over the final 200m when he needed to and he surged late between runners to grab the win. As to what he beat, the field didn’t appear overly strong from what I can tell, but it was a Group l win and he continues his purple patch.

Group l Preis Von Baden (2000m), September 2 2018, Baden Baden, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

 

Concede it was a good win, another at the highest level, but did he win it, or did Atzeni on Defoe lose it? I’m leaning the way of the latter. He coughed up ground and momentum to get to the outside fence, nowhere near as much as Best Solution, and that was the difference between winning and losing. Yes, Best Solution won the race, but I wouldn’t be exactly jumping up and down.

 

Final Summary: I had him marked down as a Caulfield Cup horse, but the stable are quite bullish about him being a chance in the Melbourne Cup, a race they have been trying to win for over two decades. I reckon his best chance would come in the Caulfield Cup given his record between 2000m-2400m, but always have to respect the stable, and a wet track certainly no issue.

Chestnut Coat

Breeding: Heart’s Cry x White Veil
Trainer: Yoshiti Yahagi
Nationality: Japanese
Career Stats: 17: 4-5-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/2400m
Career Best Win: Soshun Stakes, January 28 2018, Tokyo, Firm Surface
Dry Track Stats: 16: 4-5-1
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Fifth in a Tenno Sho…that’s good enough to be ultra competitive in the Cups.

Group l Tenno Sho Spring (3200m), April 29 2018, Kyoto, Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

Gee his run was mighty in defeat. Had to make a long sustained run from around the 1000m mark and was still there on the line, beaten under two lengths by four runners who had a softer run in transit. This is world class form and a proven formula for Japanese runners when coming to Australia for the Cups.

Group ll Meguro Kinen (2500m), May 27 2018, Tokyo, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

I’d be willing to put a line through the run. They didn’t appear to go at a brutal speed in front which really set it up for those near the rail or on the pace, which Chestnut Coat wasn’t out wide with the white face and blue jacket. He stuck on well enough but really had no chance of winning given the tempo of the race.

Final Summary: I think if he was to run in both, he’d go very well in each. My leaning would be the Melbourne Cup though based on the Tenno Sho effort. He’ll love the 3200m Flemington has to offer, but he’s certainly capable of figuring in the Caulfield Cup. Wet track would be the only question mark with him.

Count Octave

Breeding: Frankel x Honorine
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 10: 2-2-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Novice Stakes, April 10 2018, Wolverhampton, Synthetic Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 2-2-3
Wet Track Stats: 0: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Form riddled with Stradivarius and Defoe so the ears are pricked immediately.

Queen Alexandra Stakes (3700m), June 23 2018, Royal Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Tough effort in defeat in what was a real test of courage and stamina for all concerned. He tried his heart out but was no match late for Pallasator, who is a decent enough horse in his own right but has since raced and failed badly at the Curragh, so a little question mark on the strength of this form.

 

Lonsdale Cup (3300m), August 24 2018, York, Anti Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Pretty remarkable improvement from the Yorkshire Cup. Gave Stradivarius a terrible fright for a few strides in this race but the class of that horse kicked into gear late and proved too good but Count Octave was huge here and as you can see in the replay, they gapped the rest of the field, so in terms of the Melbourne Cup, a big tick for mine.

Final Summary: Lightly raced with enormous upside and proper European form…similar profile to that of Rekindling last year. Off the Lonsdale Cup run and the form around that, he has to be rated highly to win the race.

Cross Counter

Breeding: Teofilo x Waitress
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 7: 4-2-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1700m/2400m
Career Best Win: Gordon Stakes, August 4 2018, Goodwood, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 7: 4-2-0
Wet Track Stats: 0: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Lightly raced with a touch of x factor that could easily threaten.

Gordon Stakes (2400m), August 4 2018, Goodwood, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Broke the track record in spanking this field, but that aside, it was the manner in which he put them away and the turn of foot when Buick asked which was the impressive bit. Form has been okay with Sun Maiden placing at York. Visually, very impressive and the clock backed up the eye, which is always a good sign.

Great Voltigeur Stakes (2400m), August 22 2018, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Pretty gutsy effort from the gelding, having a great struggle with stablemate Old Persian in the straight but that horse just packed too many punches and clung on. Cross Counter did come again and would have won in another couple of strides. The only little niggle is that the overall depth of the field didn’t appear strong.

Final Summary: C Appleby as the trainer, rinse and repeat: Has to be respected. Can he win a Melbourne Cup? On current form, I’d say no, but he could come to Werribee and thrive down under, as has so many Appleby runners in the past. In terms of his potential runners for the Cup, I’d have him down the pecking order.

Hamada

Breeding: Cape Cross x Sahraah
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 7: 5-1-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2000m/2800m
Career Best Win: Gordon’s Handicap, July 13 2018, Newmarket, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 6: 4-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 1: 1-0-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: In terms of lightly raced internationals, he’s near the top of the tree.

Handicap (2800m), July 13 2018, Newmarket, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This certainly pricks the ears. Didn’t beat much, but look at the way he puts them away over the concluding stages, that turn of foot really catching the eye and the gap he puts on them over the final 200m. That run almost certainly earns him a crack at the Melbourne Cup because it appears the two miles will be no issue.

Group lll Geoffrey Freer Stakes (2700m), August 18 2018, Newbury, Anti Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

The more I watch his replays, especially this one, the more I’m warming to him and he’s certainly going in Cup doubles. The race caller said it all. He’s progressive, and the way he got away from them late was the bit I really liked. He put them away and the report from James Doyle post race was glowing.

Final Summary: In terms of being guaranteed a start, I’d say after the Geoffrey Freer, he’s a lock. I originally had him penned as a top ten chance after the win at Newmarket but after what he did at Newbury, he has to be elevated as one of the top leading international chances.

Latrobe

Breeding: Cape Cross x Sahraah
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 6: 2-3-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Irish Derby, June 30 2018, Curragh, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 5: 2-2-0
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-1-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Can Lloyd do it again? The answer is yes.

Irish Derby (2400m), June 30 2018, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This was an unbelievable win. Did the work outside the speed and was there to be beaten but gee he found plenty in the straight to fend them off and score the win, beating some high class animals, most notably Saxon Warrior. He started $15, so for punters, it was somewhat of a surprise, but Joseph O’Brien was really confident leading in.

Juddmonte International Stakes (2000m), August 22 2018, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Beaten a fair way yes, but bear in mind this was a high class with some of the best 2000m horses in the world stepping out. He doesn’t have the brilliance to go with them but what I liked was his final 100m. He didn’t turn it up. He kept chasing and the way he ran to the line and through it caught my attention.

 

Final Summary: To the eye, he looks a better horse than Rekindling and we know what that horse did last year so if you’re a futures punter, I’d be chucking him in everything. Just need to wait for the confirmation he’ll be coming over and off the Juddmonte run, he screams out of a horse wanting further.

Magic Circle

Breeding: Makfi x Minkova
Trainer: Ian Williams
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 21: 8-1-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2414m/3749m
Career Best Win: Chester Cup, May 11 2018, Chester, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 9: 2-0-0
Wet Track Stats: 12: 6-1-1
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Corey Brown already booked is a good lead to suggest he’s one of the hardest to beat.

Chester Cup (3749m), May 11 2018, Chester, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Wowee, what a win this was. The turn of foot he showed over a staying trip…that’s been the ideal recipe for recent winners of the Melbourne Cup. Very impressive and the form out of this has been very good with a stack of subsequent placings, majority of which were in Listed company, so he gets another tick there.

Group lll Henry Vll Stakes (3264m), May 24 2018, Sandown (UK), Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This is why he is near the top of betting for the Melbourne Cup. He just made good stayers look very ordinary, including another Melbourne Cup aspirant in Red Verdon. Again, the turn of foot when Fran Berry asked for the effort was supreme and he won with something in hand to the eye in another dashing display.

Final Summary: Ian Williams has really transformed this stayer, who was okay when trained by Ralph Beckett but since going to Williams, he has spanked his rivals in two runs. Marwan Koukash has been desperate to win the Melbourne Cup for a number of years now and I think this is his best chance yet.

Marmelo

Breeding: Makfi x Minkova
Trainer: Hughie Morrison
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 16: 5-6-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2414m/3000m
Career Best Win: Chester Cup, August 20 2017, Deauville, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 4-5-1
Wet Track Stats: 4: 1-1-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Beaten favourite last year when given every chance…I’m happy to let him go through to the keeper.

Group ll Maurice De Nieuil (2800m), July 14 2018, Longchamp, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

To the eye, a pretty good win, but like the York win, I have reservations. The horse that ran second, Algometer, was well held by Marmelo at York but turned that form around some four+ lengths, but in saying that, Algometer does have really good overall form next to his name and is a quality horse. But with Marmelo, loved the way he found the line when challenged.

Kergolay (3000m), August 20 2018, Deauville, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Beaten by a classy animal, but for mine I thought he had his chance to win. cost himself any chance of winning by doing a bit wrong in the run and most certainly cost himself in the straight when wanting to drift about under pressure with Soumillon not really getting a chance to be fair dinkum on the horse.

 

Final Summary: My theory with the Melbourne Cup is that if you’ve failed in the race, and by failure I mean not run top three, then try to come back and win it, you won’t succeed. That theory hasn’t failed for 30+ years and I’m sticking with it even though Marmelo is one of the better internationals to come over.

 

Max Dynamite
Breeding: Great Journey x Mascara
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 32: 4-5-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2200m/3419m
Career Best Win: Lonsdale Cup, August 21 2015, York, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 13: 0-3-3
Wet Track Stats: 19: 4-2-1
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Back for another tilt. Has run well in two editions of the Cup. Not sure he’s going as well in 2018.
Lonsdale Cup (3300m), August 24 2018, York, Anti Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
He was pretty ordinary here, but bear in mind he took on some high class animals in Stradivarius and Count Octave. Still, it wasn’t a flash finale and would have liked to see him do a bit more. But if you do like him, he had produced a similar form line leading into the Cup last year before placing behind Rekindling.
Doncaster Cup (3621m), September 14 2018, Doncaster,Β Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

I would be hesitant in diving into this as a form reference. They ran splits of 13-13.5 for the most part so it really turned into a dash for cash, so when you see sub 12 splits at the end, I wouldn’t get too carried away. He ran well but Thomas Hobson just proved too good in the end and they gapped the rest, the rest of which, for the most part, are camels.

Final Summary: The two times he has run in the Cup, he showed some positive form in the final run before coming to Australia and he’s done it once again. In saying that, I think the Doncaster Cup was pretty weak on paper and this years edition of the Melbourne Cup looks to be one of the strongest we’ll see. Happy to put a line through him.

Mirage Dancer

Breeding: Frankel x Heat Haze
Trainer: Sir Michael Stoute
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 10: 3-2-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Glorious Stakes, August 3 2018, Goodwood, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 9: 3-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Benbatl, Cliffs Of Moher and Cracksman in the form…certainly one to keep an eye on.

Group ll Arqana Racing Club Stakes (2400m), July 12 2018, Newmarket, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Took on another Cup aspirant here in Best Solution. Thought he had his chance to wear down the Godolphin horse but he just packed too many punches on the line and in the end was holding Mirage Dancer, so that does leave me a bit unsure as to whether or not he can beat Best Solution should they clash at Flemington.

Group lll Glorious Stakes (2400m), August 3 2018, Goodwood, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This was the race that would tell us if he was a contender or pretender. As stated before, he has run well behind Benbatl, Cliffs Of Moher and Cracksman, which is world class form. But he need to put the win on the board after the last start. He passed the test with flying colours, dashing clear late to beat a Cup aspirant in Red Verdon quite comfortably.

Final Summary: Where does he fit in terms of the Melbourne Cup picture? That’s a question tough to answer with confidence. Off the Newmarket run, I’d say he’d struggle, but he won with such authority at Goodwood and looked to do it with a bit in hand. His overall form though does read very well and is of course trained by a master.

 

Muntahaa
Breeding: Dansili x Qertaas
Trainer: John Gosden
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 15: 4-1-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/2800m
Career Best Win: Ebor Handicap, August 25 2018, York, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 14: 4-1-4
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Top five chance on his recent deeds at Meydan.
Group ll Arqana Racing Club Stakes (2400m), July 12 2018, Newmarket, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Solid enough effort without being spectacular behind Best Solution, who is being touted as a live Caulfield Cup prospect. Settled off the pace throughout and looked to travel well but when it came to crunch time, he just lacked the dash to go with those in front but stayed on for a sound effort in fourth.
Ebor Handicap (2800m), August 25 2018, York,Β Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This looked the winner a long way out. He was absolutely bolting in the run and once Jim Crowley asked his horse for the effort, he rounded up the stablemate Weekender quite quickly and put them away to win impressively. The depth/form behind him looks very suspect. Yes, Nakeeta was there, but that horse has done nothing since the Melbourne Cup last year. Visually, very good, but holding judgement.

Final Summary: This is the one horse you will want to hear positive vibes about when he arrives at Werribee and how he settles in because he can be a bit of a loose cannon upstairs. If he brings his best form, he’s an outside chance in both Cups, though I dare say the Melbourne Cup would be the preferred target. But, it will all depend on how he handles the trip.

Prince Of Arran

Breeding: Shirocco x Stormng Sioux
Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 26: 4-6-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/3200m
Career Best Win: Handicap, February 28 2018, Meydan, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 23: 4-5-2
Wet Track Stats: 3: 0-1-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Got some good form behind world class horses…not sure he’s brilliant enough to win the Melbourne Cup.

Group ll Belmont Gold Cup (3200m), June 8 2018, Belmont (USA), Anti-Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

This was one of the weaker editions of the Belmont Gold Cup in recent years but the winner Call To Mind does have form around Stradivarius, who is world class horse. Prince Of Arran loomed to win the race but just couldn’t quite finish it off. The tick though for him here is that the race was run in track record time.

Northumberland Plate (3256m), June 30 2018, Newcastle (UK), Anti-Clockwise Direction, Synthetic Surface

Thought this was a really good effort in a time honoured race behind a talked up Cup chance in Withhold. For the most part, this field contained a bunch of scrubs, but finishing back in 14th was Nakeeta, who of course ran fifth in the Melbourne Cup last year. To my eye, those behind were paddlers so the strength of the form is suspect but the run of Prince Of Arran was more than sound.

Final Summary: He’ll have no trouble running two miles, that’s one box we know he’ll tick. The concern with him is that he has no turn of foot at all. He’s a real one batter but will keep at that pace all day. His best chance of winning the race is if Lloyd has several runners in the race and he puts a pacemaker in to make it a brutally run 3200m.

Red Verdon

Breeding: Lemon Drop Kid x Porto Marmay
Trainer: Ed Dunlop
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 24: 5-9-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1700m/2500m
Career Best Win: Wild Flower Stakes, November 29 2017, Kempton Park, Synthetic Surface
Dry Track Stats: 23: 5-8-1
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-1-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: If anyone deserves a win at Flemington it’s Ed Dunlop…is this the horse? I wouldn’t say no.

Group lll Glorious Stakes (2400m), August 3 2018, Goodwood, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Finished second to Mirage Dancer and looked to have every chance to run down the Sir Michael Stoute runner but like at Ascot, he wanted to duck in under pressure, losing valuable momentum. Should have finished a touch closer but in no way was he going to get past Mirage Dancer. Sound effort, but well held IMO.

 

Lonsdale Cup (3300m), August 24 2018, York, Anti Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Bit of a Plain Jane run from him. Was there to threaten 400m out but as soon as it came to crunch time, he couldn’t go with Count Octave and Stradivarius, whacking and in terms of the Melbourne Cup, you’d have to say the run was quite disappointing, beaten convincingly.

Final Summary: I reckon he’s got the brilliance to figure in the finish of the Melbourne Cup… at his best. But I think if he wants to win the race, he really needs to cut out the laying in under pressure. If he can overcome that, a win wouldn’t surprise. Ed Dunlop knows what it takes when it comes to the Melbourne Cup.

Sole Impact

Breeding: Deep Impact x Cream Only
Trainer: Hirofumi Toda
Nationality: Japanese
Career Stats: 37: 4-5-12
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2400m
Career Best Win: Handicap, June 18 2017, Tokyo, Firm Surface
Dry Track Stats: 35: 4-5-12
Wet Track Stats: 2: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: If anyone deserves a win at Flemington it’s Ed Dunlop…is this the horse? I wouldn’t say no.

Group l Tenno Sho Spring (3200m), April 29 2018, Kyoto, Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

To be fair he was outclassed here. This race was run a pretty hot tempo where he was near the speed and really by the time he reached the home turn, he had enough and just plodded on to run 13th, beaten many lengths, but as said with Chestnut Coat, this was a world class race with a stack of depth.

Group ll Meguro Kinen (2500m), May 27 2018, Tokyo, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

Much, much better run from him here. For the most part in the straight, he didn’t really want to run straight but once he eventually peeled out, his last 100m was really good in what did look quite a strong race, which included fellow Cup aspirant Chestnut Coat along with well known stayer Fame Game.

Final Summary: I believe he’s being set for both Cups, but if he was to win one, I’d say the Caulfield Cup is his best chance. Yes, he ran third to Fame Game in the Diamond Stakes earlier in the year, but I feel his best trip is 2400m. Ryusei Sakai has already been booked to ride in the Caulfield Cup. An outside winning chance in both, with a preference towards the Caulfield Cup.

Torcedor

Breeding: Fastnet Rock x Magnolia Lane
Trainer: Andreas Wohler
Nationality: Irish/German/Australian
Career Stats: 20: 5-6-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/3200m
Career Best Win: Sagaro Stakes, May 2 2018, Ascot, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 3-3-1
Wet Track Stats: 8: 2-3-1
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: If he brings his overseas form to Flemington, he’s the horse to beat…clearly.

Gold Cup (4000m), June 21 2018, Royal Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

What a mighty effort in defeat in one of the great staying races on the calendar. Hit the front for a few strides and gave a tremendous kick but the class of Stradivarius and Vazirabad. Could have turned it up when headed but he kept finding and on the line was coming again to run a close up third in a ripping contest.

Goodwood Cup (3200m), July 31 2018, Goodwood, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Big tick again for the horse. Attempted to lead all the way, which isn’t easy over 3200m, yet he did for the most part and for a moment or two looked the winner but the class of Stradivarius kicked into gear and just edged past him late but like at Ascot, Torcedor didn’t turn it up. He kept fighting and that pair spaced the rest.

Final Summary: One of the highest rated horses to come to Australia for the Cup and on his 2018 form, he looks the horse to beat, clearly. Combine that with the magic touch of Andreas Wohler, who knows how much the horse can improve under his care. Now he’s a confirmed runner, he’s the one to beat for sure.

Tosen Basil

Breeding: Harbinger x Careless Whisper
Trainer: Darren Weir
Nationality: Japanese/Australian
Career Stats: 20: 5-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/2400m
Career Best Win: Handicap, October 10 2016, Tokyo, Firm Surface
Dry Track Stats: 20: 5-3-3
Wet Track Stats: 0: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: In terms of the Japanese runners, he’s equal number one seed.

Group ll Nikkei Sho (2500m), March 24 2018, Nakayama, Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

He runs fifth in the race, the horse in the green jacket with blue diamonds and blue sleeves. Running second in the race was Chestnut Coat, who of course is being set for an Australian prep. Tosen Basil had to a fair bit of chasing and by the time he reached the 150m, he was gassed and had enough due to the hard tempo. Did start $3.50 so punters were keen on him.

Group l Tenno Sho Spring (3200m), April 29 2018, Kyoto, Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

Brave effort in defeat. Like the Nikkei Sho, they went at a very fast tempo and he tried hard but like last time, the last 200m he was left gassed and just whacked away but was gallant in running sixth, with Chestnut Coat in fifth. As stated with that horse, this is world class form and has to be seriously respected.

Final Summary: He doesn’t have the upside of Chestnut Coat IMO but what he does have is the runs on the board, most notably a placing in the Hong Kong Vase behind Highland Reel, one of the better globe trotters this century. He’ll be a threat in the Cups…good enough to win? Just not sure he’s got the turn of foot.

Thomas Hobson

Breeding: Halling x La Spezia
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 28: 10-4-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2000m/4200m
Career Best Win: Handicap, June 20 2017, Ascot, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 13: 3-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 15: 7-2-1
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Ran well in the Cup last year. Runs well again I’d assume. Highly doubt he wins.

St Leger Trial (2816m), August 25 2018, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Thought Colin Keane gave the horse every chance to get the job done. Presented at the right time to win but Flag Of Honour just had it too good in front and in a real sprint to the line, Thomas Hobson just couldn’t quite go with them but beaten only 2.5L behind some quality types, far from disgraced.
Doncaster Cup (3621m), September 14 2018, Doncaster,Β Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

I would be hesitant in diving into this as a form reference. They ran splits of 13-13.5 for the most part so it really turned into a dash for cash, so when you see sub 12 splits at the end, I wouldn’t get too carried away. Thomas Hobson had last say on stablemate Max Dynamite and just proved too good in a race which lacked serious depth.

Final Summary: Ran well in the Cup last year and has been okay in three runs back from a break. Could I back him to win the Cup? I’d say no, given he doesn’t have the turn of foot. His best chance will be if it’s a brutally run two miles. That was the case last year but he just got too far back under Ben Allen.

 

Withhold

Breeding: Champs Elysees x Coming Back
Trainer: Roger Charlton
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 11: 4-4-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2600m/3600m
Career Best Win: Northumberland Plate, June 30 2018, Newcastle (UK), Synthetic Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 4-4-1
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-0
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: There is a real air of confidence about this horse running well in the Melbourne Cup.

Handicap (3600m), October 14 2017, Newmarket, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Well what about this for a staying effort. De Sousa was at the horse a fair way from home but he just kept building the revs and the last 250m, he roared away and won like a really good horse, landing some big bets. The big, big tick in regards to this as a form reference is there has been 17 subsequent wins to come out of the race.

Northumberland Plate (3256m), June 30 2018, Newcastle (UK), Anti-Clockwise Direction, Synthetic Surface

This pretty much booked his ticket to Melbourne. The dominance of the win was there to see and yes, he was getting the staggers somewhat late but it was his first run in 250+ days and he made some race fit horses, including Nakeeta, who ran well last year in the Cup, look ordinary. Big win and easy to see why he’s been backed to win the Cup.

Final Summary: My reading on this horse is that he’ll be a borderline starter in the Cup with a probable featherweight. Likely he gets a start in the final 24 but would definitely be assured a start if he won a lead up, which he definitely would based on what I’ve seen. A stayer with a turn of foot and gears is an ideal recipe for success.

 
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Featured News

Over $5,000 in Bonus Free Bets

Just Horse Racing provides readers with the best Free Bet offers available at every online bookmaker in Australia during the...

Chautauqua finally jumps at Flemington

Champion sprinter Chautauqua’s racing career looks to be back on track as the grey jumped with the rest of the...

Owner banned over offensive racehorse name

A racehorse owner has been disqualified for 18 months for knowingly giving a horse an offensive name and subsequently giving...

Jungle Cat wins Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes

A long-range plan has come to fruition with international visitor Jungle Cat winning the Group One Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes...

 
 
 
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