Super Saturday is the ideal description for Caulfield this Saturday with ten races, all blacktype, including four at Group l level, highlighted by the stallion making Caulfield Guineas (1600m). The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (12:20) Inglis Debutant Stakes 1000m
9 Sacred Sword (Bet Now: $4.80) on top for me. Tony McEvoy trained son of Exceed And Exceel that looks quite precocious and ready to go off the back of a recent Flemington jump out where he was on speed throughout and even though he was pressured, he found, and that for me is always a good sign. Plus Luke Currie chooses him over the stablemate.
7 Grand Challenge (Bet Now: $9.50) is a son of Not A Single Doubt on debut for the Mick Price team. This Sun Bloodstock colt trialled at Cranbourne on September 4 where he looked to do everything right to my eye, showing gate speed, holding the rail, and despite being niggled, he looked to travel nicely. He can go close.
4 Diver (Bet Now: $19.00) is a stablemate of Sacred Sword who contested the same jump out as the stablemate. He was ridden by Olly and the colt wasn’t asked to do much. Out the back most of the way, not under much pressure and went to the line nicely. Has to improve off that to trouble the stablemate, but I’ll include him in exotics.
Race 2. (12:55) Thoroughbred Club Stakes 1200m
2 Split Lip (Bet Now: $7.00) is absolutely flying this prep for the Will Clarken yard. Excellent effort two back down the straight at Flemington before going to the Scarborough at the Valley where she was run off her legs early but her last 250m was outstanding. Deserves a decent win and she gets a great chance here I feel.
3 Jorda (Bet Now: $4.60) was excellent off a long layoff fresh in the San Domenico behind Pariah before racing down the straight in the Cap D’Antibes where she was the first horse beat and a flop behind Fox Swift. Happy to put that down to second up syndrome and giving her another look back around a bend.
7 Je Suis Tycoon (Bet Now: $28.00) should be forgiven for her first up loss at Mornington a fortnight back. She was back near the rail in a leader dominated affair and being fresh, she just didn’t have the grounding to match it with them late when third to Ultra Smart. Has the run under the belt now, home track and does draw to get good cover and launch late.
Race 3. (13:30) Cape Grim Beef Steaks 1200m
1 Legless Veuve (Bet Now: $3.00) had no real market support when resuming in the How Now and if you were on at the odds, it was just a fair dinkum nightmare to watch. Just had no luck at all in the straight and she, along with Ravi, should have fought the finish out. Tipping her to run a beauty here second up.
8 Pedrena (Bet Now: $10.00) is a quality mare that resumes for the Mick Price team. This ran in the latter part of the Autumn and early Spring and did a fab job for connections, winning a couple in town and the form out those wins via Fragonard and Samovare mainly has been excellent. Recent jump out was encouraging, and she does find a very winnable race here if she is forward enough.
7 Overstep (Bet Now: $16.00) is a talented mare that is first up for the Chris Waller team. This mare ran really well during the Melbourne Winter, mainly down the Flemington straight, with her highlight being a win over 1100m before a down the track effort in the Creswick. Trial back in Sydney was good and she goes well fresh.
Race 4. (14:05) Ladbrokes Herbert Power Stakes 2400m
8 Gallic Chieftain (Bet Now: $5.00) looks such a silly price to me at near double figures. Took the $11 all in because he is going much better than what that price suggests. First up run behind Hardham was a beauty before going to the JRA Cup where the bias was against him yet he still finished off with purpose late behind Jon Snow. Caulfield 2400m is perfect and is right down in the weights.
2 Boom Time (Bet Now: $7.00) also comes through the JRA Cup at the Valley on Moir night where he ran a beauty I thought without a great deal of luck at a crucial stage. Just got slightly held up when appearing to be full of running and when clear, he finished off nicely to run third to Jon Snow. 2400m is ideal and unbeaten at Caulfield.
I think 1 Wall Of Fire (Bet Now: $10.00) has to be respected enormously here. Five year old trained by Hugo Palmer who last ran in the Geoffrey Freer during the Newbury Carnival and was a bit unlucky not to beat Defoe, who took his running 300m out and that stopped the momentum of Wall Of Fire. He has the class edge…just want to see a market push.
Race 5. (14:40) Keno Weekend Hussler Stakes 1400m
Giving 10 Oregon’s Day (Bet Now: $7.00) another look here. Mick Price trained mare who won well two back over 1400m at Caulfield before racing in the Let’s Elope where nothing really went right for her and it was a total forgive behind Sword Of Light. Draws to get decent cover here and launch late.
I think 2 Religify (Bet Now: $4.40) sets up perfectly here. Chris Waller trained veteran who rarely puts in a bad one and is first up here. He is a bomb when produced first up and he looked pretty good to me in a trial last month at Rosehill behind She Will Reign in fast time, and that trial form has clearly stood up. Looks the leader and will give a bold sight.
13 Mongolian Wolf (Bet Now: $11.00) is a smart horse that resumes for the Weir camp and Australian Bloodstock. He had a few runs for Weir from NZ and his efforts were solid without being spectacular. 1400m is clearly short of his best but he does have a bit of class/quality about him and should be respected.
Race 6. (15:15) Schweppes Thousand Guineas 1600m
I think 1 Shoals (Bet Now: $4.00) is a really good bet here. Outstanding/arrogant first up win in the Atlantic Jewel before going to the Prelude where she sat back in a slowly run race, got going before the turn and was a bit flat when Booker sprinted but got within a long neck of that girl. They look the key pair and Shoals has the upside and the ability to run the mile.
2 Alizee (Bet Now: $2.20) does look the obvious threat and the one to beat. Her form recently in Sydney has been outstanding, winning the Tea Rose and Flight with such class and authority. The key to her is relaxing and riding her cold, and then she can unleash a turn of foot. There is a hint of her possibly going to the Cox Plate if she wins here, and her work on Tuesday morning was outstanding.
6 Leather’n’lace (Bet Now: $13.00) is the interesting one here. Darren Weir trained filly who took a sit last week in the Edward Manifold and it probably backfired in the end as she didn’t have anything left in the finish behind Bring Me Roses. I expect Lane to punch her to the lead here, control things and take some running down.
Race 7. (15:50) Ladbrokes Caulfield Stakes 2000m
See no reason to jump off 11 Bonneval (Bet Now: $3.00). Star mare for the Baker/Forsman team who scored a dominant win first up in the Dato before going to the Underwood (1800m) here where she was the first off the bit but she finished best, and comfortably under Bowman to cement herself as the one to beat in the Caulfield Cup. This should be an ideal tune up.
I wouldn’t sack 1 Hartnell (Bet Now: $3.40) just yet. I was all over him in the Underwood, but the tactics just amazed me. Yes they said they were opting for cover…but not to sit last in the run. That isn’t his style. He needs to be in the first half of the field. If they are more positive here, they can definitely turn the tables on the mare.
Another who will use this as a clean out for the Caulfield Cup is 7 Inference (Bet Now: $20.00). His first two runs this time in were average at best but he was much better in the Underwood. Was off the bit a fair way out but stuck on really well and was good to the line and through it. Couldn’t back him to win either here or next week, but he should run well all the same.
Race 8. (16:30) Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas 1600m
I think this race just sets up perfectly for 11 Kementari (Bet Now: $5.50). He has been a highly talked up 3YO for Godolphin who dodged the Golden Rose after the Run To The Rose, instead racing in the Prelude where he sat off the pace and ran a mighty second to Perast. He has the upside, so I’m confident he turns the tables, and that looks the main form reference.
Enormous respect to 16 Catchy (Bet Now: $4.50). Star filly for the Hayes/Dabernig team who ran in the Prelude for the girls and given the way that race was run, she was excellent I thought when a close up third to Booker. Racing as if she wants a mile, and she will get it here, a fast run mile also. Big ticks.
I think the somewhat forgotten 3YO here is the Waterhouse/Bott trained colt 7 Gold Standard (Bet Now: $8.00). He gave them a galloping lesson in the Stan Fox before going to the Golden Rose where he did a power of work on speed in a brutally run affair and stuck on really well behind Trapeze Artist. He will eat up a hard mile here and has that Tulloch Lodge polish.
Race 9. (17:10) United Petroleum Toorak Handicap 1600m
My girl 9 Egg Tart (Bet Now: $5.00) to win the Toorak and confirm her status as one of the best in Australia. I thought her run was outstanding first up in the Theo Marks. Ran second in a race where they ran the track record and she was making up really good ground. Just ran out of condition late behind Deploy. Feather weight, upside, and she trialled well last week. Keen on her, as always.
10 Mr Sneaky (Bet Now: $8.50) deserves a Group l win and he gets his chance here. Rupert Clarke effort was outstanding. Sat near the hot speed all the way under Avdulla, who rode him a treat mind you. Got out, looked home but the stablemate Santa Ana Lane, who was put to sleep out the back, savaged the line. No qualms for mine at the mile, he has the form on the board and he clearly saves his best for Caulfield.
I think the big watch here is 11 Omei Sword (Bet Now: $12.00). She’s been racing okay this time in without winning and while on face value, her Pendant run was fair, looking back, it was very good because that form was to the fore in the Angst and this mare, she will love a truly run race and getting weight relief. I think she’s right in this.
Race 10. (17:45) Keno Kwikpik Schillaci Stakes 1100m
Giving 6 Hellbent (Bet Now: $7.50) one last chance here to prove himself as a top tier sprinter. Disappointed me big time fresh in the McEwen behind Russian Revolution before racing over this track/distance a tick under two weeks ago where he sat off the pace and once he peeled out, he looked a threat but he failed to go on with it and just died on the run. Should be ready third up and this is D-Day.
9 Sheidel (Bet Now: $3.40) is a top mare for the Hayes/Dabernig team who did an unbelievable job I thought in the Moir. Led at a brutal speed with severe pressure on her outside, running some freak early splits. Had every right to drop out but she kept finding under pressure and was only caught the final 50m. Won’t get as much pressure here and up to 1100m is perfect.
11 Super Cash (Bet Now: $4.40) is an Andrew Noblet trained mare that resumes here. She is borderline top class and this prep could well be the making of her. Just only to have remind yourself she bolted up at this track/distance fresh last prep beating I Am A Star and Chautauqua. Bomb when produced first up and she does tick a few boxes.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 11 Bonneval
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 1 Legless Veuve
VALUE: Race Five Number 10 Oregon’s Day
Have Your Say: Got a tip for Caulfield? – Leave a comment below.
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 1, 11
Leg Two: 6, 7, 11, 16
Leg Three: 8, 9, 10, 11
Leg Four: 2, 4, 6, 9, 11
$50 Investment= 31.25% of the dividend if successful
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