The Sydney Spring Carnival continues at Randwick this Saturday where it is Spring Champion Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out six metres from the 1600m-Winning Post; Out four metres for the remainder.
Spring Champ Field 🏆: View the Spring Champion Stakes Field
Race 1. (13:10) Highway Handicap (C3) 1600m
He has the weight to carry, but 1 My Tagosan (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) has these covered re class. Pulled up lame fresh in a Highway behind Toulon Brook. Then went to Scone and worked home well from the back before racing over 1400m at Dubbo last Friday where he just had far too much to do, but worked home well. Reckon some give in the track will be perfect and the step up in will be beneficial.
3 Black Wand (Bet Now: $4.60 TOP ODDS) looks like a candidate for the Country Classic coming up in a few weeks so whether he needs this run or not to tune up remains to be unknown, but he’s a nice progressive horse for Kurt Goldman and did trial well recently behind Quackerjack in readiness for his resumption. Wet track no issue, gets the inside gate and Tim Clark to steer.
Bless 11 But I Know (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS). She opened ridiculous odds in the Highway two weeks ago and she thankfully got the job done, helped by a good speed and a lovely steer from an in form Andrew Adkins, finishing best to get the job done. She looks like she has room for improvement and up to the mile on the bigger track, she appeals once again as a leading chance.
Race 2. (13:45) Harrolds Handicap 2000m
Was against him on Monday at Warwick Farm but here, I’m in the corner of 12 Master Of Wine (Bet Now: $2.10 TOP ODDS). He is a handy stayer for Team Hawkes and is progressing in the right direction. He ran over the mile at Randwick last time and just left flat footed when the sprint went on but was good late to run third to Junipal. He’s crying out for more ground and he gets it here while remaining down in the weights.
The best version of 11 Re Edit (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) is certainly good enough to beat these. Just a matter of where she is at. Thought she got a definite pass mark first up behind Articus, then was disappointing in the Junipal race mentioned above, but perhaps 1500-1600m wasn’t a big enough step up, so now up to 2000m and close to peak fitness, she gets her chance to bounce back.
5 Aliferous (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) is starting to get back on track for Kris Lees. Was worried about her given she was terrible first up in the Mona Lisa, but ran over the mile three weeks ago and was pretty good in defeat behind Junipal in a race where the form has been okay, with Dealmaker winning last Saturday. Third up, she should be ready fitness wise and her best is clearly good enough.
Race 3. (14:20) Cerrone Handicap (bm88) 1400m
She’s a bet here 6 Star Reflection (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS). I think she’s a really good each way gamble. She resumed over 1200m here three weeks ago where she had a decent run off the speed before being presented wider on the turn and in the straight, she loomed to win, but her condition just gave out late. Big tick up to 1400m, fitter and if we get the rain and a wet track, she comes right into play.
5 You Make Me Smile (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) looks to be going well for Jason Coyle and will give his all here. He ran along at a decent clip at this distance two weeks ago and gave a good kick but couldn’t quite finish the race off when a tiring third to Ranier, but was only beaten 1.8L. Last little bit will test him, but he’ll jump, run and give them something tough to get past.
10 Sure Knee (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) is a daughter of Snitzel for the Chris Waller stable that resumes. This girl had a busy Autumn/Winter prep, with her form really coming on towards the end with some impressive efforts at Flemington. Comes here off one trial, over 1000m, and looked to go about her business nicely. Bred to swim, but race day form says otherwise. Watch the market.
Race 4. (14:55) Stan Fox Stakes 1500m
Speaking to a stable rep for Gerald Ryan after the Hawkesbury win of 1 Bottega (Bet Now: $2.25 TOP ODDS), the stable is unsure whether he’s a stayer or is he a miler that needs blinkers. We’re going to get a good guide here as to how good he is, because off what he’s done to date, he looks as if he’ll easily measure up to this level and something better. Keen to see how he goes.
3 Brandenberg (Bet Now: $8.00 TOP ODDS) looks a progressive colt for John Sargent who comes here in winning form after breaking the maiden tag last Wednesday on the Kenso track. He sat back in the run before Avdulla pulled him into clear air in the straight and he let down strongly to get the job done. Looks to be heading in the right direction and I think he can measure up.
4 Fasano (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) looks suited back to 1500m. He looked a real Derby prospect early on, but the Gloaming run confirmed that a staying trip at this stage of his career probably isn’t his go. He had every chance but really struggled late behind Shadow Hero. Did show brilliant change up speed to win first up on a wet track at Hawkesbury, so I think he can bounce back.
Race 5. (15:30) Roman Consul Stakes 1200m
With a wet track in mind, going the way of 2 Cosmic Force (Bet Now: $2.45). He resumed in the Heritage two weeks ago and his lack of race fitness beat him in the end when a narrow second to Standout, who had the suck run behind the speed and saved ground to get the win. Cosmic Force has room for improvement and we saw in the Autumn he lapped up a wet track in the Pago Pago.
Class will carry 1 Microphone (Bet Now: $2.20) a long way towards victory here. I know trials aren’t everything, but you couldn’t back him with confidence off the back of his trial behind Sir Plush. He was niggled at in the straight nearer the inside and was okay, but didn’t move through his gears like a top 3YO sprinter. To counter that, he clearly has the runs on the board on race day being a Group l winner.
Just how good is 4 Standout? (Bet Now: $7.50) Beware the unbeaten horse because you don’t know how good they are til they’re beaten. He is 3/3 to start his career, the latest win coming in the Heritage where he had the drop on the good speed and looked the winner a fair way out. He’s deep into a first prep, so how much upside is left is unknown, but off what I’ve seen, he’s above average.
Race 6. (16:10) Angst Stakes 1600m
I think 8 Amangiri (Bet Now: $3.50) is the best on the program. Was keen on her two weeks ago over 1400m at Rosehill first up, but one soft trial and chasing a hot speed just found her out, but she kept finding the line well enough. Big ticks are that she’s fitter, she gets to the mile and the most important box ticked is the likelihood of a wet track, something she lapped up during the Autumn.
1 Noire (Bet Now: $3.50) is ticking along nicely for Chris Waller. She comes through the Shannon from a fortnight back when back against the track pattern but found the line very strongly late when fourth to Mister Sea Wolf, producing the best late splits of the race. Randwick mile looks perfect for her and she’ll get her toe in, something she absolutely loves.
10 Eugene’s Pick (Bet Now: $31.00) can add some value to exotics. This mare ran on the Kenso track last Wednesday and she should have won. Simple as that. Just no luck at all in the straight when bolting for a run and pretty much went around like it was a barrier trial. Gets back onto the bigger track and up in trip with her toe in, I think she can be a knockout chance at odds.
Race 7. (16:50) Spring Champion Stakes 2000m
This does look a race in two between Shadow Hero and Quick Thinker. Despite the wet track being an unknown with 2 Shadow Hero (Bet Now: $1.85), but off what he’s showed to date, he looks a potential star and if he handles a track with give in it, he’ll be winning. He was stunning in winning the Gloaming, though I will say the race was set up for him. Still, he took advantage and bolted up. The one to beat.
The likelihood of a wet track brings 4 Quick Thinker (Bet Now: $7.00) right into contention. He bolted up on a bog fresh in the Ming Dynasty before having a month off and racing in the Gloaming where he lacked the turn of foot Shadow Hero produced, but he stuck to the task well enough. He’s got room for more improvement and if we do get that wet track, he comes right into play.
9 Persan (Bet Now: $26.00) is still a maiden but we know David Payne has a knack with these 3YO stayers and despite being a maiden, this horse is talented. He comes through the Gloaming where he produced the best 800-400m split of the race and then just whacked away behind Shadow Hero but was far from disgraced. He gets a soft run from the gate and I don’t think 2000m will be an issue.
Race 8. (17:30) The Silver Eagle 1300m
The horse who I think is overs here is 2 Sesar (Bet Now: $15.00) for Team Hawkes. The stable are masters at getting a stallion ready for a big race and I think they’ll have this galloper primed for the Golden Eagle. His best races have come when racing clockwise, so if you take the anti-clockwise runs out, he’s three from seven, and his best racing also has come on wet ground, which is what he gets here. Trialled without the blinkers and to my eye, that’s the best he’s trialled without them. I think he’ll run very well.
11 Fasika (Bet Now: $4.00) is a quality mare for the Joe Pride stable and she certainly won’t look out of place in a race like the Golden Eagle should they head that way. She was just about the run of the day first up in the Sheraco, sitting wide throughout on speed and was entitled to drop away but kept finding and was very game in defeat when second to Mizzy. If that hasn’t busted her, she’ll take a power of beating.
If we had a firm track to play with, I’d have 7 Kapajack (Bet Now: $14.00) on top. He’s flying based on what I’ve seen at the trials. First trial at Warwick Farm saw him tardy away but picked his way through to win impressively before trialling last week at Rosehill and looked to go very well behind True Detective. Wet ground is the niggle, but I reckon he’s in for a fruitful prep.
Race 9. (18:05) Drinkwise (bm78) 1100m
He’s going really well is 10 November Man (Bet Now: $14.00), but the concern will be a wet track. If this was a dry track, he’d be on top. Lovely ride by Nash saw him win on the Kenso track last Wednesday, sitting off a fast speed before angling out late and savaging the line to get the win. Wet track is the query with him, but a big track, short course trip and a fast speed is his set up.
1 Black Magnum (Bet Now: $6.00) has had a pretty good prep for Mark Newnham. No match for an in for God Of Thunder two back at Rosehill before racing at Canterbury when four wide throughout and trying hard but couldn’t hold out a Stakes class filly in California Zimbol. If that last run hasn’t busted him, he’s one of the hardest to beat here from a good gate.
4 Ronstar (Bet Now: $16.00) could be a forgotten horse at odds. Gary Portelli trains this four year old, who hasn’t raced since June 8 over 1200m here when down the track behind Simply Optimistic after sitting four wide no cover for the trip. Been given a good break and loved the way he hit the line in a recent Warwick Farm trial. His best is good enough to go close.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Six Number 8 Amangiri
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 2 Cosmic Force
LONG SHOT: Race Three Number 6 Star Reflection
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 8
Leg Two: 2, 4
Leg Three: 2, 3, 7, 11
Leg Four: 1, 4, 10, 12, 14
$50 Investment = 125% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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