A cracking ten race program has been assembled for Caulfield this Saturday for Caulfield Guineas Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Caulfield Guineas π: View the Field and Odds for the Caulfield Guineas
Toorak Handicap π: View the Field and Odds for the Toorak Handicap
Might And Power Stakes π: View the Field and Odds for the Might And Power Stakes
πΊ WATCH THESE RACES LIVE AT π
Race 1. (12:15) Sen (Bm80) 1700m
15 Hot Too Go (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is a key chance for Danny O’Brien. He ran over 1765m last week at Geelong. He was keen behind the speed but tracked up and loomed. Just couldn’t quite get there when third. To me, he seems one paced, so I am hoping for a positive ride, land on speed and keep chipping away.
1 Al Duca (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) comes back to 1700m after attempting to lead throughout over 1800m at Sandown. He gave a strong kick from the front but just couldn’t quite see it through when fourth to the in form Farhh Flung. If he gets front end control, he’s hard to beat.
10 Overactive (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) steps up to 1700m after racing over 1500m at Sandown when off speed and he kept chasing with purpose in a pretty good effort in defeat behind Saxon Spot. Racing like 1700m suits and he should be around the mark.
Race 2. (12:50) Thoroughbred Club Of Australia Plate 1200m
6 Surf’s Up (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) looks a progressive filly for Chris Waller. She comes here off the back of a sharp maiden win at Warwick Farm. Admittedly she had the A1 run in transit but she took advantage and made a mess of them. Good lead that J Mac is riding and has been booked for this race for some time. Keen.
5 Point Barrow (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) was the real eye catcher from the Scarborough. She had the clear path but did come quite wide on the turn making a sustained run. She was good in defeat in what was a messy race. But, the wins prior were sharp and with the 1200m run under the belt, she should be in good stead.
3 Prestige Snitzel (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is an improver after resuming in the Scarborough Stakes. She got off speed and was never really a factor when down the track. Better suited on the bigger track, sheβs an improver at odds.
Race 3. (13:25) Herbert Power Stakes 2400m
5 Whisky On The Hill (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) would have been a tragedy beaten in the Ansett Classic if he didn’t get room to move but thankfully Bates was able to get him out in time and he savaged the line to score. He’s a horse on the up, in form, and is one of the key chances.
9 Plymouth (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) got the right run in transit in the Benalla Cup but credit to him, he took advantage and was able to fend them off and score. Good racing style and despite 2400m being a slight query, this doesn’t appear to be an overly deep contest.
2 Post Impressionist (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is dangerous for Team Freedman. On face value, he was just fair when racing in the Archer, but when you break down the sectionals, he had no hope. He wants a proper staying contest and if that eventuates here, he’ll only run well.
Race 4. (14:00) Catanach's Jewellers Vase 1600m
3 Gala Queen (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) has found winning form and she can go on with it. Just got the job done over the mile at Flemington last time, with the bob of the head going her way in a driving go. She is a good mare when right so off a win, she has to be respected.
2 Jennilala (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) was well and truly thrown in the deep end first up in the Sir Rupert Clarke and while she was held by Sepals, I thought she was far from disgraced in defeat. If there is no second up syndrome, she is one of the leading contenders.
10 Bon Mistress (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) should appreciate a rise to the mile after resuming over 1400m at Sandown. She got back in the run and while she was never a winning threat, she kept chasing and was good in defeat behind impressive winner Steel Trap. Better set up here, not penning her.
Race 5. (14:35) Weekend Hussler Stakes 1400m
2 Benagil (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is one of the more fascinating runners on the card. Quality mare for Glen Thompson that resumes, you’d assume with eyes towards the Empire Rose. She resumes after a fruiful Winter, but it should have been more fruitful had it not been for a couple of M Zahra slaughter jobs in Brisbane. Looks to have jumped out really well, watch betting.
8 King Zephyr (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) wouldn’t have looked out of place in the Toorak so keen to see how he goes here. I do think he’s a big track horse so whether this cleans him out for something at Flemington, not sure, but he was arrogant at Sandown and he’s always looked a Stakes class horse. Gets a great chance here to confirm that.
3 Zou Sensation (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is a few weeks between runs since contesting the Sir Rupert Clarke when off speed and kept chasing with purpose but was held on the line by Sepals. Back to this level, he’s one of the key threats with his best.
Race 6. (15:15) Might And Power 2000m
5 Treasurethe Moment (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) looks cherry ripe for this en route to the Cox Plate. She had a mild case of Colic prior to the Makybe Diva and was given a mini break. Went to the Feehan and chased Pride Of Jenni, where she just looked a bit rusty the last 100m or so as Jenni was strong to the line. She’ll take good improvement from that, she is the one to beat I say.
2 Buckaroo (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is here, maybe as a guide to the Caulfield Cup and the seven day back up. He should have won the Underwood I thought but was second up and just lacked the race fitness as Sir Delius kicked back. Hard fit now, 2000m ideal, he’s a leading contender.
4 Globe (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is third pick, albeit distant. He will likely be the leader/bunny for the big two and with front end control, I am sure he’ll give cheek, but won’t see off the big two, even if there is an up/in bias.
Race 7. (15:50) Toorak Hcp 1600m
I think the value lies with 11 Athanatos (Bet Now:Β $SP.00). He wasn’t far off Transatlantic and Rise At Dawn at Sandown in what was a race that smashed the clock. He was forced right up nearer the inside, which wasn’t the spot to be. I like Stacky as a rider but it’s a big upgrade with Craig Williams taking over, 1600m ideal, near the minimum…I think he’ll run a beauty.
7 Lazzura (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) commands respect for Chris Waller after her Let’s Elope triumph. She was there to be beaten after getting the beaut run in transit but credit to her, she fended them off and was too good in the run to the line. Hard fit, in form, genuine, hard to beat.
4 Feroce (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) comes through the Sir Rupert Clarke from three weeks back. He got into a ripping spot in transit and loomed to win when presented but second up, 1100m to 1400m, he just couldn’t quite get there. He has that 1400m run under the belt, which holds him in good stead.
Race 8. (16:30) Caulfield Guineas 1600m
I want to give 9 Autumn Boy (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) another chance. I was keen on him in the Golden Rose but he was given none re the ride by Collett. That said, he was never beating Beiwacht but he actually didn’t finish his race too bad late in the piece. First up run was a beauty and off that, he has the class to take this out.
2 Wodeton (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is bursting to win a Group l. He tried his guts out in the Golden Rose but just found one better in Beiwacht. Credit to him though, he looked like he would run third or fourth but he kept on to finish second. 1600m, off that run, should be fine, and is a key chance.
14 Planet Red (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) comes through the Prelude from three weeks back. He was just left flat footed when the sprint went on but he kept on and kept finding the line in a pretty good effort in defeat behind Estremo. Not sure he is good enough to win but can run top four.
Race 9. (17:10) Schillaci Stakes 1100m
4 Nadal (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is a class animal for Ciaron Maher that resumes. He hasn’t raced since The Supernova on Pakenham Cup Day where not much went right for him when midfield behind Here To Shock. Trialled up super and will launch late, especially given he’s looking like he’s being trained as a sprinter.
9 Niance (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is a big improver. She hasn’t raced since resuming in the Moir where she pretty much went around for a barrier trial from the wide gate. Maps to settle much closer, she likes Caulfield, upside…rates highly.
6 Tropicus (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is several weeks between runs for Team Freedman since a first up win here when getting front end control and he gave nothing else a look in to win and win quite well. Arkansaw Kid franked that form subsequent, so he appeals.
Race 10. (17:45) Northwood Plume Stakes 1200m
1 Ameena (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) was thrown in the deep end in the Manikato last time out and while held by Charm Stone, I didn’t think she was disgraced in defeat. She got back off speed, saved ground and kept finding the line in a pretty good effort in defeat. Back to this grade, this level, gee she looks well placed.
3 She’s Bulletproof (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) can run a much improved race here. She resumed several weeks ago over 1100m here where she got off speed and didn’t finish off at all, producing a career worst effort behind Tropicus. Too good of a mare to dismiss, so I say she deserves another look.
8 Extratwo (Bet Now:Β $SP.00) is an improver for Ciaron Maher. Blinkers went on three weeks ago at this track/distance and she ran a much improved race, finding the line quite well in defeat behind Miraval Rose. Her best is good enough to measure up so I am not dismissing her.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Two Number 6 Surf’s Up
NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 9 Autumn Boy
LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 11 Athanatos
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 3, 4, 7, 9, 11
Leg Two: 2, 9
Leg Three: 4, 6, 7, 9
Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 8
$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful
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