12/10/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, Caulfield Guineas day

It’s Super Saturday at Caulfield on Saturday, with ten races set down, highlighted by the Caulfield Guineas (1600m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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5 Le Zebra (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is three weeks between runs for Team Browne since racing over the mile where he got off the speed and kept finding the line without really threatening behind the very much in form Regal Zeus. If he can settle closer in the run, he takes beating against these.

3 Nails Murphy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one of the leading contenders. Ciaron Maher trained gelding that comes through the race mentioned above when near the speed and presented to win when clear but he couldn’t quite get past Regal Zeus, finishing second. Maps perfect, hard fit and in form.

11 Extreme Virtue (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has returned in really good order and takes beating here I say despite the class/depth rise. 2/2 this time in, resuming with a win at Bendigo before repeating the dose at Ballarat where she was there to be beaten but she found under pressure to fend them off and win. Good test here, but think she can measure up.

3 I Am Velvet (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks a Thousand Guineas type so I am keen to see how she resumes here. 3/3 to start her career in the Winter, the latest being over 1400m here in the Ingot where she didn’t beat much and did plenty wrong, but she won like a potential star. Jumpout work has been strong and ability wise, I think she’s just better than these.

2 Silmarillion (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can bounce back. She comes through the Jim Moloney from three weeks ago over 1400m here where she seemed to have her chance but was plain late behind Lilac. I do think back to 1200m for her is ideal and she gets J Mac aboard.

4 Kuroyanagi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very interesting runner. Clarken/O’Shea trained filly that comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since Aug 17 in the Quezette here when fourth to Drifting, beaten under three lengths. Fresh legs tells me she wasn’t 100%, so the stable sent her back home and if she’s right, her best is good enough to win.

14 Aviatress (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is such a genuine mare for Team Jolly. She won over this trip three weeks ago at Morphettville Parks where she looked a good thing on paper and despite a few nervous moments in the run, class came to the fore and he was much too good. Genuine mare, good racing style, off a win, hard to beat I say.

9 Extratwo (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been up a little while but is holding her form really well. She comes through the Kundalini race from three weeks ago at this track/distance when back and wide but kept finding the line. She’s explosive when at her best so keen to see how she goes here.

10 Kundalini (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is three weeks between runs for Grahame Begg since winning at this track/distance, landing decent bets at odds, aided by a peach ride and run in transit. Form has been franked, in winning form, can win again.

2 Grinzinger Belle (Bet Now:  $SP.00) likely lands on speed and will take running down. This mare resumed with a spank job win in the Let’s Elope at Flemington before going to the Stocks at The Valley when on speed and giving a great sight but couldn’t quite see it through behind Alsephina. Hard fit, gets control, he’ll be hard to get past.

1 Vibrant Sun (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an improver for Price/Kent. She resumed in the Let’s Elope a few weeks back. She got back off the speed and on testing ground, she just floundered but was still decent enough in defeat I thought. Good upside to come, up in trip and on firmer footing, I am not dismissing her.

10 Private Legacy (Bet Now:  $SP.00), you’d assume, has eyes on the Matriarch on Champions Day. Greg Hickman trained mare that resumed at Rosehill two weeks back in an on pace dominated affair and while she was never threatening, I did like the way she closed off her race. Likely spots them a start again but should be strong at the end.

7 Jimmysstar (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to have returned in really good order. He resumed three weeks ago at Caulfield over 1100m where he gave them a start and a beating, finishing best to win quite impressively in a good return. Fitter and up to 1400m, good upside, he’ll be strong late…rates highly.

14 Run Harry Run (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is three weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance when leading and giving a decent sight but couldn’t quite see it through when third to Another Wil. Good racing style and hard fit, he appeals.

9 Von Hauke (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate a rise to 1400m. This guy resumed over 1100m at Caulfield three weeks back where he got back to near last, was run off his legs, and was never a factor, but did pick up very late and wasn’t too bad in defeat. Better set up here and has good upside. Knockout hope.

Going to speck 7 Okita Soushi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) to try and get his way into the Cup. It’s going to be a small early speck because I do think he’ll be better come jump time. But, I think you can forgive for the two runs. First up was a barrier trial and then last time, the track was shifty. He is a bone dry track horse, 2400m, hard fit, down in the weights…I think he can run a big race at a price.

4 Gear Up (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is three weeks between runs for Neasham/Archibald since racing in the Naturalism where he was as brave as ever and was there to win but couldn’t quite see it through behind Positivity. Like him up to 2400m and is one of the hardest to beat.

6 Fancy Man (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an improver for Neasham/Archibald. He resumed three weeks back in the Naturalism where he paraded like he would need the run and that’s how it panned out when down the track behind Positivity. Fitter and up in trip, he’s an improver at odds.

1 Mr Brightside (Bet Now:  $SP.00) just looks to have plenty on these. He comes through the Feehan where he was as game as ever, but once again, he had to run second to his arch nemesis, Pride Of Jenni. He’ll love the rise to 2000m, the depth here is nowhere near as strong, he has been set for this race en route to the Cox Plate…he should be winning.

8 Coco Sun (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is ticking along beautifully. She has been good in both runs back, the latest being three weeks ago in the Underwood where she got back in the run and made up solid headway late in the piece behind Buckaroo. Up to 2000m I like and is a good place chance.

6 Deny Knowledge (Bet Now:  $SP.00) does her best racing on speed so if that eventuates, she’s dangerous as a place prospect. She resumed in the Underwood when ridden with a sit and battled away well enough in defeat I thought behind Bucksroo. Fitter and up in trip, more positive ride, she can finish top three.

It’s hard seeing anything other than a win for 1 Broadsiding (Bet Now:  $SP.00). On face value, just a win in the Golden Rose, but keep in mind he was first up and gave them a start and a beating, producing a brilliant sustained finale. Fitter, up to the mile, the depth here isn’t deep IMO…I think good luck beating him.

5 Mayfair (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will push forward and give a good sight I am sure. They rode with a sit in the Golden Rose and was held up at times but he got clear and finished off his race strongly behind Broadsiding. The draw is tricky on paper, but I say he goes forward and if he doesn’t spend too many petrol tickets, I think he’s the place play.

3 Evaporate (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty for Team Hayes and commands respect. He has found the purple patch at The Valley and while he hasn’t been beating much, he has been impressive the way he has been winning, notably the Stutt Stakes. Good test here, but hard to knock how well he’s going and how genuine he is.

9 Bellatrix Star (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty for Mark Walker and despite taking on older horses, she is hard to beat. She has won two on the bounce, firstly winning the Cap D’Antibes at Flemington before going to the Scarborough where she was even more impressive, giving them a start and a beating. Good test here but confident she can measure up.

1 Oscar’s Fortune (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one of the more fascinating runners on the card. Talented sprinter from WA for Dion Luciani that resumes, having not raced since The Goodwood at Morphettville where he didn’t disgrace himself in defeat at all when fifth to Benedetta. He is a short course type, has trialled super, will press forward and be hard to get past.

4 Kallos (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the map horse and is quite dangerous here I say. James Cummings trained gelding that resumed here where he loomed to win when presented but just couldn’t quite get there when second to Recommendation. Tick over trial was strong, maps to stalk the speed and be strong late.

4 Another Wil (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a star and I think will confirm it with a Group l win. He has been stunning in two starts/wins this time in, both coming at this track/distance, with his Testa Rossa win being incredible given he got stood on his head early on in the straight. I think it’s a case of good luck beating him.

3 Antino (Bet Now:  $SP.00) ran the closest of seconds in this race last year and I dare say he’ll run second again. But, if Another Wil is off, then this guy is here to pick up the pieces given he does bring very strong WFA form, the Makybe Diva and Feehan, which is clearly A1 for this. Back to a handicap, he has to be rated highly.

No prizes finding Another Wil. But, I am going to have a place bet on 12 Osipenko (Bet Now:  $SP.00). I reckon there are signs of life for him and his run last time was good at Rosehill. He should have won the Caulfield Guineas a couple of years ago, and take out Another Wil/Antino, the race isn’t deep. I think he can snare a place.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 1 Broadsiding

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 1 Mr Brightside

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 7 Okita Soushi

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1

Leg Two: 1

Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 9

Leg Four: 4

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