9/9/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Doomben, Doomben Mile day

A nine race meeting has been set down for Doomben on Saturday where it is Doomben Mile Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out 2.5 metres for the entire circuit.

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Doomben Mile 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Doomben Mile

8 Outlawed (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has done little wrong since joining Rob Heathcoate and will take beating against these. Market wanted her with confidence when racing last Wednesday over 1200m and under a lovely steer from Thompson, she made a mess of them, drawing clear late to win impressively. Steps up to Saturday grade, but she has earned a crack at it.

16 Tiger Shark (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give them something to chase. She did that a fortnight back at this track/distance and it worked as she led throughout and was quite strong to the line in winning in an impressive display. If she can repeat that effort here, she is going to take running down against this lot.

7 Piece Of Turf (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks like she will enjoy life under the care of Liam Birchley. First run for the stable came at the Sunny Coast where she sat off a moderate speed and tried her guts out but couldn’t quite get there when a narrow second to Glamour And Glory. Fitter and up to 1200m, more genuine tempo, she can take this out.

6 Galifianakis (Bet Now:  $SP.00) gets the nod for me in an open staying contest. He has been pretty good this time in and will have no issue with the 2200m. Hard in the market a few weeks ago at Doomben when just off the speed and tried his guts out. Just lacked that little bit of quality to nab Cash Me late. That is two 2000m runs under the belt which should hold him in good stead for this 2200m assignment.

4 Nikau Spur (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is unknown at 2200m but every indication is that he’ll be fine. Showed good ticker to win here a fortnight back over 2000m. The race was there to be won and credit to him, he kept finding under pressure and in a driving finish, he was able to get the job done. If the 2200m is fine, which I think it will be, then he is hard to beat.

5 Mubariz (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one for wider multiples. He was met with good market support two weeks back here but after sitting on speed, he didn’t find much in the straight and tired late behind Nikau Spur. He can be hit and miss at times but he has the Waller polish so I am not penning him as a threat. But realistically, a first four chance.

8 Ancient Egypt (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a tricky draw to overcome but he looks to be flying and is another example of Barry Lockwood improving a tried horse. He’s had two runs for the stable, catching the eye fresh over 1350m here before going to the Sunny Coast where he gave them a start and a beating, winning quite well. Should just about be at peak fitness, he’s hard to beat.

9 Magic Conqueror (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is knocking on the door for Kelly Schweida. He ran last Wednesday at this track/distance when on speed throughout and just lacked the change up speed to put them away but stuck on and was game in defeat behind Beaufort Park. He has that mile run under the belt, which should hold him in good stead for this.

15 Sheppey (Bet Now:  $SP.00) tends to save her best for Toowoomba but she has run well in town before. Latest run was on the home track, Toowoomba, where she was just off the speed and kept on in a good effort behind Calm Seeker. Like her up in trip and strikes a winnable race.

10 Regal Pom (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be ready to go. Latest run came at the midweeks on the Kenso where he was on speed throughout and tried his guts out but couldn’t quite get there, tiring late behind Strombus. His best is certainly good enough to take this out and should just about be ready to go.

5 Shibli (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be in for a good prep and should take beating. Chris Waller trained gelding that resumed over 1350m here two weeks ago where he got back off the speed and while he was never a threat, I really liked the way he found the line late in the piece behind Viminele. Fitter, up in trip, and if he can settle closer, he’ll take holding out.

9 Bettcha The Crown (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look. He comes through the Tidal Creek race from two weeks back here where he got back to near last in the run and while he didn’t get the clearest of paths in the straight, he was entitled to finish off the race better. Maps to get a sweet run in transit and settle much closer. Dangerous.

15 Cool Encounter (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can run an improved race for Jack Bruce. He was off a mini freshen up when racing two weeks ago at this track/distance where he got back off the speed and tried hard but just lacked the change up speed to go with them late in the piece behind Smokin’ Toff. He’ll improve off that and his best is certainly good enough to take this out.

1 Isis Carmella (Bet Now:  $SP.00) commands respect. Kevin Miller trained mare that is four weeks between runs since taking out the Cleveland Bay at Townsville, getting a beaut run behind the speed before angling clear at the right time and drove hard to win. She is the class of the field and I think with a patient steer, 1350m at this level should be fine.

10 Mobstar (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to rate highly as a key chance. He has had two runs back from a spell, both in NSW. First up was an eye catcher on the Kenso track before going to Newcastle where he didn’t get the rub of the green and was entitled to be in the finish behind stablemate Memoria. Hard fit, up in trip, he is a definite winning chance.

I’m pretty keen on 3 Spin Doctor (Bet Now:  $SP.00) for O’Dea/Hoysted. He resumed two weeks ago over 1200m here where he got back to near last in the run and spotted those in front too much head start but really liked the way he finished his race off behind impressive winner Tiger Shark. Fitter, up to 1350m, can settle closer in the run, good upside…keen on his prospects.

10 Surreal Ascot (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has done little wrong in her five start career and commands some level of respect here. Her last few runs have come here, winning two back before going to 1350m three weeks ago when attempting to lead throughout and she gave a strong kick but couldn’t quite see it through when a narrow second to In Evidence. Last bit will test but she’ll give a bold sight.

5 Kitri (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing like a rise to 1350m will suit. She ran in the Acres Away race from a few weeks back at Eagle Farm. She got back off the speed and was slightly held up a bad stage. She eventually got clear and found the line but was no match for the winner. Strong winner two back over 1200m here and I don’t see an extra 150m being an issue. Leading contender

10 Tidal Creek (Bet Now:  $SP.00) strikes a very winnable race here and with serious weight relief, he will only run well. Dominant track/distance win from two weeks ago, sitting on speed before being clicked up by Wheeler and away he went for a spank job win. Good racing style, right down in the weights and this isn’t a strong race on paper.

2 Hail Manhattan (Bet Now:  $SP.00) saves his best for the mile and strikes a winnable race. He is over a month between runs since contesting the Coffs Harbour Cup where I thought he was given a lovely ride by Du Plessis but the horse just couldn’t quite reel in Attractable. Tick over trial last week was pretty good and the depth here isn’t deep, so he clearly appeals.

5 Wapiti… (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can he be trusted? It was an odd set up two weeks back at Doomben given he was 1600m back to 1200m, several weeks between runs…just odd, but he defied that and ran a beauty, closing off pretty well when fourth, beaten just under four lengths. You’d think with natural improvement, getting up to the mile…he can take this out with his absolute best.

Playing a straight bat with 14 Thelwell (Bet Now:  $SP.00), who has been around the mark of late without winning but I think is hard to beat against these. He ran over 1200m here three weeks ago where he was given every chance and there to win but couldn’t quite get there behind in form mare Jayanthi. Back to 1110m I like, gets run of the race from the draw…happy to be in his corner.

9 Le Melody (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. Justified the Winx-like SP when winning fresh on the home deck at Tamworth before going to Eagle Farm four weeks ago when near the speed and sticking on really well behind the in form Vodka Martini. Hard fit, in well after the claim, hard to beat.

10 Tramonto (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one I can entertain for wider multiples. He ran at Beaudesert last start where he got a fair way back out of his ground and just spotted those in front too much head start. If he can settle closer in the run, he’ll be dangerous.

5 Starvirgo (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is better suited over further but with a stack of early speed engaged, I think he’ll get his chance to launch over the top. He resumes for Rob Heathcoate, having not raced since April 30 when a strong winner of the Fitzroy at Rockhampton on Archer Day. He is a horse who can sprint well fresh, trialled nicely leading in and despite 1110m being short of his best, he’ll be strong at the end.

10 Situation Room (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has more upside than most and has a good racing style. He was a drifter in betting when resuming at Doomben a few weeks back and given the race shape, he was entitled to knock right up but he kept finding and was quite game in defeat behind Orbisyn. If he finds the front and gets some level of control, he’ll take running down.

4 Greyworm (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can be dangerous at a big price. He comes through the Daniel Baker Sprint at Coffs Harbour when wide throughout and was never really a factor behind Boncassie. He has run well at Doomben previously and with an on speed racing pattern, he’ll give plenty of cheek and can pinch a first four spot.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 3 Spin Doctor

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 8 Ancient Egypt

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 5 Starvirgo

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 3

Leg Two: 2, 4, 5, 10

Leg Three: 5, 9, 10, 14

Leg Four: 1, 3, 4, 5, 10

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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