31/10/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, The Golden Eagle day

The Sydney Spring Carnival continues this Saturday at Rosehill where it is Golden Eagle Day. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (9) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

Golden Eagle 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Golden Eagle

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I think there is a great two bet play in this race. On top is 6 Monica’s Star (Bet Now: $4.80 TOP ODDS). Team Wilkes trains this mare, who resumed on Port Macquarie Cup Day over 1100m just over three weeks ago and the way she savaged the line to win was just so impressive. The form around that race has been great with three winners already coming from it, and the runs prior, four winners, four winners and six winners…just reads so well.

I’m really keen on 7 Art Cadeau (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) running well here. Terry Robinson trains this gelding, who resumed over 1000m at Kembla Grange in what was a real sit/sprint. The leader/winner ran 32.7 for his last 600m, so for Art Cadeau to win, he would have had to run seriously fast time to win. Did a great job to get as close as he did. Fitter, up to 1200m, wet ground, proven here…really hard to beat.

9 Crackneck (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) is bursting to win a Highway for Allan Kehoe. This gelding has placed in all four runs this time in, with his last two runs coming in Highways. He ran two weeks ago at Randwick and tried very hard, but was bloused late by Air Marshal. Think that Highway was strong enough to be considered a leading form reference for this.

60kg on wet ground won’t be an easy task for 1 Enchanted Heart (Bet Now: $3.00 TOP ODDS), but have to be with her. She produced an electric turn of foot to win last Wednesday on the Kenso track, sitting off the speed before Nash shoved into the clear and away she went. 60kg on heavy ground is an ask, but she has carried 58kg to win on a wet track previously, and she does have a touch of class/quality.

10 Ellsberg (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) looks to have his share of talent for the Ryan/Alexiou camp. Trialled up okay but was a noted drifter in betting when he debuted at Warwick Farm. Nash was very positive from the outset aboard this guy, taking him to the front and controlling things. Was there to be run down but he showed good ticker late and was too strong. Think he can measure up.

All you can do is win and that is what 8 Fortune Seeker (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) has done in her short career to date, winning 3/3. Latest of those wins came last Wednesday on the Kenso track when leading throughout and yes, the runner up arguably should have won, but this girl was out of trouble on speed and fought hard. She’ll give a great sight again.

With 1 Segalas (Bet Now: $3.80 TOP ODDS). James Cummings trained mare that has been kept on ice since resuming over 1100m at Canterbury and arguably should have gone close to winning, but not much went her way in the straight behind Black Magnum, who subsequently beat The Bopper, who won the Brian Crowley last Saturday, so the form reads well, tick over trial was sharp and she gets the 3kg claim for Tom Sherry.

8 Miss Einstein (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) is a mare who can be hard to trust at times, but I reckon she gets a good set up to run a big race fresh. Resumes for Bjorn Baker, having not raced since June 13 over 1500m here on testing ground when at the end of a frustrating prep and looked a tired horse behind Word For Word. Two trials leading in have been solid enough and IMO the grounding is good enough to run a positive race fresh.

She hasn’t won in a long time, but gee I reckon 4 Misteed (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) is worth including here. On face value, she was plain first up at Canterbury behind Best Stone, but that horse led throughout and ran 33.6 for the last 600m, so Misteed would have had to run sub 33 to win. No chance. Trialled up super prior to that and saves her best for wet ground. Hard to beat at odds.

5 Kirwan’s Lane (Bet Now: $4.40 TOP ODDS) can take the step to Saturday grade. John O’Shea has this bloke going really well at the moment. Lovely ride from Bowman saw him win fresh at Canterbury before going to Warwick Farm where he made an absolute mess of them last Wednesday under J Mac, bolting up. He’s ready to tackle stronger company now and can take this out.

11 Archanna (Bet Now: $3.10 TOP ODDS) is bursting to win a Saturday class race and I think she gets a great chance here. Ran over 2000m at Randwick three weeks ago and chased strongly, just missing out on the win when beaten a lip by She’s Ideel, who went on to place at Stakes level the following Saturday, so the form reads well, and I think she’s starting to put it all together now.

10 Relucent (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) has done a pretty good job since the Blinkers have come off. Surged hard late to win two back at Canterbury before going to Randwick where he was one paced but stayed on and was good in defeat behind She’s Ideel. A wet track should be fine for him, provided it’s not too bad, and he’s in good form.

12 Macroura (Bet Now: $3.30) has class and I’ll bank on that getting her home here. Maher/Eustace trained filly that is first up, having not raced since the JJ Atkins when far from disgraced in defeat behind Rothfire, and by that stage, she was probably a tired horse. Has trialled up very well leading and she’s just reliable, even though it’s a short sample size.

11 Hulk (Bet Now: $9.50) is flying for Chris Waller. He was a milk drinker once upon a time, but seems to be racing much more consistently this time around, his latest run seeing him come back to 1000m from 1100m and I loved the way he found the line behind Blazing Miss. He gets back up to 1100m and handles wet ground. Leading chance.

Can sustained speed come to the fore via 6 Mr Mosaic (Bet Now: $9.50)? He was beaten for speed three weeks ago at Randwick over 1000m but still tried hard and was a pass mark in defeat behind Blazing Miss. 1100m is a start which suits on speed runners, so he gets that in his favour, and is 1/1 on wet ground. Can bounce back for sure.

Bit of a throw at the stumps here via 16 Sound Of Cannons (Bet Now: $26.00), who makes his Australian debut for John O’Shea. Held a Melbourne Cup nomination for some time but due to his rating, he was no chance of getting in. Comes into this race rated 74, whereas his Timeform rating did reach a peak of 103 three runs ago, which is mark that can see him measure up here. Beat home one runner in the Warwick Farm trial, but the last 50m and through the line, he was very good. Worth a speck at odds.

2600m back to 2000m isn’t the A1 set up for 13 She’s Ideel (Bet Now: $5.50) but Bjorn Baker has her going super. Loved the way she toughed it out to win over 2000m at Randwick two back before backing up a week later and stepping up to 2600m in the St Leger where she was far from disgraced in defeat behind Fun Fact. Hard fit, in form, and loves wet ground.

1 Think It Over (Bet Now: $9.00) is flying for Kerry Parker. That was the case without winning but he got a deserved victory on the board in the Craven Plate a fortnight ago, getting a sweet trip near the speed under Bossy and he was simply too strong for his rivals. Going super and I think he has to be respected against these.

2000m back to 1300m is certainly an interesting set up, but 7 Star Of The Seas (Bet Now: $12.00) is an absolute swimmer and I do feel this is more his preferred distance range. On face value, he was disappointing in the Craven Plate, but it was his first look at 2000m, and IMO he just didn’t run it. Much better suited here, gets his wet track and a heap of on speed pressure to sit off and be strong late.

1 Gytrash (Bet Now: $2.60) has to go to a new pain barrier of 1300m, but he has the class and right form. Ran in The Everest and was excellent in defeat when third to Classique Legend. He was chasing from the outset, not his go at all, but still found the line strongly. Off that, 1300m is okay, but has that run busted him? Time will tell.

8 Deprive (Bet Now: $11.00) deserves another chance. James Cummings trained gelding who I, like most, were keen on two weeks ago in the Sydney Stakes, but I thought he was a touch disappointing behind Trunbull. Put that down to second up syndrome off a brutal resumption in the Premiere? Perhaps, but he’s too good of a horse to dismiss off one poor run.

I’m with 13 Colette (Bet Now: $8.50), especially with this rain about. This mare hasn’t raced since running on strongly from the back to finish sixth in the Epsom behind Probabeel. Trialled last Monday at Hawkesbury to keep up to the mark and she looked in great order. I think she’s one of the hardest to beat in a very competitive race.

I’m giving enormous respect to 12 Funstar (Bet Now: $5.00). Classy mare for Chris Waller that looks perfectly set up here. Hasn’t raced since the Epsom when a very game second to her great rival Probabeel in very fast time. She is back on her home track, she gets wet ground and the tick over trial was a lovely piece of work. She’s yet to win a big race. Think she gets a great chance here.

There was no fluke about the win of 16 Sierra Sue (Bet Now: $7.00) in the Blazer. It was electric the way she sprinted nearer the inside, like she had a rocket behind her, zooming past them late to win impressively. Harder this time around, but her record is becoming hard to ignore and she showed last start she can measure up to these.

13 Surreal Step (Bet Now: $3.60) will be popular. Team Hawkes trained four year old that tried to force his way into the Golden Eagle via a win in the Silver Eagle. Sat on speed and tried hard, but his condition just gave out late behind Flit. That form is A1 for this kind of race, lands near the front again and wet track is no issue.

Since 8 Coterie (Bet Now: $19.00) has been sent to the midweeks, his confidence is back up and the stable have done a good job with him, so keen to see how he goes back at Saturday grade. Comes through the Kirwan’s Lane race from the midweeks at Warwick Farm where he tried hard, but clearly no match for that galloper. He’s racing well and maps to get a perfect run.

15 Mirra Vision (Bet Now: $7.00) is hard to trust and follow, but think she’s going okay. Game second to Best Stone at Canterbury two back before going to Randwick where the slow tempo was against her and she couldn’t run on well enough behind Bombasay. Loves wet ground and hopefully the tempo will be more genuine this time around.

BEST BET: Race Three Number 1 Segalas

NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 13 Colette

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 7 Star Of The Seas

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 10, 13, 16

Leg Two: 1, 3, 7, 8, 9

Leg Three: 12, 13

Leg Four: 3, 8, 13, 15

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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