Racing returns to the course proper at Morphettville this Saturday, where the feature race is the UBET Lightning Stakes (1050m). The weather is overcast, the track is soft (6) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (12:43) : Adelaide Galvanising Handicap (82) 2000m:
Back Me: 1 Subiaso (Bet Now: $3.30) has found a new lease on life since coming to SA. He won well two back on the Parks track before backing that up with a determined victory at Gawler. Much more depth here, but he is flying and has to be rated as one of the hardest to beat.
Big Danger: 5 Lotion (Bet Now: $2.80) is bursting to win a ace and he gets his chance here. He ran third to Subiaso last time out in that Gawler race and though he had every chance his effort was good. Extra trip should suit and he loves racing here.
Roughie: 6 War Point (Bet Now: $3.80) was a big flop last time out on the Geelong Synthetic when finishing near last behind Snitzelwood. Some horses just don’t like that surface so I’ll forgive him for that. He is talented when he is right and he strikes a winnable race here on his best.
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Race Two (13:18) : Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie Handicap (90) 1600m:
Back Me: 6 Spreadeagled (Bet Now: $2.80) ran over the Moonee Valley mile a couple of weeks back where he got back in the run and closed off well late behind proven city performer Turbo Street. Drope a fair bit in depth here and looks one of the hardest to beat.
Big Danger: 1 Alcohol (Bet Now: $6.50) comes back home after a stint in Melbourne which didn’t bring a win but he was very competitive. This looks his right level and back to the mile looks a recipe for success.
Roughie: 8 Our Exchange is a stablemate of Alcohol who ran on the Parks track last Saturday and ran well but was no match for the flying Cavaloce. Gets right down in the weights after the claim, he’s hard fit and in form.
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Race Three (13:57) : Kevin Woods Retirement Handicap 1600m:
Back Me: 6 Cream Of The Crop (Bet Now: $9.00) ran over 1550m at the midweeks on the Parks track and there was plenty to like about the win given she took her time to wind up but once she did, gee she was powerful late and was strong through the line. Has enormous upside and I think she will eat up the mile here. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: 2 Kifaah (Bet Now: $2.70) has been given a three week let up since racing on the Parks track where she tried hard but was no match for the impressive Go The Journey, who raced without luck last Saturday. Neilson remains on, fitter, looking for further and she gets that here. Ticks plenty of boxes.
Roughie: 4 Kesan (Bet Now: $11.00) resumed in that Go The Journey race and I thought his effort was tidy from a worse than midfield spot. He whacked away pretty good and now with that run under the belt, he should be better off here, he will be strong late and there is upside.
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Race Four (14:33) : Hughes Chauffeured Limousines Handicap 1050m:
Back Me: 4 Yulong Yongxing (Bet Now: $5.50) debuted during the Swan Hill Carnival and though the win was narrow, it was impressive and the time was okay. Been given a little freshen up and has the Weir polish.
Big Danger: 8 Nodoubtaboutit (Bet Now: $6.50) debuted last week at Murray Bridge where she showed good speed to lead throughout and she seemed pretty sharp. Comes straight to Saturday grade. Hard to beat.
Roughie: 1 Time Out (Bet Now: $6.50) finally broke the maiden tag in impressive fashion at Morphettville last start, aided by a peach from Jason Holder. Creeping up in depth, but is hard fit, in form and should be around the mark.
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Race Five (15:13) : Schweppes Handicap (82) 1200m:
Back Me: 5 Counter Spin (Bet Now: $5.50) looked a little unlucky on the Parks track three weeks back behind Its No Joke given he was held up at crucial times when appearing to have plenty to offer. Should get more room here and is one of the hardest to beat.
Big Danger: 12 Relentless (Bet Now: $8.50) resumed at Sandown a tick over three weeks and tried hard when fourth to all the way winner Beirut, who franked the form by winning at Caulfield next start. Drops a fair bit in depth and weight here, plus draws a good gate for an in form rider in Jackie Beriman.
Roughie: 4 Double Pockets (Bet Now: $34.00) was solid against the bias two back at Murray Bridge before failing on the Parks track. He is much better than that and with a likely hot tempo engaged here, he can certainly finish over the top.
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Race Six (15:53) : Ben And Streckys Day Out Handicap (70) 1600m:
Back Me: 6 Jocks Glen (Bet Now: $6.50) is in ripping form at the moment. He backed up a win at the provincials with a strong effort for victory on the Parks track, aided by a gun ride from Poon. The one to beat.
Big Danger: 11 Hell On Earth (Bet Now: $3.60) ran on the Parks track last Saturday where he looked the winner but he couldn’t withstand the finishing burst of Emmookis Star. Seven day turnaround is no issue and looks one of the leading contenders.
Roughie: 8 Grand Armada (Bet Now: $10.00) is a handy galloper that was formerly with Tony McEvoy but has had a few runs now for Anthony Webster and has been quite solid at each outing. Mile suits, as well as racing on the big track. Upset chance.
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Race Seven (16:33) : UBET Lightning Stakes 1050m:
Back Me: 8 Ocean Embers (Bet Now: $6.00) resumed at Caulfield four weeks ago and was quite dominant in winning, sitting off speed and showing a brilliant turn of foot to get the job done. Harder here, but there was plenty to like about that performance and rates as one of the hardest to beat.
Big Danger: 11 Power Trip (Bet Now: $6.50) is a talented youngster that is first up here for John McArdle. He ran very well during the Autumn and a recent trial win at Cranbourne was very sharp. Hard to beat.
Roughie: 16 Clockwork Orange (Bet Now: $31.00) is a regally bred filly who could set up her life with a win here. The daughter of Private Steer resumed at Sandown and bungled the start before battling away pretty strongly behind The Mob. Could have run in Melbourne or the two year old race here, but with her pedigree, blacktype is a big, big motivator to run here.
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Race Eight (17:10) : MAC Drink Drving? GROW UP Handicap (75) 1050m:
Back Me: 12 Golden Century (Bet Now: $6.50) has been given a four week break since racing here and running a solid third to impressive winner Cavaloce, who franked the form with a brilliant win last weekend. Let up is no issue and looks a major contender.
Big Danger: 9 Urban Bourbon (Bet Now: $14.00) was an impressive winner at this track/distance first up before struggling to pick his feet up next start at Gawler. If he reproduces the fresh run, he is right in this.
Roughie: 3 El Prado Gold (Bet Now: $21.00) isn’t one of mine but he goes in as an exotic player. He has also been given a four week let up and comes here through the Urban Bourbon race where he ran fourth. He will get back and run on late.
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BEST BET: Race Eight Number 12 Golden Century
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 6 Spreadeagled
VALUE: Race Seven Number 16 Clockwork Orange
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 4, 5, 6, 12
Leg Two: 6, 11
Leg Three: 5, 8, 11, 14, 15, 16
Leg Four: 1, 3, 7, 9, 12
$50 Investment= 16.66% of the dividend if successful
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