A nine race card has been assembled for Doomben this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out 2.5 metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (12:02) TAB Plate (Class 3) 1050m
I’m really keen here on a horse who I think will be a force in the 2020 Country Championships, 11 Plonka (Bet Now: $7.50), who resumes here after a very good first prep which saw him graduate to Highway grade where he was excellent in defeat. His recent trial at Grafton was outstanding and confident he measures up here despite some good depth to the field.
5 The Tenor (Bet Now: $8.50) is a Kelly Schweida trained gelding that was given a lovely ride on speed to win at Eagle Farm two back before going to Ipswich where he was wide early and forced to do work in the run, which left him with no petrol tickets left late in the race. Should get a lovely run from the gate and off the win two back, he’s in the mix as a winning chance.
8 Koonunga (Bet Now: $7.00) is a leading contender for Matty Smith. This mare was well supported when racing at the midweeks on the Kenso track where Nash gave her a 12/10 steer and in another stride, she wins the race instead of running a narrow second to Royal Witness. The key to her is a dry track and the short course distance range, so big ticks for this race.
Race 2. (12:38) Gallopers Membership Handicap (0MW) 2020m
I think 2 Ready For Danger (Bet Now: $4.40) is one of the better gambles on the program. Matty Dunn trains this stayer, who was excellent two back in the Murwillumbah Cup before going to the mile here where he really had no chance in the run given the race shape and when they’re running home in sub 34, he was no chance. Up to 2000m, he should be ready and at his best, he’s better than these.
7 Don’t Doubt Lara (Bet Now: $9.00) looks like she’ll be suited up in trip. She was kept safe in betting when racing over the mile here last Wednesday, sitting off the speed before being presented wider and chimed into the race with real purpose before eventually wearing them down and drawing clear for a nice win. Unknown at the trip, but gives the impression she’ll be fine.
10 Holbrook (Bet Now: $6.50) is on the seven day back up for the Scott Morrisey stable after racing over 1800m at Eagle Farm last Saturday where he got back in the run and found the line well enough when a close up fifth to Polemic in a race which looked to have a bit of depth to it. The win prior on the home track at the Gold Coast and off that, he’s a knockout chance.
Race 3. (13:13) Gallopers Sports Club Handicap (70) 1350m
5 Eric The Eel (Bet Now: $4.00) is a quality animal for the Stuart Kendrick stable that resumes. There was talk that this horse could head down the Victorian Derby path, but after a set back last week with his blood not 100%, not sure if he will head there or not, but he’s got the class factor and runs on the board to beat these, and the trials leading in have been quite good.
She’s got the talent to win this race has 10 Francisca (Bet Now: $3.90) but she hasn’t won in over a year so you’d need deep pockets to keep buttering up. Personally, I couldn’t back her to win, but her two runs back from a spell haven’t been too bad, the latest when a close up fourth to Sky Lake. Third up, so she should be hard fit now and for mine, no more excuses.
8 Rosendahl Red (Bet Now: $9.50) is a Matty Kropp trained mare that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since the QLD Oaks where she was held but far from disgraced behind Winning Ways, beaten four lengths. Clearly she’ll be better over a bit further, but overall, this is a pretty Benchmark 70 and if she’s anywhere near right, she’ll run a beauty at likely decent odds.
Race 4. (13:48) Souths Sports Club Handicap 1200m
3 Fisticuffs (Bet Now: $2.10) looks a really good prospect for the Edmonds camp and he’s done nothing other than to say he’s destined for better races, starting here. Both runs this prep have come at Ipswich. Broke the maiden first up like it was a barrier trial before racing there again where he looked in trouble before Fradd made a sharp turn to the right and nearly went through the rail, but balanced up and won well. Confident he measures up.
6 Xanthus (Bet Now: $6.00) is a horse for Matty Dunn who I have had time for and despite the class/depth rise, I think he’ll run well. Good initiative from Jim Byrne saw him lead all the way first up at the Sunny Coast and he was the winner from a fair way out, getting the lead cheaply and giving nothing else a look in. Up to 1200m looks no issue and has a bit of upside.
4 Ballistic Boy (Bet Now: $11.00) is a son of Smart Missile for the Heathcoate/Anderson stable that resumes. This bloke created a decent impression during the Winter Carnival, being far from disgraced in both the Sires and J J Atkins. Did win impressively at this track/distance on debut and has been tuned up for his return with a couple of solid trials. Keen to see how he goes.
Race 5. (14:23) Souths 2 For 1 Meal Deal Handicap 1350m
Happy to butter up with 7 Cadogan (Bet Now: $2.40). I was keen on this Team Edmonds horse running well last Saturday at Eagle Farm and indeed he did run well, finishing off with purpose late to run second to Deep Image. He is starting to get somewhere near his best and he has run well previously for the stable when backing up within the standard two weeks.
4 The Avenger (Bet Now: $4.80) is an absolute beauty for Chris Waller and always runs well at this level. Got up on the peg to win two back at Eagle Farm before racing at this track/distance two weeks ago where he spotted El Campeador a decent start but finished off with real purpose and got pretty close to beating the surprise winner. Hard to beat once again.
8 Fortensky (Bet Now: $6.00) hasn’t won in a fair while for Chris Waller but gee he’s an honest type. Usually thereabouts, the latest coming a few weeks ago Eagle Farm when a close up third to stablemate The Avenger after getting an inside split in the straight. Could you back him to win? Probably not, but he definitely goes in all multiples given how honest he is.
Race 6. (14:58) Gallopers Friday Night Members Draw Handicap 1200m
1 Gem Of Scotland (Bet Now: $1.45) looks the winner. She’s just an absolute beauty for Rex Lipp who resumed over the 1110m here two weeks ago when on speed before being clicked up by Jimmy Orman and despite being challenged halfway down the straight, class came to the fore late and she was too good. Can only see her improving off that and if that’s indeed the case, she’ll be winning again.
2 Better Reflection (Bet Now: $4.40) is a daughter of Better Than Ready for the John Wigginton stable that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since the Magic Millions where she was outclassed but far from disgraced behind Exhilarates, with that form turning out to be very good. Loved the way she went in recent Rockhampton trial and does have a touch of class herself.
There isn’t much behind the top two. 5 Secondofmay (Bet Now: $9.00) has done a decent enough job this time in, placing in two from three, with the only unplaced effort coming at Eagle Farm. Attempted to lead all the way last time out at Toowoomba and gave a good kick but was edged out late by Victory Toast. Off that, can’t see her winning, but one for multiples.
Race 7. (15:37) Memberships @ BRC Plate (Class 6) 1110m
5 Jonker (Bet Now: $1.85) puts these away surely? Classy animal for David Atkins that resumes, having not raced since the early part of the Brisbane Winter Carnival when placing in the Victory Stakes, running third to I Am Excited and Redzel. Was down to run in the Shorts last week, but was scratched in search of dry ground, which he gets here, and clearly the depth is nowhere near as strong.
Keen to see if 1 Constant Flight (Bet Now: $6.00) can continue his winning ways. David Vandyke believes this horse can measure up to blacktype level so if that’s the case, you’d like to think he goes close to beating these. Lovely ride from Jake Bayliss saw him win at Eagle Farm three weeks ago, albeit narrowly and nothing flash on the clock, but that followed a very sharp fresh win, so perhaps flat second up and a third up bounce back on the cards.
Want to give 4 Capital Connection (Bet Now: $9.50) another chance. Just did far too much work first up behind Invincible Gangsta before racing here where he was in behind the speed and looked to have his chance behind Meet Mr Taylor. He’s third up now, so he should just about be ready fitness wise and I think the slightly extra trip will really help his cause here.
Race 8. (16:17) BRC Spring Racing Carnival Handicap 1110m
5 Top Striker (Bet Now: $14.00) is a good horse when he has fresh legs and in a tricky race, happy to back him each way. He does save his best runs for when he is produced fresh and that’s the set up here gets here, having not raced for seven weeks since finishing down the track at Rosehill behind subsequent Stakes winner Sweet Deal, so that form clearly reads well for this.
2 Meet Mr Taylor (Bet Now: $1.90) looks hard to beat. Was somewhat against him when he resumed here two weeks ago and he was there to be beaten given he had to do a bit of work to lead, but class came to the fore when it counted and he was too good. Should take really good improvement from that outing and if indeed he does, I think he’ll be winning once again. Only knock is the price.
If they do go silly in front, 14 Gatlinburg (Bet Now: $51.00) can be a definite improver. This Chris Meagher trained gelding resumed over 1000m at Eagle Farm where he was back near last in the run and was never really a winning threat but did make up ground very late behind Takes Time in a bunched finish with a host of unlucky runs. The speed will be on, so he’ll get his chance.
Race 9. (16:57) Brc.com.au Handicap (Class 6) 1615m
Bit surprised that 11 Ready Set Boom (Bet Now: $6.50) hasn’t been supported yet. The speed map fans will be all over her to win given she’s the only speed runner in the race and should lead for fun. She ran over this track/distance last time and gave a good kick in front but Highway was too good for her. She’ll get a very soft lead here I think and with 52kg, will prove hard to run down.
I think a relatively safe option here is the in form 6 Six Sigma (Bet Now: $5.50), who returns to town after winning at the midweeks last time out at Ipswich when near the speed throughout and showing a good turn of foot when asked. Probably had enough at the end but class came to the fore and he was too good, just. That was his run in just under a month, so perhaps there is room to improve.
2 Aqua Vite (Bet Now: $11.00) is the interesting runner. Scott Morrisey trains this galloper, who was beaten over the mile two back before racing over the 1350m here two weeks ago when well held by surprise winner El Campeador. The big tick for him is getting back up to the mile and with the claim for Michael Murphy, he isn’t badly off at the weights and can run a much improved race.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Six Number 1 Gem Of Scotland
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 2 Ready For Danger
LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 11 Ready Set Boom
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1
Leg Two: 5
Leg Three: 2, 5, 10, 14
Leg Four: 1, 2, 6, 11, 12
$50 Investment = 250% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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