19/10/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, The Everest day

A bumper ten event program has been set for Randwick on Saturday for TAB Everest Day. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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8 Waltham (Bet Now:  $SP.00) commands respect for me. He should have won the Colin Stephen at Rosehill three weeks ago, getting badly held up when probing for clear air and lost all momentum. He is back on track, he is a stayer with good promise, he’ll be strong late…I think he’s a knockout chance.

2 Alegron (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be absolutely flying for Bjorn Baker. Did more than enough in the Kingston Town before going to The Metropolitan where he didn’t have the best of luck but I loved the way he closed his race off in defeat. He’ll love the rise to 2600m, good upside, strong late…he’s hard to beat.

5 Trust In You (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Kiwi stayer that looks to be an improving type. He was plain but with excuses in the Kingston Town before going to The Metropolitan where he got back and found the line with purpose in a pretty good effort behind Land Legend. Back to this level and the depth being not as deep, he rates highly.

I am keeping the faith with 10 Vivy Air (Bet Now:  $SP.00). I want to be forgiving of her run in the Dubbo Cup last time given she was three/four wide no cover for the trip and that burn just told on her late in the piece. I have been on her back pretty much all runs this prep and right down in the weights, better luck in running, she only runs well.

1 Berkshire Shadow (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying I think for Ciaron Maher. He comes through the Epsom where he got back in the run and did make up some headway without threatening behind impressive winner Ceowulf. The run in the Cameron was outstanding and if there is petrol left in the tank, he takes beating here.

3 Ducasse (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is sneaky flying I feel for Michael Freedman. Didn’t disgrace himself two back in the Cameron at Newcastle before going to this track/distance where he got off the speed and while he was never threatening, he did make up ground and was pretty good in defeat I thought behind St Lawrence. Not a deep race this so I say he commands respect.

I can’t work out the price of 2 Dominetta (Bet Now:  $SP.00) and why she’s not favourite. She spanked them from the front at Warwick Farm first up and the time stacked up really well vs the rest of the day. Tick over trial was good, she’ll lead and the 1400m is no issue. The one to beat I say.

4 Island Dec… (Bet Now:  $SP.00) beware the unbeaten horse. 2/2 to start her career for Team Price, both wins coming over 1000m on the home deck at Kembla, but the win last time was first up, on heavy ground, and she was arrogant. Confident she can measure up against these.

9 Diddle Dumpling (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is still a maiden but she is a filly with talent. She ran second at the midweeks at Rosehill last time out, getting off the speed and worked home with purpose but had no answers late for Aye Aye Captain. Not sure she wins, but I think she can run top four.

1 Lekvarte (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be in for a ripping prep and should take beating here. She resumed three weeks ago at Rosehill in the Golden Pendant where she got back off the speed and while she was never threatening, she kept finding the line and was a definite pass mark behind Makarena. Fitter and up in trip, she takes a power of beating.

5 Hinged (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has class on her side and that is going to carry her a long way towards victory here. She comes through the 7 Stakes where she was very plain behind Fangirl, but did lose a plate in the run, so was that an excuse? Potentially, but I do think back miles in grade/depth and back against the Mares, she runs well I say.

3 Sounds Of Heaven (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is to be entertained as a knockout hope. She resumed in the Golden Pendant three weeks back where she just looked in need of the run but despite that, I thought she ran a very credible race in defeat. Better set up here and although she may need one more run, I am not totally dismissing her.

Gee I think 4 At Witz End (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will run huge here. I am totally forgiving of his first up run in The Weetwood behind Hidden Wealth at Toowoomba given he was first up and the track was very testing. He’s much better on firmer footing and the tick over trial win last week at Ballina…gee it was very sharp. Very genuine, strong late, good racing style…quite keen.

3 Front Page (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is looking to make it three wins in this race and there is every sign to suggest he will give it a shake once again. He resumes, having not raced since the Victory Stakes during the Brisbane Winter Carnival when on speed and was game in defeat but had his chance behind Antino. Rosehill trial was good, he’ll land near the front, potentially in front, and take running down.

12 Tanglewood (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the knockout hope. Todd Howlett trained gelding that ran three weeks back at Rosehill where he was run off his legs and while he was never a winning threat, he did make up headway and was pretty good in defeat. Tick over trial was sharp and if they go silly in front, he can launch at them late.

The more I look at this race, the more I warm to 16 Lady Laguna (Bet Now:  $SP.00). The query is the gate, and where she draws. But, I do feel she brings A1 form given she lumped 61kg fresh and that brought her undone behind Kimochi, who was unbelievable in the Manikato. Tick over trial looked great, she’s better suited at WFA, she has versatility re racing pattern…for mine, she only runs well.

1 Overpass (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks ready to rock and roll for me. Bjorn Baker trained star sprinter that resumes, having not raced since The Quokka where he made a mess of them from on speed and was quite dominant late in the piece. His trial work has been outstanding, he’ll press forward and take running down.

6 Mazu (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty for Joe Pride and looks to have returned really well. Game in defeat fresh in The Shorts before going to the Premiere when on speed and he was courageous but just missed out on the win when a narrow second to Airman. Hard fit, will press forward and is one of the leading contenders.

10 Traffic Warden (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been my Everest pony for over two months and I am not going to be dropping off. He comes through the Golden Rose where he got off the speed and presented clear air to win. He looked the winner but he was nabbed late by Broadsiding. 1400m back to 1200m looks ideal, he’ll be strong late and has versatility re racing pattern.

1 I Wish I Win (Bet Now:  $SP.00) went very close to winning this race last year and I don’t think he’s racing as bad as what same have made out. Two runs back this prep have come at The Valley and for a horse like him, and his racing style, he’s just not suited to the tight track. He’s much better suited here, he’ll love a genuine 1200m and can launch at them late.

7 Sunshine In Paris (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the forgotten horse I feel. She resumed with a bang in the Sheraco, giving them a start and a beating, and was impressive the way she knuckled down late when the race was there to be won. Kept on ice with this race in mind and her tick over trial was a lovely piece of work. She’ll be strong late and for mine, commands serious respect.

Gee 11 Kimochi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks very well in at the weights. Southport Tycoon has accepted for the Sydney Stakes so I doubt runs here. Veight, I was keen on in the Manikato but he was very plain. Kimochi was incredible in defeat there, wide no cover yet kept finding the line. That race won by Ostraka…the jury is out IMO. Much rather side with the proper WFA Group l form with Kimochi.

12 Stretan Angel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate the rise to 1300m I feel. She comes through the Gilgai at Flemington from two weeks back where she got to near last but wound up with real purpose late in the piece when a close up third to Right To Party. Unknown at 1300m but I feel it’s fine and she has good change up speed.

8 Port Lockroy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty for the Neasham/Archibald camp and with normal luck, he’s going to take beating. He resumed over 1200m here two weeks ago where he got back and was held up at times before eventually getting clear and drove hard late to just miss out. If the breaks go his way, he has the finale to take this out.

7 Celestial Legend (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the bet for me if Pride Of Jenni is too short for you, which she is for me. I am a big fan of tinkering with the gear, and Les Bridge wants to sharpen him up so the Blinkers are on and the way he went in the trial with them on was outstanding. That, and he gets a huge jockey upgrade with B Shinn replacing McEvoy. If he can bounce the horse in the first half a dozen or so, gee I think he’ll run a big race.

9 Pride Of Jenni (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an iron horse and such a gun mare. She took all before her in the Feehan, gave nothing else a look in and she was much too good in an outstanding performance from the front. She loves the mile, she will lead by a space and I think she’ll just run them into the ground once again. Clearly the one to beat.

1 Pericles (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the one to be entertained for exotics. He looked the winner when presented in the Hill Stakes last Saturday but for mine, he just didn’t run out the 1900m behind Attrition. Back to the mile looks ideal, he maps perfect, he should be strong late…must for exotics I say.

6 Willaidow (Bet Now:  $SP.00) gets the nod in the last but not really a race I want to dive into. He got complete control at Rosehill three weeks ago and once that eventuated, it was race over and he was far too good in an impressive display. He likely leads again and if he does get a cheap furlong, he takes running down.

4 Estadio Mestalla (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate the rise to 1400m. He resumed over 1200m here two weeks ago where the market said he’d need the run but I really liked the way he finished his race off in defeat behind Ostraka. He has enormous upside, better set up here and can settle much closer in the run.

2 King Of The Castle (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Joe Pride trained gelding that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since the Coffs Harbour Cup where he had his chance and just battled late behind Time Quest. Just one soft trial but worked home well to my eye, maps ideally and will be strong late.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 11 Kimochi

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 Dominetta

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 7 Celestial Legend

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 2, 7, 9, 10

Leg Two: 11

Leg Three: 1, 7, 9, 10

Leg Four: 2, 4, 6, 18

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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