13/8/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, PB Lawrence Stakes day

Spring is in the air this Saturday at Caulfield, where it is PB Lawrence Stakes Day, with the 1400m feature a lead up towards the Memsie Stakes in two weeks time. The weather forecast is for showers, the track is good (4) and the rail is out nine metres for the entire circuit.

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3 Midnight Blue (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) is a fascinating runner. Former WA galloper that makes his Victorian debut for the Danny O’Brien camp. He hasn’t raced since New Years Day when a strong winner of the Perth Cup. I’ve been surprised by how well he has jumped out leading in, the latest being a win at Werribee, so watch the market.

6 Chief Altony (Bet Now: $2.60 TOP ODDS) has been up a while but is holding his form really well. He ran behind Lackeen a fortnight back at The Valley and was never a factor to beat the Godolphin horse, with that galloper stealing a march on the field, including Chief Altony. Likes Caulfield and hopefully he can settle closer in the run.

5 Thought Of That (Bet Now: $4.60 TOP ODDS) is a watch for me. He’s talented when right, but he also can be quite hit and miss. He hasn’t raced since late May when down the track behind Mankayan but with the break, he’s had a jumpout and a hurdle trial, so whether that was to sharpen him up, or they have eyes on a maiden hurdle and this is a prep run, not sure. But he’s capable of winning this.

11 Pitchanun (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) is knocking on the door to win. Track was too wet for her fresh at Sandown behind Cyclone Sally. Then went to Flemington three weeks ago where she was unlucky not to win, getting held up at a vital stage before getting clear and driving late to just miss. Hard fit now, she’s hard to beat.

8 Unusual Culture (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is a talented mare I feel for the Maher/Eustace camp. Just wish they’d get her to Flemington because she does look a big track horse. Both Australian runs have come here, and each time she has crabbed around the turn, losing momentum then balancing up late. She can win, but backing her to do it is another thing.

9 Free Flying Star (Bet Now: $17.00 TOP ODDS) has been up a while but is holding her form quite nicely. Last few runs have come at Sandown, where she has been quite consistent and thereabouts every time, last start seeing her finish third to Free To Move. Harder here, but in form, hard fit, she commands respect.

4 She’s All Class (Bet Now: $2.40 TOP ODDS) should take beating for the Maher/Eustace camp. First run for the stable came at Caulfield several weeks ago when sitting off the speed before being presented wider and finishing off strongly when second to Chain Of Lightning in a good effort and strong return. Fitter, with class on her side, she’ll take beating against this lot.

7 Throntari (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) has found winning form…can she hold it? Freshened up from 1400m to 1200m a few weeks back at Caulfield and the end result was a dominant win in testing conditions, helped by an absolute peach from Craig Williams, who is the form rider in Victoria at the moment. Back in winning form, she commands respect.

5 Little Stevie (Bet Now: $9.50 TOP ODDS) has been a ripping mare pretty much throughout her career but this time in she has established herself as a Saturday class horse. She got a peach from Cartwright to win several weeks ago at Caulfield, sitting off the speed before being presented clear air and away she went for a strong performance. Hard to knock how genuine she is.

I think 5 I Am Bene (Bet Now: $3.60 TOP ODDS) is the best on the card. Andrew Clarken trained mare from SA that I reckon is using this run as a tune up and a look at Caulfield in readiness for the Cockram. She resumed in the Lightning at Morphettville and was very good in the worst ground behind a star in Extremely Lucky. That form is A1 for this and fitter, up to 1200m, I’m keen on her.

1 Home Rule (Bet Now: $4.60 TOP ODDS) can be hit and miss, but he is Saturday class when he’s on, as seen when an impressive winner at The Valley two weeks ago. He was given a lovely ride from Lane, sitting near the speed before being clicked up on the turn and away he went, safely holding a margin. Steps up to 78 grade, but he’s likeable once again.

Staying at 1200m is the knock with 3 Attractable (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) but he’s a four year old with talent. He resumed at this track/distance three weeks back where he got back in the run and was never a factor, but liked the way he finished the race off behind Big Apple. J Kah on is a big tick and his best is good enough.

If 5 Alpha One (Bet Now: $2.45) can stretch his brilliance to 1100m, they’re cooking with gas. Arrogant win two back over 1000m at Hawkesbury before coming back to 955m at The Valley two weeks ago where he produced sustained speed from the front and gave nothing else a look in. He’s hard fit, in form and with his racing style, he’ll take beating.

I say 3 Millane (Bet Now: $6.50) is here to rock and roll first up. Peter Moody trained colt that resumes, having not raced since a strong debut win down the track at Flemington in March and after that win, he was touted as a Slipper horse. Instead he was spelled. Has come back and with three jumpouts under the belt, he’s ready to go IMO and the stable has been low flying with their first up horses recently.

6 Giga Kick (Bet Now: $4.20) faces a good test here but all you can do is win and that is what he has done in two career outings. Resumed four weeks back down the straight at Flemington where he was a notable drifter in betting but it mattered not to him, winning comfortably. He beat nothing, but beware the unbeaten horse.

8 Winnertakesitall (Bet Now: $26.00) has come back in really good order. Team Snowden filly that resumed over 955m at The Valley where she had the suck run behind the speed before Dee angled her clear and in a driving go, she finished best to win and win well. She’s got room for improvement and up to 1100m, she’s hard to beat once again.

12 Waltz On By (Bet Now: $6.00) is a very interesting runner. Peter Moody trained filly that resumes after a three run Autumn prep, where she placed in the Talindert before finishing around midfield in the Blue Diamond. Her recent jumpout was quite good and she maps ideally for Jamie Kah for a stable that is absolutely flying.

5 Ojai (Bet Now: $16.00) looks a short course type so resuming at 1100m I do like for this James Cummings filly. She had a busy Autumn Carnival, contesting all the good races, and while she didn’t measure up, she was far from disgraced. Two trials leading in have been solid and stable loves to target these lower level blacktype races with their second/third tier gallopers.

This is a good test for 11 Uncommon James (Bet Now: $2.05) but he does look quite a promising horse. 2/2 this time in, both starts and wins coming in Queensland, bolting up fresh at Eagle Farm before repeating the dose in style at Doomben. He’s probably the best of the O’Dea/Hoysted team that are in Melbourne so keen to see how he goes at this level.

3 Ranges (Bet Now: $8.00) has really come of age in recent times, coming on from a midweek horse to now being Stakes class having won the Ramornie at Grafton last time, where the track pattern was in his corner but he found when required to win. Has the hard fitness and good racing style to be hard to beat.

7 Felicia (Bet Now: $16.00) looks to be back on track. Was a pretty plain return in the Monash behind Mileva but she bounced back to positive form with a fighting fourth in the Bletchingly behind King Of Sparta. Third up now and hard fit, we know her best is clearly good enough to beat these.

5 Buffalo River (Bet Now: $11.00) tends to race well on the fresh side and with a soft lead, potentially, on the cards, I think he’s worth a gamble. He had a frustrating Autumn/Winter prep, plagued by wide gates, ordinary rides etc. Caulfield 1400m suits his racing style, he’ll roll forward and with a bit of juice in the track, he’ll take beating.

Class will carry 2 Mr Brightside (Bet Now: $3.50) a long way. Team Hayes trained gelding that resumes, with eyes towards the Cox Plate, so how wound up he is, not sure, but he is the class runner having won the Doncaster last run last prep, which followed an excellent effort in the All Star Mile. Has to be respected.

I think the weather conditions are crucial to 3 Streets Of Avalon (Bet Now: $17.00). He is a dead set dry tracker who resumed in the Bletchingly and he struggled to pick his feet up on a shifty track. Hopefully he finds a firmer deck and we know his class being a mutliple Group l winner.

16 El Rocko (Bet Now: $4.00) has gained a start and with that, he now is on top in the get out. The gelding operation has been the making of him it seems like. Has produced excellent change up speed to win 2/2 this time in, both in easier races than this, but they have been dominant victories, and come race nine, if the rain comes and this track becomes shifty, he’ll be the one to beat.

4 Lucky Decision (Bet Now: $8.50) is an improver. Peter Moody trained gelding that resumed behind Here To Shock a few weeks back at Caulfield and I thought did a satisfactory job after doing work in the run on a somewhat testing track. Fitter, firmer deck (hopefully), he’s a key threat.

13 Tamerlane (Bet Now: $9.50) deserves another look. I was keen on his chances at Flemington last time but I just don’t think he handled the straight track behind Nicolini Vito. First up run behind Waihaha Falls at Randwick was a beauty and off that, he’s a key winning chance.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 5 I Am Bene

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 4 She’s All Class

LONG SHOT: Race One Number 3 Midnight Blue

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 3, 5, 6, 8, 12

Leg Two: 1, 3, 7, 11

Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 5

Leg Four: 4, 11, 12, 13, 16

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