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Eight races will be run and won at Morphettville this Saturday with solid depth right across the board. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out twelve metres from the 1200m-Winning Post; Out nine metres for the remainder.

 

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Race One (13:13): Holdfast Insurance Handicap (75) 2050m:

Back Me: 4 Saturday Affair (Best Odds: $1.45) looks the good thing on the program, like she was when racing over 1800m here a fortnight back where she was given a 12/10 from Cahill. He had the seven year old parked just off the dueling leaders and looked to be absolutely bolting. It was just a matter of when to peel, and when he did, the mare put them away and won by over four. 2000m looks perfect and she isn’t up against much. Should be winning again.
Big Danger: 5 Thespinis (Best Odds: $4.60) was the cause of great scenes at Moonee Valley where she was given an absolute peach by Williams and got the job done impressively in what has turned out to be an okay form reference. Drops in depth but bumps into Saturday Affair, so I doubt she can beat that runner, but a definite second on the cards.
Long Shot: 3 Not So Lady Like (Best Odds: $8.00) could be the improver here at a price. She has had the two runs back from a spell now, both over unsuitable trips, but I didn’t mind her last start behind Spiritof Endeavour where she was taking ground off very late. 2000m+ is her go and she has enormous upside.

 

 

Race Two (13:48) : Hughes Chauffeured Limousines Handicap (75) 1050m:

Back Me: 3 Big Effort (Best Odds: $1.95) is an above average four year old for Sharon Hayes who has won two of his three career outings this time in, both of those wins coming at this track/distance first up and third up with a fourth at 1200m in between, but that fourth was behind the low flying Strategic Demand. Short course racing is his go and he rates highly for me here.
Big Danger: 6 Streetcar Illusion (Best Odds: $4.40) is a talented gelding that could be a performer during the Carnival here. He had some really godo form behind him during the Autumn last year before ending the campaign with a very good second at this track/distance. Looks to have come back well based on his trial win where he looked quite forward to my eye. Expecting him to run a ripper fresh.
Long Shot: 4 Calianco (Best Odds: $5.00) ran over 1050m on the course proper three weeks back and gee I thought she was really good in defeat given she sat near last in a slowly run race and was set a fair task but to her credit she worked home strongly to run second to impressive winner Big Effort. Has performed well at this level before and if they go hard in front, this mare will be the closer.

 

 

Race Three (14:23) : Quayclean Handicap (82) 2500m:

Back me: 3 Majestic Moment (Best Odds: $9.00) was a touch disappointing when racing over this track/distance three weeks back considering he had the nice sit nearer the pace and looked to travel well but when it came to the crunch time, he folded and finished down the track, beaten 3.5L. If he brought his best here, he’d just about take care of them.
Big Danger: 1 Flying Casino (Best Odds: $4.60) can be a hard horse to trust but he is showing a bit of consistency in recent times, winning two and running third in his last four starts with the lone blemish being behind Gallic Chieftain. Last start was over this track/distance where he toughed it out strongly to beat Tunes in a driving finish. Should get a soft trip from the gate and rates highly.
Long Shot: 4 Mobaco (Best Odds: $34.00) was solid on speed behind Flying Casino at this track/distance before backing up seven days and dropping back to 2000m which was clearly not his go behind tearaway winner Chestnut Charlie. Back up to 2500m will suit this horse much better and I don’t see much pressure on speed, so he could control things.

 

 

Race Four (14:58) : Projection Graphics Maiden Plate 1100m:

Back Me: 1 Bernie (Best Odds: $4.00) is a handy looking type that resumes for the Will Clarken yard. He ran twice during the Spring, debuting at Gawler when running third to Got That swing before coming to town and bumping into Gold Denari. No trials, so fitness levels are unknown, but on form, he has to be respected.
Big Danger: Race has fallen away via scratchings, so next best is 6 Silent Warrior (Best Odds: $2.30). Former Team Snowden mare that is now with the Stuart Gower yard. Had some really good form behind her when trained in NSW and despite no trials, I think she has to be enormously respected at her SA debut.
Long Shot: 7 Two Odd Sox (Best Odds: $17.00) attempted to lead all the way over this track/distance a fortnight back where he ran along in front and gave a sight for a brief period but tired late behind Sawaiki. That form should hold up here I think and if he can carve over without doing much work, he’ll run a cheeky race at odds.

 

 

Race Five (15:33) : UBET Adelaide Cup March 13 Handicap (82) 1600m:

Back Me: 3 Tenere (Best Odds: $3.10) can be a hard horse to trust but he is showing some more consistency this time in. Toughed it out strongly to win on the Parks track two back before racing behind Jim’s Journey over the mile here where he chased from off the pace but couldn’t reel in the impressive winner. On that run, he’s the one to beat.
Big Danger: 4 Sheez On Top (Best Odds: $4.60) is a seven year old mare who is racing in nearly career best form at the moment. She ran over 1400m on Australia Day at Murray Bridge where she was parked up outside the tempo and looked to be going very well under Jamie Kah and once she clicked her up, she sprinted and got clear before clinging on late. She was 1500m back to 1400m, so up to the mile should be ideal and I can’t see too much pressure near the front.
Long Shot: 2 Woakwine (Best Odds: $11.00) comes through that Murray Bridge race won by Sheez On Top and just put a pen through his run because he just did far too much work near the pace and rightfully dropped out to finish last. His form prior, including a sixth at Warrnambool, reads very well for this and if he gets on speed without doing much work, he’ll take some catching.

 

 

Race Six (16:13) : Adelaide Galvanising Handicap (70) 1200m:

Back Me: 2 Sawaiki (Best Odds: $2.50) is a beautifully bred gelding that finally broke the maiden tag over 1100m here two weeks back. He was ridden a treat by Bowditch and once he gave the horse clear air, he really attacked the line when asked and drew right away late for a dominant victory. Now that his confidence is high, he can go right on with it.
Back Me: 3 So Skilled (Best Odds: $4.20) is a progressive gelding that is showing good promise and looks a leading contender. He was still a maiden when contesting a ratings race over this track/distance a fortnight back where he sat just off the speed yet cruised to them at the top of the straight and went on with it. Has room to improve and rates highly.
Long Shot: 6 Ashero (Best Odds: $6.00) is on the back up after racing on the Parks track last Saturday in that messy race won by Arizona Wildcat and even though he finished second last, he was only beaten less than a half length in a real blanket finish. Should get a lovely run here and appears a definite knockout hope.

 

 

Race Seven (16:53) : James Boags Premium Handicap (75) 1200m:

Back Me: 2 Alaskan Jade (Best Odds: $5.00) was rewarded for her consistency when winning over 1100m here before dropping bck to 1050m and racing in the quicksand that afternoon when finishing down the track behind Big Effort. Back to the mares level now, down in the weights again and should take some beating.
Big Danger: 8 Baker’s Dozen (Best Odds: $4.80) is a handy mare that resumes for new trainer Will Clarken. Her form when last in work isn’t that inspiring and doesn’t exactly scream out of a coming Saturday winner, but the record Clarken has with these tried mares is remarkable eg Cavaloce, Saturday Affair, Tidy Prophet. Big watch.
Long Shot: 6 Wicked Affair (Best Odds: $7.50) chased hard first up at Gawler when just missing out on winning prior to racing on the Parks track at the midweeks when ridden a treat on speed by Kah and the mare dashed clear late. Rises in depth, but gets really good weight relief as well as the claim for the Poon Train.

 

 

Race Eight (17:33) : MAC: STOP DRUG DRIVING Handicap (70) 1200m:

Back Me: 11 Eclair Attack (Best Odds: $6.50) is a talented gelding that resumes for the Stokes yard. He was touted as a horse to perhaps contend during the Carnival last year but didn’t quite measure up when tested behind Rageese. Looked very good in a recent Murray Bridge trial and he has class on these.
Big Danger: 8 Roseili Sting (Best Odds: $4.20) landed some big bets when resuming at this track/distance a fortnight back. Aided by a lovely ride from Claire Lindop, the gelding had a charmed run just off the speed before presenting wider and finishing his race off strongly to get the job done. Tends to race flat second up, so that’s the query, but hard to ignore the fresh win.
Long Shot: 1 Debeersonus (Best Odds: $21.00) had really good market support at odds in the Roselli Sting race. He attempted to lead all the way but just copped a tad too much pressure in front and felt the pinch late when running fourth. Doesn’t have to lead to lead I think, so perhaps with cover, he will be more effective.

 

 

BEST BET: Race Four Number 1 Bernie

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 4 Saturday Affair

VALUE: Race Three Number 11 Silent Elation

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 6, 8

Leg Four: 1, 2, 8, 10, 11

$50 Investment= 10% of the dividend if successful

 

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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