The Scone Carnival concludes on Saturday with an outstanding program, headlined by the Dark Jewel Classic (1400m) and Inglis Guineas (1400m). The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres from the 800m-Winning Post; True for the remainder.
Race 1. (12:15) Inglis Guineas 1400m
3 Signore Fox (Bet Now: $4.50) for me. This Snowden trained three year old was unlucky in the first two runs for the prep before going to firmer footing over 1300m at Hawkesbury and while he didn’t beat much, it was arrogant the way he sprinted and put them away in a most impressive win. That should have his confidence sky high, he’s on an upward spiral and 1400m on the big track looks perfect.
2 Wild Planet (Bet Now: $3.50) has been excellent in two runs back from a break for the Hawkes camp. Brilliant return in the Darby Munro behind Krone in a brutally run affair before going to the South Pacific Classic when wide no cover and sticking to the task really gamely behind Fasika. He’s had two gut busters this time in. Hopefully he’s overcome that because he’s a leading chance on form.
Big fan of 8 Power Of Wexford (Bet Now: $35.00) and confident she can measure up against these. On class and weights, she’s poorly weighted given her racing alongside some of these, but she’s just got so much upside and her fair share of talent. She really had no right to win first up at Muswellbrook given where she was in the run but she savaged the line late to win on the peg. Big track, good speed, 1400m, run under the belt…plenty to like.
Race 2. (12:50) Segenhoe Stud Handicap (78) 2200m
Taking a chance on the Chris Waller trained 10 Lord Gododdin (Bet Now: $11.00). This bloke has had two runs in Australia, both in Melbourne. Excellent resumption in an on pace race behind Prometheus before going to Caulfield where he wasn’t given much hope via the steer and then copped a nasty check from the fallen horse. Now in Sydney, trialled well at Warwick Farm, has fresh legs/upside and that Caulfield form does read very well.
1 High Opinion (Bet Now: $5.00) is an in form stayer for Kris Lees who is on the quick back up after racing in the Wagga Cup last Friday where he was very brave in defeat when second to Abdon, who had Group form leading in. High Opinion now comes back to benchmark level, and for the most part, it’s midweek benchmark grade, and with the claim for Clenton, he’s well in.
5 Raqeeq (Bet Now: $10.00) looks to be ticking over well for Chris Waller. He has had three runs back from a spell and has been steadily getting better with each run, the latest coming at Hawkesbury when back and closing off alright against the moderate speed when third to Free Fly Too. Been a little while since he has won, and has become frustrating for punters, but strikes a winnable race.
Race 3. (13:25) Woodlands Stakes 1100m
1 Libertini (Bet Now: $1.60) looks the good thing of the Carnival. Very good filly for Anthony Cummings who was outstanding on debut in the Kindergarten behind Bivouac before going to a 2YO Fillies Maiden at Randwick on Anzac Day and she made them look like camels in a very dominant win, running decent enough time relative to the day. Big track, 1100m, sits off a likely fast speed, should be too good.
Loved the win of 11 Persepolis (Bet Now: $26.00) on debut at Canberra over 1000m. Got a long way back in the run but Overmeire saved ground nearer the inside, kept surging and just got the win narrowly but impressively. Reckon she’ll appreciate further than 1100m with time but stable rarely place them poorly so interesting she’s here and is certainly one to watch.
4 Flotus (Bet Now: $21.00) is a well bred daughter of More Than Ready for the Freedman stable who was kept safe in betting when debuting over 1000m at Kembla and I loved the way she dug in to get the win. She was off the pace and probably entitled to run a decent fourth/fifth, but she lifted under Latham and proved too good in a race which has produced a subsequent impressive winner. Not sure she wins here, but goes in multiples.
Race 4. (14:05) Vinery Stud Handicap (78) 1100m
It was a rather ugly watch if you were on 1 Akasaki (Bet Now: $6.50) in the Gold Rush at Hawkesbury. He was absolutely bolting behind the speed and ready to burst through, but the run just didn’t appear and he went around as if it was a barrier trial. Ran well in that race last year before winning at this Carnival and I reckon 12 months on, he’s going better. Definite winning chance.
5 Southern Lad (Bet Now: $7.50) a threat for me. John O’Shea trains this son of Ocean Park who was hard in the market when resuming at Randwick on Anzac Day where he got a fair way back in the run and loomed large to win, but was bloused near the line by Goldfinch in a bunched finish. Think he’ll take really good improvement from that and is one of the hardest to beat.
I reckon firmer footing will be a big tick for the Toby Edmonds trained 19 Buck Bay (Bet Now: $13.00). He looked as if he’d bolt in last time out at Ipswich and booted several lengths clear, but the wheels were spinning late and the well supported Enterprise March got him and ran right away late. Think he’ll be better on top of the ground and has shown enough to suggest he can be competitive here.
Race 5. (14:45) Denise's Joy Stakes 1100m
This looks just about the race of the Carnival. Stack of depth here but going the way of the Matty Dunn trained 14 Snow Valley (Bet Now: $7.50), who is resuming. 3/3 to start her career, the latest coming at the Gold Coast (Metro) when sitting off the speed and despite taking a little while to wind up, but loved the way she attacked the line to win. Has looked great in a couple of trials, she’ll lap up a good speed and be strong late.
Class will carry 2 Pretty In Pink (Bet Now: $4.60) a long way towards victory, but just not sure how forward she is in condition. Hasn’t raced since the Flight Stakes in the Spring where she was okay without jumping up and down behind Oohood in a bunched finish, but form has been great. Won the Woodlands last year so she is proven at Scone and her two trials have been quite encouraging.
Interesting that James Cummings had a few nominated for this race but goes with the sole runner in 5 Gongs (Bet Now: $13.00), who is resuming. This girl can be hit and miss at times but towards the end of last prep, she was putting it together. Has had a couple of solid trials in readiness for her return, draws a sweet gate and will have a head start on a few key threats.
Race 6. (15:25) Luskin Star Stakes 1300m
3 Brave Song (Bet Now: $5.50) looks the winner for mine. Team Snowden trains this galloper, who kept him on ice, waiting for a dry track, which they got in the Hall Mark at Randwick three weeks ago and he closed off very well from the back behind Trekking, just running out of condition late when looming to win. He’ll take really good improvement from that and up to 1300m, he looks hard to beat.
6 Redouble (Bet Now: $8.00) is a Bjorn Baker trained gelding who looks to have returned in really good order and is a definite Brisbane Carnival contender. The resumption in the Hall Mark at Randwick was a beauty I thought, sitting on speed and fighting on really well in defeat behind the in form Trekking. Generally a touch flat second up then a third up bounce back, but his form is too good to ignore.
1 Deploy (Bet Now: $11.00) is a talented sprinter for the Gerald Ryan stable resuming. He had a three run Summer prep and ran okay but it looked more to get his fitness up for a potential Winter prep, eyeing off Brisbane potentially. Can sprint well fresh and does have class when right. Trial win was in sharp time, especially the last 600m and I thought the second trial was pretty good as well. Has class on these so giving him respect.
Race 7. (16:05) Dark Jewel Classic 1400m
D-Day, D-Day, D-Day for 11 Into The Abyss (Bet Now: $6.50). John Thompson has this girl flying. Just needs to put a win on the board now and am confident she can get the job done. Should have won the James Carr last time out but just had no luck in the straight when seemingly full of running. Got out and would have won in another hop, running second to Laburnum. Form has been good from that race, 1400m, good speed, spacious track…surely it’s her time to shine.
6 Moss Trip (Bet Now: $5.50) won the Guineas last year and is back for the Dark Jewel. This mare had two runs in the Autumn, starting off with an eye catching effort in the Millie Fox before struggling on the bog in the Coolmore Classic. Been kept on ice for the Winter Carnival and her Gosford trial was pretty encouraging. Gets the sweet gate, so she’s a definite threat.
1 Princess Posh (Bet Now: $12.00) looks the mare at silly odds here. She has been kept on ice since racing in the Coolmore Legacy where I thought she was far from disgraced behind Kenedna in a bunched finish. She’s a mare who does like racing on the fresh side, and she’s a few weeks between runs here. Has class on her side and given she has a 5-1 Hd2Hd record over Savatiano, that girl is $5 while Princess Posh is double figures. Can’t work that out.
Race 8. (16:45) Ortensia Stakes 1100m
One of the more fascinating runners of the afternoon is the very talented four year old 3 Victorem (Bet Now: $4.00), who is resuming for Jenny Graham. This bloke had a four run Summer Carnival and on face value, you’d mark him down as disappointing, but he was plagued by tight tracks, slow tempos and bad barriers. 1100m first up on a big track, sitting off a fast speed, looks perfect, and the two trials suggest he’s come back in outstanding order.
5 She Knows (Bet Now: $12.00) is an absolute beauty for the Danny Williams stable that I think will love return to firmer footing. Plagued by wet tracks during the Autumn when looking a threat on paper, and running well for the most part, but couldn’t quite get the job done. Been kept on ice waiting for a dry track and she gets it this time around. Definite threat here.
6 Guard Of Honour (Bet Now: $9.00) looks to have returned in really good order for Kris Lees. Just got too far out of his ground first up when a closing fifth, beaten under two lengths, before racing at Eagle Farm again where he got close to knocking off From Within. Gets a dream run from the gate if he can use it and I reckon up to 1100m off a hot speed looks ideal.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Three Number 1 Libertini
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 3 Signore Fox
LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 10 Lord Gododdin
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 2, 5, 14
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 6
Leg Three: 1, 6, 10, 11, 14
Leg Four: 2, 3, 5, 6, 12
$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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