Eleven races will be run and won at Sha Tin on Friday, headlined by the Classic Mile, the first leg of the 4YO Series.
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Race 1. (15:30) Kung Hei Hcp (C5) 1200m
5 Sterling Wongchoy (Bet Now: $2.10) on top but not really a race I want to get involved in. He ran over this track/distance last time out where he got into a decent spot near the speed and tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through when second. Found positive form and does get Zac Purton aboard.
4 Speedy Smartie (Bet Now: $18.00) has run well at Sha Tin previously and strikes a winnable race. He has been kept on ice since Boxing Day at Happy Valley when off speed and seemed to have his chance but just battled late behind Super Charizzard. Tick over trial was good and despite the wide gate, Bowman is on.
1 Winning Heart (Bet Now: $7.50) commands respect despite an awful record at Sha Tin. He does tend to race best at Happy Valley, with his recent racing coming there. Latest run was Jan 15 at Happy Valley when back off the speed and kept finding the line in defeat in a good effort behind Motoman. He can win without surprising.
Race 2. (16:00) Fat Choi Hcp (C4) 1200m
5 Master Phoenix (Bet Now: $3.50) should prove hard to beat against these. Latest run was Dec 29 over 1400m here where I was quite keen on his chances but after getting back in the run, he failed to come on and was a bit on the plain side. Fresh legs and back to 1200m, off prior efforts, he’s going to take beating.
8 Club Ace (Bet Now: $6.50) has been pretty good in two career outings and looks as though he’ll love the rise to 1200m after two runs down the straight where he has found it too sharp but has been quite good late in the piece. He’ll be strong late, Bowman on…rates highly.
2 Blazing Beam (Bet Now: $67.00) is an interesting runner. He did trial okay in Sydney before being sent to Hong Kong where he has had extensive trial work in readiness for the debut and has been solid enough to the eye. Tricky draw, but I say he is one for multiples.
Race 3. (16:30) Good Fortune Hcp (C4) 1600m
9 Lucky Fionn (Bet Now: $3.20) is knocking on the door to win and he does seem to strike a very winnable race. He ran over 1400m here a few weeks ago where he got off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort in defeat behind Juneau Pride. The rise to 1600m is ideal and despite the tricky gate, he’s the one to beat.
1 Sunstrider (Bet Now: $6.00) comes back to Class 4 grade after racing in a solid Class 3 last time when racing at Happy Valley, getting back in the run and made up okay headway without threatening. Back to this level, he should be around the mark.
2 Jumbo Fortune (Bet Now: $14.00) doesn’t win out of turn but he is a model of consistency. He ran over 1400m here last time out when off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort when fourth to Mr Energia, beaten a couple of lengths. 1600m is fine, he commands respect.
Race 4. (17:00) The Centenary Vase 1800m
2 Happy Together (Bet Now: $8.00) seems the straight bat play. He comes through the January Cup at Happy Valley where he got off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort in defeat when a narrow second. If she can settle closer in the run, she’ll take holding out.
6 Ensued (Bet Now: $2.50) is the class factor and it will carry him a long way. He has been kept on ice since the Hong Kong Vase where he was quite good from the back when fourth. Tick over trials since have been strong and back on trip no issue, plus gets Zac steering.
1 Straight Arron (Bet Now: $15.00) is capable with his best. He too has fresh legs, with his last run coming in the Hong Kong Cup where he ran an absolute beauty in defeat I thought behind Romantic Warrior. He’ll be spotting them a start but should be strong at the end.
Race 5. (17:35) Prosperity Hcp (C4) 1400m
1 Phoenix Light (Bet Now: $9.00) a found positive form and I think he can go on with it. He was just going through the motions it seemed but he was very good last time, getting a mile back in the run but closed off with real purpose late in the piece. Should land in a plum spot from the draw and take beating.
6 Sky Deep (Bet Now: $6.00) commands respect. Latest run was Jan 5 here when near the speed and tried hard but just couldn’t quite finish the job when second. Good racing style and strikes a winnable race.
7 Max Que (Bet Now: $10.00) can win for sure. Thought he was a real eye catcher at this track/distance last start, getting back to near last in the run but worked home with real purpose late in the piece. If he can get a drag into the race and be within range, he’ll take holding out.
Race 6. (18:05) The Chinese New Year Cup (C2) 1400m
11 Aurora Lady (Bet Now: $13.00) is the way I am leaning here. He comes up to Class 2 from Class 3 but he does get serious weight relief and this isn’t a deep Class 2. Latest run saw him sit on speed and he tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through and was run down late. Good racing style, he’ll take running down.
5 Young Champion (Bet Now: $2.00) is nearing D Day you would think. Thought he had his chance last start and despite the effort being full of merit, he only ran second and has let punters down in recent times. Zac does stick though and he gets the Blinkers on first time to sharpen him up.
1 Healthy Happy (Bet Now: $81.00) comes miles back in grade/depth after contesting the Group lll Challenge Cup on New Years Day. He was outclassed on paper and ran accordingly when down the track. He has class on his side and that will take him a long way towards victory.
Race 7. (18:40) Fat Choi Hcp (C4) 1200m
7 Yee Cheong Glory (Bet Now: $2.50) looks a really good mover for Jamie Richards and confident he can make a winning debut. He has had extensive trial work in readiness for start one and each time has looked the goods. Maps ideally, strikes a winnable race. Keen.
4 Ka Ying Radiance (Bet Now: $3.90) should be better for the debut run, which came at this track/distance on Jan 5 when held up at times but seemingly had his chance. Zac jumps off to ride the top tip, which looks the lead, but this horse did trial super leading in.
2 Arden (Bet Now: $35.00) is a son of Pariah on debut for John Size. His trial work has been nothing to jump up and down about but maps to do no work in the run and is bred to be strong late. One for exotics.
Race 8. (19:10) Hong Kong Classic Mile 1600m
1 Packing Hermod (Bet Now: $2.60) looks the one to beat. He ran over 1400m here three weeks ago where he got a fair way out of his ground and while he was never a winning threat, he kept finding the line and was pretty good in defeat. If he can settle closer, be within range, he’ll be hard to hold out.
14 Markwin (Bet Now: $19.00) has been earmarked as a Derby horse for some time so keen to see how he goes in this 4YO Series. He got back and closed with purpose last time when second. If he can use the gate to advantage and settle a pair or two closer, he’ll be hard to beat.
9 Mickley (Bet Now: $7.50) is two weeks between runs since racing over 2000m here where he got back and made up solid headway when fourth. Interesting he comes back to the mile but he should be strong late and is one for exotics.
Race 9. (19:45) Red Packet Hcp (C3) 1600m
Very keen to be with 7 Fallon (Bet Now: $6.50) each way. He should have won at this track/distance last time but was slaughtered by Chadwick, getting back and making all the wrong choices when it came to getting clear air until it was too late. Big jockey upgrade, kind map in his corner, rates highly for me.
13 Legend St Paul’s (Bet Now: $7.00) took a little while to get a win on the board with three runner up finishes but that run of seconds changed when an impressive winner at this track/distance. Tricky draw to contend with but commands respect.
1 Huge Wave (Bet Now: $23.00) comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since New Years Day when winning at this track/distance, getting the sweet sit in transit behind the speed snd finished when angling clear. Harder here but he’s a genuine horse and should be around the mark.
Race 10. (20:20) Yue Yee Hcp (C3) 1200m
3 Young Superstar (Bet Now: $7.00) on top in what looks an open contest. He attempted to lead throughout at this track/distance last time out and gave a strong kick from the front but just tired late when third. If he gets front end control, he’ll take running down.
1 Packing Power (Bet Now: $26.00) is two weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance when back in the run and failed to get involved when down the track in a plain effort. He has shown good talent previously so I you can forgive last start, he’s in the mix.
8 Lo Pan Spirit (Bet Now: $7.50) comes back to 1200m after racing over 1400m here last time when doing early work to land on speed snd he tried hard but just felt the pinch late when faith. Back to 1200m I like snd despite the tricky gate, his best is more than good enough to threaten.
Race 11. (20:55) Kut Cheong Hcp (C3) 1400m
7 Endeared (Bet Now: $9.00) on top in the last in what looks a two horse race. He hasn’t raced since Dec 29 when giving them a start and beating to win here in quite impressive fashion. Tick over trial was good and despite losing Zac, the horse is on the up snd will be strong late.
3 Packing Angel (Bet Now: $3.00) is the horse Zac is riding and easy to see why given he has won his last two, both over 1400m here where each time he has been ridden a treat and been far too good. Tricky draw but hard to knock the engine under the hood he seemingly has.
8 Solid Car (Bet Now: $35.00) is a very interesting runner. He is a maiden that makes his Hong Kong debut for David Hall after previously racing in Australia where he showed good promise. Fresh at the mile signals intent and although his trial work has been so so, I’d include in exotics.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Two Number 5 Master Phoenix
NEXT BEST: Race Eleven Number 7 Endeared
LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 7 Fallon
Quaddie (Races Eight Through To Eleven):
Leg One: 1, 5, 6, 9, 14
Leg Two: 1, 3, 7, 13
Leg Three: 1, 3, 5, 8
Leg Four: 3, 7
$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful.
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