French import who’s joined Mick Kent, one of the shrewdest trainers around. I’m a huge fan. But he’ll need to be extremely shrewd if he is to get a Melbourne Cup win out of Tac de Boistron. A horse who took a long time to work through the grades, he’s raced at stakes level his last nine starts. He’s actually performed quite admirably, but what it has proven is that he is best on a wet track. He’s won four races, and all were on a wet track. And when you consider that a French wet track is a bog track that is only seen after torrential rain in Australia, then you’d have to think a lot would need to go right for him to win – perhaps a Hurricane Sandy-esque storm.
Rain is forecast, but not enough to suggest it will suit him. He proved in the Geelong Cup, when he was a plodding 6th of a slow tempo, that he needs pace on and he needs a wet track. He won’t get conditions to suit, so I can’t have him. The only way I’d consider him was if it was a bog, and even then, only to place.
$1400 IN FREE BETS on TAC DE BOISTRON
Breeding: Take Risks x Pondiki
Bred in: France
Trainer: Mick Kent
Jockey: Olivier Doleuze
Career Stats: 27:5-2-2
Last 5 Starts: 3521×6
Biggest Win: Group 2 Prix Maurice de Nieull (2800m), Longchamp, 14/7/2012
Sportsbet Fixed Odds (as at 7pm, Sunday November 4): $41