The first of the two Group 1 races on the final day of the Carnival is for the sprinters up the straight six furlongs. Several runners are backing up from runs on Derby Day’s Group 2 Yellowglen Stakes including the trifecta of that race, Fontelina, Spirit of Boom and Tiger Tees. They will be joined by the likes of Buffering – still searching for that elusive Group 1 race and Sea Siren who resumed with an impressive in the G1 Manikato Stakes at Moonee Valley two weeks ago. All makes for a great race!
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1. BUFFERING – J Bowman (15)
Many thought, me included, that he was finally going to crack it for a Group 1 win when he lined up as a 13/8 favourite in the Manikato Stakes at Moonee Valley. He had to be used a little early to ensure he held his position from barrier one but was no match for his competitors late and finished sixth behind Sea Siren. He ran second to Black Caviar in this race last year and his form prior to last start was first rate but think he’ll find it hard from the second to widest gate.
2. TEMBLE OF BOOM – C Brown (14)
6yo from Queensland Trainer’s Tony Gollan yard who chased finished well behind Black Caviar and then Hay List in the G1 Lightning and Newmarket Handicap respectively, here at Flemington earlier in the year, before winning the G1 The Galaxy at Randwick two starts later. He tackles this race third up from a spell after having finished fifth behind Buffering in the G2 Schillaci Stakes and fifth again in the G1 Manikato (beaten 2.8 lengths. Generally goes well here but did expect to see a little more from him last start than what he produced. Likes the cut out of the ground.
3. SPIRIT OF BOOM – M Rodd (1)
Stable-mate and half brother to the above runner who went within a whisker, when flashing home late, of securing the G2 Yellowglen Stakes on Saturday. That followed a similarly good effort when he finished third behind Hallowell Belle in the G2 Gilgai Stakes. Like his sibling, does enjoy the Flemington straight and is in career best form however, the queries here are the inside gate as he’s a horse that likes to get back and finish hard.
4. READY TO RIP – L Nolen (5)
Former QLD galloper who joined Peter Moody’s yard and immediately won the Listed Vic Sprint and G3 Bletchingly before running third in the G2 P B Lawrence. He was then extremely unlucky in G2 Moir Stakes where he was held up for a run before flashing home for second (beaten a head) behind Buffering. On that run the stable didn’t hesitate to include him among the entrants for the G1 Manikato stakes however, he couldn’t duplicate his Moir run and finished second to last. It’s hard to include him on that run and five of his six career wins have been on Slow/Heavy ground.
5. MENTAL – K McEvoy (10)
Very promising Lonhro gelding from the Darley yard who has won six of his ten starts, including dominate wins in the G3 Fred Best and Listed Daybreak Lover over the Brisbane winter carnival before a brief spell. He looks to have come back in very good order judging by his fast finishing second to Sea Siren, closing in well from the tail of the field. That run, combined with natural improvement from it, makes him one of the leading chances in this race.
6. TIGER TEES – C Reith (8)
A consistent galloper who tried hard behind Fontelina in Satarday’s G2 Yellowglen Stakes where he finished third, beaten a length. That followed a close up fourth in the G2 AJ Moir Stakes and a comfortable three length win in the G3 Concorde Stakes at Warwick Farm. Meets Fontelina 3.5kgs better than Saturday and is a tough on-pacer.
7. BEL SPRINTER – D Oliver (13)
Jason Warren trained 5yo who should’ve won the G1 Oakleigh Plate earlier this year and looked set to set that record straight this preparation with a strong win first up G3 McEwan Stakes at Moonee Valley. He has had every chance in two subsequent runs finishing fifth, as 7/4 favourite in the G2 Gligai Stakes and seventh in the Manikato. It is hard to consider him a genuine chance on his recent efforts.
8. FONTELINA – V Duric (4)
He won the G2 Yellowglen Stakes on Saturday after securing a nice run behind the leader before kicking clear at the 350m and holding on first up from a spell. He was allocated 54.5 under Saturday’s weight conditions and rises 4kgs which is a big ask and this is his first crack at WFA company.
9. HOWMUCHDOYOULOVEME – B Avdulla (3)
Lined up in Saturday’s Yellowglen Stakes as the dominant 2/1 favourite off the back of his effortlessly victory in the G2 Caulfield Sprint a fortnight before. However, as soon as the pressure when on in Saturday’s race, he was the first beaten and finished a disappointing eighth, beaten 4.3 lengths. A post race veterinarian exam failed to produce any abnormalities. It’ll be some kind of form reversal.
10. SEA SIREN – J Cassidy (9)
Very smart Fastnet Rock mare from Sydney Trainer, John O’Shea’s stable. Won the G1 BTC Cup at only her sixth career start defeating the older horses and backed that up with a head win in the Doomben 10,000 where she accounted for Buffering and Temple of Boom. Resumed in the G1 Manikato Stakes and picked up where she left off recording a strong neck win over Mental. Can’t knock her form and can’t see any reason why she won’t be right in the mix again today.
11. HALLOWELL BELLE – C Williams (12)
Fantastically honest mare who has only missed a place twice in her seventeen starts and on each of those occasions, she ran fourth. She was tough in winning the Gilgai Stakes first up two starts back and was 2.7 lengths behind Sea Siren (finishing fourth) in the Manikato Stakes. She’ll only need half a chance to produce her best and is one for the multiples.
12. SATIN SHOES – J McDonald (7)
Flying Spur mare who has ran second in two of her four starts this preparation including, a head second to Pampelonne in The Shorts and length behind Red Tracer in the Premiere Stakes. She’s sure to be up on the speed for a majority of the race but given that from eleven starts at this trip, she’s yet to register a victory, the last half a furlong should find her out.
13. LONE ROCK – M Zahra (6)
Roberts Smerdon trained mare who had no luck whatsoever when resuming in the G2 Schillaci Stakes behind Buffering. Expected a better effort from her when she stepped out in her most recent starts, The Manikato Stakes, but she failed to make an impression and finished last. She’s been well held in similar events to this up the Flemington straight and think she will be again here.
14. FIRE THUNDERBOLT – D Tourneur (11)
Adelaide visitor who ran a great race first up, at only his third career start, when caught wide on the pace throughout and boxed on well to finish a head behind Snitzerland in the Blue Sapphire at Caulfield. He ran on Saturday in the G1 Coolmore where he finished seventh (beaten 3.2 lengths) behind the smart Nechita. Didn’t have a great deal of room in that race and had to cross heels to get into clear running space but winner was off and gone. Don’t know if this race was part of their original plans but he must’ve pulled up ok for them to be backing up.
15. SNITZERLAND – C Newitt (2)
Being a 3yo filly, she gets in with the luxury weight of 51kgs and has drawn nicely considering she’ll be up on the speed. She has won four of her five starts this campaign with her only taste of defeat during that time, coming on Saturday in the G1 Coolmore. She’s a trier but hard to see her bouncing back from last Saturday.
The AJ Moir form stands out here with Sea Siren and Mental – who finished 1-2 in that race, leading the market at $3.60 and $5.50 respectively. Both of the abovementioned horses are lightly raced have built an outstanding record early in their careers and will have benefited from their hit-out at the Valley. Both would have been specifically set for this race and it’s hard to split the pair. For the placings, there are a host of chances including the consistent performers – Spirit of Boom and Hallowell Belle both at good double figure odds.