A strong card of night racing has been assembled for Moonee Valley this Friday, highlighted by the $200,000 Group ll William Hill Alister Clark Stakes (2040m), an important lead up to the Derby/Oaks in either Sydney or Adelaide. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (6:45pm) : TBV Newmarket Grandwest Handicap (70) 1500m: Form Guide
Back Me: Putting Belorum (Best Odds: $3.80) on top. He toughed it out very strongly to win two back at Bendigo before racing under the lights at Cranbourne last Friday, and he was massive in winning there. He got checked early on and was back near the last. Coming to the turn he made his move but again got checked, but he picked himself up, circled the field and charged clear to win. He is ready for a crack at city grade now and he strikes a very winnable race.
Big Danger: Eye The World (Best Odds: $4.80) has been consistent for the Hayes/Dabernig team this time in, including two seconds at his last two outings, the latest coming at Sandown when just failing to pick up the Stakes performed Chiquada. Has to concede some weight here to his rivals, which is a query, but he is in good form.
Roughie: The soft barrier draw could spark improvement from Northern Jet (Best Odds: $4.80), who has been just okay in recent times, but the last time he drew an inside barrier, he wasn’t far off a handy mare in Soaked and prior to that he drew barrier one and smashed De Little Engine, who then went on to win about four city races on the bounce.
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Race Two (7:15pm) : Advanced Mailing Solutions Handicap (90) 2040m: Form Guide
Back Me: Post D’France (Best Odds: $3.20) had the sweet run in transit last time out at Flemington, and when presented by Ben Melham, the gelding responded well and clung on to win. This is a much easier race, and he only rises 2kg which isn’t a worry because he is a proven weight carrier, plus he draws well.
Big Danger: Former French galloper Zimbali (Best Odds: $4.20) scored a strong debut win down under at Sandown before going to Flemington and getting stuck wide throughout when eighth to stablemate Sir John Hawkwood. He won’t have to do too much work here from the inside gate, and does have a stack of upside.
Roughie: Schockemole (Best Odds: $6.50) was having his first run since December when running over 1500m at Cranbourne a couple of weeks back when working home okay late with 62.5kg when eighth to city performer Northern Lyric, beaten just under five lengths. Will improve off that outing, gets weight relief and is a winner at the track/distance.
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Race Three (7:45pm) : Chandler Macleod Penang Pearl 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: Godolphin always know where and when to place their horses and they look to have done it beautifully with Calaverite (Best Odds: $2.50). The Gimcrack winner has performed admirably in two Sydney runs this time in against the likes of Haptic, Furnaces, English and Ottoman. They are four Slipper contenders. Sydney form is far superior to that down here, so she has to rate clearly on top, especially under the set weights scale.
Big Danger: Miss Idyllic (Best Odds: $10.00) is still a maiden after seven starts, but she was very unlucky not win here last time out over 1000m. She got stuck four wide early on before pressing on to sit three deep no cover and the effort just told over the final furlong when she tired late. She’s the pick of the Melbourne horses engaged here, and with better luck this time around, she can win.
Roughie: Stragun (Best Odds: $13.00) hasn’t been too far away in two career outings, starting off with a second to Well Sighted before racing here and running well when fifth to Our Vidia. Drawn to follow the right horse in Calaverite, so has to rate as a chance.
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Race Four (8:15pm) : Jeep 55 Second Challenge Heat 15 955m: Form Guide
Back Me: Tuscan Sling (Best Odds: $1.75) looks the clear way to go here. She has had three starts for three very impressive wins, two of which have come over the 1000m here, the latest being on February 27 when fending off Aware, who franked the form at her next start. Should get the perfect cart over drawn outside the speedy stablemate Hotel Sierra and prove far too good for these.
Big Danger: It’ll be interesting to see what Ollie does on Beach Front (Best Odds: $5.50) She is a speedy mare for Brent Stanley who does race best up on the speed, as we saw last time out over 1200m here when looking the winner with about 250m to, but just got tired late and was grabbed by Written and Scarlet Billows. Back to the 955m suits and Ollie back on is a definite advantage.
Roughie: I was quite keen on Pathways (Best Odds: $6.00) first up at Sale at odds after a strong trial performance and thanks to a lovely steer from Bossy, the mare swallowed up the hot pot Sunday Escape and drew clear to win. She’ll get the gun sit off the speed here, she won second up last time in and Bossy sticks.
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Race Five (8:45pm) : Aim For The Stars Handicap (70) 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: I Am Titanium (Best Odds: $9.00) kicked off his career under the care of Darren Weir with a strong third at Sandown despite being an alarming drifter in betting. He got back in the run and made up solid ground between runners. Senior rider goes back aboard, draws well and should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: Expecting Nicoscene (Best Odds: $3.60) to be clearly the best of the runners from the Jade’s Boy form reference. Nicoscene was first up there and did a stack of work on speed before being swamped late when third to Jade’s Boy. who he now meets 4.5kg better for a length defeat. Recent jump out at Flemington was very sharp, draws to get the good sit and Jordan Childs is riding in great form at the moment.
Roughie: Dropping back to benchmark company should suit Miniver (Best Odds: $17.00), who was caught in the mad speed battle last time out in the Typhoon Tracy Stakes (1200m) here and quickly dropped out to run last. Miniver will either strengthen from that run and be hard to beat here, or she’ll fall in a heap. Hoping the first scenario eventuates.
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Race Six (9:15pm) : William Hill Alister Clark Stakes 2040m: Form Guide
Back Me: Putting Stratum Star (Best Odds: $2.25) on top. He is a little beauty that just puts it all on the line every time he steps out on the track, like he did in the Australian Guineas (1600m) when a close third to Wandjina and Alpine Eagle. I have reservations about him running 2040m, but he has class and loves a fight, which is something most of these don’t love.
Big Danger: Berisha (Best Odds: $21.00) started a heavy odds on pop over the mile here on February 20 and really ran his race in patches. Coming to the turn he was off the bit and going nowhere, but he picked up over the final 100m and went through the line strongly to run seventh, beaten just over three lengths. Up to 2040m suits, he has had the look around here now, and we saw in the Spring he is above average when he ran third to Petrology and Stratum Star in the Sandown Guineas (1600m).
Roughie: Chill Party (Best Odds: $7.50) was a bit unlucky in the Autumn Classic (1800m) behind Alpine Eagle before coming to this track/distance a couple of weeks ago and absolutely spanking his rivals, winning by seven lengths. Admittedly he didn’t beat much there, but the manner in which he did it was most impressive, and a win which suggests he could be a chance here.
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Race Seven (9:45pm) : 1PRINT Kerry Gillespie Handicap (78) 2040m: Form Guide
Back Me: Cheron Samsi (Best Odds: $7.50) worked home strongly two back before backing up a week later and surging home to get the job done, and the form has held up with Courageous Rock running well again on Tuesday at Tatura. She probably isn’t well in at the weights, but there is potential and Chad Schofield, who has ridden her at her last two starts, sticks.
Big Danger: Mick Huxtable has had a really good run in recent times when travelling from Adelaide to Melbourne and he brings the in form mate Rebelle (Best Odds: $8.00), who has been running well back home this prep. Ollie booked is a good lead, and hopefully he can overcome the draw.
Roughie: High Design (Best Odds: $10.00) worked home strongly last time out at Sandown, coming from near last to run fourth to Princess Hussey, beaten just over a length in a close finish. Prior to that she was only three lengths off Winston Drive at Flemington, and now she meets that mare 2kg better off, plus has the better draw.
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Race Eight (10:15pm) : TCL 4K UHD TV Handicap (70) 1000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Waddle your finger and hope for the best. Returning to Melbourne could bring about a form reversal from Bugatty (Best Odds: $7.50), who has raced in Sydney at his past three outings, all of which have been in stronger races than this. He copped too much pressure first up at Canterbury, but he comes back now to a track where he has raced well at in the past, gets in so well at the weights after the claim, should be near the speed and should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: Avalon Downs (Best Odds: $8.50) had two seconds to kick off her prep behind a couple of handy types in Miniver and Karigara before getting her maiden win out of the way in impressive fashion at Kyneton, controlling the race from the front and proving too nippy for her rivals. She does fly the gates, so I don’t think the wide barrier will be an issue, she will carry only 53kg after the claim and the Mick Dee is really finding his feet now since coming over from New Zealand.
Roughie: Day After Tomorrow (Best Odds: $8.50) has been in ripping form in recent times, and ran a strong fifth last time out to Chloe In Paris at Flemington. Draws the inside gate and won’t be too far away IMO.
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BEST BET: Race Four Number 4 Tuscan Sling
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 6 Stratum Star
VALUE: Race Five Number 3 I Am Titanium
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 3, 4, 6, 10
Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 7, 13, 14
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12
Leg Four: 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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