26/12/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Pinjarra, Boxing Day races

Eight races will be run and won at Pinjarra on Tuesday. Weather is fine, track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

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2 Magnum Class (Bet Now:  $SP.00) on top but not a race I want to spend too much time on. Michael Lane trained gelding that ran down the straight here last time out and I thought was there to win but couldn’t quite finish the race off when fourth. He maps to get an economical run in transit and with that, I think 1200m will be okay. Hard to beat.

4 Dreamers Never Die (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be respected. Ran over this track/distance last time out when wide no cover throughout yet kept surging and for a few strides looked the winner but couldn’t quite see it through when second to Regal Statue. If that run hasn’t busted her, you’d like to think she is one of the leading contenders.

5 Red Rebel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is suited back to 1200m I feel. He ran over 1300m last time out here when on speed and giving a decent kick in the straight but the end of 1300m saw him out, just feeling the pinch late. Like him back to 1200m and with a soft run on speed likely on the cards, I think he’s dangerous at a likely decent price.

I’ll take a chance with 6 Tawkin’ Gibberish (Bet Now:  $SP.00), on debut for Luke Fernie. This filly trialled well at Belmont in the Spring but didn’t run. Spelled and has returned with another trial win. The trials have been over 400m but she has seemingly moved well enough to say she can make a winning debut.

1 Lord Shiva (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will be popular given he has the Durrant/CJP combo and brings elite form. His debut came at Belmont as a juvenile when placing behind a very sharp customer, Oscar’s Fortune. That’s A1 form for this and he looks ready to go off a nice trial.

5 Shasfa (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a daughter of Denman on debut for Brett Pope. She appears well grounded for start one with extensive trial work dating back to late October and for the most part has looked pretty good to my eye, suggesting she can win races in the future. Not sure she has the quality to win this but the grounding is there to say she’ll run a positive race regardless.

6 Secret Attire (Bet Now:  $SP.00) on top but gee this is an ordinary maiden. A very ordinary maiden. Luke Fernie trained mare that resumes, having not raced since August 2 when runner up at Belmont behind impressive winner Cool Memory. Resumes without a trial but that should be fine for this 1000m assignment and stable finds Chris Parnham to steer.

10 Special Heart (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a daughter of Astern that is on debut. She trialled in the Spring of last year but didn’t run. Has come back this time in with two trials and hasn’t moved too bad. Drawn the right part of the track and in well after the claim. Leading contender.

12 Dontthinkjustdrink (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look for Adam Durrant. She debuted at this track/distance when hard in the market but she didn’t really fire a shot and was a bit on the plain side. Tongue tie going on may explain the debut performance because she was well tried to win.

1 Oly’s Choice (Bet Now:  $SP.00) on top. He’s one of the more fascinating runners on the card because at his best, he’s Saturday class but the wheels have fallen off. He was with William Lewthwaite but is now with Team Pearce and despite 1000m being short of his best, his trial was very good I thought so I’ll take a chance with him.

3 Keep Attacking (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Snippetson that resumes for Team Williams. This guy is first up, having not raced since August 5 at Belmont when back in the run and making headway without threatening behind Success Play. Might be better suited over a touch further but he has a touch of quality about him.

5 Here’s Dreaming (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is on the quick back up for Luke Fernie after racing last Saturday at Ascot where she got back to near last in the run and was badly held up when trying to get clear so forget she went around behind Devine Belief. Back to this level with clear air, she’s in the mix.

10 Clever Combat (Bet Now:  $SP.00) for me. Smart Missile gelding for Adam Durrant that is on debut off the back of extensive trial work. He’s had two trials this time in to get ready for start one, placing each time and seemingly moving like a nice horse. Maps to get an ideal run in transit and off his trial work, I suspect he will be strong at the end of 1300m.

15 Prized Jewel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has talent under the hood I feel. Luke Fernie trained filly that debuted over 1200m here where she got a mile out of her ground, back to near last, and was never really a winning threat, but I loved the way she closed her race off late in the piece behind impressive winner Objectify. Tricky gate again but off that debut, she can take this out.

7 Correct Choice (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can run an improved race for Donna Riordan. This guy resumed over 1200m here when wide no cover, keen and just did too much wrong, eventually finishing down the track behind impressive debut winner Objectify. Gets a much more economical run in transit this time around and is bred to be handy.

6 Firey Panz (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has an awful winning strike rate but that said, she’s racing well for Phil Naylor. She ran at Bunbury last time out where she got off the speed and was chasing from a fair way out but she kept finding the line in a good effort behind Shezgotthalot. Like her up to 1200m and she strikes a very winnable race IMO. Happy to be in her corner.

1 Madame Magic (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Team Pearce trained mare that resumes. This girl is first up, having not raced since July 5 at Belmont when attempting to lead throughout over 1400m and giving plenty of cheek but couldn’t quite see it through when fourth. She is a first up winner with a good racing style and gets in pretty well after the claim.

5 Pio Kerri (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the one with less convictions than most and comes here off a win. That win was a maiden victory at Geraldton where she led throughout and was there to be beaten but she found under pressure to fend them off and get the win. Not a strong race this and with less convictions, looks to land on speed, she’s in with a shout.

2 Let’s Galahvant (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the class of the field and I’ll bank on that class getting him home. He wasn’t able to get a Railway berth so he went to the Carbine Club where he proved too strong over 1400m, being Magnificent Andy, who of course came out and won last Saturday, so the form reads super. Back to 1300m is no issue, he’s genuine, tough, in form…he’ll do me.

1 Last Of The Line (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will appreciate getting back to this level. He ran in the Railway when clearly outclassed on paper and ran accordingly when down the track behind Bustler. This looks more his level and is a proven weight carrier so 62kg is no issue and he has a kind map, so he can run a much improved race.

9 Street Parade (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is in with a shout. He ran last Saturday in the race Magnificent Andy won above as mentioned. He was well supported despite being outclassed on paper and those who knew, they would have been sick post race because he was stiff not to be right in the finish, getting badly held up. If the breaks go his way here, he can threaten.

6 Pro Latte (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will do me in the get out. Team Williams mare that had late backing when resuming at the midweeks at Belmont and under a confident steer from Pike, she was much too good in a dominant display and return. Tricky draw, but should slide forward, land on speed comfortably and prove hard to run down.

3 Mir (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an improver for Team Gangemi. He ran over 1200m here last time out where he got too far back in the run and while he did make up ground, he was never threatening behind Regal Statue. If he can settle closer in the run, he’ll take holding out and is a definite threat.

5 Universal Playboy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a model of consistency for Michael Lane that is rarely far away. He ran at Albany last start where he was keen behind the speed and I just reckon that took something away from his finale when a close up fourth to Star Soprano. His best is good enough. Just want to see him do it first before diving in.

BEST BET: Race Seven Number 2 Let’s Galahvant

NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 6 Tawkin Gibberish

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 6 Firey Panz

Quaddie (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 4, 7, 10, 15

Leg Two: 1, 5, 6, 7, 9

Leg Three: 1, 2

Leg Four: 3, 4, 5, 6

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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