A strong card of racing has been assembled for Randwick this Saturday, and while there are no feature races, the depth is once again very strong. The query is that how the track will play, because in recent meetings, the track has played quite disgracefully, so hopefully we get a fair racing surface. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (10) and the rail is out nine metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (12:00pm) : TAB Place Multi Plate 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: I was pretty keen on Dark Steel (Best Odds: $5.50) when he debuted at Rosehill, and while he got beat, I thought his run was full of merit given he copped severe pressure on speed and pretty much set the race up for the eventual winner, Mogador. The two trials leading in, both on very wet tracks, were awesome and with the scratchings, he is the clear horse to beat.
Big Danger: Backstab (Best Odds: $4.80) was given a peach front running steer by Josh Parr to break the maiden two back at Hawkesbury before going to Warwick Farm a couple of weeks ago and running strongly when a close up second to Libidosun. He has shown he can handle a soft track, but is unknown on a bog. Rock hard fit though and in the right stable for youngsters.
Roughie: Sargent Doakes (Best Odds: $10.00) was smashed in betting to win the Inglis Challenge at Scone, and thanks to an absolute gem from Robert Thompson, the gelding sprinted hard late to finish best. He has had two runs back now, so he has fitness on his side and the stable knows when to send them to town.
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Race Two (12:35pm) : All Too Hard @ Vinery Handicap (85) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: God’s In Him (Best Odds: $2.65) was well supported to win first up here, and aided by a gun ride from Brenton Avdulla, the son of God’s Own wore down leader Charles In Charge to win narrowly. That run was on a bog surface, so the worry is that he’ll race flat second up, but I’ll trust the training genius which is the Team Hawkes stable.
Big Danger: Lunar Rise (Best Odds: $5.50) is on the seven day back up after racing at Rosehill last Saturday where he sat wide no cover throughout and stuck on well when fourth to Rockalong, who was aided to victory by the drag up Lunar Rise gave him. He hasn’t done the seven day back up in the past, so that’s the unknown, but he is back on his home track and should prove hard to beat with better luck.
Roughie: Off The Rails (Best Odds: $7.00) resumed over 1200m at Rosehill three weeks back and was okay without being spectacular when ninth to Aussies Love Sport, beaten 4.4L. He ran a cracker second up last time in, in a much stronger race than this, then went on to win third up and compete well at Stakes level. He is a definite improver here at odds.
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Race Three (1:10pm) : TAB.com.au Handicap (75) 2600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Husson Choice (Best Odds: $6.50) was one of the seven infamous beaten runners in the Stayers Cup (3200m) when beaten five lengths by tearaway winner Lovethebeaches. Back to 2600m looks ideal for this gelding, and I can guarantee he won’t be giving the leader a 100m head start.
Big Danger: This is a very thin race now with the scratchings, so I really have no idea what to put in as the main threat. Maybe Soviet Courage (Best Odds: $10.00)? Though he did have his chance when fourth to Cabalistic at Warwick Farm, beaten just over a length. He can handle a wet track and gets some weight relief.
Roughie: Planet Purple (Best Odds: $12.00) also drops back to 2600m after contesting the Stayers Cup, and the gelding toughed it out alright I thought when fourth to Lovethebeaches, beaten five lengths. Koby Kennings takes over, he handles the wet and is an out and out stayer who will just plug away all day.
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Race Four (1:45pm) : McGrath Estate Agents Handicap (85) 1300m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really keen here on the topweight, My Sabeel (Best Odds: $6.50). She ran a fortnight back over 1400m here and attempted to lead all the way but tired late when fourth to impressive winner Magic Hurricane. It wasn’t Danny Beasley’s fault, but the mare is best ridden when ridden with cover and cuddled, so he rode the track and not the horse. Koby Jennings takes the ride now, and he has a fantastic record when riding this mare. Draws well and is an absolute swimmer.
Big Danger: Sense And Reason (Best Odds: $6.00) was one of the best runs of the day at the meeting here a couple of weeks back when working home strongly against the pattern when fourth to Transfers. She won brilliantly first up and is knocking on the door to win another.
Roughie: Mardi (Best Odds: $6.50) resumes here for Gai Waterhouse after a strong Summer and Autumn, which ended with a disappointing effort in the Aspiration (1600m) when ninth to Adorabeel. Spelled immediately after that and resumes here off the back of a couple of solid trials, the latest when second to impressive import Cafe Society. She ran a beauty first up last time in, and her lone wet track run resulted in her beating Adorabeel. Really good form for a race like this and I like that a senior rider has been booked instead of a claiming apprentice.
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Race Five (2:25pm) : ATC Heritage Society 5th Anniversary Handicap (78) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Alegria (Best Odds: $5.50) was a very strong first up winner at Warwick Farm, beating home a subsequent Randwick winner in Campania. Alegira then went to Rosehill a couple of weeks back and was completely luckless behind Lucy’s Look, running fourth after never getting a serious crack at them in the straight. She’s well above average, and with normal luck here, she should go close.
Big Danger: Berry Delicious (Best Odds: $8.00) is finding it very to win this time in, but she is racing very consistently. She ran at Rosehill three weeks back and worked home strongly from the back to run second to Lucy’s Look, beaten just under a length. Her two runs at Randwick have been pretty good and now she gets some weight relief. Definite threat.
Roughie: The interesting runner here is Scratch Me Lucky (Best Odds: $16.00), who resumes for Paul Perry. 14 months ago, this bloke was running second to Peggy Jean in the Sires Produce, and since then, he has performed well at the highest level behind horses such as Hallowed Crown and Shooting To Win. Two recent trials leading up to his return to racing have been pretty good and this is the easiest race he has contested in some time. Watch market moves.
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Race Six (3:05pm) : Winter Dash 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: Alias (Best Odds: $7.00) on top for me here. Forget he went around first up behind Alberto Magic given he was four wide no cover for the entire. He then came here a fortnight back, sat on speed and fought on well when third to impressive winner Private Secretary. The last time he had a third up run, he absolutely spanked his rivals, albeit at the provincials. He loves a wet track, goes down in the weights, should be on speed and prove tough to beat.
Big Danger: Zaratone (Best Odds: $7.00) has had two runs this time in, both at Stakes level. He resumed in the Ortensia and stuck on very well when fifth to That’s A Good Idea before coming to the June Stakes here and fought on bravely but just tired late when third to upset winner Wouldn’t That Be Nice. Don’t worry that Brodie Loy is riding because the last time he steered the horse, he ran second to Our Boy Malachi, who at the time was the form horse of the Sydney Summer. He doesn’t mind some give in the track, he’ll bowl along in front and give them something to chase.
Roughie: The improver at odds could well be See The World (Best Odds: $12.00), who really hasn’t set the world on fire in two runs back from a long spell, with his latest coming in the June Stakes when finishing midfield. Jason Collett goes aboard the horse now, and he rides the horse better than anyone. Last time he rode the horse, he was four lengths off Tiger Tees in the Galaxy last year.
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Race Seven (3:45pm) : TAB Rewards Handicap (75) 1000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Aroused (Best Odds: $8.00) is an Allan Denham trained gelding who won two trials impressively before resuming during the Scone Carnival and running a game second to impressive winner Encostanati. Should improve off that here, and second up last time in, he ran over 1100m at Canterbury and ran second to Craftiness, beaten two lengths. That’s really good form for a race like this.
Big Danger: Awasita (Best Odds: $12.00) is a Stakes class mare who resumes for new trainer Kris Less after formerly being with Goggin/Meaburn yard in Tassie. Her form in the Spring was very good, and her two recent trials in preparation for her return to racing have been very sharp. Watch market moves with this mare, because she can run well fresh, and she looks tuned up.
Roughie: Miss Alibi (Best Odds: $21.00) beat home subsequent city placegetter Two Blue in a trial before resuming at Gosford and working home strongly from the back to finish to Emperor Of Rome, beaten just over a length. Her second up run last time in was dreadful, but it was in a hot race, won by Craftiness. John McNair has had a tough time of it in recent times, so it’d be good to see this mare perform well in the city.
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Race Eight (4:25pm) : Ranvet Handicap (90) 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Looks to be a round two between Pajaro (Best Odds: $4.75) and Magic Hurricane, and I’m tipping Pajaro to turn the tables. He worked home strongly when resuming in the Ortensia (1100m) at Scone before coming to the 1400m here and looking home, but he couldn’t hold off the finish of Magic Hurricane, who was aided by the fact he was near the inside, which was the fast lane. He ran home well third up here last time in at Stakes level, so third up here at the mile should suit and he is the one to beat.
Big Danger: Magic Hurricane (Best Odds: $4.40) is a former import for Godolphin who was the subject of a major betting plunge when resuming here, and aided by a peach steer from apprentice Brodie Loy, the gelding sprinted home hard along the rail and finished best to win. With these Godolphin imports, and in particular the training style of John O’Shea, they are trained to run well and run well early on in a prep, so running second up here won’t be an issue IMO and he looks the obvious threat.
Roughie: Hollywood Bound (Best Odds: $10.00) was given a lovely ride by McDonald to win two back over this track/distance before going to the Rosehill 1500m three weeks back and he wasn’t suited by the slow tempo set by the eventual winner, Vergara. Should be a more genuine tempo here, back up to the mile suits and he has a really good record at Randwick.
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BEST BET: Race Eight Number 5 Pajaro
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 1 My Sabeel
VALUE: Race Seven Number 1 Aroused
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 2, 6, 7, 8
Leg Two: 2, 3, 6, 9, 10
Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 5, 10
Leg Four: 3, 5, 12
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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