20/5/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Doomben, Doomben Cup day

A bumper nine race program has been set down for Doomben on Saturday where it is Doomben Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out two metres for the entire circuit.

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Doomben Cup 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Doomben Cup

1 Rousseau (Bet Now:  $SP.00), I think, could be a moral. Chris Waller has him flying this prep. He really caught the eye fresh over 1350m behind Mississippi Prince before going to the mile four weeks ago and he should have gone close to winning. Just had no luck in the straight and pretty much went around like a barrier trial. Scratched two weeks ago but if he’s all good, holds his form, he wins.

2 Wairere Falls (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is knocking on the door. He was very good from the back a fortnight back at the Sunny Coast, working home with real purpose from near last on the turn when a close up fourth to Alburq. Hard fit now, he can settle closer in the run and has that Waller sense of timing. Has plenty going for him to take this out.

13 Manbehindthemoney (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a former Irish galloper that looks like he will win races in Australia. His Australian debut came three weeks back at Rosehill where he found a bottomless deck and was far from disgraced in defeat behind Money From The Sky, beaten 1.5L. Might want one more and a rise in trip, but that run had merit and overall, this race isn’t deep.

I want to give 1 Brigantine (Bet Now:  $SP.00) another chance. James Cummings trained four year old that resumed two weeks ago in the ATC Trophy where he got a mile out of his ground and was never really a threat but wasn’t beaten far behind Fifteen Rounds, beaten just under two lengths. Drops big time in grade/depth here and for me, this looks an easy kill before stepping back up to Stakes grade. Keen.

11 Miss Keeler (Bet Now:  $SP.00) brings okay from Victoria and has a kind map. Jim Conlan trains this mare, who comes here off the back of a strong win at Geelong where she gave them a start and a beating, rounding them up from the back and letting down with purpose to win well. Maps to get a sweet run in transit and gets Josh Parr steering, so she has a bit going for her.

5 Safework (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying and can take this out. He has had two runs back from a spell, the latest run coming three weeks back over 1200m at Eagle Farm where she got a mile out of his ground but was very good late when a narrow fourth to a nice horse, Manhood. Hard fit and up to 1350m, has a gate to settle much closer and be dangerous.

1 Russian Alliance (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very nice filly for Kevin Kemp that is one of the leading chances. She has won 5/5 this time in, the latest being two weeks ago in the Ken Russell at the Gold Coast where she got a dream sit behind them before Larry angled her clear and she let down with purpose to win well. Back to Fillies grade, runs on the board, she is the one to beat.

2 Party For Two (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another chance for the O’Dea/Hoysted camp. Trialled up really well to the eye prior to resuming three weeks ago in the Dalrello where on paper, she looked extremely hard to beat, but the late market flucs suggested the stablemate Appin Girl was the pony to bet on and #They got it spot on, with Party For Two lacking any real punch in the straight. Fitter, back to Fillies grade…D-Day.

3 She’s A Rogue (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and prove hard to run down. She did that three weeks back in the Dalrello when attempting to lead throughout and she tried her guts out but couldn’t quite see it through and was run down late by the well tried Appin Girl. 1200m is the query but if she finds the front and gets some level of control, she’ll take running down.

The Tatts Crown on Tiara Day looks the GF for 13 Princess Rhaenys (Bet Now:  $SP.00), but the first up run was too good to ignore. That came a few weeks ago at Eagle Farm and she was a real eye catcher from the back behind Baltic Coast. She might want one more run, but she’s flying and if she gets a drag into the race from the gate, she’ll take holding out.

6 Dzsenifer (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a good second up record so I wouldn’t totally dismiss her. She was specked at odds two weeks back in the Silk Stocking and thought she ran a very credible race in defeat, sitting near the speed and battled away really well when sixth to Essonne, beaten just under two lengths. Like her up in trip and her best is clearly good enough.

7 Media Award (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks like she could well enjoy life under the care of Glenn Thornton. First run for the camp came two weeks ago in the Silk Stocking at the Sunny Coast where she got back to near last in the run and while she was never a threat, I didn’t think she was too bad in defeat behind Essonne. Bred to appreciate 2000m+, but the rise to the mile is a big tick and she has more upside than most.

I have been a fan of 6 Helluva Barty (Bet Now:  $SP.00) for some time and confident he can measure up here fresh for the O’Dea/Hoysted camp. 2/2 when last in work, both wins seeing him produce an electric finale to win impressively before being spelled with this Carnival in mind. Loved the way he trucked in a trial here last week and in a fast run 1110m, he’ll be finishing off with purpose.

11 Lady Laguna (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should be suited back to 1110m. She ran two weeks ago in the Gold Coast Guineas at the Sunny Coast where she got a dream sit behind the speed before angling clear and once she did, she looked home but had no answers for the brilliant finale of Yellow Brick, who looks a serious Stradbroke horse. Back in trip, she’ll take beating.

12 Flaming Conquest (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and prove hard to run down. She did that three weeks back over 1000m at Eagle Farm and gave a big sight but couldn’t quite get there when third to Richon. I have no doubt she will lead if they desire to given her early toe. Last bit will test but she’ll look the winner for a long way.

6 Zethus (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be in for a good prep. James Cummings trains this son of Exceed And Excel, who was specked at odds when resuming a few weeks back in the Gold Rush at Hawkesbury and I thought closed off his race pretty well without threatening behind Malkovich, who dominated from the front and gave nothing else a look in. Good second up record and in a fast run race, he appeals.

11 King Kapa (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is too good of a horse to pen off one run howler. That howler came a few weeks ago at Eagle Farm over 1000m where on paper, he looked a moral, but he was the first horse beat and finished tailed off last behind Richon. Vet found nothing post race but he has too many credits in the bank from last prep to pen him just yet and I do think he’s a much better horse up in trip.

14 Orbisyn (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality sprinter for David Vandyke that resumes. He hasn’t raced since Jan 21 over 1110m at Doomben where he was a short priced favourite. He attempted to lead throughout and gave a solid kick but couldn’t quite finish it off, tiring late behind Fifteen Rounds. He seems a jump/run type so 1110m with that style is suited here and his trial work has been strong.

1 Zaaki (Bet Now:  $SP.00) picks himself I feel. Gun horse for Annabel Neasham that was enormous in winning his third straight Hollindale two weeks ago at the Sunny Coast. He did work in the run, copped heat, and was there to be run down, but class came to the fore and he was too good for them, just. He was only second up there, so he has good room for improvement, and he’s the class of the field, with that class to carry him a long way.

Giving enormous respect to 13 Kovalica (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He is the most likely to win the QLD Derby given how he has returned and what he did in the Summer. But, his win three weeks ago in the QLD Guineas was enormous given he was back, wide no cover, had nothing to drag him into the race, he did it all himself and he was still too good for them. Up to 2000m a tick, hard fit tick…if he’s overcome the injury from last week, he will be around the mark.

One of the more fascinating runners in the race is clearly 11 Duais (Bet Now:  $SP.00). Ed Cummings trains this star mare, and she is a star when right. The Spring prep was a failure. No other way to mention it after promising so much. The stable has kept her on ice and dodged the Autumn to focus on the Winter. Trial work has been more than encouraging and fresh at 2000m, obviously there is clear intent. She’ll be launching late and her best is clearly good enough.

2 Dark Destroyer (Bet Now:  $SP.00) showed last year he loves racing in Brisbane so returning here no issue and he is a WFA Group l winner having won the Tarzino Trophy at Hastings back home in New Zealand at the start of the Spring last year and hasn’t been seen since. He has a class factor about him and his trial back in NZ was a lovely piece of work. He only runs well. Each way for me.

15 Ucalledit (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another chance for Kris Lees. This gelding resumed a fortnight back in the ATC Trophy where he was trucking in the run behind the speed but once Mallyon asked for the effort, there wasn’t much there and he weakened late behind Fifteen Rounds. Fitter and up in trip, a track/distance he likes, I wouldn’t be dismissing him.

11 Hilal (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been a frustrating horse to follow since pretty much day one but there is denying he has the talent to take out a race like this. He ran two weeks back in the ATC Trophy where he seemingly had his chance and was far from disgraced in defeat behind Fifteen Rounds, beaten just under two lengths. Back up in trip, his best is clearly good enough.

I’ve learned my lesson potting the Kiwi 3YO Fillies at a staying trip. 7 Sakura Girl (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a good thing IMO. She has the A1 form in NZ and showed really good fight last time at Te Rapa in a solid F&M WFA race after leading, fighting on to run second. Good racing style, handles all conditions and has the right grounding to lead throughout. She’ll be on speed and be strong at the end. Keen.

3 Renaissance Woman (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be ticking along beautifully towards the Oaks. She let down with real purpose to win The Bracelet two weeks ago, sprouting wings late out wide to win impressively and stamp herself as a leading Oaks candidate. She was only second up there so she has good room for improvement and up in trip, she’ll take beating.

4 Tyresa (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has an awful racing pattern but I am convinced she is racing well. She got a mile out of her ground two weeks back in The Bracelet at the Sunny Coast and was never a threat but really liked the way she found the line late in the piece, beaten just under five lengths. If she can settle closer in the run, I think she is going well enough to launch at these late.

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 7 Sakura Girl

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 1 Zaaki

LONG SHOT: Race Four Number 13 Princess Rhaenys

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 6, 7, 11, 14

Leg Two: 1

Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 11, 15

Leg Four: 7

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