The richest raceday in Australia is Magic Millions Day and it finally arrives this Saturday at the Gold Coast, with $10 Million prizemoney up for grabs across nine races. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out a metre from the 1000m-400m; True for the remainder.
Race One (12:40) : Pacific Fair Magic Millions Maiden Plate 1200m:
Back Me: If ever 9 Mount Panorama (Bet Now: $3.80) is going to break the maiden tag, this looks the ideal assignment. This race is generally won by a Sydney sider or the best horse in the race, and Mount Panorama is clearly that. Ran well without much luck during the Spring before being freshened up and racing at Wyong where he got back and stuck on well behind class mare Egyptian Symbol. Just needs normal luck to knock this field off.
Big Danger: 3 Dortmund (Bet Now: $5.00) debuted under the lights of Canterbury where he sat outside the speed before taking the front 250m out and giving a really good kick under Rachel King but couldn’t hold out Thaad late. Has been nommed/accepted a couple of times since and did look to trial well a couple of weeks back. Draws horribly but gets Hugh Bowman steering.
Long Shot: 17 Kotinos (Bet Now: $17.00) comes here for Robert Smerdon and has to be respected as a leading chance. He last ran on December 12 at Kilmore where he attempted to lead all the way and gave a really good kick but was nabbed near the peg by Presidential Joy. Stable have had good success in previous editions of this race meeting and this son of Congrats looks to have his fair share of talent.
Race Two (13:15) : Sky Thoroughbred Central Magic Millions Country Cup 1200m:
Back Me: Going with the three year old 5 Mishani El Lobo (Bet Now: $16.00). The temptation was there to go to the Guineas but connections have elected to tackle the older horses over 1200m here and he does look one of the leading contenders off the back of an all the way victory at Murwillumbah last time out where he ran along at a genuine tempo then when asked for the effort, he kicked again and dashed clear to score. He’s got a super winning strike and I’m happy to be in his corner.
Big Danger: 1 Irish Constabulary (Bet Now: $9.00) is a sparingly raced eight year old but despite his age, he is racing so well. The slow tempo beat him two back in a heat of this race at Warwick before going to the Sunny Coast where he chased a hot tempo and he was there to be beaten but he kicked back hard to win. The weight is the obvious issue, but if he can overcome that, he is right in the game.
Long Shot: 4 Credit Card Miss (Bet Now: $16.00) stuck on well two back at Warwick Farm behind Anisha before going to Warwick in that race mentioned above where she slotted in nicely from the wide gate but again, the slow tempo was against her and she just couldn’t dash but stuck on for fourth. She normally saves her best for early on in the prep and this is run five now, so how much is left I am not sure, but on current form, she has to be included.
Race Three (13:50) : Magic Millions QTIS 1300m:
Back Me: 7 Siegfried (Bet Now: $8.50) resumed over 1200m at Doomben three weeks back where he had strong market support off the back of a couple of sharp trials and the punters faith was rewarded with a win, aided by an absolute peach from Jeff Lloyd, who hugged the inside and dashed through late to get the win. He has a fab record on his home track here and goes even better second up. Despite more depth, he’s the one to beat.
Big Danger: 4 Pepperano (Bet Now: $4.00) toughed it out very strongly on speed to win the Subzero on Oaks Day at Flemington before being tipped out for a little break. Resumed three weeks back at Doomben in a Class 6 where she got back in the ruck on the rail before Josh Oliver hugged the fence and got the splits to dash and for a moment she looked the winner but just didn’t have enough momentum. Been set for this raceday for some time and she looks on target to run an absolute beauty.
Long Shot: 2 Jumbo Prince (Bet Now: $18.00) is clearly the best horse in the race but it’ll be interesting to see him fresh at 1300m given he is a 2000m+ horse. He performed very well during the Winter in all the provincial cups, the latest at Grafton when a close up third to Rednav. Despite this being short of his best distance, he does sprint well fresh and has class on his side.
Race Four (14:25) : Moet & Chandon Magic Millions Trophy 2200m:
Back Me: Though somewhat aided by an absolute peach from McEvoy, there was a lot to like about the win of 4 Col ‘N’ Lil (Bet Now: $5.50) two weeks back over 2200m in the Shoot Out when ridden just off the speed before McEvoy picked his way through the field and on the turn, it was clear she was the one to beat and though challenged by High Church, she safely held that in form horse comfortably and was strong to the line. Good record here and has a real sense of timing.
Big Danger: 3 Boom Time (Bet Now: $3.20) is a quality stayer for the the Hayes/Dabernig team that comes to the sunshine state in super form off the back of three sharp wins back home in Melbourne, the latest over 2500m when defeating Gallic Chieftain, who has franked the form. Back to 2200m is no issue, draws a lovely gate, well weighted and Williams steers.
Long Shot: 9 San Telmo (Bet Now: $15.00) is an up and coming stayer that has upside and will be suited up to this distance after racing over 2000m at Doomben three weeks back where he sat handy to the speed and fought on quite strongly but had to settle for a narrow second to Fuerza. He is much better when he is ridden with cover, and if that can eventuate here, he is a great chance of bouncing back hard at odds.
Race Five (15:00) : It’s Live! Queensland Magic Millions F&M Plate 1300m:
Back Me: 3 Egyptian Symbol (Bet Now: $2.90) has been bursting to win a rich race for a while now, and I think she will get her moment in the spotlight here. She looked to trial very nicely at Rosehill before going to the 3YO&4YO Magic Millions at Wyong where Avdulla took bad luck out of the equation, rolling her to the front and from there it was pretty painless. She is much better when ridden with cover, which is what should eventuate here I think, and with normal luck in running, I think she will be too good for them.
Big Danger: 6 Kinshachi (Bet Now: $10.00) is a mare who is always around the mark for Godolphin and is the hard fit runner here. She had late backing last time out at Eagle Farm in the Nudgee and it was left to that man again Jeff Lloyd to get the best out of the horse and lift her late when challenged. Up to 1300m is what she is looking for now, and she should be cherry ripe fitness wise third up from a spell. The key threat.
Long Shot: If there is to be a knockout, include 10 Fiftyshadesofgrey (Bet Now: $71.00). She had no hope the way the track played a fortnight back at Canterbury but I thought she closed off quite nicely late. The talk was that the blinkers had really sharpened her up but the bias that day didn’t allow us to get a real guide. She’ll get a cracking tempo here and don’t be surprised to see her ambush late because she is capable.
Race Six (15:35) : Woodford Reserve Magic Millions Cup 1400m:
Back Me: 2 Most Important (Bet Now: $3.60) is the form local engaged here and has to be rated as a leading contender. He swept the Summer Sprint Series, winning all three legs to collect the $500,000 bonus. He gives the impression he will handle the 1400m without too much hassle, he’s hard fit and is in his backyard whereas the two mentioned below have had to travel a fair distance.
Big Danger: 1 Lucky Hussler (Bet Now: $4.40) is the defending champ here and the whispers are that he is flying in his work in preparation to defend the title. He trotted up in this race last year but didn’t quite come on after that triumph, though in the Spring he dashed hard in inferior ground to win the Kevin Heffernan at Sandown. Sprints very well fresh and given his record, he does look so well suited at the weights like he was last year.
Long Shot: Prepared to take the chance with the Gary Portelli trained 9 Testashadow (Bet Now: $19.00). He resumes here off the back of a mixed Winter/Spring, which started brightly with a super first up win but he couldn’t quite go on with it afterwards. He does tend to save his best for the 1400m and his two trials leading in have been outstanding to the eye. I think he will run a huge race, especially on a firm surface.
Race Seven (16:15) : Gold Coast Magic Millions Guineas 1400m:
Back Me: I’m going to stick solid with 2 Global Glamour (Bet Now: $8.00). Trialled like Black Caviar before taking on the older mares in the Nudgee (1200m) where it was just a complete forgive/forget effort. It was just a negative ride from Angland given he had a plum draw and just got too far back in the ruck and then had severe traffic issues. I just keep coming to the fact she is a multiple Group l winner in the space of seven days and the form out of those Group l wins has been outstanding with the likes of Yankee Rose and I Am A Star. Keen on her to knock off Winning Rupert despite the wide gate, because I can’t see much speed around her.
Big Danger: 1 Winning Rupert (Bet Now: $1.55) is the clear favourite and rightfully so after putting a sequence of high class wins, the latest coming in the Vo Rogue (1300m) where he led them a merry dance and bolted in, running a record time. What I will say though is that several records were broken that day, so I won’t pay too much attention to that stat. 1400m is a different beast, especially at the Gold Coast, and he will face a capacity field here with speed. I concede he is a star and a massive chance here, but there are too many questions for mine to warrant $1.50.
Long Shot: That pair are streets ahead of the rest, so next best for mine is 9 Eckstein (Bet Now: $11.00). She was a sharp winner of the Mode Plate before being freshened up and racing over 1200m here last Saturday against open class horses where she had a lovely three wide drag up before Avdulla peeled her to the outside and despite taking some time to wind up, she was powerful late and got the win in the last couple of strides. On that run, she’ll have no issues with the 1400m. Doubt she can win, but a must as a place bet and exotics.
Race Eight (16:55) : Jeep Magic Millions Classic 1200m:
Back Me: They will go crazy hard in front here, so I am looking for a horse who I know will be strong at the end of 1200m and the horse that fits the criteria is the Bjorn Baker trained 2 Goodfella (Bet Now: $19.00). He showed a lovely turn of foot on a bog track to win the maiden two back at Cantebury before going to the BJ McLachlan where he got a mile back in the run yet sprouted wings late to run second to Ours To Keep, who is probably the number one seed of the local boys. $26 and better for this horse looks tremendous overs because he will sit off a brutal tempo and could well have the last say.
Big Danger: Very difficult to win any race let alone a $2 Million race on the seven day back up, but you just had to be impressed in a big way by what you saw with 11 Houtzen (Bet Now: $4.60) last Saturday over 1100m where she led all the way and absolutely bolted in despite being ridden as if she was in a barrier trial. The clock backed up what you saw, so it’s easy to see why she is the favourite. Barrier 21 is the killer though. What will Lloyd do from there? Can she take a sit and still be explosive? If she can, she’s the one to beat. But she does seem short.
Long Shot: 8 Madeenaty (Bet Now: $8.00) is somewhat the forgotten horse engaged here. She produced two outstanding runs during the Melbourne Spring before being freshened up with this race in mind. She resumed in the Wyong Magic Millions and though she fell in, I thought the win was outstanding because she had to carve over from the wide gate and did all the donkey work on speed, so she was there to be beaten but her brilliance came to the fore. She does seem a risk at 1200m, but she has class and quality, and I could certainly entertain her at around the $10 mark.
Race Nine (17:40) : Myer Magic Millions Sprint 1200m:
Back Me: Going with 4 Target In Sight (Bet Now: $4.60). Quality sprinter that resumes here for Joe Pride after a failed stint to qualify for the Stradbroke. He has been given a really good break since the Carnival and I have loved what I have seen from him in a couple of barrier trials, the latest coming last Thursday at Randwick where he was under triple wraps behind a potential Group l horse in Chetwood. He is an absolute bomb when produced fresh and he races well at the Gold Coast.
Big Danger: 14 Hidden Pearl (Bet Now: $7.00) is a nippy mare for Barry Lockwood who is in super form this time in. Freshened up after a failure at Eagle Farm to race in the Falvelon a fortnight ago where she was heavily backed and the punters’ faith was rewarded with a dominant on speed win, and broke the track record, as did several others that afternoon. 1200m is a different pain barrier, but if she gets a cheap sectional on speed here, she’ll take some beating.
Long Shot: 16 Viddora (Bet Now: $7.50) also comes through the Falvelon where she sat off that hot tempo before coming wide on the turn and though taking a few strides to get into gear, she really finished her race off with purpose to run a game second to Hidden Pearl. She too is suspect at 1200m, but her work here this week looked very good to the eye and stable have had good previous success on this raceday.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 2 Global Glamour
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 9 Mount Panorama
VALUE: Race Eight Number 2 Goodfella
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 18
Leg Two: 1, 2, 9
Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 8, 10, 11, 13
Leg Four: 4, 6, 8, 10, 14, 16
$50 Investment= 4.40% of the dividend if successful
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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