It’s had a build up like no other race and finally, the $13 Million TAB Everest (1200m) comes around this Saturday at Randwick, with a crack field of 12 lining up in the feature on a brilliant ten race card. The weather is overcast, the track is heavy (9) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
The Everest 🏔: View the Everest Field
Race 1. (12:30) Victory Vein Plate 1000m
I like what I have seen at the trials from 2 Disruptor (Bet Now: $7.00 FAT ODDS), a Dissident colt on debut for Gary Portelli. This bloke won a Rosehill trial impressively last Tuesday before backing up in a trial at Warwick Farm on Monday and closing off strongly from off the pace. Been given a good grounding for the debut so a tough 1000m will be no issue.
7 Zoushack (Bet Now: $6.00 FAT ODDS) is a Hayes/Dabernig trained colt who trialled well behind Disruptor at Rosehill before going to Warwick Farm on Monday where he was on speed and looked to travel well when winning nicely under young Kersley. Tricky draw to overcome but did show gate speed on Monday.
9 Anaheed (Bet Now: $7.00 FAT ODDS) is a Fastnet Rock filly having her first start for Team Snowden. Well bred youngster who has looked pretty good at the trials, the latest trial being on Monday at Warwick Farm where she was on speed and looked to go about her business quite nicely in getting the job done. Always have to respect the stable with their youngsters.
Race 2. (13:05) TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1400m
Going with 14 Ave (Bet Now: $11.00 FAT ODDS). The Ryan stable train this mare, who resumed at Dubbo over 1300m, which was an ask, but she produced one of the runs of the day for mine when second to Eyesaw, running some outstanding late splits. Very good record on rain affected tracks and the extra 100m looks ideal for her.
3 Saxton Rock (Bet Now: $11.00 FAT ODDS) is a Matty Dunn trained of Snitzel who resumed with a pretty sharp win over 1400m at the Gold Coast before going to the Sunny Coast mile where he wasn’t quite as dynamic but stuck to his guns well enough I thought behind Reckless Choice. He should just about be ready third up and if you’re unsure in these Highways, Danny Williams or Matty Dunn are the safe options. But I’m sure this bloke will go close, and I like him back to 1400m.
Be wary of the third up bounce back from 10 Majestic Pedrille (Bet Now: $26.00 FAT ODDS). Sharp winner first up at Muswellbrook over the talented Lips’N’Lashes before going to the Denman Cup where she found the class a bit much but was very good in defeat all the same. Unknown at 1400m, but has ability and has to be respected.
Race 3. (13:40) Reginald Allen Quality 1400m
I’m a fan of 6 Unguarded (Bet Now: $6.00 FAT ODDS) and I think she can measure up here, especially on a wet track. Took a while to break the maiden but it finally came around on the Monday meeting on the Kensington track when well steered by Andrew Adkins and running clear late. Ran well on bogs in the Winter and 1400m no issue.
1 Cristobal (Bet Now: $2.95 FAT ODDS) is well fancied by some and understandably so given last start at Rosehill where she loomed to win but just couldn’t quite there when third to Gem Song. Blinkers are on and drops back to her own age/sex, third up and ready to peak. She’s just starting to get nearly into the ‘too short’ bracket.
9 Evalina (Bet Now: $17.00 FAT ODDS) is a Kris Lees trained filly who has always had a bit of a wrap on her since day one. First couple of runs were a touch disappointing but she got the maiden win last time at Wyong, sitting on speed under Avdulla and proving too good. Bred to handle a track with give and has room for improvement.
Race 4. (14:15) The Spring Mile (100) 1600m
Put the pen through 3 Danon Liberty (Bet Now: $9.50 FAT ODDS) if he can’t run well here. Last chance. Was hot on him to win the Stradbroke but unfortunately he couldn’t get a start. Has had three runs this time in and overall, has been disappointing, but I reckon there’s been a touch of merit at his past two, most notably two back in the Penny Edition behind Theanswermyfriend. Hard Randwick mile on a wet track should suit and Ryan Moore steers.
2 Stampede (Bet Now: $7.50 FAT ODDS) is a quality stayer resuming for the WaterBott team. Thus bloke hasn’t raced since the Sky High in the Autumn where he ran midfield behind Auvray after doing work on speed. Very good fresh record, much the same on wet ground and looked sharp in a recent trial win here over 1050m. Market will be the guide given the recent poor form of the stable.
Been a long time since 1 Sense Of Occasion (Bet Now: $26.00 FAT ODDS) has contested a race as weak as this and even with the weight, I think he has to be respected. He’s a pure swimmer who won the Villiers in 2016 on a wet track so we know he handles the track/distance. Forget his Cameron resumption where had the big weight and dry track. Trial since has been encouraging and I’m expecting a much better performance.
Race 5. (14:50) The Kosciuszko 1200m
I’m in the camp of 5 Victorem (Bet Now: $3.80). He’s the most brilliant horse in this race and if it was on top of the ground, he’d be a good thing. The wet track brings him back to the field somewhat but his two race day appearances on wet ground, he’s handled it confidently. Trials leading in have been great and from all reports, he has come back enormous and is ready to rock and roll.
6 Don’t Give A Damn (Bet Now: $3.90) is a quality animal for Danny Williams who was confidently backed when winning first up over 1200m before lumping 64kg at Rosehill a few weeks ago on the bog and he couldn’t lift his feet up behind wet track specialist Conarchie. I don’t think the wet track will be an issue and ability wise, he’s one of the best in the field.
2 Sharpe Hussler (Bet Now: $15.00) wanted a slot in the Kosciuszko and he got one. Ran twice in town in the latter part of Winter, winning impressively at Rosehill before getting too far back on an on pace track behind Almanzora. Went like a jet in a recent Scone trial and when trained in Queensland, his wet track form, especially with big weights, is encouraging.
Race 6. (15:30) Sydney Stakes 1200m
8 Burning Passion (Bet Now: $16.00) is the knockout if we get a heavy track. Mark Newnham trains this bloke, who is first up here and I reckon he’s been given the grounding to run well fresh. The most recent trial behind Kaepernick to the eye was awful but bear in mind he didn’t have the blinkers on and he’s a different beast with them on.
9 Tactical Advantage (Bet Now: $4.60) deserves a crack at this level. He’s been very good this time in for the Kris Lees stable, showing an electric turn of foot on several occasions, the latest coming on the Kensington track at Randwick. The wet track probably takes away his zip, and has to stretch it to 1200m, but hard to ignore what he’s doing.
15 Egyptian Symbol (Bet Now: $26.00) is generally quite consistent but in recent times she has been somewhat the opposite. Hasn’t raced since finishing down the track in the Sheraco. Been given the freshen up and she went like a jet in a Rosehill trial. I reckon her best days are behind her, but wet track suits and Ryan Moore has the ride.
Race 7. (16:15) The Everest 1200m
10 Shoals (Bet Now: $6.50) for me but you wouldn’t look silly if you put any of the 12 on top. This mare just looks primed to run well. Loved her resumption in the McEwen before going to the Premiere where she beat all bar stablemate Santa Ana Lane. She thrives on wet ground and the four times at Group l level for three wins and a second. Happy to be in her corner.
I’ve got a nice futures ticket on 9 In Her Time (Bet Now: $13.00) so I’ll be cheering for her as well. I thought her run was simply outstanding in the Premiere. She was first up and was the lone survivor of those near the speed, with the Freedman pair nabbing her late. Much prefer on top of the ground, but she did win the Galaxy on a bog, so she’s not legless if the track has give.
Would not surprise me at all if 6 Brave Smash (Bet Now: $12.00) won this. Darren Weir has this bloke ticking over beautifully for the race, and his Moir effort behind Viddora was outstanding, closing off with real purpose. The big ticks for him are that the blinkers go on for the race and he’ll swim, so if the rain comes, his chances rise.
Race 8. (16:50) Craven Plate 2000m
I think getting give in the track will really suit 12 Egg Tart (Bet Now: $3.40). Was all over her last time in the Hill Stakes but unfortunately the track dried right out, it was a rock hard surface and she couldn’t finish it off when third to Ace High. Gets back onto a wet track now, hard fit, in form, and she gets her chance.
Looks a perfect race for 3 It’s Somewhat (Bet Now: $5.00). James Cummings has this bloke going really well, his latest run coming in the Hill Stakes when closing off strongly late to run second to Ace High. Won the Doncaster on a bog so a wet track is no issue and being fourth up, he should just about be ready to go fitness wise.
Long Shot: 11 Dixie Blossoms (Bet Now: $9.00) is a fascinating runner. On the quick back up after racing in the Angst last Saturday over the mile here where she loomed to win but couldn’t quite get there when third to I Am Serious. Christian Reith said post race the mare wants further, which she gets straight away. Interesting to see what she does.
Race 9. (17:35) St Leger Stakes 2600m
Happy to take a chance on 2 Red Cardinal (Bet Now: $19.00). Darren Weir trains this galloper, and to the eye, he’s been disappointing this time in but bear in mind he has raced at trips that are clearly short of his best. Stretches out to 2600m here, which he’ll love, and his record beyond 2400m is first class. Wet track the only niggle.
8 Sikandarabad (Bet Now: $5.50) is an absolute beauty for the Hayes/Dabernig team and has to be respected here. He comes through the Metropolitan where I thought he ran a very credible race in defeat, running a narrow third to Patrick Erin. Wet track is perfect for this bloke, he’s hard fit, in form…very likeable.
If the track was firm, I’d have 3 Auvray (Bet Now: $5.00) on top. I reckon Richard Freedman has this bloke flying this prep. Beat all bar Carzoff two back in the Newcastle Cup before going to the Metropolitan where I thought he was a bit unlucky behind Patrick Erin. Just got a touch further back than what Tye would have liked then was held up slightly in the straight. Beautifully in at the weights re the Metrop horses and he can turn the tables for sure.
Race 10. (18:10) Cellarbrations Sprint (78) 1000m
11 Prince Mayted (Bet Now: $20.00) is an absolute beauty for the Colt Prosser team. He just doesn’t know how to run a bad race and he did much the same at the Rosehill midweeks last time when wide throughout but sticking on courageously on the bog behind Resin. He’s a swimmer and the Randwick 1000m looks ideal for him.
2 Revenire (Bet Now: $4.60) is a talented son of Lonhro resuming for the James Cummings stable. This bloke had a five run Autumn/Winter prep, winning his first two runs before placing at his next three. The form from all those races is inferior IMO to what he faces here, but he’s a bomb fresh horse, loves a wet track and has been given a decent trial at Rosehill.
4 Blue Tycoon (Bet Now: $14.00) is a Hayes/Dabernig trained gelding resuming. This five year old hasn’t raced since the Adelaide Carnival when racing like a tired horse after leading when down the track behind Bord De Gain. Recent trial at Rosehill was quite encouraging, has run well on soft ground previously…a chance.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 12 Egg Tart
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 5 Victorem
LONG SHOT: Race Ten Number 11 Prince Mayted
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 1, 6, 9, 10, 11
Leg Two: 3, 11, 12, 14
Leg Three: 2, 3, 8, 10
Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 8, 11
$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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