Midweek racing in Melbourne on Wednesday makes a rare trip to Caulfield for eight races. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out twelve metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (15:40) Vale Rick Hore-lacy Hcp 1200m
I don’t think you can tip against 4 No Diggity (Bet Now: $1.40). This filly was smashed in betting when debuting at Geelong on Boxing Day and the market got her spot on. Had the suck run behind the speed and once Froggy got clear, she did the rest and was too good. That was 1100m and she should be better suited with another 100m.
5 New York Scandal (Bet Now: $6.00) will be a guide as to how strong the Jacquinot form is. This filly was big odds when debuting behind that impressive first up winner and while she was never a threat, she did make up ground and wasn’t too bad. Small field helps and has race experience.
2 Toronto Terrier (Bet Now: $12.00) is a son of Toronado for Michael Moroney that is on debut. He’s had one jumpout under his name but has had two jumpouts when unnamed so he’s had a pretty solid grounding for this assignment. Is he good enough? Not sure, but small field helps his cause.
Race 2. (16:15) Neds Redoute's Choice (bm64) 1200m
Freshened up and back to 1200m I like for 1 Guardian Spirit (Bet Now: $4.60). I was keen on his chances last time out at Flemington over 1400m but I just think seven furlongs sees him out, making some ground but not savaging the line. Back to 1200m, he can sit back and launch at these late.
2 Danny’s St Darci (Bet Now: $4.60) has a tricky draw to overcome but she’s a filly who is doing a really good job this time in for Archie Alexander. She was trucking at the Valley last time. Just a matter of getting clear and once she did, she surged in the straight and nailed them to win. Hard to beat with luck from the gate.
6 Rusheen (Bet Now: $7.00) is certainly capable if he produces anywhere near his best. Ran down the Flemington straight on New Years Day where he was quite keen in the run but did make up some ground late behind a very nice animal, Clemenceau. Back miles in depth, he can improve.
Race 3. (16:50) Neds Canny Lad (bm64) 1100m
I’m with 3 Minouche (Bet Now: $3.70). James Cummings trains this filly, who comes to Victoria off the back of an impressive maiden win on the Beaumont track at Newcastle where she knuckled down strongly late to wear down the leaders and get the win. Stable have had recent success when bringing them down from NSW and she finds a winnable race.
1 First Division (Bet Now: $3.10) is a daughter of Rich Enuff for Henry Dwyer that gave them a spanking first up in a Bendigo maiden. Was able to rail up and hold the lead and from there, she spanked them, winning by a space and running solid time. More depth here, but confident she measures up.
7 Live In Hope (Bet Now: $16.00) rises a fair bit in grade/depth but she comes here as a last start winner and should be strong late, which is what she was when breaking her maiden tag at Kyneton last time, charging from off the speed to nail them in the final strides. Likely eases back to last but will be closing off.
Race 4. (17:25) Neds Spartacus (bm64) 1440m
4 Galactus (Bet Now: $3.70) has been super in two runs back from a spell for Simon Zahra. Good against the pattern fresh at Geelong behind Rising Sphere before going to Sandown where he got a mile out of his ground but liked the way he finished his race off behind Field Of Roses. If he can sit closer in the run, he’ll take beating.
3 Pal D’Oro (Bet Now: $2.70) has done little wrong this time in for the Maher/Eustace camp. Dominant first up win on the Lakeside track at Sandown before racing on the Hillside course where he was a notable drifter in betting and while he didn’t win, he still ran a super race when a narrow third to Field Of Roses. Hard fit now, good draw, hard to beat.
2 Onslaught (Bet Now: $51.00) is big odds here given he has In The Boat form, which is looking strong for this time of year. He ran here on Boxing Day and was moving into the race okay before getting badly hampered by the fall, which took away any chance he had. If he remains big odds, I could have something very small each way on him.
Race 5. (18:00) Neds Canny Lass (bm70) 2000m
6 Succeed Indeed (Bet Now: $13.00) doesn’t win out of turn but I think she’s flying this time in. Good late fresh in what is turning out to be a strong form reference at Sandown. Then last time at Geelong, she got back against the track/race pattern but loved the way she closed off when second to Swiss Hero. Hard fit now and up to 2000m, she’s hard to beat.
7 Designs (Bet Now: $10.00) is a hard horse to follow and trust with confidence but she broke a run of outs last week at Wangaratta. To the eye, it was plain, but I thought the win had merit given she was forced to make her move 600m out and was there to be run down but fought on hard to get the win. The question is can she win again?
Backing 13 My Delight (Bet Now: $21.00) to win does take courage, but she always is in with a shout in these kind of races. Ran over 1800m at Sandown last time out where she got back to near last in the run and did make ground without threatening behind the in form Convict Sam. Up to 2000m, she can threaten if she’s within range.
Race 6. (18:30) Neds Toorak Toff (bm70) 1600m
7 Dundirtcheap (Bet Now: $4.40) is a Maher/Eustace trained gelding that resumes. Had two runs in the Summer to start his career, winning both times and looked impressive each time he stepped out. Several jumpouts to get ready have been sound and for mine, is forward enough for the mile fresh.
2 Gentleman Roy (Bet Now: $1.70) is a horse touted as a potential blacktype horse. If indeed he is is that, he’d want to be winning here. Hasn’t raced since December 18 when a dominant on speed winner over 1400m at Flemington. Proven at the mile, he has to be respected here.
5 Jesta Dreama (Bet Now: $31.00) is a knockout hope. Ran over the mile at Flemington last time out where he was dragged back to near last from the wide gate and while he was never a threat, he did make up good ground when fourth to Brasada. If he can use the inside gate to advantage, he’s in with a shout.
Race 7. (19:00) Neds Dash For Cash (bm64) 1000m
1 Sweetzou (Bet Now: $6.00) will need luck from the draw with her racing pattern, but if she does indeed get the breaks, I think she’ll go very close. Both runs back from a break have come over 955m at the Valley, winning impressively fresh before having little luck last start after getting a mile out of her ground. Hard to beat with a clear path.
9 Tsunami Sam (Bet Now: $2.70) is a very interesting runner. Former Kiwi that makes his Australian debut for Team Hayes. Debuted at Ruakaka back in July when a strong on speed winner in a race which has produced five winners. He has looked a bit sluggish at the jumpouts, but head gear applied and a lugging bit can hopefully spark some improvement.
6 Chosen Blonde (Bet Now: $5.00) will look the winner for a long way. Chris Bieg trained mare that comes over from SA with pretty solid efforts. Looked the winner last time out at Morphettville but 1100m just found her out and was nabbed late by Shellshocked, who was beaten narrowly at Gawler on Saturday, so the form reads okay. I hope Josh Richards can use the whip in the right hand because this mare can drift out under pressure.
Race 8. (19:30) Neds Foxseal (bm64) 1200m
Trying to find something at value in the last and I think it lies with 1 Cranc (Bet Now: $21.00), who resumes for the Maher/Eustace camp. He did a good job in his first prep, winning three of five, with his lone poor run being the last run of the prep, where he was probably a tired horse, and perhaps not 100% happy on the wet track. Jumpouts to get ready have been just fair, but I can see him getting three/four wide cover here and being strong late.
5 Kentucky Casanova (Bet Now: $2.50) is the straight bat option. He’s done little wrong in his four start career. Latest run came down the straight at Flemington where he loomed to win but couldn’t match it with a pretty good straight track horse in Pioneer River, running third. That reads well for this.
9 Jungle Jim (Bet Now: $10.00) will put himself on speed and try hard. Did that first up at Moe and was there to be run down but showed good ticker late to fend them off and win. Clearly a harder assignment, but has the right racing pattern and this track can suit on speed when the rail is out this much.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 4 Galactus
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 7 Dundirtcheap
LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 1 Cranc
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 5, 6, 7, 13
Leg Two: 2, 7
Leg Three: 1, 6, 9, 13
Leg Four: 1, 5, 9, 10, 17
$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
|Bookmaker||Why Bet||Sign Up||Full Review|
|Sign up and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!||Join||Review|
|Back a Winner with Neds!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to TAB and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|
|Sign up to PlayUp and start betting in minutes!||Join||Review|