1/1/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Flemington, Chester Manifold Stakes day

New Years Day racing in Melbourne heads to Flemington. Weather is fine, track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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1 Midtown Boss (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to have a bit on these re quality. This guy is first up, having not raced since June 3 when placing down the straight here behind Legio Ten. Jumpout work has been strong, proven straight performer and with a class edge, I think he’s a great way to start the meeting. Keen.

4 Mornington Glory (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is knocking on the door to win. He ran down the straight here last time out and looked all over a winner when presented by Currie but just found one better. Drawn the rught part of the track, hard fit, in form, likeable.

10 Coriolis (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a James Cummings trained mare that resumes. This girl is first up, having not raced since Sep 8 on the Kenso at Randwick when placing behind subsequent Group l winner Tropical Squall. Trial work has been strong and she brings key form to say she commands respect.

3 Ginger N Pink (Bet Now:  $SP.00) seems a touch of overs in early betting. 2/2 this time in this Moody/Coleman filly, the latest over 1200m at Caulfield where she gave them a start and a beating in a sharp display. The way she put them away there, 1400m looks ideal and with the claim for Tatum Bull, I think this girl is very much well in.

2 Carrazana (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the best horse in the race. Just a matter of where he is at re fitness levels. He resumes for Chris Waller off the back of a jumpout at Flemington where he won it, but the time was very slow, so in terms of grounding, it’s not there to say he should be a short priced favourite. But, if the market is firm/warm, then he probably wins comfortably and wins better races.

7 Mont Saint Michael (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one I can entertain for wider multiples. This guy was a strong debut winner and has been solid in two subsequent runs, the latest in the Stockade at Ballarat when third to dominant winner Sunset Dreaming. He maps to do no work in the run and down in the weights, firmer footing, he’s in with a shout.

8 Master Right (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a tricky gate to overcome but he’s racing well and I do think a win isn’t far off. He has finished runner up in both runs this time in, firstly at Kembla before going to Sandown where he kept finding the line when second to Call Him iggy. Hard fit, up to the mile, I think he’s worth an each way ticket despite the wide draw.

3 King’s Taj (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has become a winning machine so with that in mind, he commands respect. He has won his past two, the latest coming over 1400m at Cranbourne when getting the suck run in behind before angling clear and drove hard late to finish best and win. Tricky gate, but hard to knock the way he’s racing.

11 The Claimant (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Mick Kent trained stayer that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since May 10 at Sandown over 2400m when struggling to pick his feet up on the bog behind Jaykayann. Better suited over further but his best is clearly good enough to be in with a shout here at odds.

9 Uniquely (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is worth a throw at the stumps at odds. She comes through the Sea Speedwell race from Sandown over 2100m where she got back in the run and made up minimal headway in a race dominated by those on speed. She’s hard to catch at times but she maps to do no work in the run, be strong late and Alana Kelly rides this mare well.

10 Aria Electra (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing in very consistent form for Peter Gelagotis and commands respect. She ran over 1400m at Caulfield and kept finding the line in defeat behind Dane On Tour. Rise in trip suits and IMO this race isn’t deep.

7 Born Hustler (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one for exotics. She has been ridden forward her past couple and has been okay without setting the world on fire, the latest run being at Geelong when attempting to lead throughout but just felt the pinch late behind Knightlaila. Not sure I could back her to win but if they go forward and she doesn’t spend too many petrol tickets, she is a first four contender.

8 Texas Tea (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a talented stayer who looks to be heading in the right direction. Maher/Eustace trained galloper that resumed over 1400m at Sandown where he got a mile out of his ground and while he was never a winning threat, I liked the way he found the line behind Who Dares. Previous second up winner and up to 1800m, fitter, he only runs well.

2 Vasmee (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and prove hard to run down. He did that at Caulfield last time and gave cheek but couldn’t quite see it through behind Commander Harry. Good racing style, in well after the claim, he’ll look the winner at some stage.

3 Hasseltoff (Bet Now:  $SP.00) hasn’t won in just under a year but that said he’s racing in solid enough form. He is over four weeks between runs since racing over this trip at Caulfield where he got a fair way out of his ground and did make up headway but was never really threatening behind Blazing Rebel. Like him at Flemington, D Lane takes over and he should be strong at the end.

8 Glentaneous (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has found winning form and he can certainly go on with it. Team Freedman trained stayer that looked a moral when racing at Sandown two back and despite the odd moment of concern, he was always in control and won impressively, backing that performance up with a dominant win at The Valley last Saturday. He’ll have no issue with the trip, in form and he strikes not an overly deep staying race.

9 I’m A Dirty Rascal (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has the sense of timing and he looks like he will have no issue with 2800m. GaiBott trained import that ran over 2400m at Randwick last time where he was quite one paced when asked for the effort but he stayed on and was pretty good in defeat behind First Light. Upside, leading camp, will roll forward…hard to beat.

11 Long Arm (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is capable with his best. Peter Gelagotis trained stayer that ran in the Ruling race from a few weeks at Caulfield where he was back in the run, shuffled back, and couldn’t quite get involved when beaten 6.5L. Prior effort at Morphettville was quite good and the form out of that has been franked. On firmer footing, he can run an improved race.

7 Validated (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is on the quick back up for Team Blanch after racing over 1000m last Saturday at Murray Bridge when back near last in the run and spotted those in front a decent start but loved the way he found the line late in the piece behind Magic Max, running second. I am thinking that was a prep run for this. Should get three wide cover, a drag into the race and launch at them late.

3 Unusual Culture (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is hard to beat. Maher/Eustace mare that has been kept on ice, having not raced since the Kevin Heffernan at Caulfield when on speed and she fought on well in defeat behind noted swimmer King Magnus. Good record at Flemington, should land on speed and be hard to get past.

2 Crosshaven (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an improver on firmer footing. He comes through the Kevin Heffernan where he just couldn’t pick his feet up on the wet ground behind King Magnus so forgive and forget. Back on top of the ground and back on a track he likes…yes, he’s an enigma, but he’s well placed in a race like this.

8 Call Him Iggy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a promising animal for Maher/Eustace and seems the straight bat option in the get out. Unbeaten in two career outings, he won well on debut at Seymour before going to Sandown when smashed in betting and was impressive after sitting on speed, maintaining a safe margin in the run to the line. Good racing style and beware the unbeaten horse. He’ll do me.

2 Bel Air (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a hard gate to overcome but he’s nearing a win. Team Freedman trained gelding that has finished runner up his past two, the latest at Caulfield where he drove hard late but just missed out on the win behind My Boy Birmingham. If he can get three wide cover, a drag into the race, he will look the winner at some stage I’m sure.

3 Tasman Park (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a hard horse to catch at times but he’s usually around the mark and that has been the case in two runs this time in, the latest being in the My Boy Birmingham race mentioned above where he seemingly had his chance but was good in defeat to finish third. Has run well at the track/distance previously and third up, he should be hard fit.

BEST BET: Race One Number 1 Midtown Boss

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 8 Glentaneous

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 7 Validated

Quaddie (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 2, 3, 8, 10

Leg Two: 8

Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 5, 7

Leg Four: 2, 3, 8, 13

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful.

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