2/8/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Goodwood, Sussex Stakes day

Glorious Goodwood 2023 continues this Wednesday night, headlined by a crack edition of the Sussex Stakes (1609m).

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Sussex Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Sussex Stakes

6 Amleto (Bet Now:  $SP.00) on top in the opener. William Haggas trained son of Sea The Stars that resumes, having not raced since May 10 at Chester when racing over 2000m on a bottomless deck and he ploughed through the conditions best to win impressively, proving very strong to the line, so 2400m here should be no issue and for mine is one of the hardest to beat.

3 Westerton (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a key threat. He is a few weeks between runs since racing over 2000m at Newmarket when on the outside of the field and was moving well to the eye but when asked for the effort, the wheels were spinning and he just whacked to the line but was game in defeat when third to Killybegs Warrior. 2400m should be fine, and on a firmer deck, he’ll be around the mark.

2 Struth (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give a bold sight. He did that last start at Ascot and tried his guts out but he was nearer the inside, which wasn’t the spot to be, tiring late but staying on well enough to claim third. He is the proven 2400m+ stayer in the field so with a positive ride, turn this into a test, he’ll be dangerous.

7 White Moonlight (Bet Now:  $SP.00) seems the straight bat option for Godolphin. He has won two on the bounce, both on Synthetic. Latest was at Chelmsford when leading throughout and was there to be beaten but she was strong to the line and fended them off to win impressively. She has come back in really good order and with a positive racing style, she’ll take beating.

2 Fast Response (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will be dangerous if she’s within range. She ran at Chester a few weeks ago where she got back off the speed and was further back when the sprint went on but she got clear air late and savaged the line to finish second to Holguin. That was her first run in six weeks so with room for improvement, more positive ride, she can take this out.

3 Internationalangel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look at odds. She contested the race mentioned above at Chelmsford won by White Moonlight. She was wide no cover for the trip on speed and that hard run just told late, tiring to finish fifth. She has run well at Goodwood previously and maps much better this time around so don’t dismiss her.

5 Kylian… (Bet Now:  $SP.00) he might well be one right out of the box. He confirmed early promise with a somewhat arrogant win at Newcastle two back before going to Sandown for the Dragon Stakes where he gave them a start and a beating, rounding them up with absolute ease despite doing plenty wrong and the final margin of six lengths flattered his rivals. He is a potential star and confident he makes it three on the bounce.

3 Big Evs (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be respected. This colt has been freshened up since leading throughout to bolt up in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. He was absolutely trucking in the run under Jason Hart before being clicked up and he went through his gears like a nice horse to win by a space in solid time. Kept on ice with this race in mind, good racing style, he’ll take running down.

2 Barnwell Boy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a first four prospect. He comes through the Windsor Castle behind Big Evs. He was with the inside pack and seemed to move well in the run but the last 200m, the wheels were spinning and he struggled late in the piece, ending up getting beat just over nine lengths. Debut win here was electric and was $6 in the Windsor Castle so from an SP perspective, he’s not to be dismissed.

6 Paddington (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is world class and confident he’ll confirm that furthermore with a win here. There was a lot of quality about his St James’s Palace win at Royal Ascot and proved that was no fluke when taking on the older horses in the Eclipse at Sandown and passed with flying colours, safely holding star mare Emily Upjohn. Back to the mile looks ideal…he’s short, but deservedly so. Star.

4 Inspiral (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the key threat, if there is a threat. She has been kept on ice, having not raced since the Queen Anne when a game second to Triple Time. She was there to win the race but couldn’t quite finish it off and had to settle for a narrow second. She has done little wrong in a nine start career and with good upside to come, she commands some level of respect.

2 Chindit (Bet Now:  $SP.00) ran down the track in this race last year behind Baaeed and while Paddington is very good, he is not Baaeed, yet, so this edition is weaker than 2022. He was far from disgraced in the Queen Anne in the race mentioned above, beaten just over five lengths in a tidy effort after running second at Newbury behind a very good horse, Modern Games. Doubt he wins, but can definitely finish top four.

12 Tropical Island (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to have a decent engine under the hood and confident she measures up. She comes here off the back of a debut win at Ripon where she gave them a start and a beating, handling the wet conditions best and in a driving finish, she was impressive late, so much so that Orr eased her down the final few strides. Good upside to come, change up speed, dangerous.

5 Harvanna (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has won two on the bounce and no reason why she can’t make it three on end. Latest win was at Yarmouth when on speed throughout at the front of the pack and was moving with purpose before Lee asked her to go and she gapped her rivals for an impressive win. Good test here against likely types, but confident she measures up.

The end of 1000m is the knock with 3 Dapperling (Bet Now:  $SP.00) but with her racing style, she’ll give a sight. She ran down the straight at Newbury last time when leading the pack and was going quite well I thought but she just couldn’t quite see it through and tired late to finish third behind Relief Rally. Not sure I could back her to win but a must for multiples.

5 Queen Regent (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should prove hard to beat against these. Team Gosden trained filly that resumed over this trip at Wolverhampton where she was a bit flat footed when the sprint went on but she picked up and was very good late in the piece when second to all the way winner Value Added, with a five length gap to the rest. Good improvement to come, she rates highly against these.

10 Decoration (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a key threat. Roger Varian trained filly that ran over this trip at Windsor last week when on speed throughout and did find the best ground towards the outside fence but couldn’t quite finish the job when run down late by Zarga. Think on firmer footing and a more economical run in transit, she’ll be more effective.

The query with 12 Never Ending (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the trip but the inside gate should ensure she gets an economical run in transit. Stablemate of Queen Regent that resumed over 2000m at Newmarket just over a month ago where she had the suck run in behind the speed but when asked for the effort, she didn’t really fire and was a bit on the plain side behind Zarga. Strong win at Goodwood the start prior, not penning her.

13 Farasi Lane (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is worth an each way speck in the get out. Tom Ward trains this gelding, who comes here off the back of a strong win down the straight at Ascot where he had the beaut sit in transit behind the speed before angling into clear air and in a driving finish, he was able to get the job done. He has run well at Goodwood previously and off a win, suck run behind the pace, he’ll do me.

4 Urban Sprawl (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look. He was good in defeat two back in the Britannia at Royal Ascot before backing up a week later at Newmarket when an odds on pop but I don’t think he handled the back up at all, finishing tailed off last. He is a winner at Goodwood and with a few weeks to recover, I think he’s in this up to his ears.

6 Thunder Ball (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a knockout hope. Back to 1400m is a big tick for him given he ran over the mile last time in the Britannia at Royal Ascot where the bob of the head separated he and Urban Sprawl so in that regard, the price gap between the two is a bit too big IMO and the big tick for him is back in trip because a mile sees him out. Dangerous.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 6 Paddington

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 5 Kylian

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 13 Farasi Lane

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