The Spring Carnival is upon us with some of the big boys and girls not far off trialling in readiness for their campaign and with that being the case, the futures markets are always a fascinating prospect.
So I’ve had a look at a few of the races with markets up and hopefully have found some value.
Silver Eagle (1300m) @ Randwick (12/10/2019): The horse who I think is overs here is Sesar for Team Hawkes. The stable are masters at getting a stallion ready for a big race and I think they’ll have this galloper primed for the Golden Eagle. His best races have come when racing clockwise, so if you take the anti-clockwise runs out, he’s three from seven, and his best racing also has come on wet ground, which is what he gets here. Trialled without the blinkers and to my eye, that’s the best he’s trialled without them. I think he’ll run very well.
Bets: $10 Win/$20 Place @ $15/$5.5 (Sportsbet) (October 7)
Silver Eagle Market 💰: View the Silver Eagle odds
Roman Consul Stakes (1200m) @ Randwick (12/10/2019): With a wet track in mind, going the way of Cosmic Force. He resumed in the Heritage two weeks ago and his lack of race fitness beat him in the end when a narrow second to Standout, who had the suck run behind the speed and saved ground to get the win. Cosmic Force has room for improvement and we saw in the Autumn he lapped up a wet track in the Pago Pago.
Bets: $25 Win @ $4.8 (BetEasy) (October 7)
Roman Consul Stakes Market 💰: View the Roman Consul Stakes odds
Caulfield Guineas (1600m) @ Caulfield (12/10/2019): I reckon Dalasan is worth something on at the $26. Big fan of this bloke. He did some good things for me in the Autumn, winning his first two before going to the Sires at Flemington where he wins if he runs straight, instead running a narrow second to La Tene. Looked a big dope in that prep but a jumpout last week indicated he’s come back a much better horse and am confident he’ll measure up in Melbourne.
Bets: $10 Win/$40 Place @ $26/$7.5 (Sportsbet) (August 13)
Caulfield Guineas Market 💰: View the Caulfield Guineas odds
Caulfield Stakes (2000m) at Caulfield (12/10/2019): Spoke to Jamie Lovett and he said that if Danceteria gets the invite to the Cox Plate, he’ll run in the Caulfield Stakes so got onto Sportsbet ASAP to put a price up and they’ve put up $7, which I think is more than acceptable that is a recent Group l winner and the start prior took ground off IMO, the best horse in the world in Enable. Dry ground is preferred, so if he gets that, I think he is more a $4.50-$5 chance.
Bets: $50 Win @ $7.00 (Sportsbet) (July 29)
Caulfield Stakes Market 💰: View the Caulfield Stakes odds
Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) at Flemington (2/11/2019): Reading an interview with Anthony Cummings, he said the goal for Libertini this Spring would be the Flight Stakes and if she was to come to Melbourne, it would be for the Coolmore Stud Stakes and considering she’s $16/$4.8, I have to have something on her. She was the real standout of the latter part of the Sydney Autumn Carnival, highlighted by her stunning win during the Scone Carnival. I think sprinting is her go and if she is to head here in the same form as the Autumn, $16 will seem luxurious.
Bets: $10win/$30place @ $16/$4.80 (Sportsbet) (July 29)
Coolmore Stud Stakes Market 💰: View the Coolmore Stud Stakes odds
Melbourne Cup (3200m) at Flemington (5/11/2019): Having two early looks at the race. I think the first one has to be Marmelo. Fresh legs, 3000m+, bit of give in the track…that’s the set up for Marmelo and the first two are ticked off. If we get a rain affected track for Cup Day, I think he’s clearly the one to beat on what he has done to date in 2019. In terms of the locals, the speck is Supernova at $101. He goes around in the Kingston Town and then potentially the Metropolitan or the Bart Cummings, the latter being a ballot exemption race for the Cup. He looks a really progressive stayer right down in the weights and looks silly odds in early markets.
Bets: $10 E/W Supernova @ $101/$26 (Sportsbet) (September 21), $10 Win/$20 Place Marmelo @ $18/$5.25 (TAB) (September 21)
Cup Market 💰: View the Melbourne Cup odds
Kennedy Oaks (2500m) at Flemington (7/11/2019): There are two fillies I want to have something on here, both from the John Sargent stable. Starting with Foxborough. Spoke to a stable rep recently and confirmed that this filly is heading down the Oaks path. Didn’t win a race in four runs during the Autumn, but bear in mind she was a lip off winning the Fernhill. Looks a stayer off what I’ve seen and with natural progression, could easily see her getting to this race, likewise with Crystal Falls. Yet to hear if she’s heading to the Oaks but at the odds, have to take the gamble. She ran four times in the Autumn and each time she was the eye catcher, closing off strongly late. Bred to get a trip and she does have the better form next to her name.
Bets: $10 e/w for both runners at $51/$14 (Sportsbet) (July 25)
Oaks Market 💰: View the VRC Oaks odds
Golden Slipper (1200m) @ Rosehill (21/3/2020): Gee I’m really keen to see Strike debut at Eagle Farm on Saturday. Son of Spirit Of Boom for the Snowden camp that didn’t contest the 2YO trials on the Kenso. He instead trialled the following Friday and IMO, he’s been the standout trialler of the juveniles. He looks to have a beautiful action and he bolted up to win his trial in fast time, with plenty in hand it seemed. If he runs up to the way he looked there, they won’t be beating him and his price will tumble in.
Bets: $10 Win/$40 Place Strike @ $51/$8 (Sportsbet) (October 9)
Golden Slipper Market 💰: View the Golden Slipper odds
PB Lawrence Stakes: Hartnell, $50 Outlay, $0 Return
Chelmsford Stakes: Avilius, $100 Outlay, $0 Return
Makybe Diva Stakes: Gailo Chop, $50 Outlay, $0 Return
Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes: Madison County, $50 Outlay, $0 Return
Golden Rose: Reloaded and Superium, $40 Outlay, $0 Return