The Spring Carnival is upon us with some of the big boys and girls not far off trialling in readiness for their campaign and with that being the case, the futures markets are always a fascinating prospect.
So I’ve had a look at a few of the races with markets up and hopefully have found some value.
PB Lawrence Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield (17/8/2019): Concede that Mystic Journey could well be a superstar and one day we might be thinking why did we let her go around at the price she was, but I think $5.50 for Hartnell is more than acceptable. Outside Winx, he’s been the best WFA horse in Australia the past few years and returns for another campaign in a very winnable race. Recent trial and jumpout has looked good and $5.50 for him is a price I’m happy to take, especially given his outstanding record at the Caulfield 1400m.
Bet: $50 Win @ $5.5 (TAB) (August 13)
Golden Rose (1400m) at Rosehill (28/9/2019): If there is one I’d speck for this race, it would be the Joe Pride trained Superium. He’s 2/2 in his career to date, both runs coming in the Autumn, with the second win seeing him take out the Wellington Boot. Off that form, clearly needs to go up a few levels, but the way he’s been trialling, I think he’s absolutely flying and would not surprise me at all if he could measure up in a race like this at massive odds.
Bets: 1u e/w @ $101/$26 (TAB) (July 25)
Golden Rose Market 💰: View the Golden Rose odds
Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) at Randwick (12/10/2019): If there’s one horse I want to back over a staying trip this Spring in terms of a 3YO, it’s Fortress Command. Showed really good promise in his first prep during the Autumn, ending it with a gutsy fourth in the Champagne Stakes behind Castelvecchio in what was the highest rated 2YO race of the season. He looks a stayer for sure and while Castelvecchio likely runs in the race as well, I think the odds on offer for Fortress Command are far too great. Also having something on in the Victoria Derby too.
Spring Champ Market 💰: View the Spring Champion Stakes odds
Caulfield Stakes (2000m) at Caulfield (12/10/2019): Spoke to Jamie Lovett and he said that if Danceteria gets the invite to the Cox Plate, he’ll run in the Caulfield Stakes so got onto Sportsbet ASAP to put a price up and they’ve put up $7, which I think is more than acceptable that is a recent Group l winner and the start prior took ground off IMO, the best horse in the world in Enable. Dry ground is preferred, so if he gets that, I think he is more a $4.50-$5 chance.
Bets: 5u Win @ $7 (Sportsbet) (July 29)
Caulfield Stakes Market 💰: View the Caulfield Stakes odds
Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) at Flemington (2/11/2019): Reading an interview with Anthony Cummings, he said the goal for Libertini this Spring would be the Flight Stakes and if she was to come to Melbourne, it would be for the Coolmore Stud Stakes and considering she’s $16/$4.8, I have to have something on her. She was the real standout of the latter part of the Sydney Autumn Carnival, highlighted by her stunning win during the Scone Carnival. I think sprinting is her go and if she is to head here in the same form as the Autumn, $16 will seem luxurious.
Bets: 1x3u @ $16/$4.8 (Sportsbet) (July 29)
Coolmore Stud Stakes Market 💰: View the Coolmore Stud Stakes odds
Kennedy Oaks (2500m) at Flemington (7/11/2019): There are two fillies I want to have something on here, both from the John Sargent stable. Starting with Foxborough. Spoke to a stable rep recently and confirmed that this filly is heading down the Oaks path. Didn’t win a race in four runs during the Autumn, but bear in mind she was a lip off winning the Fernhill. Looks a stayer off what I’ve seen and with natural progression, could easily see her getting to this race, likewise with Crystal Falls. Yet to hear if she’s heading to the Oaks but at the odds, have to take the gamble. She ran four times in the Autumn and each time she was the eye catcher, closing off strongly late. Bred to get a trip and she does have the better form next to her name.
Bets: 1u e/w for both runners at $51/$14 (Sportsbet) (July 25)
Oaks Market 💰: View the VRC Oaks odds