Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Sunday’s (20/1/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 5pm Saturday.
Outlay: $4400
Return: $4747
Sha Tin
$20 Parlay 3,4= $100 Cost
Craig’s Star R4 Place
Beat The Clock R5 Win
Beauty Generation R7 Win
Waikuku R10 Win
Sha Tin Overview:
Ripping program at Sha Tin this Sunday and I think there are several decent winning chances.
In saying that, I’ll start off the bet with a place chance in Craig’s Star.
He debuted on December 29 and worked to the line well I thought when fourth to Speedy Dragon in a race where the form has been franked.
Tick over trial last week looked very good to the eye and De Sousa can get anything home at the moment.
Looks a bit of depth to this Class 4 but convinced he’ll run well.
In the Sprint, I reckon Beat The Clock can knock off Mr Stunning.
Mr Stunning beat him in both the Jockey Club Sprint and International Sprint, but Beat The Clock was a bit behind the eight ball fitness wise.
Sharp trial win, as did Mr Stunning the same morning on January 11…I just don’t think the gap between them market wise should be that big.
Beauty Generation should be a $1.02 to win the Stewards Cup.
Waikuku, barring bad luck, should win the last.
Really progressive galloper going places and the Size/Moreira combo has been lethal recently.
Sale
$50 Win Lyre R1 @ $2.05 (Sportsbet)
$50 Win Shamwow R3 @ $2.5 (Sportsbet)
Sale Overview:
The 2YO Fillies race looks to have good depth to it but I think most eyes will be on Lyre.
She looked outstanding at the jumpouts prior to her debut down the Flemington straight on New Years Day where it was a nightmare start to 2019 for punters who were on.
Would she have won? Probably not, but should have run a clear second had she got out at the right time.
Enood looks the threat but I think Lyre has more brilliance.
The good thing of the day in Australia IMO is Shamwow.
Very talented looking filly for the Busuttin/Young team that is first up.
She debuted at Echuca back in late August and I thought her run was enormous.
Just got stuck behind camels so Regan had to go much earlier on her, and she clocked near sub 21 between the 800m-400m, and I reckon that just took a little bit of wind out of the sails.
The three that beat her were on speed or near the speed.
Clocked the second quickest final 600m and and the quickest last 200m despite being empty.
Been given a good break and wow, her jumpout at Cranbourne was something else, sitting back before going through her gears under minimal pressure.
She’s got the raced brigade comfortably beat, just depends if any of these first starters jump out of the box.
But I think she’s metro class for sure and should put these away.
