Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Sunday’s (10/2/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 6.30pm Saturday.
Outlay: $9650
Return: $10467
Dubbo
$30 Win Son Of A Dun R1 (Tote)
$50 Win Healing Hands R4 (Tote)
$10 E/W Ben Shoof R7 (Tote)
Dubbo Overview:
I suspect the money will arrive for the Cav runner Rosesay, who is first up with some excellent form next to her name from last prep. Hoping Son Of A Dun gets to the $4.5-$5 mark. Son of Dundeel on debut for Rod Northam and he looked quite good to my eye in a recent Scone trial when on speed and not really pushed out. Recent pattern at Dubbo has been wider the better, so drawing out no issue. Healing Hands should win the fourth for Gayna Williams. Has had two career starts, winning impressively on debut before spotting them too much start last time at Muswellbrook. Looks well placed at this level. The throw at the stumps is Ben Shoof in the CC Qualifier. I didn’t mind his run the other day at Parkes, a track where it can be very difficult to make significant ground but he did and was good late. Suspect he’ll be $50+ come jump time, but it’s a rather thin Qualifier in terms of quality.
Taree
$70 Win Great Danger R4 @ $2 (BetEasy)
$30 Win The Drake R6 @ $5.5 (BetEasy)
Taree Overview:
Whether it’s too soon for him I’m not sure but Great Danger wouldn’t look out of place in a Provincial Championship Qualifier. Looks a very promising animal for Kris Lees who bolted up on debut at Tuncurry in what has turned out to be an excellent form reference. Spelled and resumed at Taree where he defied a notable betting drift and he spanked them again. Can only see improvement from that resumption and he just has to overcome the draw to be winning. I’m also keen on The Drake for John Sargent. Very rare to see the stable make the trip to the North Coast but they usually don’t miss when it happens. This bloke appears very well placed. Was over a month between runs when racing at Gosford on January 30 where he loomed large to win on the turn but probably condition just gave out. There are some nice types engaged, but he should be putting them away.
Naracoorte
$60 Win Never Short R1 @ $2.5 (BetEasy)
$40 Win Disco Rebel R5 @ $3.5 (Neds)
Naracoorte Overview:
Sue Jaensch has a very good record on her home track and no surprise to see strong numbers for Cup Day, starting with the first starter Never Short in the opener, a son of Moshe on debut who hasn’t been sighted since trialling up really well at Naracoorte back in October last year where he looked pretty good to the eye. This horse will either drift alarming and run poor or be off the map and bolt up. First start on her home track on a big day, I suspect it’ll be the latter. Jaensch should win the fifth race with either Scouting Around or Disco Rebel. Leaning towards Disco Rebel with more upside. She just got too far back last time at Penola over 1700m but when clear she finished off with real purpose late to run an eye catching fifth. Up to 2000m for the first time but looks as if she’ll appreciate it and she does have a turn of foot unlike the stablemate hence why I’m with her.
