Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Friday’s (16/11/2018) racing across the country. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing.
Thursday Results: TBA
Last 10 Days: LLWLWWWWLL
Overall Results (Since June 7): $4449 Profit
Bet One- Each Way- Kyneton Race Three Number 11 Gina’s Hope:
Was really keen on her when she was down to resume at Stawell just under three weeks back. Confident she’ll run well here despite the depth engaged. $81 on debut at Ararat earlier in the year and was one of the runs of the day against the track pattern in a maiden which has produced seven winners. Recent Burrumbeet jump out was outstanding and really only has to hold up a decent spot from the gate to look the winner.
Suggested Bet: $25 E/W (Tote)
Bet Two- Win- Moonee Valley Race Two Number 8 Blinder:
He was confidently supported when debuting over 1100m on Sale Cup Day and though the depth wasn’t great, he was impressive in putting them away late. Looks a decent progressive type and I’d be shocked if he didn’t measure up against this lot, and has been scratched already from Adelaide so the intent is there.
Suggested Bet: $20 Win at $5 (BetEasy)
Bet Three- Win – Moonee Valley Race Seven Number 6 Ruomaza:
Ruomaza will like the rise to 2000m. A narrow but strong winner two back over the mile at Morphettville before racing over 1700m on Geelong Cup Day where he was a little unlucky but I thought he had his chance when second to Royal Order. Up to 2000m looks an ideal recipe, plus is hard fit/in form. Like his chances and the odds are fair.
Suggested Bet: $20 Win at $5.5 (BetEasy)
Bet Four- Win- Murwillumbah Race Three Number 3 Proud Captain:
No prizes for finding him but he looks the good thing on the card. Kris Lees trains this four year old, who was 1800-2200 last week at Ipswich where he was under pressure before the turn and seemingly wasn’t happy on the track but his brilliance got him home. Back to 2000m no issue for mine and there’s just no depth or runners with upside.
Suggested Bet: $50 Win (Tote)
Bet Five- Win- Canterbury Race Six Number 11 Waruna:
Have to wait til night time for the moral, but it looks to be this girl. Kris Lees trains this progressive mare, who was wide no cover last time on the Kensington track at Randwick but was always in control and won like a good horse. Wide gate, but should glide over comfortably and Canterbury lately has really suited those on speed. $2+ is fine.
Suggested Bet: $100 Win at $2.5 (Bet365)
Total Spend: $240
