Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Sunday’s (30/9/2018) racing around the country. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing.
Friday Results: $199 Profit
Saturday Results: $102 Profit
Last 10 Days: WWLLWLWLWW
Overall Results (Since June 7): $5207 Profit
Bet One- Each Way- Caulfield Race Two Number 10 Take It Intern:
Makes his Australian debut for the Weir team. Doesn’t have the A1 form when he raced in the UK but he was progressive with plenty of upside to come. Like him at 1400m fresh. Just want to see a market push and if it comes, I’ll be happy to be with him and I’m pleased to see that there is early market support.
Suggested Bet: $10 E/W at $15/$4.4 (Sportsbet)
Bet Two- Win- Caulfield Race Three Number 1 Prized Icon:
He’ll be odds on but really, barring bad luck he should be winning. Multiple Group l winner who has been pretty good since joining the Kris Lees team, and on numerous occasions has run well behind Winx. He comes through the Cameron at Newcastle where he found the 1500m a bit sharp I thought but was sound in defeat. 2000m looks his go and barring bad luck should win.
Suggested Bet: $50 Win (Tote)
Bet Three- Each Way- Caulfield Race Four Number 4 Crystal Fountain/Number 11 Split Lip:
There is a couple of handy mares I want to speck each way here. Crystal Fountain was a close up third fresh at this track/distance behind La Bella Diosa before going to the Cockram where she just found that class a bit rich when midfield behind Ellicazoom. Is a third up winner and I think back to 1100m and back to this level, she’ll take beating. The other is Split Lip, having her first run for the Weir camp with blacktype in mind. Formerly with Will Clarken but is now with Darren Weir. Has contested some really good races throughout her career, with her last start seeing her place in the Proud Miss. Now with Weir and her recent Ballarat jump out was okay. Market will be the guide to her.
Suggested Bet: $10 E/W (Tote) for both.
Bet Four- Win- Caulfield Race Six Number 14 Declarationofheart:
Looks the best of the day. I thought he was one of the runs of the day in terms of beaten horses when contesting the Exford at Flemington. Just gave them too much head start but you had to like the way he finished his race off behind Brutal, running a closing fourth. Query is he wants further, but clearly has the class factor and hopefully won’t be spotting them such a big start.
Suggested Bet: $50 Win at $4.8 (Sportsbet)
Bet Five- Win- Caulfield Race Eight Number 7 Blair House:
The more I watch his replays, the more I warm to him. He’s got the A1 form from Dubai that reads very well for this. Lovely ride from Doyle got him the Jebel Hatta win two back before going to the Dubai Turf where he didn’t have much luck at all and was quite good very late when eventually in a race won by Benbatl, who of course is being talked up as a Cox Plate horse. If he brings his best, I think he’ll be too good.
Suggested Bet: $30 Win at $4.8 (Sportsbet)
Total Spend: $190
