Eight races will be run and won at Doomben on Saturday, on the back up from last Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.
Race One (13:25) : Architects Dovey Dash Handicap 1050m:
Back Me: Another race with barely any trial form…yay. Going with 12 She’s Our Star (Bet Now: $4.20). A Star Witness filly trained by Tony Gollan that is bred to be handy early. Stable have a good record with their youngsters. Looks the one.
Big Danger: 7 Pinch Passion (Bet Now: $3.00) is a gelding trained by Robert Heathcoate. Hasn’t been seen in public so betting will be the guide, but on breeding, I think he could perform well.
Roughie: 6 Misprint (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Real Saga gelding trained by John Zielke. The stable have produced a couple at the trials but this bloke hasn’t trialled, so that does create some interest. One to watch from a market perspective.
Race Two (13:57) : Back Of QLD Wynum Handicap (1MW) 1615m:
Back Me: 8 Lord Coconuts (Bet Now: $6.00) was confidently backed when racing at Ipswich where he was first up and he finished hard out wide to get the job done in impressive fashion. Can only see upside with him and he does have a very solid second up record.
Big Danger: 13 Nearctic Chiller (Bet Now: $7.00) was a short priced elect when racing over the mile on his home track at the Sunny Coast last start and he absolutely bolted in under D Browne, leading all the way to win by five lengths. While he is in this frame of mind, it’s worth a crack in town.
Roughie: 7 Legendary Luke (Bet Now: $11.00) was backed at odds a fortnight back at Eagle Farm and took an eternity to wind up, but his last 75m was very good late behind Mr Jetset. Yet to be tested beyond 1400m, but he is clearly giving the impression he will handle it and is a definite knockout chance.
Race Three (14:32) : John Carroll Electrical Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: 3 Bithard (Bet Now: $4.20) was a dominant winner at the Sunny Coast two back before going to Eagle Farm where he closed off hard late to run a close up second to Nicconi Legera. I think if he can sit closer here, he can definitely turn the tables.
Big Danger: 1 Nicconi Legera (Bet Now: $3.30) was heavily backed to win that race mentioned above where he sat on speed throughout and kicked on strongly down the straight to grip on and get the job done impressively. I think he will be better suited at Doomben and will be in front and out of trouble.
Roughie: 9 Rumba Queen (Bet Now: $16.00) was a dominant debut winner here before racing in the Nicconi Legera race where she just copped too much pressure on speed and gradually faded out of it late. I think if she can take cover here, she can sharply improve.
Race Four (15:07) : St Columbias Centenary Handicap 1615m:
Back Me: 9 Bound For Love (Bet Now: $2.60) is one of the form horses in Queensland at the moment, winning her last two, both of which have come at Eagle Farm and on both occasions she has spanked them. Admittedly they were in Class 3 and Class 6 events respectively, but she looks ready for open company now and this is a winnable assignment.
Big Danger: 1 Testashadow (Bet Now: $3.90) comes north and has to be respected big time. Won well fresh but the two runs subsequent have been just a tad suspect so I think the trip away will do him the world of good, he maps to lead, he has the class and is well weighted after the claim.
Roughie: Not many people would have missed the eye catching return of 8 Kaiser Franz (Bet Now: $21.00) over 1400m at Eagle Farm three weeks ago behind Monsieur Gustave. He was back in the run and seemingly going nowhere as he was under pressure, but he picked up late and was very good through the line. He’ll eat up the extra trip here and does save his best for Doomben.
Race Five (15:42) : Racebiz Handicap (75) 1200m:
Back Me: 10 Hanwritten (Bet Now: $2.40) didn’t have much luck here fresh behind Prompt Return before going to a Highway at Randwick where Bowman rode him arrogantly and he won accordingly. Comes back now full of confidence and looks the clear horse to beat.
Big Danger: 8 Sheiswhatsheis (Bet Now: $3.50) is a talented mare for Tony Gollan that resumes here. Go back to April last year and this mare ran third to Bohemian Lily in a Gold Coast Bracelet so we know the form is there. No trials, but she can sprint well fresh and did do that last prep at the Gold Coast.
Roughie: 14 Assertory (Bet Now: $8.50) can be hard to trust but she does look a threat here. She ran fifth at Doomben on September 14 after receiving a pretty cosy run just off the speed. Failed to go on with, but perhaps the break between runs should do her the world of good and she is a knockout chance.
Race Six (16:22) : Iona Old Boy’s Handicap (75) 1200m:
Back Me: 10 Bidii Babe (Bet Now: $3.40) resumed over 1200m at Eagle Farm a fortnight back where she sat around midfield in the run before producing a lovely turn of foot win impressively. She won second up last prep, and was dominant that afternoon also. Rates highly.
Big Danger: 4 Most Important (Bet Now: $4.60) has been a bit of disappointment this time in for Tony Gollan. He has threatened to be a Stakes class galloper but he hasn’t gone on with it. He ran over 1200m at Eagle Farm three weeks back where he stuck on alright late in the piece behind Man Of His Word, who was completely luckless last Saturday. A threat on his bets form.
Roughie: Really not sure what to put in. Maybe 6 Flying Charger, (Bet Now: $51.00), who resumes here for the Matty Dunn yard. Interesting to note that this bloke comes here with no trials, which is unlike the stable given they do usually trial. Draws a soft gate and Colless steers. Perhaps one to watch at odds.
Race Seven (17:02) : EDB Training Services Handicap 2020m:
Back Me: 4 Denoninator (Bet Now: $3.50) just looks the one here. He has been up for a long time but continues to race so well. He ran over 2200m at Eagle Farm a fortnight back and was afforded a lovely steer from Jeff Lloyd to get the job done impressively. Back to 2020m is some query, but when you have a horse in the kind of form he is, and the fact he has beaten most of these, you have to go with him.
Big Danger: 9 La Spiaggia (Bet Now: $8.50) ran over 1800m at Eagle Farm three weeks ago where he had a nice sit nearer the tempo and stuck to the task gamely when second to The Iliad, who had all favours in front. Won at this track/distance start prior and I think that’s the big key here- getting back up to 2000m.
Roughie: 3 Perplexity (Bet Now: $16.00) is slowly getting the miles in his legs and could be an improver here at odds. Didn’t have the race to suit last time out behind The Iliad, but he can definitely roll forward here and third up last prep he worked home hard in a Stakes race at the Sunny Coast.
Race Eight (17:38) : Harcourts Green Living Plate (Class 3) 1110m:
Back Me: 9 Powerful Saga (Bet Now: $3.80) sat on speed at Eagle Farm a couple of weeks back and he just felt the pinch late after doing work to run fifth to Biddi Babe, beaten a couple of lengths. He is much better ridden with a sit hence why D Browne is booked. Scratchings have thinned the race out and he rates highly now.
Big Danger: 10 Nilette (Bet Now: $3.80) was confidently backed to win when racing over 1200m here at the midweeks on September 21 and he didn’t let the punters down with a commanding on speed performance to bolt in. She handles all conditions and her form reads very nicely for this.
Roughie: 1 Consorting (Bet Now: $12.00) made his Queensland debut for Brian Smith behind Shamfrancisco at Eagle Farm before racing there again two weeks back where he may have suffered from the second up syndrome. Third up now, so he should be ready fitness wise and if he can sit a touch closer in the run, he’ll be a massive threat.
Race Nine (18:15) : Bartons Plate (Class 6) 1350m:
Back Me: Pretty confident that 9 Monsieur Gustave (Bet Now: $2.25) will continue the picket fence here. He has been a revelation this time in for Daryl Hansen, winning three from three, all of which have been by big spaces. The latest came three weeks ago over 1400m at Eagle Farm where he led, controlled and kicked hard when it mattered. I think he’ll be more effective here and on that basis, he is clearly on top.
Big Danger: 3 Pera Pera (Bet Now: $17.00) took up a fair chunk of the stewards report on Dubbo Cup Day where he looked a good thing on form but was a beaten horse on the turn and dropped out to run last, beaten 13 lengths. Vet found a small nasal discharge and I think it’s clear now that he doesn’t run a mile, especially on a heavy track. Back to 1350m is ideal and he is one tough bugger.
Roughie: 4 Anecdote (Bet Now: $16.00) was a drifter in betting when racing at Ipswich last Wednesday but gee there was a lot to like about the way he attacked the line after settling near last in the run and he ended up winning impressively. That confidence boost could see him go right on with it and be a threat here.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 4 Denoninator
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 9 Bound For Love
VALUE: Race Two Number 8 Lord Coconuts
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 4, 6, 9, 10, 11, 14
Leg Two: 4, 9
Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 8, 9, 10
Leg Four: 3, 4, 8, 9, 10, 13, 16
$50 Investment= 9.92% of the dividend if successful
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