Saturday racing in Melbourne returns to Flemington this weekend for a handy nine event program. The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race One (11:55) : Pharlap Club Plate 1100m:
Back Me: 2 Giroux (Best Odds: $6.00) sat wide no cover first up at Ballarat, but she was very strong through the line for a super win. Trained on the track and should take good benefit from that effort.
Big Danger: 1 Merriest (Best Odds: $1.85) could not have been more impressive in winning on debut at Caulfield, sitting on speed most of the way and bolting clear over the concluding stages. Drawn inside down the straight isn’t ideal, but she might just have the brilliance.
Roughie: 10 Sebring Dream (Best Odds: $6.00) is the watch horse. Debuts here for the Hayes/Dabernig yard off the back of a handy jump out here recently where she sat on speed and wasn’t pressured. Kept sake in the opening market.
Race Two (12:30) : @FlemingtonVRC Handicap 1800m:
Back Me: 8 Rib Eye (Best Odds: $2.50) has been a very good horse for Clinton McDonald and he looks ready to bounce back to the winners after an excellent first up second at Sandown. Maps very well here and is just so well weighted with 51kg.
Big Danger: 3 Zabisco (Best Odds: $4.20) ran over 1700m here on Anzac Day and closed off strongly when third to Turnitaround, who franked the form by winning at Warrnambool on Tuesday. Being fourth up now, he should be ready to show his best.
Roughie: 5 Good Value (Best Odds: $7.00) ran over 2000m at Caulfield a fortnight back and stuck to the task quite gamely when running fourth to Doctor Care. He loves racing at Flemington and is another that is well weighted after the claim.
Race Three (13:05) : VRC Member Betty Cummings Handicap (78) 1200m:
Back Me: 1 Reemah (Best Odds: $8.50), if she brings her best form, would just spank this field. 14 months ago she had the Blue Diamond wrapped up but was outgunned by Pride Of Dubai. Hasn’t done much since, but a recent trial win was very good and this is the easiest race she has contested in some time.
Big Danger: 2 Grey Street (Best Odds: $3.80) took on the older mares at Caulfield last time out where she loomed to win the race but couldn’t quite go on with it when third to Bella Capri. That was her first run in a month, so up to 1200m and the added fitness is perfect.
Roughie: 11 Euston Road (Best Odds: $19.00) is another filly that took on the older mares at Sale last start and ran on well late when third to the handy Godolphin mare Glib. Trained on the track and for mine, looks the overs at $21.
Race Four (13:45) : VRC Member Efi Condovrakis Handicap (78) 2000m:
Back Me: 7 The Bandit (Best Odds: $4.40) looks a really good bet here. He was very impressive in winning two back before getting too far back when sixth to Zahspeed. Bigger track and extra 200m are two big ticks and should take some beating.
Big Danger: 3 My Bantry Bay (Best Odds: $2.70) created a very good impression at his Australian debut over 1800m at Caulfield two weeks ago where he beat all bar the above average import Raw Impulse. With natural improvement, he will look the winner at some stage.
Roughie: 2 Firehouse Rock (Best Odds: $13.00) isn’t one of my horses, but I thought his effort last weekend behind Tarquin at Caulfield was pretty good. On his best form, he can win this and anything Weir trains at the moment is winning.
Race Five (14:25) : TAB/ATA Celebrates Women Trainers Handicap 1000m:
Back Me: 7 Supido (Best Odds: $1.40) opened $1.60? Thank you. He just looks the good thing of good things here. He was just so impressive here on Anzac Day over 1200m, running smart time near the inside, which wasn’t the spot to be. Back to 1000m is no worry, so he should win this and then go close to winning the Goodwood.
Big Danger: 3 Hard Romp (Best Odds: $12.00) resumed over 1000m at Sandown a month back and stuck on well when third to Bullpit, who ran well in the Bel Esprit. He’s drawn the right part of the track and is yet to miss a place in five runs at Flemington.
Roughie: 9 Nozomi (Best Odds: $101.00) is such an intriguing runner. I had him marked down as a horse to follow in the Autumn last year off the back of jump outs, but has obviously had injury troubles. Best form is over further, but as we know with these stayers fresh, they can run cracking races.
Race Six (15:05) : National Jockeys Trust Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: 3 Prestwick (Best Odds: $4.20) was heavily backed first up at Sale and he just bolted up, aided by a 12/10 from Froggy. He is a very good horse on his day and that first up win was very encouraging.
Big Danger: 11 Spiral (Best Odds: $9.00) only won narrowly last time out at Cranbourne, but you had to like the way he just kept finding under riding, and though the win was narrow, it was impressive, and I can only see upside with him.
Roughie: 14 Sword Of Justice (Best Odds: $15.00) took a little while to break his maiden tag, but he did it good style at Kyneton, albeit in a pretty thin maiden. Trained on the track and could go on with it now.
Race Seven (15:45) : Singapore Turf Club Trophy 2800m:
Back Me: 2 De Little Engine (Best Odds: $3.60) ran over 2000m at Caulfield last time out and ran well without much luck in the straight behind Doctor Care. 2000m to 2800m is some query, but this is his ideal trip, fitter, trained on the track and will be strong late.
Big Danger: 6 High Church (Best Odds: $3.90) ran over 2500m here on Anzac Day and he was just not allowed to sit on speed and roll along. He is better when he is in front and going along doing his own thing. If that eventuates, he’ll take some beating.
Roughie: 12 Barwon (Best Odds: $26.00) rises sharply in grade, but I didn’t mind his win last time out on the Pakenham Synthetic, aided by a pearler from Luke Currie. Tumbles down to 51kg now after the claim and he gives the impression he will eat up the trip and is one to include in exotics.
Race Eight (16:25) : Chairman’s Club Handicap (90) 1400m:
Back Me: 1 Del Prado (Best Odds: $7.50) resumed in the VOBIS Gold Sprint (1200m) at Caulfield and closed off very strongly late in the piece behind Miss Promiscuity. He has a really good second up record and will love the step up to 1400m.
Big Danger: 11 Duibio (Best Odds: $3.90) ran down the straight here on Anzac Day and closed off strongly late behind the potential star Supido. Up to 1400m is ideal, draws well and is very nicely in at the weights after the claim.
Roughie: 6 The New Boy (Best Odds: $9.00) has to be respected here. His record at Caulfield was horrible prior to last start where he was given a beaut steer from Jordan Childs to get the job done. Better placed here on his home track and should roll forward and take some catching.
Race Nine (17:00) : Mother’s Day Handicap (84) 2000m:
Back Me: 7 Inishowen (Best Odds: $9.00) looks the way to go here in the last. Her effort last time out over 1400m at Caulfield was very good when a closing third to Mefnooda. Up to 2000m fourth on her home track looks an ideal recipe for success.
Big Danger: 6 Sure You Can (Best Odds: $6.50) ran well last time out at Morphettville when running a game second to subsequent Warrnambool Cup winner Master Of Arts. Back on her home track and she does tend to save her best for the track, so she is a major threat.
Roughie: 3 Miss Wynette (Best Odds: $14.00) has been given a four week freshen up since running a game fourth over this distance at Morphettville when beaten a half length by previous Flemington winner River’s Lane. Claim for Dylan Dunn helps and stable is going very well at the moment.
BEST BET: Race Five Number 7 Supido
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 7 The Bandit
VALUE: Race Eight Number 1 Del Prado
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 3, 10, 11, 12, 14
Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 6, 12
Leg Three: 1, 4, 6, 7, 11
Leg Four: 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10
$50 Investment= 4.62% of the dividend if successful
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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