Victoria’s feature meeting as always over the AFL Grand Final weekend will be run on Sunday and to provide punters with an option Sandown will host a rare Saturday meeting which is headlined by the Harry White Classic for stayers.
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Race One (1:00pm) : Mordialloc Sporting Club-Bm70 – 1000m Form Guide
Back Me: Harquila (Best Odds: $4.00) has been very good winning her only two starts and she did do a few things wrong in both of those races so there is room for improvement which will make her hard to beat here.
Big Danger: Bella Mollie has gone close at her last two starts and is ready to win. This race looks on par quality wise with those two races so she will go close especially with the light weight and a decent barrier draw.
Roughie: Bawcatme (Best Odds: $13.00) has been racing in some good quality races of late and this looks easier. She will need some luck from the wide barrier but if she gets it she is right in this race at double figure odds.
Race Two (1:35pm) : Edithvale Aspendale Club-Bm70 – 1500m Form Guide
Back Me: King’s Dance (Best Odds: $4.00) was dominant in winning last start leading all the way and conditions look to suit once again. Last starts win was franked with the second horse winning well at Seymour today so he looks tough to beat in this field.
Big Danger: Cadel Triomphe (Best Odds: $9.50) is a lightly raced 6yo who has shown enough ability to be included here which is a pretty weak field.
Roughie: Magic Consol (Best Odds: $12.00) won well at Morphettville last start which on paper looks a similar class race to this so at the odds he has to be included.
Race Three (2:10pm) : Askin (Bm70) – 1300m Form Guide
Back Me: Orvieto (Best Odds: $3.80) has shown a ton of ability in her short career but she has been her own worst enemy. She definitely has the ability to win this race, she just needs to put everything together on the day which i think she will.
Big Danger: Khutulun (Best Odds: $11.00) showed she was a very good horse last preparation and despite needing further on raw ability i think she is right in this race especially if there is good speed injected into it.
Roughie: Put a line through Paddy’s Gem last run as she did a lot wrong and had no luck at all. Her run before that was very good and if she can replicate that she will be winning this at good odds in the market.
Race Four (2:45pm) : Xflam (Bm70) – 1300m Form Guide
Back Me: Marwood (Best Odds: $3.60) hasn’t been a punters friend of late but i think he is worthy of another chance on Saturday where he looks very hard to beat with the claim. He will need a bit of luck from the barrier but he is likely to go back anyways. The big field should provide plenty of speed and he will be hard to hold out late.
Big Danger: Bel Seal (Best Odds: $7.50) looked to really hit his straps last preparation and he should come back a better horse this prep. He has a good first up record and in a big even field he looks a good each way bet in the race and should be right in the finish especially with the other fancied runners drawing tricky barriers.
Roughie: Topkapi (Best Odds: $19.00) has a perfect first up record having won two from two and he is first up on Saturday. He has raced in some good quality races last preration and this looks easier, so he looks to be at very good odds in the race.
Race Five (3:25pm) : E J/Nellie Turner Plate (Bm78) – 1800m Form Guide
Back Me: Put a line through Don Doremo‘s (Best Odds: $8.00) last run as he was simply out classed in the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes. Back to his right grade on Saturday and in this class of a race he will be very hard to beat based on his run two starts ago in what has become a decent form race.
Big Danger: Fledged (Best Odds: $4.80) is an imported galloper having his first start in Australia. His overseas form was very good and most international runners usually go well first up and i think he will continue that trend and the money says he will also. He must be kept safe despite needing further distance.
Roughie: Great Lane (Best Odds: $9.50) raced well fresh before being thrown in the deep end and he wasn’t up to it. Like our on top selection he is back in the right grade here and he should be very competitive at double figure odds.
Race Six (4:00pm) : Knight Fm Harry White Classic – 2400m Form Guide
Back Me: Martian (Best Odds: $6.50) looks very hard to beat here in a race that doesn’t look too tough he is the horse on the way up and still has plenty of improvement left in him. He was a drifter in the market at Rosehill last start which means he probably needed the run and he still ran very well. At the odds he looks to be one of the best bets of the day and he can be backed each way.
Big Danger: Unchain My Heart (Best Odds: $5.50) is such an honest galloper and she goes into this fit and also gets in the weights well. She will stay all day and this on paper looks a winnable race for her.
Roughie: Happy to put a line through Caravan Rolls On‘s (Best Odds: $7.50) last run as some horses simply don’t like Moonee Valley and i think he may be one of those. He has plenty of ability and if he can find a bit of it on Saturday he is right in this race.
Race Seven (4:40pm) : Cbs Business Services (Bm70) – 1500m Form Guide
Back Me: To Be Honest (Best Odds: $7.00) met a pretty good field in a bm78 last start with a few runners from that race i think going onto decent races. This race looks a much easier task for her and she has been knocking on the door to win for awhile and that looks to be on Saturday.
Big Danger: Arena Rock (Best Odds: $10.00) was unlucky last start so i am happy to put a line through that run, the start before i thought was good when making good ground late. She has drawn a perfect barrier here and gets into the weights well which will see her in the finish.
Roughie: Rayhan (Best Odds: $31.00) really hasn’t found the race that suits her, the last two starts she has been around the mark but never really looked likely and this looks a similar class race. I think she has the ability to win this and at the odds if she can put it all together on Saturday she could be the horse to get up at big odds.
Race Eight (5:15pm) : I&D Group Plate (Bm90) – 1300m Form Guide
Back Me: Hazard (Best Odds: $13.00) i think is way over the odds in this race. She has a ton of ability and her run in the Cockram showed she will be in for a very good preparation which could very well include a win on Saturday where she is terrific value.
Big Danger: Charmed Harmony (Best Odds: $4.50) loves Sandown and she has been racing in career best form of late. The two kilo claim here gets her into the weights really well and she will take a ton of beating with the only worry being the wide barrier.
Roughie: You’re So Good (Best Odds: $8.50) as we all know has a ton of ability but lately she has been a little dower. She finds a suitable race for where she is at and she showed enough in the Bobbie Lewis which i think will be a very good form race this spring that she can definitely win this.
Best Bet: Race Six Number 10 Martian
Next Best: Race Four Number 2 Marwood
Best Roughie: Race Eight Number 4 Hazard
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 12, 13, 14
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10
Leg Three: 1, 4, 6, 8, 13
Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7
$50 Investment = 12% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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