The Sydney Autumn Carnival has wrapped up, but the racing at Randwick will continue for another meeting this Saturday, with a strong Anzac Day programmed. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is out twelve metres from the 1600m-Winning Post; Out six metres for the remainder.
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Race One (12:40pm) : Anzac Day Handicap 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: Putting Stravigo (Best Odds: $6.00) on top. Team Snowden gelding that had two runs in the Summer and performed admirably. Reason why he is on top is because he trialled outstanding here a couple of weeks back. Based on that, he should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: Dane Slugger (Best Odds: $12.00) debuted in the Inglis Nursery over 1000m here in January and worked home strongly when fourth to Odyssey Moon before pulling up injured at Canterbury. Spelled and trialled well at Warwick Farm. On the debut run, he’ll go close here.
Roughie: Coys (Best Odds: $41.00) could be value here on debut. Son of Dylan Thomas for Marc Conners that has trialled well on a couple of occasions, and in a pretty open race, he could add some juice to exotics.
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Race Two (1:15pm) : First Australian Imperial Force Handicap (75) 1200m: Form Guide
Back Me: Tree Of Jesse (Best Odds: $3.00) is first up for Team Cummings who kicked off her career in the Summer and had three runs, winning on debut at Canterbury before running second to Testashadow at Rosehill before finishing fifth behind a potential Group l horse in Gold Seventy Seven. Recent trial here was strong, and she did trial well prior to winning on debut.
Big Danger: Confederate (Best Odds: $3.30) ran in a hot race, the Arrowfield Sprint (1200m), last time out and was outclassed severely when running last to Delectation. He was unbeaten on heavy ground prior to that, so I’ll forgive him for that, and with the drop in grade here, he should run much better.
Roughie: Manhattan Island (Best Odds: $7.50) trialled well and duly saluted first up at Hawkesbury before running just a fair fourth behind a handy type in Princess Alibi. He handles wet tracks, draws gate one and has the minimum with Sam Clipperton aboard.
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Race Three (1:50pm) : HMAS Sydney Handicap (75) 2400m: Form Guide
Back Me: This race looks to be at the mercy of Chris Waller in terms of numbers, but I am keen on the Kris Lees trained Doukhan (Best Odds: $4.40), who made his Australian debut at Warwick Farm and was quite good when fourth to Salford Art, who has since run again and did well. There appears to be so much upside with Doukhan, and he does have some really good overseas form. Looks the one.
Big Danger: Salford Art (Best Odds: $3.80) does look the threat. She beat the top tip two runs back before racing again at Warwick Farm and just failing to pick up Singing Flame in a slogging go. Singing Flame ran third in a Stakes race last Saturday, so the form does read well for a race like this. Only queries are the weight and up to 2400m for the first time, but she is in form and rock hard fit.
Roughie: Don’t entirely rule out Major Major (Best Odds: $9.50), who is on the back up after racing over the mile at Kembla Grange last Saturday where he made up good ground late to finish fourth to the in form Isle Be Ready. He has placed over 2600m at Randwick in the past, and he does have plenty of upside left.
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Race Four (2:25pm) : Gallipoli Handicap (70) 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Keen here on Sadler’s Lake (Best Odds: $3.50). It was a pretty awful carnival for Joao Moreira, and this was one of his many slaughters when this horse resumed in the South Pacific Classic (1400m), sitting three wide no cover. He loomed to threaten at the top of the straight but just tired late. Up to the mile with the run under the belt, and with class on his side, he should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: Man Of Distinction (Best Odds: $6.00) was well backed to win last week at Warwick Farm and he looked to travel like the winner in the run, but he couldn’t quite fend off the strong challenge of Double Happy. He has really good wet track form and is trained on the track. He’ll prove tough to run down.
Roughie: Swift Lady (Best Odds: $3.50) ran really well last Saturday in the J H B Carr when coming from near last to finish a 2.1L sixth to the above average Slightly Sweet. This is a significant drop in grade yet only carries 51.5kg. She gets in so well here, and has to rate as one of the hardest to beat.
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Race Five (3:05pm) : Australian Flying Corps Handicap (85) 1000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Miniature (Best Odds: $4.40) resumes here for Godolphin after a pretty strong Spring/Summer. It finished with a 2.2L seventh to Ball Of Muscle in the Takeover Target Stakes (1200m). She was heavily backed to beat Ball Of Muscle first up last time in, and he is a Stakes class galloper, and her two trials leading up to this have been pretty good.
Big Danger: Marwood (Best Odds: $6.00) was heavily backed to win first up at the Bool and he looked in a bit of trouble on the turn, but he picked up hard late and grabbed victory in the last couple of strides. He won first up last time in, then backed up with a strong third, so no doubts with him running well here, and he only carries 52kg after the claim for Winona Costin.
Roughie: Interesting runner here is Wonderbolt (Best Odds: $9.00), who hasn’t raced since July. He progressed from the provincials to end up winning a Saturday race at his second last run. He has trialled twice leading up to his return to racing, and first up last time in he should have bolted in during the Scone Carnival. Big watch here, so keep tabs on market moves.
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Race Six (3:40pm) : Battle Of The Dardanelles Handicap (80) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really keen here on Hollywood Bound (Best Odds: $6.00). He really impressed me after his trial placing to Solicit and I liked him at value first up on BMW Day at Rosehill and he ran well when fifth to Medcaut, beaten just under three lengths. The negative is that he can run well fresh, run flat second up, then improve sharply third up. But the trial and first up run was too good to ignore and I’ll give him another chance.
Big Danger: Frespanol (Best Odds: $3.80) ran third to that Medcaut race mentioned above after a solid trial effort. He has since been to the trials again and he looked pretty good behind stablemate Role Model. He beat a similar field second up last time in, and appears to be going much better now, so he has to be rated as one of the hardest to beat.
Roughie: Keep an eye on Lunar Rise (Best Odds: $41.00) for Team Cummings, who is back in the stable after an unsuccessful stint in Honkers. When with the Cummings camp, he was running strong races behind the likes of Toydini and Sizzling. He has had a couple of quiet barrier trials in preparation for his return to racing, but this is the easiest field he has seen in a very long time, and he could be one to include in exotics at odds.
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Race Seven (4:20pm) : The Last Post Handicap (90) 1600m: Form Guide
Back Me: Interested to see how Telepathic (Best Odds: $4.80) bounces back. She ran last in the Queen Of The Turf, and a bad last, yet there was no mention in the Stewards Report, so I’ll put it down to outclassed. Her form prior to that was excellent in much tougher company than what she faces here, and on her best form, she’ll take a power of beating here.
Big Danger: Tarangower (Best Odds: $6.00) contested the Country Championship Final and ran well when second to the impressive Artlee. He is a previous Randwick winner from last preparation, and he did look pretty sharp in a recent barrier trial on his home track at Scone. Hard to beat, especially up to 1600m.
Roughie: Sense Of Occasion (Best Odds: $6.00) steps back up to Saturday grade after a superb first up win on her home track at Warwick Farm, plugging away in the mud best to get the job done. Her two Randwick runs have resulted in a third to Diametric and a midfield finish behind Centre Pivot. That’s really good form for a race like this.
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Race Eight (5:00pm) : The Bluebird Nurses Handicap (75) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: The Song Of Tara’s are just absolute swimmers, so I’ll clearly put Song And Laughter (Best Odds: $4.60) on top. She plowed through the mud to win two back at Warwick Farm before repeating the same result on a firmer surface. Home track now, wet track and is suited at the 1400m.
Big Danger: Electric Power (Best Odds: $5.00) worked home strongly to run second to Sure And Fast in the Provincial Championship Final, beaten convincingly but running well nonetheless. Looks beautifully weighted after the claim for Sam Clenton, loves give in the ground and has a tidy record at Randwick.
Roughie: Wings (Best Odds: $15.00) worked home nicely over the Warwick Farm mile a couple of weeks back when second to Royal Advennture, beaten over two lengths. Back to 1400m looks ideal and the last time she ran on wet ground, she was beaten a neck by a Stakes performed mare, Villa Splendido. Hard to beat here.
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BEST BET: Race Six Number 6 Hollywood Bound
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 2 Sadler's Lake
VALUE: Race One Number 6 Stravigo
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 3, 5, 8, 9, 10
Leg Two: 2, 3, 5, 6, 13
Leg Three: 1, 4, 6, 11
Leg Four: 2, 4, 8, 9, 11, 13
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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