25/5/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick

Sydney racing this Saturday heads to Randwick where nine races have been set down. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Really keen on 7 Prince Fawaz (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS). He was excellent in the Champagne two back behind Castelvecchio in a race that rated as the best 2YO race of the season. He then dropped to 1400m at Newcastle and it was just an ugly watch if you were on. Just got too far back in the run and that cost him behind Autocratic. Should have won and I think he can atone here en route to the JJ Atkins.

5 Reloaded (Bet Now: $2.00 TOP ODDS) is following the identical path to The Autumn Sun from last year, winning the 2YO maiden at Randwick before going here, then the JJ Atkins. His win on debut wasn’t as impressive as The Autumn Sun, but still had plenty of merit given he was back, wide off a slow speed, yet still finished over the top and his last 50-75m was excellent. Clearly has to be respected.

6 Sea Of Life (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) looks a talented colt for John O’Shea who has been kept on ice since debuting at the Warwick Farm midweeks when wide no cover on speed but cruised to the leader and looked the winner but Erno proved too good, and that form reads well via the Clarendon at Hawkesbury. Blinkers went on and he trialled up well at Rosehill. Interesting to see how he goes.

I can’t work out why 3 Lifesaver (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) is double figures. If he’s anywhere near right, he’s better than these surely? The last two runs from last prep might turn punters off but they have both been hot form races, and they were on wet tracks, something he hates. Been given a quiet break and he looked to be bolting in a recent Murwillumbah trial when not knocked about. Drawn to sit off a hot speed, he’ll be strong at the end if the track is dry, which it should be, and bear in mind he did win in a Highway first up last prep in what looked a stronger Highway.

5 Major Danger (Bet Now: $4.80 TOP ODDS) is four weeks between runs for Danny Williams since bolting up in a Highway at Hawkesbury, landing in front under J Mac and really giving nothing else a look in. Form out of that Highway does look suspect, but in isolation, he was impressive and ran okay time. Looks a horse of some promise for the stable and will take some beating here.

Taking a chance on 14 Revitup Rednut (Bet Now: $51.00 TOP ODDS), who is having her first run for Tash Burleigh and we know that stable does have a very good record with tried horses. This mare resumes in a Highway, like she did first up last prep when a solid fourth in a strong Highway. Looked pretty good in a Canberra trial win and looks to be going well enough for this 1000m assignment.

Big track, 2000m, timing…it’s all there to say that 2 Nobu (Bet Now: $3.00 TOP ODDS) is the one to beat. Not much went right for him in his NZ prep but his two runs back have been great, most notably on the Kenso track over 1800m last time where he sat off the fast speed, got to the outside and put them away in a couple of strides. Can only improve up in trip, added fitness..he’s very likeable.

6 Frenzied (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) is a very interesting runner. Americain gelding for the WaterBott team who ran over 2000m at Kembla last time where he got back in the ruck and was seemingly going nowhere, but the last 200m, he picked up and savaged the line late to beat a handy three year old stayer in Fast Train. Has upside, in the right stable and can land on speed if need be.

I like 14 Wealthy Wolf (Bet Now: $34.00 TOP ODDS), hopefully at decent odds. Thought his maiden win at Cranbourne was quite impressive before going to the Flemington 2000m where he just got too far back in the run but I didn’t mind the way he finished his race off behind dominant winner Ridgewood Drive. Would love to see him at 2400m, but 2000m is okay. Just hope he can sit a pair or two closer in the run.

14 Belfast Bella (Bet Now: $9.50 TOP ODDS) should have won the other day at Hawkesbury. Yes she was near last off the slow tempo, but she was absolutely bolting in the straight and got out far too late while the leader/winner Free Fly Too was off and gone. She is a mare who will love stepping out onto a big track, getting up in distance and hopefully sitting off a genuine tempo. Likeable.

4 Wolfe (Bet Now: $2.20 TOP ODDS) is a stayer on the up for the WaterBott stable. Just looked in need of the run first up over 1400m here before stepping up to 1900m at Canterbury when given a sweet steer from Clark just off the speed before getting the split and the turn of foot was quite good I thought in winning. Has plenty of upside left, will be out of trouble near the speed and should have upside to come.

9 Ombudsman (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) hadn’t done a great deal this prep but bounced back to positive form with a closing third over 1800m on the Kenso track when back and finishing off nicely behind impressive winner and stablemate Nobu. Was down to run over 1800m at Rosehill last week but was scratched and instead runs at 2000m here, which I think is a big tick. Hard to beat.

1500m is the little query with 5 Kolding (Bet Now: $2.40) but ability wise, he’s the best horse in the race. Showed an electric turn of foot when asked for the big effort by J Mac over 125m at Canterbury last time and won really impressively. He seems to have really turned the corner after a little freshen up and now rises to 1500m, a trip he failed at earlier in the prep, but looks a much better horse this time around.

10 Nicco Lad (Bet Now: $8.50) has run third each start this time in and you can a make a case he should have won each time. Latest came during the Scone Carnival when back, held up again when wanting to build momentum, but was really good late behind a good one in High Shine, with that mare being aimed at the Tatts Tiara. Drawn out, but should get cover and sit off what looks a genuine tempo.

11 Al Mah Haha (Bet Now: $13.00) rises significantly in class/depth but with that, does drop significantly in weight. He has lumped 62kg and 60kg at his past two runs, both in Highways, each time having no luck in the run and having no petrol tickets left for the finale. Gets right down in the weights this time around and 1500m should be fine for him. Couldn’t back him to win, but wouldn’t be surprised if he got the job done.

Second up syndrome is the query with 15 Gododdin (Bet Now: $3.10) but hard to not be impressed by what she did at the midweeks at Canterbury, her first run in a year. Led all the way under J Mac and it wasn’t as if she was walking in front. She ran some decent splits early on and given she was first up off a long break, she was there to be run down but she kicked and found plenty. Think she’ll be better off with a bunny to chase but either way, happy to be with her.

13 Montrachet (Bet Now: $9.00) looks a definite improver here second up. This mare lumped 58.5kg first up at the midweeks at Warwick Farm where she settled off the speed and tried hard throughout but was no match for the impressive finale of Alnaas. The second up record says 0/2, but second up last prep, she didn’t pull up 100% post race, and second up prep prior, ran fourth in the Hawkesbury Guineas. She can win this for sure.

9 Sweet Victory (Bet Now: $34.00) is a handy daughter of Smart Missile for the Mark Newnham stable that resumes. This girl had a pretty mixed Summer prep. Promised a fair bit off the trials but just didn’t live up to the expectations and for the most part, was disappointing. Been given a good break and has once again trialled well in readiness for her return. Market will be the guide, but if she’s forward enough, she’s got the ability to win.

On first look, it was a race I wasn’t sure If I wanted to have a bet in, but when seeing the odds, 14 After All That (Bet Now: $23.00) just looks silly odds. He resumed in the Ortensia at Scone where not much went right for him, not really getting a chance to build momentum compared to others out wider ala Viridine and Victorem. 1400m second should be fine, good speed in front, he’ll peel out and launch late.

Well and truly D-Day for 8 Moss Trip (Bet Now: $12.00). Been a long time since she has raced out of Stakes company, her last run coming in the Dark Jewel at Scone where I thought she was a bit disappointing behind the US mare Con Te Partiro after trialling up well leading in. She’s likely heading to Brisbane, but her form IMO would need to improve in order to warrant heading north. At her best, she can win.

7 Tip Top (Bet Now: $19.00) could well be the one. Just not sure he was suited on the Kenso track first up behind Renewal. Had the big weight with the claiming apprentice, pulled hard and didn’t finish off that great. Tends to save his best for the Randwick course proper and has a dynamite second up record. If he can get a suck run with cover, I think he’ll be very dangerous, hopefully at decent odds.

Just has to run up to his trials and 15 Deprive (Bet Now: $2,80) will take a power of beating. James Cummings trains this talented four year old galloper, who is resuming after putting it together in the Summer with a couple of really sharp wins on the bounce before being tipped out. Love horses that are spelled off the back of a win/wins, and his recent Randwick trial win was very good. Hopefully relaxes unlike last week where he was a late scratching.

If 4 Cradle Mountain (Bet Now: $2.60) is right, he should just about be beating these. Hasn’t raced since the Razor Sharp in the Summer when chasing Fell Swoop and for mine he had his chance but couldn’t get there when second to the Matty Dale runner. IMO, I think he needs to be placed right to be a Stakes winner, which I think he is here, and his recent trials have been sharp.

11 Akasaki (Bet Now: $16.00) is a Stephen Jones trained galloper who landed some really good bets at odds when winning during the Scone Carnival under a lovely steer from Chris Williams, sitting off the speed before dashing to the front and holding a margin to the line. Run prior in a strong Hawkesbury Rush was excellent without luck and I think he can measure up and run well here.

7 Taniko (Bet Now: $5.50) is a four year old mare for James Cummings resuming. This mare hasn’t raced since Australia Day at Randwick where she didn’t have the greatest of runs in transit in a total forgive run behind Junglized. Is a good fresh horse and has looked pretty good in a couple of trials. Market will probably be the best guide, but she’s got enough quality to figure.

16 Koonunga (Bet Now: $5.50) has been up a fair while for the Matty Smith stable but she’s racing well. Wide no cover last time out at Canterbury but didn’t stop chasing and was good in defeat when second to Gododdin. Gets the claim for an in form Robbie Dolan and does draw well against some of her fancied rivals. Back to 1000m also a big tick for this mare, so she’s hard to beat.

Been a while since 19 Three Sheets (Bet Now: $23.00) has had this low of a rating in town and I reckon Jeremy Sylvester has him going well. Ran behind Akasaki during the Scone Carnival where he was good late in restricted room, perhaps should have finished a tad closer. Is a two time winner at the track/distance, albeit from years ago, but I think he’s going well enough to run a positive race at odds.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 14 Belfast Bella

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 5 Kolding

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 14 After All That

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 6, 9, 13, 15

Leg Two: 1, 7, 8, 10, 14

Leg Three: 4, 11, 12, 15

Leg Four: 7, 13, 16, 19, 22

$50 Investment = 20.83% of the dividend if successful

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