An excellent card of racing has been assembled for Warwick Farm on Wednesday. Our best bet comes in race
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Race One (13:17) : Tab Early Quaddie Handicap 1300m Form Guide
Back Me: Hoywedge (Best Odds: $6.00) made her debut back in late February at Kensington, running a good fifth to Tetsuko after settling last in the run. I think she’ll be better next preparation, but there was plenty to like about that run, and is down on the weights, so she rates as a definite chance.
Big Danger: Good Prince (Best Odds: $12.00) was just okay last time out at Newcastle when fifth to Hampton Court, but in his defense, the winner walked them in front and sprinted hard in the straight. This is the easiest race he has contested so far in his career, so it’s D-Day.
Roughie: Really liked the way that Ella Enty (Best Odds: $14.00) hit the line in a barrier trial win at Rosehill recently, settling midfield before being brought out wide and sprinting nicely late to win. Has a good draw and appears to have her share of talent.
Race Two (13:52) : Get Racy Handicap (79) 2200m Form Guide
Back Me: Might only be a small field, but it’s a decent one. Was very impressed by the win of Vayakhan (Best Odds: $2.90) at Newcastle last start, showing a really sharp turn of foot when asked for the effort in the straight and putting the race beyond doubt in a couple of strides. Blacktype placegetter back in France last year, so he has the quality, and the upside.
Big Danger: I like the fact that Murphy’s Delight (Best Odds: $3.50) is on the seven day back up. Waller has a great strike rate when he produces horses on the quick back up, and this horse should relish the step up in trip. Raced a touch flat last week, so give him another chance here.
Roughie: Strike Me Lucky (Best Odds: $8.50), with the claim, is probably the best weighted horse in the race. Looked home here last start, but Cassidy lifted Grand Marshal over the line late to win. Meets that horse 1.5kg better here for a narrow loss, and the other runners, Lucky Liaison and Tamariz, are very poorly weighted, so Strike Me Lucky is the best outsider.
Race Three (14:27) : Ibis Milano Restaurant Handicap 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Simply, if Alberto Magic (Best Odds: $3.70) can handle the soft track and hold his current form, he’ll win. He was brilliant on debut at Canberra, winning by nine lengths, then took on the older horses at Wyong and found plenty when required. Back to his own age and sex here and on his home track. Should win.
Big Danger: Longma (Best Odds: $2.60) is the interesting runner here. He is making his Sydney debut for Gai Waterhouse after formerly being with Mick Price. He was touted as a Caulfield Guineas horse after an eight length debut win at Werribee, then sixth in the Danehill behind Charlie Boy before pulling up lame in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude. Finished second in a barrier trial to subsequent Coolmore Classic winner Steps In Time, so he is the big watch here.
Roughie: Medcaut (Best Odds: $13.00) comes to New South Wales for Peter Snowden after a gun return to racing, sitting wide with no cover at Kyneton and just failing in a three way photo finish. Like the fact he has been sent interstate, on his home track and drawn well.
Race Four (15:02) : Tab Quaddie Handicap 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Second of the good things for me in Nisroc (Best Odds: $6.00) She has only had two career runs, both over the Newcastle 900m. Won the first one back in December, then was spelled and resumed a couple of weeks back, where she was excellent, sprinting hard late despite missing the start slightly. Darren Smith knows when to bring them to town, and she looks quite exciting.
Big Danger: Plenty to like about the first up win of Diamond Fund (Best Odds: $5.50) at Hawkesbury, jumping brilliantly from the gates, leading and just spanking her rivals, running fast time. Her racing pattern will suit the 1200m start at Warwick Farm, where there is only the one turn, so she rates as the danger.
Roughie: Alberton Waltz (Best Odds: $16.00) took a while to get the job done at Goulburn, but she eventually got there and won narrowly. Has always shown promise both on race day and at the trials. Now that she has won a race, she can go on with it.
Race Five (15:40) : Pro-Ride Handicap (70) 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Fracking (Best Odds: $6.00) on top for me here. Makes his Australian debut for Chris Waller off the back of a solid trial placing behind stakes winner Dothraki, and trialled just as good, if not a touch better. On that trial, I’ll be in his corner here.
Big Danger: Spy Decoder (Best Odds: $7.00) was a drifter in betting last time out at Wyong, but the punters who stuck solid never really had any cause for concern in the run as he charged clear late and won quite impressively. Looks quite promising and deserves a crack in town.
Roughie: Raunchy Rocker (Best Odds: $3.70) resumes here for Gai Waterhouse off the back of a nice trial placing to Arinosa at this track a couple of weeks back. That mare ran poorly in the Coolmore, so that formline doesn’t look great, but Raunchy Rocker herself looked okay and does have good form from her previous prep.
Race Six (16:20) : Mossman @ Vinery Handicap (70) 1600m Form Guide
Back Me: You Are My World (Best Odds: $7.50) has been scratched a couple of times from a resume run for reasons I do not know, but he is a horse to watch and follow I think given he has looked good in the trials and his form from last prep is better than what it looks on face value.
Big Danger: Bubbles ‘N’ Boats (Best Odds: $3.90) spanked her rivals at Kembla Grange last time out, pinging the barriers and leading her rivals a merry dance. She has had several preps with Waller but injury has only seen her race on three occasions, but the patience looks as if it’ll be rewarded.
Roughie: Theresmusicplaying (Best Odds: $11.00) unleashed a powerful finishing burst to get the job done over the 1400m here at the last meeting. Will have no issues with the mile, and her runs on wet ground have been good. No reason why she can’t win again.
Race Seven (17:00) : Theraces.com.au Handicap (80) 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: I think one of the Peter Snowden will salute here. With the fitness edge, I am leaning towards Malice (Best Odds: $3.40). Solid first up run under the lights at Canterbury, then was badly held up late in the Canberra Guineas when seventh to Interspersed. Drawn the carpark here, but drops a fair bit in class and has some excellent formlines.
Big Danger: Sinjoren (Best Odds: $10.00) strung together four on the trot during the Summer before being tipped out for a spell. Trialled really well at Randwick behind Mr One Eleven, making up good ground late. I think he’ll benefit with the run, but it wouldn’t shock me if he won.
Roughie: Harmonic (Best Odds: $5.00) worked home very strongly late at Wyong to run fourth to Best Case, a stakes performer. Harmonic saves his best runs early on in the prep, so if he is going to win a race, this will be it, because he usually trains off after a couple of runs in a prep.
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Best Bet: Race Three Number 2 Alberto Magic (Best Odds: $3.00)
Next Best: Race Four Number 4 Nisroc (Best Odds: $5.00)
Best Roughie: You Are My World (Best Odds: $7.50)
Quaddie Tips (Races Four Through To Seven):
Leg One: 4
Leg Two: 3, 4, 6, 8, 11, 12
Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 7
Leg Four: 4, 6, 8, 9
$50 Investment = 52.08% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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