23/1/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Carrington Stakes day

Ten races will be run and won at Randwick on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out nine metres for the entire circuit.

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3 Arthur Francis (Bet Now: $3.30 TOP ODDS) is a son of Foxwedge for John O’Shea that is on debut. He’s had two trials to get ready for start one, winning impressively both times, firstly at Hawkesbury before bolting up in a trial here last week. Draws nicely and looks to have a decent engine under the hood.

9 Headliner (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is a daughter of Star Turn for Chris Waller that debuts. She has had two trials to get ready for start one and has looked pretty good at each outing, both times seeing her close off nicely from off the pace under little pressure. Draws to get a soft run and be strong at the end.

12 Perfect Darling (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) is a well bred filly for John Sargent that is on debut and I think she has to command some level of respect. Has had two trials to prepare, the latest seeing her run a close up third behind the well performed stablemate Readily Availabull. Tricky draw on paper, but looks to have gate speed.

Keen to see how 9 Water Dove (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) goes. Cav trains this filly, who is 2/2 to start her career. Resumed over 1100m at Wellington and she bolted up, with sustained speed from the front coming to the fire in an impressive return. Good test here, but she’s got the right racing pattern to measure up.

1 Art Cadeau (Bet Now: $3.20 TOP ODDS) has to carry the weight, but that is because he does have the class and is potentially on a Country Championships path. Has been freshened up, not racing since November 28 when a game second in a 1200m Highway at Rosehill. No trials to get ready, but has residual fitness and class.

6 Tango Stepz (Bet Now: $15.00 TOP ODDS) is a daughter of Sidestep for Rod Northam that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since May 15 when back, wide with cover and running on just fairly on Scone Cup Day, so it was a strong Class One. Looked to go about her business nicely in a recent Quirindi trial and her best is good enough.

Think this Highway is wide open, so looking for some value and think it lies with 5 Katgully Red (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS), who is second up here for Jenelle Butler. Resumed over 1000m at Muswellbrook on a very testing track and worked home quite well between runners in the inferior ground behind Snitzari. Better suited on top of the ground, draws soft and does have good Highway form from prior efforts.

1 Melik (Bet Now: $2.60 TOP ODDS) has the potential to be the best horse in the race, but I just query if this is a trial to prepare him for a Country Championships Qualifier. He does look to have a decent engine under the hood, but one soft trial with the Blinkers off, the set up is there to suggest he will need the run, but he has quality.

2 Southern Appeal (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) is the interesting runner, whether he has eyes on a Country Championships start I’m not sure. Resumes for Danny Williams, having not raced since September 5 in a Highway here when down the track behind Absolute Trust. Liked the recent trial and Bowman is found to ride.

Looking at this race with The Face out. Think James Cummings has found a lovely kick off point for his three year old 6 Valaquenta (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS). Hasn’t raced since Cox Plate Day in the Red Anchor when third to Portland Sky when trying to make ground against the track pattern. Loved the way he closed off in a recent Rosehill trials and finds a winnable race to resume in.

Cejay Graham has ridden 8 Hibiscus Lady (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) very well in recent runs, but I do like the senior rider in Tim Clark taking over, to hopefully try and get that last bit out of her. Massive effort last time when wide no cover for the trip but stayed on well behind Never Talk. Can press forward and give plenty of cheek.

3 I’m Telling Ya (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS) has a fab record down the Flemington straight so I find him a fascinating runner here. Ran at Flemington on New Years Day in what was a real sit/sprint, so given he was back in the field, he really had no chance, but loved the way he closed off when fourth to Riding The Wave. Better for the run and is a knockout chance.

Keen to see 5 Rule Of Law (Bet Now: $2.50) resume. Team Snowden colt that hasn’t raced since making it two on the bounce when bolting up at Gosford. Two trials to get ready have been very good and he does look potentially Stakes class. Market will be your guide as to whether or not he’s ready.

7 Super Effort (Bet Now: $5.50) is racing well for Chris Waller. Was second up when racing on the Kenso track three weeks ago where I thought Clipperton rode a good race and was there to win. Just no answers for a brilliant finale produced by Private Eye. Think that’s good form for a race like this.

Giving respect to 4 Rocketing By (Bet Now: $4.80). David Pfieffer trains this three year old who got the kill out of the way first up at Nowra, winning like it was pretty much a barrier trial, not extended at any stage by JVO. His runs in the Spring in some tidy races were solid, and enough to see him measure up here.

2 Kiss The Bride (Bet Now: $5.50) is flying and I feel is ready to win. Ran over 1800m here two weeks ago in what was a fast run race. He was caught wide throughout and doing a power of work. Did a great job to finish off and get as close as he did. If that hasn’t busted him, think he’s one of the better gambles on the card.

The best version of 7 On The White Turf (Bet Now: $14.00) is certainly capable. Team Freedman trains this mare, who finished down the track in the Belle Of The Turf at Gosford, seemingly struggling on the heavy track. Tick over trial was encouraging and back on firmer footing, think she can be dangerous.

10 California Longbow (Bet Now: $11.00) is back on track. Trialled up like a jet before being good very late fresh behind I Am Vinnie. Then stepped up to 1800m and again caught the eye late behind Sacramento. Two of his five career wins have come third up, so the pattern is there to suggest he’ll run well.

Happy to take a punt on 5 Zegalo (Bet Now: $8.00), who makes his Australian debut for Chris Waller. Was formerly trained in the UK by Roger Varian and he showed good promise when racing over there, winning two of five and placing on a further six occasions. His two Flemington jumpouts have been quite encouraging and his form from over there, it does read well for a moderate 78.

3 Outback Diva (Bet Now: $8.00) is a quality mare for the Freedman camp that can be a big improver here. Resumed at Randwick four weeks ago where the breaks didn’t go her way and should have finished much closer behind Dunbrody Power. Brilliant second up record. Definite winning hope.

11 Le Lude (Bet Now: $12.00) is a John Thompson trained mare that resumes. This girl is first up, having not raced since August 1 here when placing on a bottomless track behind the then flying mare Fulmina. Two trials to get ready have been solid enough to the eye and she can sprint quite well fresh.

I think if ever 6 Cradle Mountain (Bet Now: $26.00) is going to win another Stakes race, this is it. He won this race last year when dominating from the front with a rating of 92 and he comes here with a 94 rating, so isn’t badly in. Resumed at this track/distance and to the eye was terrible but was found to have made an abnormal respiratory noise post race. Subsequent trial was quite good and would love to see an aggressive, hopefully dominating from the outset.

Fitter and up to 1400m I love for the John Thompson trained gelding 9 Chat (Bet Now: $3.70). Was several weeks between runs when racing in the Christmas Classic at Canterbury and he was a real eye catcher from the back behind Eleven Eleven, who won again last Saturday to tick the form. He’s the one with upside and improvement.

Not sure 10 Thy Kingdom Come (Bet Now: $18.00) wins, but can certainly include him in wider multiples. Resumed over 1200m here two weeks back where he was back near last in a fast run race and I loved the way he closed off late behind King Of Hastings. Is a second up winner and can run a cheeky race here at odds.

See no reason why 9 Zing (Bet Now: $5.00) can’t win again. Chris Waller trained mare that led throughout to win here two weeks ago under a lovely front running steer from Tommy Berry, who took bad luck out of the equation by sending the mare to the top and he controlled things to suit himself. Better with a bunny to chase I feel and should be hard fit this time around.

Harder here for 7 Strange Charm (Bet Now: $12.00) but she’s flying for Anthony Cummings and deserves a crack at Saturday level. Last two starts/wins have come over 1550m at Canterbury, each time given a peach steer by Regan Bayliss. Loses nothing with Nash taking over, should land near the speed and prove hard to beat.

8 Guise (Bet Now: $17.00) is a second up winner for Chris Waller and up to the mile I see as a positive. Resumed over 1400m at Warwick Farm where she was a bit flat footed when the sprint went on but picked up and was good late. Think once she gets to 2000m she’ll be far more effective, but can sneak a first four spot here.

Some were and still are casting doubt over the win of 5 All Time Legend (Bet Now: $2.50) here two weeks ago. I just hope that means we get a better price. He can keep winning and end up being a Stakes class horse with time. Visually, it wasn’t flash when he won, but have to keep in mind he was ridden upside down and did burn petrol tickets early to lead, yet the race overall, produced the best last 400m and last 200m of the meeting, comfortably. I think he’s a good thing.

14 Brutality (Bet Now: $8.00) has returned in really good order for the Joe Pride camp. Resumed with a fast finishing win over 1300m at Warwick Farm before going to Randwick and the 1500m. He was run off his legs early, settling near last in the run but finished off with real purpose late to just miss out. He’s going super and can measure up here.

The mini freshen up I do like for 3 Matowi (Bet Now: $11.00). Hasn’t raced since Boxing Day at this track/distance when settling back in an on pace dominated affair and worked home okay without threatening behind stablemate Bigboyroy. Tick over trial was good and the tempo should be more genuine this time around.

BEST BET: Race Ten Number 5 All Time Legend

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 3 Arthur Francis

LONG SHOT: Race Three Number 5 Katgully Red

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 3, 4, 5, 11

Leg Two: 3, 6, 8, 9, 10

Leg Three: 3, 7, 8, 9

Leg Four: 5

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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