The best race day in Perth is here-Super Saturday at Ascot. Nine races are set to be run and won, along with two Group l events, including the $1 Million James Boag’s Premium Railway Stakes (1600m). The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (14:49) : Peace For Paris Handicap (66+) 1200m:
Back Me: I’ll take a chance with Cougar Knights (Best Odds: $8.50). This talented gelding hasn’t raced since early February, but he has been kept up to the mark with three barrier trials, so no doubt he will be forward enough, and Damien Lane is riding for the family. Watch for market moves.
Big Danger: Lunar Eclipse (Best Odds: $3.60) was unwanted in betting when resuming over this track/distance last Wednesday where he stuck to the task gamely but was no match for Paddy’s Flat. Craig Williams booked is a good lead and this horse won second up over this track/distance last time in.
Roughie: Reflectance (Best Odds: $21.00) is now under the care of Lindsey Smith after formerly being with Mark Bairstow. Hasn’t raced for six weeks, but there were encouraging signs in a recent Lark Hill barrier trial behind a Group l performer in Travinator. He is a talented horse on his day, so keep an eye on him.
Race Two (15:29) : Hahn Superdry Handicap (66+) 1500m:
Back Me: I’ll take a chance with Highly Secret (Best Odds: $9.00). He resumed over 1400m here a fortnight back and was stuck wide no cover on speed so he had to fade out and did, finishing down the track behind Neverland. Pike jumps on now and this horse does run well second up.
Big Danger: Little Shadow (Best Odds: $6.50) also comes through the same race. She got a long way back in the run before peeling out and letting down strongly to run Neverland to a half length. That form reads so well for this, but the big negative is that she is drawn wide and will more than likely have to go back to last.
Roughie: Palace Intruder (Best Odds: $31.00) gets one last chance for mine. He got stuck on the fence last start in the Neverland race and couldn’t really stoke up. He is better when in the clear and building up momentum, and that is what should happen here.
Race Three (16:04) : Jungle Mist Classic 1200m:
Back Me: Sheidel (Best Odds: $1.60) is out of the Winterbottom and instead takes on the mares here, and gee she looks well placed. Ran in the Colonel Reeves (1100m) on Cup Day and tried hard but was swamped late by three contenders in the Winterbottom. Looks the leader here and she should take a power of beating.
Big Danger: Ideal Image (Best Odds: $4.40) resumes here for the Williams yard after just one run in the Winter, resulting in a super win over 1200m at Belmont. Spelled soon after, and a recent Lark Hill trial was quite encouraging.
Roughie: Hashtag (Best Odds: $10.00) resumes here for Daniel Pearce after a solid Autumn/Winter prep. She won first up last time in and she looked sharp in a recent Belmont trial. Draws gate one so she should get every chance behind Sheidel.
Race Four (16:44) : Carbine Club Of WA Stakes 1400m:
Back Me: Neverland (Best Odds: $1.75) is the anchor for the program. For mine he could have easily run in the Railway and proven competitive there. His two wins this time in have been awesome, coming from the back last time. He has barrier one here and he showed first up he can take a sit near the speed and produce a similar turn of foot. Can’t see him losing.
Big Danger: Resonates (Best Odds: $5.00) has been freshened up since running a game third in the Northerly (1420m) behind Black Heart Bart, who is near the top of the betting for the Railway. Wasn’t asked to do much in a recent Belmont trial and this mare has proven that she runs well on the fresh side.
Roughie: Halo Express (Best Odds: $4.40) had a charmed run behind the tempo last start in the York Cup (1500m) but he couldn’t quite hold out the more fancied stablemate Special Delivery, who goes around in the Railway. Oliver jumps on and he always rides well when he returns home.
Race Five (17:24) : G1X.com.au Placid Ark Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: Celebrity Dream (Best Odds: $2.00) is unbeaten in two starts, the latest coming over this track/distance where she took a little while to wind as the leader dashed clear, but once balanced up, she just savaged the line and won like a star. No reason why she can’t repeat the dose.
Big Danger: That leader in the race mentioned above was Puteri Jewel (Best Odds: $4.80) and she was given every chance by Peter Knuckey, but was just beaten by a star. Looks the leader again, and if she can get a cheap sectional, she will kick strongly…just not good enough to beat Celebrity Dream.
Roughie: Pushin’ Shapes (Best Odds: $41.00) was one of the better two year olds from last season who hasn’t quite gone on with it as a three year old. Last raced three weeks ago when finishing fourth to Mystic Maid, and he had his chance. Up to 1200m does look ideal and on his two year old form, he’d be a chance here.
Race Six (18:05) : Sky Racing WA Guineas 1600m:
Back Me: He’s Our Rokki (Best Odds: $5.50) looks the one. Scratched from the Sandown Guineas last week to be saved for this. His run in the Carbine Club (1600m) against the pattern was fantastic behind Mahuta, and that horse of course won the Sandown Guineas last weekend, so the form reads well. Extremely hard to beat for mine.
Big Danger: If you backed Blackwood (Best Odds: $6.50) last weekend in the Champion Fillies Stakes (1600m) last Saturday, I wouldn’t drop off her. She tried to lead all the way there, and for mine she is not a leader. She is far better when she has a bunny to chase, as we saw during her 2YO year. She’s high class and is clear pick of the local hopes.
Roughie: London Line (Best Odds: $13.00) isn’t the best horse in the race but he is certainly one of the bravest and toughest. He had the charmed run in the Fairetha (1400m) last start and won narrowly but impressively. Little query on him running out a strong mile, but he is a tough bugger who will give everything.
Race Seven (18:50) : Crown Perth Winterbottom Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: Go back to 2013 when Buffering (Best Odds: $3.00) won the Winterbottom. His last start then was the Darley Classic where he won that, admittedly in one of the weaker runnings of that race, but that track was rain affected and he ran a similar time than what he did in the 2015 Darley Classic. He is the clear horse to beat for mine.
Big Danger: Fast ‘N’ Rocking (Best Odds: $8.50) had a suck behind the tempo in the Manikato (1200m) and was charging home but just got squeezed up a touch by the eventual winner 100m out and it probably cost him a place. He did beat home Buffering, and has the fresh legs on his side, so he is the obvious logical threat.
Roughie: Probably the second stringers of the locals ran in the Colonel Reeves (1100m) on Cup Day at this track, where it was won by Rock Magic. Third in that race was Liberty’s Gem (Best Odds: $26.00), and while he had his chance, he stuck on okay I thought. Highly doubt he can win, but he can sneak a place with the right run.
Race Eight (19:35) : James Boag’s Premium Railway Stakes 1600m:
Back Me: Delicacy (Best Odds: $4.20) did have a slight setback a couple of weeks back and was sort of playing catch up when resuming in the Lee Steere (1400m). Couldn’t have been ridden better by Pike, but her condition just gave out late as Black Heart Bart finished off with real purpose on the outsideShe. is a dual Group l winner over 2000m and beyond, and a fast run mile will really suit her compared to Black Heart Bart, who is a query beyond 1400m. Also adding in that Delicacy does meet Black Heart Bart 2kg better off for 0.75L defeat. Easy to see why she is top pick in betting.
Big Danger: The Perth Cup (2400m) winner Real Love (Best Odds: $5.00) returned to racing in brilliant order by winning the Asian Beau (1400m). She sat 1/1 behind a tempo which wasn’t slow nor was it was quick. It was a just a nice rolling tempo which suited this staying mare, who was left flat footed a touch on the turn when leader Dawn Approach kicked for home at the top of the straight, but the class kicked in and she rounded it up, along with Hazzabeel. Soft win for mine considering she gave both placegetters 4kg in weight. Nothing from that race will turn the tables on her here.
Roughie: Messene (Best Odds: $14.00) was scratched from the Emirates due to a wet track, but he has tuned up for this race with a lovely jump out at Flemington. Time was sharp and he looked to do it quite comfortably. A firm track brings him right into the mix and on his best form, he is a serious winning chance.
Race Nine (20:20) : Tattersall’s Cup 2100m:
Back Me: It’ll be a great training effort if Adam Durrant can get Mystic Prince (Best Odds: $9.00) to win here, but I am confident he can. This horse last ran 55 days ago in the Kalgoorlie Cup (2300m) when running a close second to Woodsville. He is the class runner and I don’t doubt he will be ready for this.
Big Danger: Rebelson (Best Odds: $10.00) was the best of the closers in the Ascot Gold Cup (1800m) last start when third to impressive winner Drive West. The con against the run was the fact they did run along in front so back markers were suited. That being said, the 2100m is ideal for this galloper and he has upside.
Roughie: This race can throw up a rough result, so I’ll include Operational, (Best Odds: $41.00) who is on the back up from last Saturday when running in the Peters Stakes (1500m). Pace didn’t suit him, but he closed off okay I thought. He will love the rise in trip and is a definite blowout hope.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 1 Buffering
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 8 Neverland
VALUE: Race Nine Number 10 Operational
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 4, 5, 14, 15
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 9
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 5
Leg Four: 2, 3, 5, 6, 10
$50 Investment= 10.41% of the dividend if successful.
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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