21/10/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville

Ten races will be run and won at Morphettville this Saturday. Weather is fine, track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres from the 1200m-Winning Post; True for the remainder.

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5 Lights Of Broadway (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to rate highly against these. This mare was teasing to win one and it came last time at Gawler where she absolutely gapped them, winning by a space and won with something in hand I thought. That was 1700m and given the arrogance of the win, 2000m should be fine and is bred to appreciate it. Leading contender.

2 Soames (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a tough nut that has really turned the corner this time in. This gelding ran just over two weeks ago over 1950m on the Parks track when on speed and the credit has to go to him because he was there to be beaten but he kept finding under pressure, fended them off and was too good. He has that hard run at the trip under the belt, so it should hold him in good stead and finds a winnable race.

6 Seafaring (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying without winning for the Lynch camp. He ran in a similar race a fortnight back at Murray Bridge when on speed throughout and kept fighting on strongly but couldn’t quite finish it off, run down late by Jaywick. He has run well at the track before, good racing style, racing well…finds it hard to win but with the on speed pattern, he’ll give himself every chance.

1 Wiggum (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a smart three year old for Travis Doudle. Trialled up super at Strathalbyn before resuming at Murray Bridge a fortnight back where he got a sweet sit in transit on speed before Tourneur clicked him up and he showed good change up speed to win impressively. More of a test here, but he is a likely prospect and think he can measure up.

7 Kinetic Jewel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and prove hard to run down. Ran on the Parks track just over two weeks ago where she produced sustained speed from the front, giving nothing else a look in and winning quite comfortably. Debut run behind Lovely Lookin’ was full of merit and with an on speed racing pattern, she’ll take beating.

4 Hot Off (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a handy gelding that resumes. He had a two run prep in the early part of the Winter, the latest run at Gawler when placing behind a nice horse in Sentimental Flame. Resumes at 1100m, which I like, and his recent jumpout just over two weeks ago was a nice piece of work. Knockout chance if they overdo it in front.

4 Montepulciano (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty for Team Jolly and is the one to beat for mine. He is five weeks between runs since letting down with purpose to win over 2000m here, giving them a start and a beating in an impressive display. He is a horse who does seem to thrive with fresh legs and back slightly in trip should be no issue for him. The one to beat for mine.

2 Pudding (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is getting towards D-Day for Team Jolly. I was keen on him running well in the Murray Bridge Cup and yes, he got badly held up behind tired leaders, but when he got clear, he didn’t attack the line, so IMO, jury is out, but he drops a fair way in grade/depth, he maps to do no work and he is the class factor.

1 Clever Man (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. He comes through the Murray Bridge Cup from two weeks back where he was back last in the run and while he was never a winning threat, he did make up ground and for the most part, I thought he was far from disgraced. Might want one more and 2000m+, but he has class, he’ll be strong late…must for exotics.

2 Silent Surrente (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate a rise to 2000m. She comes through the Murray Bridge Cup from two weeks ago when back near last in the run and while she was never a winning threat, she did make up solid headway in a good effort behind impressive winner Jack The Lad. Fitter and up in trip, more positive ride, she can take this out for sure.

1 Does It (Bet Now:  $SP.00) seems a straight bat option for Team Jolly. Three weeks between runs since winning over 2250m on the Parks track where he got the A1 run in transit and that won him the race because if the race was 2300m, he gets beat, so back to 2000m looks a big tick and with a win on the board, finally, he can continue winning for sure.

5 Ammo Amor (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing really well for Kristi Evans. He ran a fortnight back at this trip at Murray Bridge where he got back in the run but tracked up nicely and moved with purpose but couldn’t quite finish the race off well enough to win when third to Vino Decassa Nostra. He was 1550m to 2000m so now he has that 200m run under the belt, it should hold him in good stead.

5 Anilla (Bet Now:  $SP.00) seems a straight bat option for Team Hayes. He ran down the straight at Flemington two weeks ago when near the speed throughout and loomed to win but couldn’t quite finish the job when a close up third to Electric Impulse. That was his first run in a month so with room for improvement and getting back to a bending track, he looks hard to beat against these.

4 Karacasu (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should prove hard to beat against these. Team Jolly trained gelding that resumed on the Parks track a few weeks back where he was chasing from the outset due to the strong tempo but ran through the pain barrier and kept finding the line in a strong return when second to Taunting. Better for the run under the belt, onto the big track, he’ll take beating.

1 Struck By (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Travis Doudle trained gelding that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since April 8 during the Oakbank Carnival when producing an end of prep run when down the track behind Rolls. He saves his best for this track and is a good fresh, so even allowing for the weight, for mine, he rates as one of the leading contenders.

1 Yuri Royale (Bet Now:  $SP.00) might need more racing but he does bring a class edge and that will carry him some distance. He resumed at Murray Bridge a fortnight back where he was well specked at odds but didn’t fire, getting back near last in the run and failing to make up any real headway behind Bubble Over. He gets a much better set up this time around and the depth is nowhere near as deep.

2 Dr Dee Dee (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has upside to come and found positive form. That was found at Mount Gambier where he worked home with purpose late in the piece behind Hasta La Fiorente, a pretty solid animal in terms of a form reference for this. Hasn’t really fired a shot when racing at Morphettville previously but this race is very much winnable.

10 Caliburn (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has had two runs at 1400m to start the prep and I think up to the mile suits. He ran just over two weeks back on the Parks track where he got back off the speed and failed to make up any real headway in a plain return behind Tales Of Conflict. Much better set up for him here…doubt he wins, but can pinch a first four spot.

6 Bulls On Parade (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the way I am leaning. Michael Hickmott trained gelding that debuted with an electric win over 1050m here before going to the Parks track four weeks ago where he seemingly had every chance and was plain late but was found to have lost a plate in the run so perhaps there was an excuse there. Off the debut win, that effort was good enough to give this race a shake.

5 Sabermetric (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can measure up and take this out. His win at Gawler last time…what was that? Five and six wide no cover throughout yet still kept finding under pressure and ended up being strongest late in a big, big win. He was starting to become a milk drinker before that but no milk needed after that win. Proven metro performer, he’ll take beating if he can run up to that effort.

Fitter and up to 1200m are two big ticks for the Team Jaensch trained gelding 3 Anjopin (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He resumed three weeks back on the Parks track when wide no cover for the trip on speed and that hard run just told late in the piece behind impressive winner Foster Street. Has a good second up record and with a better run in transit, he certainly has the engine under the hood to take this out.

9 Episodic (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a horse I have been waiting to see at the mile all prep and she gets it here. Ran last Saturday in a 1200m maiden here when off the speed and kept finding the line but couldn’t get past a nice horse in Losesomewinmore. Tricky draw, but has good form around her despite being a maiden and I do think the depth is on the thin side. Happy to take a chance with her.

12 Dual Fuel… (Bet Now:  $SP.00) what the hell was last start? She was super first up at Strathalbyn before racing on the Parks track here three weeks ago where the market push late said she was the one to beat and after getting a beaut run in transit, when Murray asked for the effort, she went backwards and failed to beat a runner home. Vet found nothing so that’s the query as to why she went so bad…off the first up run, she goes close to winning this.

6 Prince Reichweite (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the one with upside/progression and comes here off a win. That win came three weeks ago in a maiden over 1300m on the Parks track where he appreciated a fast speed, sitting back near last and launching late over the top for a big win. Off that, 1600m here should be fine, and with the upside/progression in the tank, I think he is in with a shout.

4 Foxy Femme (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has only won the one race in her seven start career but Team Blanch has her flying and she is bursting to win another race. She ran a close up third in the Aztec Dancer race from a fortnight back at Murray Bridge where she got back to near last in the run and worked home hard late, just missing out on the win when a close up third. If she is within range, she has the finale to launch late.

13 Aviatress (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Smart Missile filly for Team Jolly and confident she can measure up in town. Market wanted her with confidence when she debuted at Murray Bridge, and the bets were landed. She lobbed into a beaut spot just off the speed before being clicked up and away she went for quite a dominant win. Looks well above average to my eye and off that win, she can win here.

2 Aztec Dancer (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is putting together a tidy record for the Searle/Callanan camp. She has won two of her four career outings, the two wins being her recent starts, the latest being two weeks ago at Murray Bridge when driving hard late to wear them down for a big win. Fast run 1050m will suit and despite creeping up in the relative weights, she is very genuine and rates highly once again.

3 Sghirripa (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will do me in the get out. Team Oxlade trained gelding who can produce serious sustained speed from the front, which I am hoping can eventuate here. He resumes, having not raced since July 1 when producing an end of prep run at Murray Bridge behind Validated. 1050m here I like for him and his recent trial win at that track was very sharp. Lands in front and I think he’ll be too speedy for them.

1 Lonrodex (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a model of consistency for Matty Seyers that rates highly against these. His run two weeks ago at Murray Bridge was enormous given he was wide no cover on speed throughout and kept chipping away, only getting the staggers late in the piece when a narrow third to stablemate Grand Host. Think with a better run in transit, he’ll take beating.

6 Grand Host (Bet Now:  $SP.00) hasn’t fired in four runs at this track previously but off a last start win, he commands respect. He won the race mentioned above from two weeks back, getting the suck run on the fence before driving hard late and in a blanket finish, he was strongest late in an impressive win. Maps to get a similar run again so he’s a definite winning chance for mine.

BEST BET: Race Ten Number 3 Sghirripa

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 5 Anilla

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 9 Episodic

Quaddie (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 2, 3, 5, 6

Leg Two: 4, 6, 9, 10, 12

Leg Three: 2, 4, 10, 13

Leg Four: 3

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful.

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