2/5/2018 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Warrnambool, Wangoom Handicap day

The Warrnambool Carnival continues this Wednesday with a nine race card, where the feature is the ‘Newmarket Of The Bush’ the Wangoom Handicap (1200m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

8 Champagne Friday (Bet Now: $4.25) gets the nod for me. Gallant Guru filly for Darren Weir who has had two career outings and has placed both times, the latest coming over 1200m at Ballarat when a close up second to Bernie’s Regret in a maiden which looked to have depth to it. Up to 1400m no issue for mine and should take some beating.

5 Truly High (Bet Now: $3.90) is a High Chaparral gelding resuming for Darren Weir. This bloke hasn’t raced for nearly 12 months so this will be a training effort from the stable to get the job done but the stable has done it so often at this Carnival. Showed good promise when last racing in some tidy maidens. Market will tell you how forward he is.

1 Donndubhan (Bet Now: $5.50) is a Monaco Consul gelding resuming for Darren Weir. He has only had the one start, which came at Terang back in March when working home with purpose from the back to run second to Royal Zephyr. Recent jump out at Ballarat was very good to the eye and looks forward enough to run well.

I’ll take a chance on 7 Two Bill (Bet Now: $2.95), a Symon Wilde trained galloper that is first up. This bloke kicked off his career in the Summer with a two run prep, and both times he showed really good promise. First up at 1700m is a big ask, but he is trained on the track and the stable/jock combo have been very good at this Carnival in recent years.

10 Tata Da Goose (Bet Now: $3.20) is a Wez Hunter trained mare who was confidently supported when resuming over 1400m at Werribee where she just got too far back in the run but you had to like the way she finished off behind Charlie’s World. No qualms with 1700m and with clear air, she’ll take some beating.

3 Lord Flynn (Bet Now: $3.30) is a Matty Williams trained gelding who resumed over 1400m on Terang Cup Day where he was up near the speed throughout and battled away pretty well in defeat I thought when third to Lucky For All. Up to 1700m a big tick and he’ll appreciate returning to his home track. Live chance.

3 Big Bad Bad (Bet Now: $1.36) looks the way to go. Darren Weir trains this there year old, who ran in a Bendigo maiden over the mile last Tuesday where he got a fair way back off them but wound up strongly to just miss out on picking up Queen Leodora. Up to 1700m looks ideal, not much depth to the field, keen to bet up if we get black figures.

2 Bianco Nuovo (Bet Now: $5.50) looks the nest best. Michael Moroney trains this bloke, who comes through a 1500m maiden at Mornington where he got back to near last in the run but worked home well late in the piece to be beaten three lengths. 1700m looks ideal and this race doesn’t have much depth.

4 Count Zero (Bet Now: $6.50) is a Darren Weir trained gelding who has had two career outings. Debuted at Echuca and was sound behind stablemate Sarkozy before going to Werribee where he closed off well late behind the well backed Charlie’s World. He’s racing as if 1700m will suit and he’s in the right stable for this time of year.

8 Bold Bandit (Bet Now: $4.50) looks the way to go. Patrick Ryan trains this gelding, who made his Australian debut in a Highweight at Hamilton where he was given a sweet ride just off the pace and once he got clear running, he finished best and proved far too good. Jumps trial here last week was very good and should take some beating.

7 King Kamada (Bet Now: $3.95) comes through a steeple at Hamilton where he looked to have every chance in the run under Richard Cully and he looked as if he’d go past Mannertone but that horse kicked too hard and proved too good. Becoming a bit costly to follow but his run here two back was a beauty. Giving him another chance.

4 The Dominator (Bet Now: $5.00) could be a sharp improver returning to jumps. His form on teh flat recently has been dreadful but between runs he has been trialling up enormous over the sticks. His jumps form last year reads very well for this, and if he brought that, along with his trial efforts, he’s right in this.

10 Set With Jewels (Bet Now: $8.00) could be an improver at odds. Darren Weir has this daughter of Reset, who resumed at Ararat where she looked a bit big in condition and ran accordingly, just running out of puff late when third to Flaubert’s Gift. First prep she showed signs that a longer trip would suit and she gets it second up.

6 Von Mystic (Bet Now: $5.00) brings some tidy form with him to this race and I think he can run well. Ran over 1850m on Terang Cup Day and battled away really well behind the heavily baked and dominant winner Hang Man. Back to 1700m on firmer footing looks ideal, Lane steers, good draw…ticks plenty of boxes.

3 Golden Song (Bet Now: $10.00) is a stablemate of Set With Jewels who should appreciate the rise to 1700m. He came back to 140m after running over the mile start prior and just couldn’t sprint with them in the straight but the effort was sound behind Bernie’s Regret. I think up to 1700m will suit and of course is in the right yard.

1 Ancient King (Bet Now: $2.50) could be suited back to the jumps camper. He has been going okay on the flat but not quite well enough to feature prominently and he showed last season he is a potential star of jumps racing. Would need a bottomless track to get his chance, but if not, he’s still a definite threat.

I think 6 Dane Hussler (Bet Now: $3.20) is the pick of the Hayes/Dabernig pair. On the flat she has a bit more zip than the other bloke and I reckon with the small field, it could well turn into a sit/sprint, which will suit her given she has flat speed. Good win last time out in the 3600m race at Oakbank and has trialled well over the jumps since.

4 Honey Steel’s Gold (Bet Now: $6.00) was well backed when running over the jumps at Pakenham last time out and from the 800m onwards, he was always looking the winner. Just a matter of clean jumping and he did that nicely. His best chances will come if we get a heavy 10, but if not, he has been going well and should be around the mark.

8 Woulda Thought So (Bet Now: $6.50) looks well placed here by the Hayes/Dabernig team. Ran over 1300m at Sandown last time out and worked home strongly from the back to run third to Dinner Lake. Took on the older horses there and far from disgraced so back to his own age, good draw and Regan steering, he should take some beating.

14 Honey Esprit (Bet Now: $2.65) should be seriously respected here. Bolted up in her maiden two back over 1300m here before contesting the VOBIS Gold Distaff at Caulfield where she was far from disgraced behind French Emotion. That run will do one of two thing for here: Either it will toughen her up or she’ll be a sook. Market will be the guide.

3 Sarkozy (Bet Now: $21.00) is a promising gelding trained by Darren Weir who has won his past two outings, the latest coming under the lights at Cranbourne over 1400m when ridden a treat near the speed by Brad Rawiller. Back to his own age and though up sharply in depth, anything the stable saddles up this Carnival has to be respected.

I think 8 Demonstrate (Bet Now: $9.50) can run well here. Two wins on the bounce for the stable before going to the VOBIS Sprint at Caulfield when charging home from the back to run fifth to Rich Charm. That reads sow ell for a race like this, he handles a track with give in it, he draws well and Williams remains on.

There has been a good confident market push for 6 Moss ‘N’ Dale (Bet Now: $6.00) so I’ll elevate him in the numbers. He’d want a bottomless track to be at his absolute best, but he had a fab Winter/Spring prep, and his recent Cranbourne trial was very good. Not a noted fresh performer, but the market support says he’s ready to go.

1 Ulmann (Bet Now: $15.00) is a high quality animal that resumes for the Darren Weir camp. This bloke had a pretty good Melbourne Spring before heading to WA where he ran okay in a couple of runs. No official trials leading in, but he can sprint well fresh and always respect the stable when they produce one fresh during this Carnival.

3 Lucky For All (Bet Now: $2.00) looks the good thing of the Carnival. Very promising gelding for Darren Weir who made his Australian debut on Terang Cup Day over 1400m where he was heavily backed and the punters got it spot on as he produced a brilliant finishing burst to win impressively. He looks perfectly placed to beat these.

2 Maxy Campo (Bet Now: $9.50) is going really well at the moment for the Symon Wilde team and he should run well up in trip. Ran over 1400m at Hamilton last time out and though maybe a touch flattered by finding the best ground, gee he finished off his race with purpose to score a dominant win. On that effort, 1700m no issue.

8 Zedinator (Bet Now: $21.00) is the unknown. Darren Weir trains this three year old, who comes here after dumping Dean Yendall on Terang Cup Day behind Henpecker. Two runs prior he bolted up before an eye catching effort at Sandown. If he’s right, he runs well, but highly doubt he gets close to the stablemate.

7 Think Babe (Bet Now: $2.40) is a Darren Weir trained gelding who was unwanted in betting when resuming at the Sandown midweeks but he finished off with purpose I thought when second to Princeton Spirit. Won his lone start here, should improve off that resumption and he is a second up winner, so he ticks plenty of boxes.

14 Makatiti (Bet Now: $10.00) is a John Sadler trained gelding who attempted to lead all the way over 1400m last time out at Sandown where he looked to control things nicely and gave a good kick but just found Galaxy Raider too good. Not as much depth this time around and thrives on tracks with give in it.

I reckon 2 Lord Tennyson (Bet Now: $15.00) should be closely watched here. Peter Chow trains this horse on track, and he does tend to save his best for here. Forget he went around last time out on the bog at Terang behind Inn Keeper. Been given a little freshen up and Damian Lane booked to ride is a positive lead.

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 8 Lucky For All

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 8 Bold Bandit

VALUE: Race Eight Number 8 Demonstrate

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 3, 6, 8, 9, 14

Leg Two: 1, 2, 6, 8

Leg Three: 3

Leg Four: 2, 7, 9, 14

$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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