17/9/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes day

Group l racing continues at Caulfield on Saturday for Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Day. The weather forecast is for showers, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

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Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes

Not much of a race this, and with a state switch, upside with C Williams, I’ll give a chance to 8 Head Of State (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS). He was awful first up behind Alcyone before being freshened up and running three weeks ago at Rosehill when okay behind Born A King. Fitter, lands on speed, he’ll take beating in a thin race.

9 Protection Money (Bet Now: $8.50 TOP ODDS) is three weeks between runs for Nigel Blackiston since racing at this track/distance where he was near the speed throughout and battled away pretty well when third to Spanish Tides. I think he’s going well, nearing a win…wouldn’t shock if it came here.

10 Unique Artist (Bet Now: $9.50 TOP ODDS) has found winning form…can she hold it? Lovely ride from Moor saw this mare win nicely on the Synthetic at Pakenham last time, rolling about a bit under pressure but was too good. Has proven herself in town before, so she has to be respected with upside to come.

8 Kin (Bet Now: $9.50 TOP ODDS) looks a talented filly for James Cummings. She resumed over 900m at Newcastle and I loved the way she knuckled down late to wear down Dashing Legend, a Stakes performed filly in her own right who won well last week at Hawkesbury, so the form reads very well, and I love when the Cummings stable switch between states. Hard to beat.

Very interesting runner is 6 Xtravagant Star (Bet Now: $2.90 TOP ODDS), who resumes for Team McEvoy. She won the Inglis Millennium at Randwick before contesting the Sweet Embrace where she didn’t handle the bottomless behind subsequent Slipper winner Fireburn. If she’s anywhere near right, she’ll take beating.

2 Renosu (Bet Now: $10.00 TOP ODDS) is a James Cummings trained colt that comes to Melbourne several weeks between runs since a dominant all the way win at Hawkesbury in a maiden where he ran fast time, doing it btoh ends. Showed good promise as a juvenile and I think he might go on with it.

I don’t think you can go wrong backing 2 Cyclone Sally (Bet Now: $13.00 TOP ODDS) each way, especially with the wet track on the cards. Totally forgiving of her run at Sandown last time when given an awful steer from Alana Kelly, rolling forward for no reason instead of staying wide with cover. Newitt is back on, he’ll ping her to the front and she’ll only run well.

10 Saigon (Bet Now: $4.20 TOP ODDS) is the one on the up and has the Waller polish. She resumed at this track/distance three weeks ago where she was back near last in the run in a slowly run race and was never a factor, but liked the way she finished her race off when third to Lady Of Honour, who ran super last Saturday in the Let’s Elope, so that clearly reads well for this.

8 Ocean Miss (Bet Now: $13.00 TOP ODDS) should be around the mark. Team Feek trained mare that resumed three weeks back at this track/distance where she was near the pace throughout and there to threaten, but couldn’t quite finish the job when second to Lady Of Honour. That clearly reads well for this.

7 Amenable (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) is a horse I have plenty of time for. He wasn’t suited fresh at Moonee Valley but I really liked the way he finished his race off when fourth to Shalaman, beaten just under two lengths but attacked the line with purpose. Fitter and up to 1400m, he’ll take beating.

2 Aft Cabin (Bet Now: $2.30 TOP ODDS) should love the rise to 1400m. He was 1400m back to 1200m here three weeks back and just got held up a crucial stage, but even allowing for that, he was no match for Jacquinot. Back up to 1400m, and with clear air early, he can bounce back.

3 Zamborghini (Bet Now: $20.00 TOP ODDS) is one that creates interest here. They’ve tried to get him to stretch out but I am starting to think that stretching out to potentially be a Caulfield Guineas horse, which I don’t think he is. So, 1400m is the query here, but a soft lead, potentially, helps offset that.

9 Hope At Hand (Bet Now: $15.00) looks to be in for a good prep. This filly resumed over 1050m at Morphettville two weeks ago and worked to the line with real purpose late in the peace when second to a sharp horse, Taunting. Showed good promise as a juvenile and the return behind a smart one was encouraging, so she’s hard to beat here.

Happy to give respect to 11 Sumatra (Bet Now: $13.00). James Cummings trained filly that resumed in a Hawkesbury maiden where she looked a good thing on paper and under a peach from Clipperton, she was miles too good for them. Has been kept on ice for this race and with In Secret heading to the Golden Rose, this girl potentially becomes their #1 seed for the Flight/Thousand Guineas.

5 Boogie Dancer (Bet Now: $6.50) is in the mix for sure. Strong winner at this track/distance two back before being given a let up. She went to the Atlantic Jewel two weeks back and and was good late without threatening behind Troach. Proven at 1400m and stable is flying, so I am not dismissing her.

Fitter and on a firmer deck, I like 8 Crystal Pegasus (Bet Now: $9.00). He resumed two weeks ago in the Chelmsford at Randwick on the bog track and he was far from disgraced in defeat behind Knights Order in an effort that was a definite pass mark. Fitter, up to 2000m and on firmer footing, I think he’ll only run well.

4 Sheraz (Bet Now: $8.50) looks to be in for a really good prep. Chris Waller trained import that resumed three weeks ago in the Heatherlie where he darted up the inside and for a few strides he looked home but was nabbed late by Emissary. Fitter and up to 2000m, Caulfield Cup start on the line, he commands respect.

13 Smokin’ Romans (Bet Now: $9.50) looks ready to win. Maher/Eustace trained stayer that is several weeks between runs since racing at The Valley where he was there to beat stablemate Mankayan, but just found him too tough and too good. Hard fit now, he’ll take beating. against these.

8 Ayrton (Bet Now: $6.50) is a high quality animal for the Price/Kent stable that resumes and we know that he is an absolute bomb fresh. Mixed Autumn/Winter prep, though he did win fresh at this track/distance. Jumpout was good, likewise the trial last week. Just needs an economical run to be around the mark.

10 Showmanship (Bet Now: $5.50) is right in the mix despite being poorly weighted. He looked a moral fresh at Randwick in the Show County and despite a slow tempo, he was able to produce an electric finale to win and win well. Go back to this time two years ago, he was pretty much odds on to win this race before injury struck. He looks to have come back nicely and will be strong late.

14 Bankers Choice (Bet Now: $21.00) is the Toorak pony from this race IMO. He resumed behind I Wish I Win and was okay to the line and through it. That was at 1400m and he stays at 1400m. I reckon this will top him off for the mile but if they overdo it in front, he’ll launch at the end.

4 Chain Of Lightning (Bet Now: $2.30) is an absolute beauty for Peter Moody. Made it 5/5 three weeks ago when a dominant winner of the Cockram at this track/distance, lowering the colours of Passive Aggressive. Kissonallforcheeks won the Let’s Elope last Saturday, so the form has been ticked off, and you don’t know how good they are til they’re beaten.

You’d think this is D-Day for 7 Isotope (Bet Now: $4.60). She resumed in the Cockram and while she was in restricted room, I thought she was entitled to finish the race off a bit better behind Chain Of Lightning. She is very hit and miss, but if she brings her best, she can certainly take this out.

5 Written Beauty (Bet Now: $7.00) creates interest. This Chris Waller trained mare that is first up, having not raced since the Brisbane Winter when far from disgraced in the Tatts Tiara. We’ve seen this Spring that the Brisbane Winter prep works wonders and she’s trialled up really well in readiness.

Very small each way bet on 8 Bless Her (Bet Now: $20.00) in the get out. She’s a swimmer who should get conditions to suit if the rain forecast is right and we are on a Soft/Heavy track. Three weeks between runs since a down the track effort behind Shooting For Gold here. Down to 51kg and with a wet track, I think she’s worth a peanut each way.

12 Rose Quartz (Bet Now: $5.00) is a talented mare for the Grahame Begg camp that resumes. She had a very good Autumn prep, which ended with a narrow second down the straight at Flemington to Bermadez. Her best has come down the straight but has performed around a bend and maps idealy from the gate.

11 Curran (Bet Now: $9.00) has an awful racing pattern but he has a booming finish, which is the story of his life. He did that three weeks back here, working home with real purpose behind Shooting For Gold. If he was able to sit closer in the run, he’ll be dangerous and is capable of winning.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 4 Chain Of Lightning

NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 8 Kin

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 8 Crystal Pegasus

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 4, 8, 11, 13

Leg Two: 7, 8, 10, 14, 15

Leg Three: 2, 4, 5, 7

Leg Four: 8, 9, 11, 12

$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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