An excellent card of racing has been assembled for Canterbury on Wednesday. Our best bet comes in race two courtesy of Havana.
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Race One (13:18) : Theraces.com.au Handicap (68) 1550m Form Guide
Big Danger: Rock Sturdy (Best Odds: $4.00) was just about to burst through and win last week before the gap closed on him a few strides out and was forced back to fourth. No issues I think with the seven day back up and should lap up the extra 300m here. Definite threat from the good draw.
Roughie: Plenty to like about the way Moorluv (Best Odds: $3.30) let down late to win impressively at Kensington last start after being well backed in betting. She has put it together now in recent outings, so there is no why she can’t go on with it.
Roughie: Casino Dancer (Best Odds: $10.00) has been very consistent of late in town behind some good horses, including All Cerise and Forever Loved. Wide gate and top weight makes things tricky for her here, but she has talent and the class factor.
Race Two (13:53) : Get Racy Maiden Handicap 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: If Havana (Best Odds: $2.40) is going to go back to blacktype company, he has to get his maiden win out of the way and that should be done here. The weakest race he has contested was on debut when seventh to Whittington in the Lonhro Plate (Va Pensiero second). He has been gelded since his last outing, back during the Spring at Caulfield behind Hucklebuck. Should take care of this lot, even from the wide draw.
Big Danger: I liked the way Danehill Silence (Best Odds: $3.30) went about his barrier trial win at Warwick Farm a couple of weeks back, sitting on the speed before drawing clear over the concluding stages under a nice hold. Although drawn awkwardly, he looks to have his share of ability and can run a forward race on debut.
Roughie: Worldly Wise (Best Odds: $61.00) didn’t have much luck on debut at Hawkesbury, sitting wide with no cover and gradually fading when seventh to Opera Blu, a handy galloper for Paul Cave. Drawn much better here and did trial well prior to that debut run.
Race Three (14:28) : More Than Ready Handicap 1250m Form Guide
Back Me: Shahad (Best Odds: $2.00) looks the way to go here. A bit like Havana, she has raced in some very good races despite being a maiden galloper. The weakest race she contested was on debut in the Gimcrack of 2012 behind Brilliant Bisc, a subsequent Group l performer. Loved the way she has trialled leading up to this, and if she brings that, along with her previous race day form, she should be far too good for this bunch.
Big Danger: Stablemate Ryker (Best Odds: $5.00) has come back, seemingly on barrier trials, a more dour type who gets back and runs on. In the Spring he was up on the pace and gradually weakened out of the contest albeit in blacktype company. He has trialled nicely also and is a worthy threat.
Roughie: Star Wars (Best Odds: $14.00) is another who is resuming here, and his form isn’t too bad either. Was only four lengths behind Rock Hero in the Dulcify, then ran behind the Best Case and Quayside at his next two. He will be better over further, but trialled really well behind Malavio, so chuck him in exotics.
Race Four (15:03) : Tab Rewards Handicap (69) 1550m Form Guide
Back Me: Cleansing Ale (Best Odds: $4.80) for me. I thought his effort here behind Projectile last time out was excellent, making a wide and searching run from the home turn and only getting beat a head. Has to rise in weight, but his main dangers have to as well, and from the inside gate, he gets the nod.
Big Danger: Wine ‘N Dine (Best Odds: $6.50) just failed to get Green Empire here two back. He meets that horse better at the weights here, and has the barrier advantage, so I am confident he’ll turn the tables there. He then ran at Kensington and was excellent late, running third to blacktype class mare Global Dream. Should get every chance from the paint and prove hard to beat.
Roughie: Murphy’s Delight (Best Odds: $9.00) is the interesting runner here for Chris Waller. Former Irish galloper making his Australian debut, and he hasn’t looked too bad at the trials alongside some good horses. Market and the way he looks in the mounting yard will be the best guide.
Race Five (15:40) : Well Done 4Tracks4Kids Handicap (70) 1250m Form Guide
Back Me: Sticking solid with Xatel Ekwa (Best Odds: $34.00). Really attacked the line to win two back at Newcastle, then again had no luck in the early part of the straight here before eventually getting clear and steaming home for third to Engagement. James Innes, who rode him to success at Newcastle, gets the ride now in town, and with his 3kg claim, the horse gets in so well at the weights. Outstanding each-way bet for me given the pace should be hot.
Big Danger: Just about D-Day for Commanding Wit (Best Odds: $3.50), who won well first up, then has really not gone on with the job at his next two. He has run well, but hasn’t been attacking the line as well as we know he can. Draws well, Macca sticks…on paper, he is hard to beat. But how genuine is he?
Roughie: Britaila Kate (Best Odds: $9.00) didn’t have much luck also in the same race Xatel Ekwa contested here a few weeks back, dipping badly at the start and being forced near the carpark on the home turn. Will again have to go back to last from the wide draw, but if she brings that run here, she’ll be in the mix.
Race Six (16:20) : Drummond Golf Handicap (75) 1900m Form Guide
Back Me: Saigon Tea (Best Odds: $3.80) was given a peach steer by Tommy Berry to get the job done last time out at Warwick Farm, then raced here last week and didn’t have a great deal of luck, getting held up for a few strides before pushing into the clear and really savaging the line late. 1900m looks perfect and she can handle the quick back up.
Big Danger: Another who is getting close to D-Day is Unimpeachable (Best Odds: $3.80), who has been just fair in two runs back from a break in much stronger races than this. This is the easiest race she has contested for a while, drawn well, Nash on board, up to an ideal trip…she gets her chance.
Roughie: Projectile (Best Odds: $5.50) had a picnic in front here last time out, and duly saluted under the urgings of Tim Clark, who retains the ride. Maps very well here also, and could get the front easy again. If that eventuates, he’ll be hard to beat again given he’ll be fitter and better over this longer trip.
Race Seven (17:00) : 24 Days To Slipper Handicap (75) 1100m Form Guide
Big Danger: Lonace (Best Odds: $2.00) was backed as if unbeatable first up at Rosehill, and he travelled as if he was going to win approaching the turn, but given it was his first run since Boxing Day 2012, he knocked up late to run fifth in that Territory race. Two things will happen here: He’ll flop due to the second up syndrome or improve and be a major force here.
Big Danger: Chatham House (Best Odds: $3.20) resumes here off the back of a really good trial effort behind Sessions at Rosehill last week. Races very well fresh, drawn well and on the limit for Tommy Berry. Looks a definite threat.
Roughie: Penny Red (Best Odds: $13.00) was heavily backed first up at Goulburn, but didn’t really let down with the big weight on a wet track when fourth to city performer Stay Schtum. Drops 5.5kg in weight and gets a firmer surface here. Could be the knockout hope at odds.
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Best Bet: Race Two Number 11 Havana (Best Odds: $2.40)
Next Best: Race Three Number Shahad (Best Odds: $2.00)
Best Roughie: Race Five Number 5 Xatel Ekwa (Best Odds: $34.00)
Quaddie Tips (Races Four Through To Seven):
Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 9
Leg Two: 4, 5, 6, 7
Leg Three: 3, 4, 7, 8
Leg Four: 6, 11
$50 Investment = 26.04% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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