Group l racing continues at Morphettville this Saturday with the running of the premier sprint race in South Australia, The Goodwood (1200m), where three year old Extreme Warrior is favourite.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 The Goodwood.
Market 💰: View the Odds for the The Goodwood
2022 The Goodwood Speed Map
2022 The Goodwood Runner Preview
1. Behemoth: Viusally, he was the eye catcher in the McKay. But, I thought he was flattered. First, they went very slow in front and second, he was held up and exposed late, so viusally, attacking the line was eye catching but IMO flattered. Happy to risk.
2. Savatoxl: Defending champ who found positive form in the McKay but he was setting a very moderate tempo and that meeting, there was a clear bias towards those nearer the inside. With that said, I can’t entertain him.
3. September Run: She was good late in the Sangster, but was flattered by hugging the inside, where there was a clear bias towards. She’ll get the speed on in front here but will need luck from a tricky draw.
4. The Inferno: I think he’s the each way bet at close to double figures. He was the run of the race in the McKay IMO given he was forced to make his run early and out wide, which was a no go zone. His late splits were excellent, just knocking up late. Hard fit, draws to get a suck and I’d argue the best big race rider in Australia as it stands, Mark Zahra, sticks.
5. Beau Rossa: Really poor first up run in the McKay after getting every chance so I’d be stunned if he produced a bounce back to win or even feature in the finish.
6. In The Boat: In The Boat has been so well placed by Lindsey Smith but really, no place to hide now at Group l level. Hasn’t raced since producing sustained speed to take out The Discovery at Sale, leading throughout in an impressive piece of work. I reckon a hard 1200m at this level is a query, but he’ll give himself every chance.
7. Instant Celebrity: A total forgive in the Sangster after sitting four wide no cover. $51+ for her…yeah I could have a peanut on her because her very best is good enough to win a weak Goodwood IMO.
8. The Astrologist: Given a peach ride at Caulfield last time but was nabbed late. Been up forever, but is holding his form well enough. First four contender with a kind map.
9. Halvorsen: No secret that he has found good form since being reunited with Andrew Mallyon. He’s racing very well, but I doubt he wins this.
10. Free Of Debt: Given a peach by Tourneur to win the McKay, with that and the track pattern helping his cause. Different gravy here and although he draws soft, I can’t see him threatening.
11. Regardsmaree: Regardsmaree is a beauty for Nick Ryan. Loved the way he attacked the line to win the VOBIS Sprint before backing up a week later at Sandown in the Anniversary Vase where he knuckled down strongly once again to wear down a class animal, Buffalo River. Interesting placement here, but he draws to get a suck run and be strong at the end.
12. Ironclad: Fast run 1200m looks ideal for him and he was against the pattern in the McKay so he has a few positives going for him leading into this. First four contender and a knockout hope.
13. Lombardo: Talenetd animal but I reckon 1200m at this level sees him right out. Beaten by Regardsmaree at Caulfield and in that head to head, I doubt he turns the tables.
14. Outlaws Revenge: Another at $51+ I can entertain. His run in the McKay was a beauty after getting back to last and forced to come widest. His late splits were some of the best of the meeting and up to 1200m is a big tick.
15. Bella Nipotina: Bella Nipotina is a beauty for the Maher/Eustace camp. Strong winner of the Sapphire at Randwick two back before going to the Sangster where she had no chance given the race shape but was still good in defeat behind stablemate Snapdancer. Fast run 1200m here, she’ll get her chance.
16. Aysar: Ridden with intent in the McKay, settling forward. He was there to win, but as has been the case throughout his career, he can’t put a field away. He is capable, and another at odds that wouldn’t shock if he won.
17. Not An Option: Solid late behind Extreme Warrior and I do like him up in trip. But IMO, he would be better suited in something easier and perhaps at 1400m.
18. Frankie Pinot: Got conditions to suit in the Wangoom and won, aided by a lovely steer from Lloyd. Fast run 1200m looks ideal…just wants a genuine wet track and doubt he’ll get it.
19. Extreme Warrior: I am really surprised he is favourite. It was just a win first up at Caulfield and despite a slow tempo, they didn’t exactly ping home, plus the form out of it has been putrid. I’m keen to oppose him at 1200m.
20. General Beau: Been up a while but is racing well. Good against the pattern in the Tobin Bronze but I doubt that form is good enough for this, even allowing for the weight drop.
21. Manhattan Times (First Emergency): Another that is a first four contender. He had no chance in the Tobin Bronze but was very good late. He has home track advantage and is very genuine unlike General Beau. Can see him launching.
2022 The Goodwood $100 Betting Strategy:
Group l Strategy Outlay: $6570
Group l Strategy Return: $10546.6
