Cranbourne trainer Mick Kent has taken several shot at the stumps at winning this race with lightly raced fillies since he landed the race with My Emotion in 2010 and he’ll do so again this year with Little Hottie who lines up for only her third start. Absolutely ran third behind Lights Of Heaven for Kent in 2011 and last year, Scratchy Bottom finished fourth behind Gypsy Diamond and Gregers at only her second start. Like the above fillies, who were raced by the same connections as Little Hottie, she has been kept very safe in early markets at $5.50. Favourite for the race is Lumosty ($1.85) who will be out to make amends for failing to run a place in the recent G1 Thousand Guineas when starting favourite. The only other runner in contention according to the market is Tahni Dancer ($5.00)
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1. LUMOSTY – N Hall (2)
A fast finishing second to Afleet Esprit first up in the Listed Cap D’Antibes followed by a 9 length maiden win at Sale, saw this Fastnet Rock filly start favourite (7/4) for the G1 Thousand Guineas a fortnight ago. She drew gate seven and whilst she was expected to get back in the field, last was probably overdoing it a little. She then circled the field and made as much ground as she could in a race that favoured those closer to the speed and fence, finishing eighth (3.4 lengths) behind Amicus. Craig Williams, who had partnered the filly in each of her starts this campaign, has been replaced by Nick Hall here. Class runner of the race and the set weight conditions see her well in.
2. SINGULARITY – M Zahra (6)
Trainer Robbie Griffiths has given this Not A Single Doubt filly every chance to break here maiden status in her two runs back from a spell, taking her to Echuca and Cranbourne for maiden races where she has finished second, as the 7/4 favourite, and fifth (13/4) respectively. The step up to the mile helps, she ran second to Veuvelicious over 1500m last campaign, but for her two be winning here, needed to see her do more in her recent outings.
3. TAHNI DANCER – G Boss (4)
Did well two starts back to come from the second half of the field in the run home and get within 1.5 lengths of good filly Eloping – who has since won again, when second in the G3 Champagne Stakes (1200m). She then contested the G1 Thousand Guineas (1600m) and given the quick step up in both class and distance, again did well to make ground from eighth on the turn, to run fifth (2.1 lengths) to Amicus. Ticking over nicely at the minute and last run will have her further improved for this race, which isn’t as strong.
4. TENDER – D Oliver (1)
Struggled into fourth spot under 59kgs two starts back, only her second run back from a spell, behind Face Forward in a BM 64 (1200m) before being slowly away and settling at the tail of the field when sixth (6.5 lengths) behind Sea Spray in Open company over 1400m last week. Would’ve like to have seen the All American filly finish closer than she has recently to be considered among the better hopes in this race.
5. BERIMBAU – J McDonald (9)
Worked home steadily from well back in the field at her first two runs back from a spell, finishing sixth on each occasion behind Tawteen and Thinking Of You respectively. Lined up in a weaker race at her next and most recent run, last week’s 1400m fillies race, but after securing a lovely run midfield in the running line, was disappointing in the run home after being presented at the top of the straight. She held her ground in the run home, finishing fifth (4.7 lengths) behind Sea Spray. That was her first run in four week so will benefit from the hit-out but to date, her only win from eight starts is a Kembla Grange Maiden over 1200m.
6. LITTLE HOTTIE – D Yendall (5)
The daughter of O’Reilly was an impressive winner on debut last month when closing stylishly from the second half of the field to win a Kyneton Maiden (1450m) comfortably by 2.5 lengths. It was a good enough win for her trainer Mick Kent to enter her for the G2 Edward Manifold Stakes (1600m). She again settled back in the run and held her spot in the run home to the line (seventh, 3.4 lengths) behind Fontein Ruby who dictated from the front. Form out of the race has been very good and would think she only improves again with the run under her belt. Weaker race here and rates a good chance.
7. HAUTVILLIERS – B Rawiller (7)
The Flying Spur filly revelled in the heavy condition on debut to score a commanding 2.8 length win in a Seymour Maiden (1309m) before running last of seven in a BM 64 (1300m) at her only run since. Settled three back on the fence last start and didn’t appear comfortable inside of horses. The best part of her race was the last 50m where she was in open space and able to wind up. Hard to get a definitive handle on her from her two starts but wouldn’t dismiss her chances too lightly.
8. KANSAS SUNFLOWER – C Symons (8)
Drew wide first up when contesting a Kilmore Maiden (1107m) and was caught wide before sliding forward midrace to join the leaders as they straightened. Despite the tough run, The Luke Oliver filly kept coming in the run home and finished a commendable second (0.8 lengths) to Taghrooda. She drew wide again (9) when stepping up in distance and class at her following start, a 1400m Open race at Caulfield where again, she battled on strongly in the straight after camping outside of the leader and held on for fourth (2.4 lengths) behind Sea Spray. Honest filly, who has drawn wide again, but Symons can find a comfortable spot for her from there, she’ll stick on well again.
9. DAME LARGO – (3)
Not a great deal to get enthusiastic about regarding this Delago Brom filly given her two career runs to date. She debuted with a sixth (8.5 lengths) in an Echuca Maiden (1200m) and was only marginally better, in a Cranbourne Maiden (1200m) last week, finishing sixth again (4.9 lengths).
RACE OVERVIEW –
As the market suggests, seems to be only three legitimate chances here with Lumosty the obvious choice. She got too far back last start but would expect her to be ridden like a good thing from an inside draw. She should be left with no excuses here given the limited depth of the race. Tahni Girl will provide good opposition. Her last two read very well for a race like this. Kansas Sunflower the value runner in the race at $21.00.
- TAHNI DANCER
- KANSAS SUNFLOWER
- LITTLE HOTTIE