Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Monday’s (5/11/2018) racing around the country. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing.
Sunday Results: $350 Loss
Last 10 Days: LLLLWLLLLL
Overall Results (Since June 7): $3940 Profit
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Bet One- Win- Corowa Race One Number 1 Veedouble:
Should land on speed and be hard to beat. Was heavily backed when racing over the Wagga mile last time but just went way too hard in front and was swamped late. Blinkers are off, so hopefully that relaxes him, and Corowa is a track where on speed/rail is the A1 spot to be. Short enough but happy to be with him.
Bet: $40 Win (Tote)
Bet Two- Win- Corowa Race Four Number 5 Lawton Joseph:
I think he’s a touch of overs at $6. Andrew Dale trains this galloper, who looked a touch flat two back at Albury then went to a non tab at Wodonga and ran a game second to a beauty in Ruary Mac. That form reads well and with a stack of speed engaged, I can see Heywood getting the suck run on the fence and poking his way through.
Bet: $20 Win at $5.5 (Sportsbet)
Bet Three- Win – Corowa Race Five Number 4 The Consigliere:
Made him the best of the day but the market will tell you if he’s ready. $3.40 at the time of writing is a price where he could crunch into around $2.50 or blow to $5+. I’ll take the $3.40 and hope. Mitch Beer has this horse and he was given a searching trial at Albury. Ridden right out but bolted in and ran decent enough time. Nevada Dane looks the threat so I’ll save on him.
Bet: $40 Win at $3.4 (Bet365), $20 Win Nevada Dame at $6.5 (BetEasy)
Bet Four- Win- Ballina Race Four Number 18 Windermere:
I think if she runs up to her trials, she’ll be winning. Toby Edmonds trains this resuming filly, who debuted at Murwillumbah in May and was dreadful behind Amorita but that race has produced three winners. Two trials leading in have been good, gets gate one and Ryan Maloney steers. Plenty of ticks for her.
Bet: $30 Win at $5 (Sportsbet)
Bet Five- Win- Ballina Race Seven Number 3 Gripped:
Was red hot on him last time at Coffs and I’ll butter up. I think the wet track and weight pull beat him in the end that afternoon. French Command is a swimmer, was on the quick back up and had a 5.5kg weight pull, which was evident late. Back on top of the ground and up to 1400m, he should get every chance from the ideal barrier.
Bet: $30 Win at $3.5 (BetEasy)
Total Spend: $200