Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Friday’s (20/12/2018) racing across the country. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing
Thursday Results: $43 Profit
Last 10 Days: WLLWWLLWWL
Overall Results (Since June 7): $5437 Profit
Bet One- Win – Randwick Race Five Number 1 Kilmacurragh:
He’s the sort of horse where he could firm into $3 and bolt in, or drift to $7+ and run like a busted. Noteworthy that in his career wins, he has been backed with confidence. Resumed over 1400m at Rosehill where he was on speed in a fast run race and couldn’t keep up when last behind Irithea. Significant drop in grade/depth, and if he’s right, confident he wins.
Suggested Bet: $100 Win at $4.8 (BetEasy)
Bet Two- Win Parlay 3,4- Lismore Race No 5/Race Four No 6/Race Five No 11/Race Six No 3:
Extraction looks a nice type in the first and won a Gold Coast trial in sharp time. Looks hard to beat in the opener. Snow Valley has only had one career start, which came at this track/distance and she bolted in. Looked slick in a Gold Coast trial and should take beating. Sing Song resumes for Matty Dunn and provided she doesn’t get too far back, she’ll just about be winning. House Of Drama is a Michael Costa trained mare who was disappointing last start but the form looks pretty good and at her best, she’s clearly the one to beat.
Suggested Bet: $10 = $50 Cost
Bet Three- Each Way- Lismore Race Seven Number 13 Youwaitandsee:
I think he’s worth a throw at the stumps each way. Trevor Hardy trains and he resumed at Grafton where he was a little unlucky behind Pleased before going to Port Macquarie and being a touch flat. Freshened up, good weight relief, Taylor back on and the speed here looks strong, so he should get his chance to run on.
Suggested Bet: $10 E/W (Tote)
Bet Four- Win Parlay 3,4- Sunshine Coast Race One No 4/Race Two No 3/Race Three No 1/Race Five No 12:
First race looks a race in two but I think Deep Blue Sea is the way to go over Pierre Bizel. Winter Passage drops a fair bit in depth from last time and the recent tick over trial win here was sharp. Looks hard to beat. Bold Zip trialled well prior to an encouraging debut at Rockhampton and looks hard to beat in the third. Show Deck did work here first up and was quite game in defeat. Just needs luck from the draw and she’ll go close.
Suggested Bet: $10= $50 Cost
Bet Five- Early Quaddie- Moonee Valley Early Quaddie (Races 1-4):
Five runners in the first race, which looks quite strong on paper with plenty of depth. Narrowed it down to five horses in the second race, with the value being Urban Equity. Made Me Shiver was a dominant first up winner and the form has been franked. Looks hard to beat in the third. The fourth race is tricky, with an interesting runner being Colesberg.
Suggested Bet: 2-3-4-9-11/2-4-8-11-12/3-4-7-8/2-3-4-10= $50 for 12.5%
