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The Final Field for the 2020 Caulfield Cup has been released and we have 18 quality horses set to line-up in this years edition of the race on October 17.

We take a look at each of the 18 horses in the Caulfield Cup Field and we provide Video Form for each of them including the International horses in the field.

The best way to find the Caulfield Cup winner is to watch each of the horses lead-up runs heading into the race and we do all the hard work to find these races and list them below.

Market ๐Ÿ’ฐ: View the Odds for the Caulfield Cup

 

1. Anthony Van Dyck

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $7.00

Breeding: Galileo x Believe’N’Succeed
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 17: 6-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1408m/2420m
Career Best Win: English Derby, June 1 2019, Epsom, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 4-2-3
Wet Track Stats: 6: 2-1-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Aidan O’Brien hasn’t quite ticked off the Australian racing box when it comes to domination. That could well change thanks to this horse

Coronation Cup (2414m), June 5 2020, Newmarket, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
I thought this was an outstanding resumption. Keep in mind that during this meeting and Carnival, those on speed or nearer the inside were advantaged, so for him to make up the ground he did off a classy animal, and go past the best stayer in the world, was a very good effort and confirmed that he’s well and truly up to matching it with the best Europe has to offer.

Prix Foy (2400m), September 13 2020, Longchamp, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Admittedly the tempo was a crawl, but credit to him, he took advantage of it, was strong to the line and was holding Stradivarius, and I don’t think there are many runners that hold a 2-0 record against the best stayer in the world and this win assured his place in the Arc should connections have elected to go there.

Final Summary: This horse would have been ultra competitive in an Arc, so the fact that Aidan O’Brien has put him in quarantine to come this way and tackle the big two races tells me he is so desperate to win one, if not both. Given his record, 58.5kg seems fair enough and we’ve seen in recent years with Dunaden, Admire Rakti and Best Solution, weight doesn’t stop them in a Caulfield Cup. Clearly, the one to beat.

 

2. Avilius

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $31.00

Breeding: Pivotal x Alessandria
Trainer: James Cummings
Jockey: John Allen
Barrier: 17
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 31: 11-3-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2500m
Career Best Win: Tancred Stakes, March 30 2019, Rosehill, Heavy Surface
Dry Track Stats: 19: 6-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 12: 5-1-2
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: They’ve tried to make him a 2000m WFA star…is he a stayer? Off his Australian form, yes.

George Main Stakes (1600m), September 19 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

On face value, I thought he was plain, but watching the replay and looking at the sectionals, I just think he was run off his feet in a fast run race. Leader went sub 59 for the first 1000m, which is very quick, and Avilius, along with those behind, were just gassed in chasing from the outset. Visually, not good, but he had excuses.

Hill Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Much better effort from him here. Blinkers went on first time and they did spark improvement. Was able to sit much closer in the run and loomed to win, but Kolding is in a real purple patch at the moment and he was too good, running outstanding late splits. Good run from Avilius in defeat in what is shaping up to be solid Cox Plate form.

Final Summary: I think his time has passed when it comes to being a WFA horse ala Hartnell, and when they transferred him to being a handicap horse, yes he carried topweight on a number of occasions, but there was a reason for that – he had class, which is what Avilius, and his 2400m+ record is very good. I think he’s a live chance here.

 

3. Vow And Declare

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $27.00

Breeding: Declaration Of War x Geblitzt
Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Barrier: 18
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 18: 4-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/3200m
Career Best Win: Melbourne Cup, November 5 2019, Flemington, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 2-3-2
Wet Track Stats: 6: 2-0-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Ran so well in this race last year before winning the Melbourne Cup. Is he going as well in 2020? No.

Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This wasn’t a totally bad run. He was back near last in a very slowly run race, and considering the winner Fierce Impact went near sub 33 for his last 600m, those from the back had no chance. The run had merit given he was first up over an unsuitable trip.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

There was a thought process that he could be a knockout chance here if they rolled forward and that is what Olly did. Put him into the race from the outset and looked to be going well but when pressure was applied on the turn, he didn’t quicken and just whacked away in a plain effort.

Final Summary: It’s difficult to dismiss a Danny O’Brien trained stayer, especially a reigning Melbourne Cup winner. I’m just not sure how well he is going and does go up 4.5kg from last year when eye catching behind Mer De Glace. I’ve got others ahead of him.

 

4. Buckhurst

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $11.00

Breeding: Australia x Artful
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 10: 4-3-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2012m
Career Best Win: International Stakes, June 29 2019, Curragh, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 6: 2-3-0
Wet Track Stats: 4: 2-0-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Lloyd Williams’ colours and he loves a Melbourne Cup. Think this guy is more suited to a Caulfield Cup

Gold Cup (2012m), July 26 2020, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

On face value, thought he was a touch disappointing behind Magical, but a couple of things should be noted. Firstly, Magical is a superstar and one of the best in the world. Secondly, even though he’s a two time winner on soft ground, I think he’s much better suited on firmer footing.

Kilternan Stakes (2414m), October 5 2019, Leopardstown, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Interesting run this. They rode him stone cold, perhaps as a prep run to get him back on track before he comes to Australia. He ran fifth and his effort had merit given he was back near last and was asked to make a run around 800-1000m out and just ran out of condition late behind Tiger Moth, who was most impressive and received a 2.5kg penalty for winning this.

Final Summary: The form out of last start is yet to be really tested, but from the Gold Cup, it’s been super with Magical, Search For A Song and Armory all winning since, so that form is good enough for a Caulfield Cup. From what I’ve seen, 3200m of the Melbourne Cup isn’t his go, so much prefer him at 2400m.

 

5. Mirage Dancer

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $26.00

Breeding: Frankel x Heat Haze
Trainer: Trent Busuttin/Natalie Young
Jockey: Craig Newitt
Barrier: 6
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 26: 5-5-6
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Metropolitan, October 3 2020, Randwick, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 18: 5-4-4
Wet Track Stats: 8: 0-1-2
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Last start Group l winner who saves his best for 2400m and ran well in the race last year. Will need an inside gate though IMO.

JRA Cup (2040m), September 25 2020, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Thought there was good merit to this performance. He was second up against some hard fit/in form gallopers and he worked home pretty well without threatening behind a very much in form Al Galayel, who is a Valley specialist, so getting beat by him is nothing to sneeze at.

Metropolitan (2400m), October 3 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Was keen on Mugatoo, so watching the replay is tough viewing. Mirage Dancer was given a 12/10 by Nash, with the key being an inside gate where he was able to do no work in the run, get a late split and dash hard late to nail them on the peg. Market said he was ready to go too off the quick back, into $10 from $13.

Final Summary: Things need to fall into place for him to be a threat IMO. He needs a dry track, an inside gate and to be cuddled for the last little bit. He ran well in the race last year, likely does the same in 2020.

 

6. Mustajeer

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $101.00

Breeding: Medicean x Qelaan
Trainer: Kris Lees
Jockey: Billy Egan
Barrier: 15
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 28: 5-5-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2800m
Career Best Win: Ebor Handicap, August 24 2019, York, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 15: 1-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 13: 4-3-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Has probably taken over the mantle of Big Duke. Honest, has been great for connections, but is battling to find positive form.

Kingston Town Stakes (2000m), September 19 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

His late splits weren’t too bad in defeat I thought despite beating just one runner home. Was building nicely between the 800m-200m, but his condition just gave out late behind the in form Taikomochi. Form out of this race has been very suspect.

Metropolitan (2400m), October 3 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Had specking at big odds and was held up for a few strides, but overall, he had his chance and just whacked away late, beaten some four lengths by Mirage Dancer in an okay effort without jumping up and down.

Final Summary: Speaking to Jamie Lovett prior to the Metropolitan, he said the horse would need to run well there to warrant a trip to Melbourne. Was that run worthy of a trip? I’m saying no, but last time he carried this sort of weight over this trip was the Caulfield Cup last year where he was very good late. Happy to look elsewhere.

 

7. Verry Elleegant

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $5.50

Breeding: Zed x Opulence
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey: Mark Zahra
Barrier: 11
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 23: 10-5-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Tancred Stakes, march 28 2020, Rosehill, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 2-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 13: 8-3-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Clearly #1 seed for the Australian contingent and given her record, she does look very well in at the weights.

George Main Stakes (1600m), September 19 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Looked to race a touch flat to the eye, but bear in mind she was four weeks between runs and the tempo was hot from the outset, so she was made to work. Did like her last 100m when eventually clear, screaming out of a horse wanting more ground.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

She was weighted to win this and duly saluted, but she excellent in winning given she had to make a sustained run into the breeze and was entitled to knock up late, but she kept finding and surged hard late to win, stamping herself as the one to beat from a local perspective in the Cups. She also put to bed the theory she’s no good on firm tracks.

Final Summary: 55kg for a five time Group l winner…gee I think she’s well in at the weights and the two times she has been at 2400m, she has bolted up each start and was strong through the line on both occasions. I think Anthony Van Dyck deserves to be favourite, but I’ve got enormous respect for this girl. Think she’s the clear danger.

 

8. Dashing Willoughby

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $26.00

Breeding: Nathaniel x Miss Dashwood
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Michael Walker
Barrier: 2
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 13: 4-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1739m/3264m
Career Best Win: Queen’s Vase, June 19 2019, Royal Ascot Ascot, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 7: 3-0-0
Wet Track Stats: 6: 1-2-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: He’ll stay. Just not 100% sure he’s got the brilliance.

Henry ll Stakes (3264m), July 5 2020, Sandown, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This was a lovely ride from Oisin. Put him into the dream spot just off the speed before angling into clear air, putting them away and safely holding them to win well. The three runners that have subsequently raced from this event have all won so big tick for the form of this race.

Lonsdale Cup (3270m), October 5 2019, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

To the eye, he was pretty plain late nearer the inside, but as the Carnival progressed, the inside section of the track was quicksand and out wide was the spot to be, so I’d be forgiving of his weak finale when fourth to a quality mare in Enbihaar.

Final Summary: Australian interests purchased this guy with the Spring in mind and that form from Sandown does read very well. Well enough for him to win? I wouldn’t put a line through him, but have got others ahead of him.

 

9. Finche

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $9.50

Breeding: Frankel x Binche
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey: Damian Lane
Barrier: 12
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 17: 4-1-5
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2500m
Career Best Win: Kingston Town Stakes, September 21 2019, Randwick, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 2-1-4
Wet Track Stats: 7: 2-0-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: He’s ticking along beautifully, much like last year when a gutsy fifth in this race.

Chelmsford Stakes (1600m), September 5 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

More than a pass mark here. He was first up and chasing a pretty strong tempo and fought on really well in defeat, running third to Mister Sea Wolf, a stablemate who was heavily backed to win the race and was set up for it whereas this guy was first up with eyes on bigger things.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Whilst he is being set for the Cups, thought this was his chance to win a Group l. But he just for a couple of pairs further back than what Melham would have liked I dare say. Then had to take off halfway in the race given he was keen in the run. Courageous to fight on like he did, running a close up third.

Final Summary: He’s been set for the Melbourne Cup for the past two years and has run well in it. He’ll run well again I’m sure and was game in the Caulfeild Cup last year after doing work in the run. He’s the Bradley Cooper of horse racing. He’s got the looks. Has he got the x factor?

 

10. Prince Of Arran

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $17.00

Breeding: Shirocco x Storming Sioux
Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: Jamie Kah
Barrier: 19
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 43: 6-8-8
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1609m/3200m
Career Best Win: French 2000 Guineas, May 13 2018, Longchamp, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 34: 6-6-7
Wet Track Stats: 9: 0-2-1
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Despite being trained in the UK, he is nearly the most popular horse in Australia. Wouldn’t be disappointed if he won a big one.

Gold Cup (4014m), June 18 2020, Royal Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Beaten by the best stayer in the world in Stradivarius. Plus, I also question him at 4000m, especially on wet ground, something he hates compared to firmer footing. Far from disgraced in defeat though behind the best in the business.

September Stakes (2413m), September 5 2020, Kempton Park, Clockwise Direction, Synthetic Surface

Running third to champion mare Enable is great to have on your CV and this is what Prince Of Arran did here, closing off strongly late in what was a lovely tick off before jetting to Australia for the third time.

Final Summary: He’s in the Caulfield Cup, but Charlie has said that the Geelong Cup was the preferred starting point leading into the Melbourne Cup, like it was last year, with him winning the race. If it’s a dry track come Melbourne Cup Day, he’s a live chance.

 

11. Master Of Wine

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $8.50

Breeding: Maxios x Magma
Trainer: Team Hawkes
Jockey: Craig Williams
Barrier: 7
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 18: 5-5-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Sky High Stakes, March 14 2020, Randwick, Heavy Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 3-3-1
Wet Track Stats: 7: 2-2-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Boom or bust? We’ll find out here.

Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This was sort of a D-Day for him because he was plain first up in the Winx Stakes behind Verry Elleegant, but this run was much more encouraging. Got back and worked home well, running a close up fourth to the very reliable Fierce Impact, beaten just under two lengths.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Seemed to get every chance here. Perfect ride by Rodd and he was there to win at the top of the straight. Just didn’t show a turn of foot but whacked away and was close up in running fifth to Verry Elleegant, beaten under a length. Tops him off nicely for this race.

Final Summary: I penned him after the Winx Stakes because I expected a lot more. But, his two Melbourne runs have been encouraging and Team Hawkes are a master stable at getting a horse to fire for a big race, as we saw a few weeks ago in the Golden Rose when producing 1-2. Only time at 2400m, he produced electric late splits to win the City Tatts Cup and for the first time this prep, he’s well weighted.

 

12. The Chosen One

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $51.00

Breeding: Savabeel x The Glitzy One
Trainer: Baker/Forsman
Jockey: Dan Stackhouse
Barrier: 3
Nationality: New Zealand
Career Stats: 25: 6-3-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Herbert Power, October 12 2019, Caulfield, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 4-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 13: 2-2-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Blinkers back on and draws soft…top 5/top 10 chance.

Underwood Stakes (1800m), September 26 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Brilliant first up win and following that, he ran here. Tempo was somewhat against him, but still thought he was entitled to do a bit more and have to mark him down as quite disappointing.

Herbert Power (2400m), October 10 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Total forgive run here I thought. Was wide no cover for the trip and really had no chance of winning. Yes, beat two runners home and was beaten five lengths, but he had excuses. Total forgive.

Final Summary: The Blinkers back on does signal intent, and you’d be surprised if there wasn’t intent given it’s a Caulfield Cup. He has done the seven day back up on a number of occasions and has generally performed well. Does no work from the gate and 2400m will be fine. Not sure he wins, but a top 5/top 10 chance.

 

13. Warning

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $23.00

Breeding: Declaration Of War x Livia
Trainer: Team Freedman
Jockey: Luke Currie
Barrier: 20
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 15: 2-1-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/2500m
Career Best Win: Victoria Derby, November 2 2019, Flemington, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 8: 1-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 7: 1-0-2
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Is he flying or has his runs been overblown?

Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Was close to $101 in betting here and while he was never a winning threat, I didn’t mind the way he finished his race off behind Fierce Impact in an encouraging return to the track, his firs run as a 4YO.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Hard to determine if this was a great effort, or exaggerated given he did no work early and was only asked for an effort late. The form looks good with Verry Elleegant, Finche and co in front, and he was warming to the task late.

Final Summary: I think he’ll be better suited at Flemington compared to Caulfield, so I am happy to let him go through to the keeper for the Caulfield Cup, but looking to see him find the line as a good Melbourne Cup trial.

 

14. Dalasan

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $14.00

Breeding: Dalakhani x Khandallah
Trainer: Team Macdonald/Gluyas
Jockey: Willie Pike
Barrier: 14
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 19: 7-4-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1000m/2050m
Career Best Win: Carbine Club Stakes, November 2 2019, Flemington, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 3-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 8: 4-2-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Got the brilliance to give this an almighty shake…are the screws upstairs in properly?

Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Sat outside what was a very moderate tempo and I thought Jordan Childs rode a good race on the four year old. He tried hard, but couldn’t quiet finish it off, eventually running fifth to Fierce Impact in a good effort, his first run in Melbourne for the prep.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Jamie Kah jumped aboard and he gave him every chance. Parked behind the speed throughout, was out in time to win and loomed, but didn’t quite have the killer blow to finish it off when a narrow fourth to Verry Elleegant.

Final Summary: His two Adelaide runs to start the prep were ordinary and that version of Dalasan was going to struggle in Melbourne. He’s improved for sure since coming to Melbourne…improved enough to win a Caulfield Cup? He’s got the brilliance to win it. Just a matter of what’s doing upstairs with him.

 

15. True Self

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $34.00

Breeding: Oscar x Good Thought
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey: Declan Bates
Barrier: 4
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 25: 9-5-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2012m/3215m
Career Best Win: Queen Elizabeth Stakes, November 9 2019, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 3-2-0
Wet Track Stats: 13: 6-3-0
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Would have gone close in the Melbourne Cup last year…is she going as well 12 months on?

Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2600m), November 9 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This the last time she put in a decent effort, which came in Australia, where she thrived last year. Narrowly missed out on the Melbourne Cup so Willie Mullins put her in the Queen Elizabeth where she looked a good thing and duly saluted.

Ebor Handicap (2767m), August 22 2020, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

This was pretty much a barrier trial for her after two strides. Bombed the start by ten lengths and that sealed her fate, going around for practice in the end, so visually, the replay is ugly, but she was no hope after the awful beginning.

Final Summary: If you’re going off what she did in Australia last year in her two runs, you’d almost have her as the #1 seed of the internationals given she’s already proven herself to handle Australian racing. I just question her recent form and if she’s going any good.

 

16. Aktau

Breeding: Teofilo x Rare Ransom
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Jockey: Daniel Moor
Barrier: 1
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 10: 4-1-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2400m
Career Best Win: Mornington Cup, March 21 2020, Mornington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 8: 4-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 2: 0-0-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Gets really good weight relief and gets to an ideal trip. If there is a blowout at a massive price, could well be him.

Handicap (1700m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

To the eye, he was plain here behind The Chosen One, but it was a fast run race and he was first up, doing work out wide, so visually, nothing to jump up and down about, but there were excuses for him.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Just beat one runner home, but he was really poorly weighted IMO given he only won a Listed race yet was giving a multiple Group l winner, Verry Elleegant, the eventual winner, 1kg in weight, so no surprise to see him struggle at the relative weights against decent horse flesh.

Final Summary: He won the ballot exemption race earlier in the year, the Mornington Cup, assuring himself a start in this race, so Michael Moroney hasn’t had to do much with him with his target already set in stone. He gets right down in the weights now. Is it enough to turn the tables on those from the Turnbull? On face value, no, but he’s out to a more ideal trip. If you’re playing very wide exotics, I’d include him.

 

17. Toffee Tongue

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $16.00

Breeding: Tavastock x Bagalollies
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey: Mick Dee
Barrier: 5
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 12: 1-5-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2000m
Career Best Win: SA Oaks, May 2 2020, Morphettville, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 4: 0-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 8: 1-4-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Turnbull run has her in the mix as a knockout chance.

Handicap (1700m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

She was second up here and never really threatened to win, but liked the way she found the line behind impressive winner The Chosen One, but the form out of the race, as a whole, has been terrible.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Very good effort from her. Relative weights, she was poorly in compared to the eventual winner Verry Elleegant, but loved the way she found the line nearer the inside to run a close up second, an effort that should top her off nicely.

Final Summary: Jury was out after the run two back, but she was outstanding behind Verry Elleegant. Does get a weight pull on that horse leading into this, which isn’t everything, but it’s still an advantage. Got upside and is crying out for more ground. She’s a sleeper for sure, especially if we get a wet track.

 

18. Chapada

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $19.00

Breeding: Bullet Train x Diamantina Dior
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Jockey: Jye McNeil
Barrier: 16
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 23: 3-3-5
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2500m
Career Best Win: Herbert Power, October 10 2020, Caulfield, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 14: 2-1-4
Wet Track Stats: 9: 1-2-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Two runs back from a break have got him right in contention.

Naturalism Stakes (2000m), September 19 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Great effort from near last in the run to finish second to a one time Caulfield Cup favourite, and this race rated through the roof, so for him to close off like he did first up was an enormous effort.

Herbert Power (2400m), October 10 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

#TeamThey were well and truly onto him. Backed with real confidence to beat Orderofthegarter and the bets were landed. He was dominant to and through the line in winning and securing a Caulfield Cup berth.

Final Summary: If you told me at the start of 2020 that Chapada would be a legitimate Caulfield Cup chance, I would have laughed at you. But this is 2020 and anything goes. In saying that, his two runs back from a break have been outstanding and with 50.5kg on his back…I think he has to be a legitimate winning chance.

 

19. Raheen House

Odds ๐Ÿ’ฐ: $151.00

Breeding: Sea The Stars x Jumooh
Trainer: Kris Lees
Jockey: Daniel Moor
Barrier: 22
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 26: 4-5-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2800m
Career Best Win: Chairmans Quality, April 4 2020, Randwick, Heavy Surface
Dry Track Stats: 15: 2-3-2
Wet Track Stats: 11: 2-2-1
Target Race(s): Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Making up the numbers, even if he finds favourable wet ground.

Premiers Cup Prelude (1800m), August 15 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface

I was really keen on him running well here first up, but I thought he was pretty ordinary behind Taikomochi, who did go on to win the Kingston Town soon after, so the form out of the race wasn’t too, but expected a bit more.

Wyong Cup (2100m), September 4 2020, Wyong, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Speaking to Jamie Lovett a couple of weeks ago about this horse, he said the horse didn’t handle the tight track. Nash Rawiller gave him a squeeze 1000m out and he could feel the horse not handling the turns, so he was kind to it from that point on.

Final Summary: It would be one of the all time form reversals if this guy was to win a Caulfield Cup. His best is good enough to run top ten. But the two runs back, even though excuses last time, leave me with question marks and prefer him in something easier.

 
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