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The 2022 Spring Carnival is fast approaching and while the numbers are down on previous years, the international contingent is there again to try and take the big three.

Here at Justhorseracing, we’ve put together a preview of key runners nominated across the Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate and Melbourne Cup.

*Existing customers only. 2nd Racing bet. Excl SA & WA. T’s & C’s apply. Gamble responsibly.

Adjourn

Breeding: Postponed x Micaela’s Moon
Trainer: David Simcock
Career Stats: 5: 1-1-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2000m/2000m
Career Best Win: Handicap, July 16 2022, Doncaster, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 5: 1-1-1
Wet Track Stats: Untried
Short Summary: Rosehill Cup aspirant with good upside, enough to warrant Australian Bloodstock to get involved.

Key Overseas Replay: Maiden (2000m), June 16 2022, Doncaster, Good Surface

Not sure he beat much, but there was a bit of arrogance about the way he put them away late under Joey Haynes, winning with a bit of arrogance and authority over 2000m. The form out of this race, though limited, is a bit on the thin side, so that is the query with him.

Final Summary: I find it interesting that Australian Bloodstock have got into him off that win. His next run was at Ascot and he didn’t really fire as favourite. He’s been purchased as a Rosehill Cup horse for the Spring and perhaps something better for 2023, so he creates interest.

Camorra

Breeding: Zoffany x Mauralakana
Trainer: Team Hayes
Career Stats: 16: 4-2-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1628m/2816m
Career Best Win: Curragh Cup, June 24 2022, Curragh, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 6: 2-1-2
Wet Track Stats: 10: 2-1-2
Short Summary: Has very good form lines to command respect.

Key Overseas Replay: Vintage Crop Stakes (2816m), April 23 2022, Navan, Good Surface

He has had a couple of runs since, but this run was one I thought I’d highlight. It’s been a good reference for Melbourne Cup raiders in the past and Kyprios is the best stayer in the world. Camorra is in the blue colours and he clearly should have run third, getting badly held up at a vital stage. Very good run in a race which has turned out to be a red hot form reference.

Final Summary: $61+ is available for him and I find that staggering given the form around him. Not many can say they were good in defeat behind Kyprios, and as seen in the replay, clearly should have run third. He’s a dead set dry tracker, so hopefully gets a firm deck for Cup Day and does have a solid Timeform rating of 106. I think he’s one you could easily speck early.

Changingoftheguard

Breeding:
Galileo x Lady Lara
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Career Stats: 7: 3-1-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2100m/2400m
Career Best Win: King Edward Vll Stakes, June 17 2022, Ascot, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 5: 2-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 2: 1-0-0
Short Summary: Northern Hemisphere 3YO with staying prowess and the O’Brien polish.

Key Overseas Replay: Chester Vase (2500m), May 4 2022, Chester, Soft Surface

I thought this was a good replay to show given how dominant he was from the front and he gave his rivals a spanking. The runner up was New London, who has won twice since and IMO would have been an ideal aspirant for the Cups if Charlie Appleby nominated and brought a team over. The form is very good.

Final Summary: He’ll have a couple of runs in Ireland/England before a potential trip across. He has that Tiger Moth look about him. Lightly raced, has class, can sustain a run and a staying trip is no issue for him. I think he’s very good and should he come across, he’s a live chance.

Cleveland

Breeding: Camelot x Venus De Milo
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Career Stats: 7: 2-2-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/3740m
Career Best Win: Chester Cup, May 6 2022, Chester, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 3: 1-2-0
Wet Track Stats: 4: 1-0-0
Short Summary: Team Williams purchase for the Melbourne Cup and will be a key chance.

Key Overseas Replay: Chester Cup (3740m), May 6 2022, Chester, Good Surface

Another important replay to watch because this race also sees Coltrane run second, who of course went on to win at Royal Ascot and is considered a worthy Cup horse for Andrew Balding, who trained Spanish Mission. Cleveland had the suck run on the fence before Ryan Moore angled him wider and gee he unleashed a powerful finale to win. 7+ subsequent winners to come from this race, so it’s a red hot form reference.

Final Summary: It’s very rare that Team Williams get it wrong when it comes to buying a horse for the Melbourne Cup. The Chester Cup win and a subsequent second at Royal Ascot in the Copper Horse ensures he pretty much is guaranteed a Cup start. He’ll run 3200m no drama, he has a touch of quality and clearly got upside.

Coltrane

Breeding: Mastercraftsman x Promise Me
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Career Stats: 14: 5-4-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/4000m
Career Best Win: Ascot Stakes, June 14 2022, Ascot, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 4-4-0
Wet Track Stats: 2: 1-0-0
Short Summary: He’s a worthy contender for the first Tuesday in November.

Key Overseas Replay: Coral Marathon (3200m), July 1 2022, Sandown, Good Surface

Arrogant, arrogant win. Sat back off a decent speed before trucking into the race with purpose when getting off the back of Rodrigo Diaz and in a matter of strides, he put the race to bed and he ended up spanking them by ten lengths. The runner up Rodrigo Diaz is a maybe in terms of heading to Melbourne given Australian Bloodstock has a half share in him, and he did run well last year behind Stradivarius, so the form is pretty solid.

Final Summary: He doesn’t quite have the class factor that Spanish Mission had when Balding had him, but he does have more staying prowess and progression, so I find him a fascinating runner. What I do know is that two miles will be no issue and the stable knows what it takes when it comes to bringing them to Melbourne. He’s one horse I could back with confidence.

Deauville Legend

Breeding: Sea The Stars x Soho Rose
Trainer: James Ferguson
Career Stats: 6: 2-3-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2000m/2600m
Career Best Win: Bahrain Trophy, July 7 2022, Newmarket, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 6: 2-3-0
Wet Track Stats: Untried
Short Summary: Lightly raced Northern Hemisphere 3YO with raw ability.

Key Overseas Replay: King George V Stakes (2411m), June 16 2022, Ascot, Good Surface

He was very good in defeat behind a smart one in Secret State, who would be a perfect Melbourne Cup horse if he wasn’t a colt. Deauville Legend tracked the speed and got out in time to launch late and just miss out on the win. The only knock is the form from this race, as a whole, has been rank.

Final Summary: He went on to win the Bahrain Trophy at Newmarket and was impressive the way he knuckled down to get the victory. Very lightly raced and the big tick is that the stable have had the Melbourne Spring in mind since the start of the flat season, so he commands respect.

Hoo Ya Mal

Breeding: Territories x Sensationally
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott
Career Stats: 7: 1-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/1400m
Career Best Win: Maiden, August 20 2021, York, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 6: 1-3-2
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-1
Short Summary: Epsom Derby runner up who creates plenty of interest.

Key Overseas Replay: Epsom Derby (2406m), June 16 2022, Ascot, Good Surface

$151 outsider in the Derby but he ran the race of his life when second to dominant winner and star colt Desert Crown, getting the suck run nearer the inside and finding the line strongly behind a ripper. He did want to lay in under pressure but kept on in a really good effort.

Final Summary: He’s only won the one race, but if you look at the form around him, it’s just about top shelf for younger horses in the UK, with Native Trail, Noble Truth etc in the form lines. Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott will have him for the Melbourne Cup. The query is 3200m, but his form has him in the mix.

El Bodegon

Breeding: Kodiac x Al Andalyya
Trainer: James Ferguson
Career Stats: 8: 3-2-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2000m
Career Best Win: Prix Criterium de Saint Cloud, October 23 2021, Saint Cloud, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 2: 0-0-1
Wet Track Stats: 6: 3-2-1
Short Summary: Group l winner who has very good overseas form.

Key Overseas Replay: Maiden (1400m), July 28 2021, Sandown, Heavy Surface

I thought this replay was worth showing. Yes, it’s a maiden, but he was dominant in a testing race and in third was Hoo Ya Mal, who was runner up in the Derby earlier this year, so it’s turned out to be very good form, with around nine horses winning from this race.

Final Summary: I’ll be fascinated to see what direction they head to with this horse. Not sure he’s a Melbourne Cup horse, similar thoughts re Caulfield Cup…I think he could be a Cox Plate horse, or potentially even first up into a Golden Eagle. He’s high class though and I’ve been reliably told he’s on a one way ticket to Australia.

Gear Up

Breeding: Teofilo x Gearanai
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Career Stats: 13: 5-1-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2414m
Career Best Win: Ballyroan Stakes, August 4 2022, Leopardstown, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 8: 4-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 5: 1-0-0
Short Summary: He fits the meaning ‘Sense Of Timing’. Quality stayer heading in the right direction.

Key Overseas Replay: Ballyroan Stakes (2414m), August 4 2022, Leopardstown, Good Surface

This is a key replay to show because it involves Cleveland, an import that is more than likely coming for the Melbourne Cup. Gear Up was outstanding in winning. Cleveland had the suck run in behind and was there to run down Gear Up but he found just found under pressure, and was able to hold off Cleveland.

Final Summary: He had elite form as a 3YO last year, but since joining Joseph O’Brien, he’s gone to a new level, a better level. To the point that he’s being talked up as a potential Irish St Leger galloper and then on the cards for the Melbourne Cup. The way he’s going, I am seriously respecting him.

Loft

Breeding: Adlerflug x Labrice
Trainer: Marcel Weiss
Career Stats: 8: 3-3-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2800m/3200m
Career Best Win: Belmont Gold Cup, June 10 2022, Belmont Park, Firm Surface
Dry Track Stats: 5: 2-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 3: 1-2-0
Short Summary: Another first Tuesday in November demolition for Ozzie and his mates?

Key Overseas Replay: Belmont Gold Cup (3200m), June 10 2022, Belmont Park, Firm Surface

This race was enough for Ozzie Kheir to get the band together, empty the ashtrays and purchase the horse for the Melbourne Cup. Visually, the win was brilliant and the change up speed when asked to go was sharp. The overall time was fast…the query being what he beat? I think he beat nothing, one horse being Outbox, a UK stayer who is a Listed/Open Handicap horse at best.


Final Summary:
I want to pen him, but the two factors that keep him in the mix for me as a contender is the fact he’ll have no trouble with 3200m on a firm deck, likewise if there is give in the track. The other factor is Ozzie Kheir and his remarkable record at picking out good horses, the right horses.

Master Of Reality

Breeding: Frankel x L’Ancresse
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Career Stats: 24: 5-4-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/2816m
Career Best Win: Vintage Crop Stakes, April 28 2019, Navan, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 2-3-0
Wet Track Stats: 13: 3-1-2
Short Summary: Likely a third Melbourne Cup for this veteran. Just not sure he’s going well enough.

Key Overseas Replay: Curragh Cup (2816m), August 4 2022, Leopardstown, Good Surface

This is a replay worth showing because the winner of the race was Camorra, a horse that is now with Team Hayes and is a Cups aspirant. Master Of Reality wasn’t suited by the sit/sprint and just couldn’t go with them late in a total forgive.

Final Summary: Is he going as well as he was previously? I’m saying no. But, he’s a proven performer in the Melbourne Cup and the stable rarely get it wrong when they come to Australia. I couldn’t see him winning the race, but could see him finishing top ten given he gets better as the year goes on.

Modern Games

Breeding: Dubawi x Modern Ideals
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Career Stats: 10: 5-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/1600m
Career Best Win: Poule d’Essai des Poulains, May 15 2022, Longchamp, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 7: 4-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 3: 1-1-1
Short Summary: High class animal that is one of the main Golden Eagle contenders should he come across.

Key Overseas Replay: Sussex Stakes (1609m), July 27 2022, Goodwood, Good Surface

This has to be the replay to show. Running second to the best horse in the world, Baaeed, and was excellent in defeat. His change up speed was outstanding, but was just simply no match for Baaeed. He did beat the rest comfortably though, which is a big tick.

Final Summary: If he comes across for the Golden Eagle, he’ll go into it as favourite IMO. He brings with him world class form, he has change up speed, he handles all conditions and has class. The Golden Eagle is a hard 1500m and with his form at 1600m, as well as a third at Group l level over 2100m, he’ll be strong late. Hard to beat.

My Oberon

Breeding: Dubawi x My Titania
Trainer: Annabel Neasham
Career Stats: 16: 5-2-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1584m/1811m
Career Best Win: All Weather Championship, April 15 2022, Newcastle, Synthetic Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 5-1-2
Wet Track Stats: 4: 0-1-1
Short Summary: Late nominated for the Cox Plate, but don’t be surprised if he follows Top Ranked from last year and resume in either The Gong or The Hunter.

Key Overseas Replay: Dubai Turf (1800m), March 26 2022, Meydan, Good Surface

Far from disgraced in a hot race won by Lord North/Panthalassa, who shared the spoils. My Oberon was somewhat in restricted room but despite that he battled on really well in defeat in a race where the form has been strong to come out of it.

Final Summary: He has mainly done his racing at the mile, with his last 2000m run being the Prince Of Wales at Royal Ascot last year when fourth to a star in Love. He’s predominantly a 1400m/1600m horse, so the Cox Plate nomination I find interesting. To me, he would be an ideal Gong/Hunter horse, so keen to see what Annabel does with him.

Noble Truth

Breeding: Kingman x Speralita
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Career Stats: 9: 4-1-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/1400m
Career Best Win: Jersey Stakes, June 18 2022, Ascot, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 6: 4-0-0
Wet Track Stats: 3: 0-1-1
Short Summary: Heading in the right direction to be a leading Golden Eagle contender.

Key Overseas Replay: Jersey Stakes (1400m), June 18 2022, Ascot, Good Surface

It was this win where Charlie Appleby tossed up the Golden Eagle idea. The win was outstanding from on speed. He was there to be run down but found plenty under pressure to fend them off and win. Several subsequent winners have come from this race, so big tick re a trip to Australia.

Final Summary: His overall form, as a whole, is a bit on the suspect side, but you always have to respect Charlie Appleby when he brings them to Australia. A hard 1500m of the Golden Eagle is a query I have with him, but he has class and in the right camp, so he commands respect.

Star Of India

Breeding: Galileo x Shermeen
Trainer: Annabel Neasham
Career Stats: 4: 2-0-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1408m/2076m
Career Best Win: Dee Stakes, May 5 2022, Chester, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 3: 1-0-0
Wet Track Stats: 1: 1-0-0
Short Summary: Lightly raced with good upside

Key Overseas Replay: Dee Stakes (2076m), May 5 2022, Chester, Soft Surface

This was the win that ensured he was kept safe in the Epsom Derby. He had a suck run behind the speed before Ryan Moore angled clear and got better as the race went on for a dominant win. The query is the form out of this race, as a whole, has been totally rank.

Final Summary: He failed in the Derby so it will be interesting to see what Annabel does with him. I don’t think he’s a Melbourne Cup horse but could be a sneaky Caulfield Cup horse, potentially with eyes towards 2023. He has talent.

State Of Rest

Breeding: Starspangledbanner x Repose
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Career Stats: 12: 5-1-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1200m/2040m
Career Best Win: Cox Plate, October 23 2021, Moonee Valley, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 8: 3-1-3
Wet Track Stats: 4: 2-0-0
Short Summary: Defending Cox Plate champ who will take beating once again.

Key Replay: Cox Plate (2040m), October 23 2021, Moonee Valley, Soft Surface

Internationals first up in the Cox Plate have an outstanding record, as was the case here with State Of Rest. There was a protest and it was dismissed, with Anamoe just missing out on what was an epic contest. The form has clearly been franked via State Of Rest, Anamoe and of course Verry Elleegant.

 

Final Summary: Some were thinking the Cox Plate win was somewhat lucky, or it would be a one off, he wouldn’t frank the form when returning to Europe. Well he has since won a Group l in France and then of course was an outstandign winner of the Prince Of Wales at Royal Ascot. He’s world class and has to be rated as one of the hardest to beat.

Timour

Breeding: Gleneagles x Rock My Soul
Trainer: Chris Waller
Career Stats: 12: 1-2-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2100m/2100m
Career Best Win: Maiden, May 1 2021, Saint Cloud, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 4: 0-0-2
Wet Track Stats: 8: 1-2-2
Short Summary: Will have the Waller polish and will stay.

Key Overseas Replay: Queen Alexandra (4000m), June 18 2022, Ascot, Good Surface

He’s in the OTI colours out wide with James McDonald steering. He battled away pretty well in defeat given it was his first look beyond 2400m+ and he battled away really well in defeat behind Stratum, a horse who has run well in the Melbourne Cup previously. Form out of this race has been strong with several subsequent winners.

Final Summary: He does have some strong form lines around him and despite only just one win next to his name, he’s one with talent. One to keep an eye on, whether they push the button for this Spring or they play the waiting game for the Autumn.

Welwal

Breeding: Shalaa x Cheriearch
Trainer: Chris Waller
Career Stats: 7: 3-2-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1500m/1600m
Career Best Win: Prix de Fontainebleu, April 16 2022, Longchamp, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 4: 3-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 3: 0-1-0
Short Summary: Has a bit of quality about him to be considering a legitimate Golden Eagle contender.

Key Overseas Replay: Prix de Fontainebleu (1600m), April 16 2022, Longchamp, Good Surface

This was a sharp win I thought. He had a suck run behind the speed before he found clear air and produced good change up speed to win and win well in solid time. Form out of this race has been strong with six subsequent winners coming out of it, so a big tick for this being a form reference.

Final Summary: He has since had a couple of runs. He was far from disgraced in the French 2000 Guineas before a down the track effort at Chantilly over 2100m, and that run confirmed that beyond 1600m is a bridge too far. Freshened up, he’s a proper 1600m horse and coming down under with the Waller polish, I think he’ll be right in the mix, provided the track is dry.

Without A Fight

Breeding: Teofilo x Khor Sheed
Trainer: Team Crisford
Career Stats: 16: 7-2-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2000m/2800m
Career Best Win: Silver Cup, July 9 2022, York, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 5-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 5: 2-0-2
Short Summary: Progressive stayer heading in the right direction.

Key Overseas Replay: Silver Cup (2800m), July 9 2022, York, Good Surface

Only took on two rivals but it was a commanding performance and continued a really strong 9-10 month patch of form for him. Took control 400m out and safely held them at bay to win with something in hand. The two rivals were nothing flash, but the win was impressive and arrogant.

Final Summary: He’s heading in the right direction. The test will come over the next month or so, where I dare say he will head towards a race like the Ebor. If he can pass with flying colours there, then he’ll be on the plane for the Cup and be in it as a live winning chance.

 
*Existing customers only. 2nd Racing bet. Excl SA & WA. T’s & C’s apply. Gamble responsibly.
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